Indiana at Illinois Game Matchup

Indiana Hoosiers at Illinois Fighting Illini

Saturday, November 11th 2023 (12:00 PM EST)
Illinois -4.5 (43.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Illinois 48 - Indiana: 45 (Big Ten)

Hoosiers (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tom Allen (31 - 42)
Avg Score : 41 - 16 (30 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.9 - 8.1 (#118)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

IND is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Illinois -8 (SP+ ILL -5)
Projected Score: IND: 20 - ILL: 28 (54)
ILL Win prob: 64% | Cover: 49%
IND Travel: 111 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Fighting Illini (5 - 7) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (14 - 14)
Avg Score : 28 - 22 (32 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
IND Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Indiana's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Indiana vs Ohio State	+30.0	59.0	L 3 - 23	U	Y
Fri 9/8	Indiana vs Indiana State	-31.0	44.0	W 41 - 7	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Indiana vs Louisville	+10.0	51.0	L 14 - 21	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Indiana vs Akron	-16.5	45.5	W 29 - 27	O	N
Sat 9/30	Indiana at Maryland	+14.5	50.0	L 17 - 44	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Indiana at Michigan	+33.5	45.5	L 7 - 52	O	N
Sat 10/21	Indiana vs Rutgers	+6.0	39.5	L 14 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/28	Indiana at Penn State	+31.0	45.0	L 24 - 33	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Indiana vs Wisconsin	+9.5	45.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/11	Indiana at Illinois	+4.5	43.5	L 45 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Indiana vs Michigan State	-3.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/25	Indiana at Purdue	+2.5	55.5	L 31 - 35	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Indiana's Schedule

Illinois's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Illinois vs Toledo	-7.0	45.5	W 30 - 28	O	N
Fri 9/8	Illinois at Kansas	+3.5	57.5	L 23 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/16	Illinois vs Penn State	+14.0	47.5	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 9/23	Illinois vs Florida Atlantic	-16.0	45.5	W 23 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/30	Illinois at Purdue	+1.0	54.0	L 19 - 44	O	N
Fri 10/6	Illinois vs Nebraska	-3.5	43.0	L 7 - 20	U	N
Sat 10/14	Illinois at Maryland	+13.5	52.0	W 27 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Illinois vs Wisconsin	+3.0	40.5	L 21 - 25	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	Illinois at Minnesota	+1.5	43.0	W 27 - 26	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Illinois vs Indiana	-4.5	43.5	W 48 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/18	Illinois at Iowa	+2.5	33.5	L 13 - 15	U	Y
Sat 11/25	Illinois vs Northwestern	-5.0	46.5	L 43 - 45	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND	.08	37%	41.3	40%	2.91	111	35%	217	3.39	.19	44%	15.6	39%	50%	3.94	45.6	1.5	1.2
ILL	.15	44%	28.3	43%	3.07	168	45%	209	3.37	-.02	33%	21.7	30%	36%	2.2	59.1	1.2	2.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
IND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Offense	12	41.3	30.3	37%	3.39	1.5	19	328	111	217	3.4	40%	60%	40%	35%	20%	.08
ILL Defense	13	21.7	17.6	32.8%	2.2	2.5	-	-	-	-	-	45%	53%	30%	36%	22%	-.02

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
IND Defense	12	15.6	22	43.5%	3.94	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	39%	50%	14%	.19
ILL Offense	13	28.3	32	43.8%	3.37	1.2	21	377	168	209	4	54%	46%	43%	45%	13%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Indiana	12	25:38	19.2	34%	39%	5	45.6	1.5	1.2	5.3	1.7	2	27.1
Illinois	13	32:41	21.2	38%	48%	6.4	59.1	1.2	2.5	6.1	2.1	1	30.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Offense	12	40%	40%	33	110.8	3.4	15	.13	2.91	85%	12%	1.05
ILL Defense	13	45%	30%	-	-	-	-	-.03	2.64	50%	11%	1.1

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
IND Defense	12	54%	39%	-	-	-	-	.03	2.93	62%	9%	0.86
ILL Offense	13	54%	43%	41.9	167.7	4	18	.08	3.07	72%	10%	0.85

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Offense	12	60%	35%	21.7	40.2	217.4	5.4	10	16	13	.07	1.3	35%	21%	.08	8%	2
ILL Defense	13	53%	36%	-	-	-	-	-	-	24	.07	1.4	36%	23%	.05	11%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
IND Defense	12	46%	50%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.41	1.5	29%	34%	.31	5%	2
ILL Offense	13	46%	45%	21	30.2	209.4	6.9	10	15	5	.25	1.4	30%	32%	.24	2%	1.7

Indiana's Power Ratings
Indiana's Power Rating: -6.74 #98
Indiana's Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Indiana's Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
2023 Talent Rating: 674.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Indiana's 2023 Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10
Indiana's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Indiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Indiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -6.74 Illinois: 1.055

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Indiana: -7.4 Illinois: -2.6

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 1.055 #63
Illinois's Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Illinois's Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
2023 Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Illinois's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Illinois's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 821.44
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Indiana Scoring
Offense: 41.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.3
Defense: 15.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Indiana's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 28
Indiana 20

Projected Total Points: 54

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 28.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 32
Defense: 21.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.6

Illinois's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 7 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	11/11	Illinois	48	Indiana	45	Illinois	Illinois -4.5	Indiana	43.5	Over
2022	09/02	Indiana	23	Illinois	20	Indiana	Indiana -1	Indiana	47.5	Under
2017	11/11	Illinois	14	Indiana	24	Indiana	Indiana -10	NA	51.5	Under
2013	11/09	Indiana	52	Illinois	35	Indiana	Indiana -7.5	Indiana	0
2012	10/27	Illinois	17	Indiana	31	Indiana
2011	10/08	Indiana	20	Illinois	41	Illinois
2010	10/23	Illinois	43	Indiana	13	Illinois
2009	10/17	Indiana	27	Illinois	14	Indiana
2008	10/18	Illinois	55	Indiana	13	Illinois
2007	09/22	Indiana	14	Illinois	27	Illinois
2006	10/07	Illinois	32	Indiana	34	Indiana
2005	10/08	Indiana	36	Illinois	13	Indiana
2004	11/06	Illinois	26	Indiana	22	Illinois
2003	11/08	Indiana	17	Illinois	14	Indiana
2002	10/26	Illinois	45	Indiana	14	Illinois
2001	10/13	Indiana	14	Illinois	35	Illinois
2000	11/03	Illinois	42	Indiana	35	Illinois

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	9	0	1 Overs
Indiana	8	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 6	2 - 1	2 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	6 - 11	1 - 2	0 - 0	1 - 2

(#98) Indiana Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -6.74 #98
Offense Rating: 13.48 #95
Defense Rating: 14.60 #114
Overall SP+ Rating: -7.4 #90
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.1 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.7 #72
Talent Rating: 674.00 #55
Blue Chip Ratio: 12% #41
Expected Record: 3.90 - 8.10

Team Profile

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Indiana Ratings Matchup Illinois

Power #98

#63

Off #95

#47

Def #114

#104

Talent #55

#62

SP+ #90

#75

SP+ Off #103

#90

SP+ Def #72

#49

Rematch from Week 11
Illinois -4.5 (43.5)
Illinois won vs Indiana this year (48-45)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Indiana in 2023 (48-45)
Indiana beat Illinois in 2022 (23-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 49° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: IND | ILL
Depth Chart: IND | ILL
Rosters: IND | ILL

(#63) Illinois Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.055 #63
Offense Rating: 18.75 #47
Defense Rating: 13.25 #104
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.6 #75
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.1 #90
Defense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #49
Talent Rating: 658.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #63
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80

Team Profile

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Indiana's OC Walt Bell

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby	249	389	64%	2813	18	7	7.2
Dexter Williams II	19	30	63%	248	3	0	8.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brendan Sorsby	106	445	9	4.2	41
Trenten Howland	41	230	1	5.6	23
Broc Lowry	22	123	3	5.6	40
Dexter Williams II	12	45	1	3.8	20

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cam Camper	58	903	4	15.6	53
Kamryn Perry	10	166	0	16.6	40
Andison Coby	3	70	1	23.3	38
Jaylin Lucas	3	39	0	13.0	25

View Indiana's Full Roster

Indiana's DC Matt Guerrieri

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Phillip Dunnam	48	3	0	1	4
Lanell Carr (Tr)	39	5	3	3	2
Kobee Minor (Tr)	37	7	2	0	6
Jordan Shaw	37	4	0	1	6

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Laing (Tr)	21	6	3	2	1
Lanell Carr (Tr)	39	5	3	3	2
Kobee Minor (Tr)	37	7	2	0	6
Anthony Jones (Tr)	25	4	2	5	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kobee Minor (Tr)	37	7	2	0	6
Jordan Shaw	37	4	0	1	6
Phillip Dunnam	48	3	0	1	4

Illinois's OC Barry Lunney Jr.

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Reggie Love III	83	372	2	4.5	22
Patrick Bryant	5	14	0	2.8	7

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Patrick Bryant	53	978	10	18.5	64
Eian Pugh	5	37	0	7.4	14
Reggie Love III	7	21	0	3.0	6
Owen Anderson	2	13	1	6.5	11

View Illinois's Full Roster

Illinois's DC Aaron Henry

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Seth Coleman	53	7	3	5	3
Ryan Meed	50	1	0	1	1
Te-Rah Edwards	38	5	3	7	0
Tahveon Nicholson	32	3	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Seth Coleman	53	7	3	5	3
Te-Rah Edwards	38	5	3	7	0
Dylan Davis	19	2	1	1	0
Christian Lorenzo	17	1	1	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Seth Coleman	53	7	3	5	3
Zachary Tobe	17	2	0	0	3
Ryan Meed	50	1	0	1	1