Florida International at Sam Houston - 2023 Matchup Preview
Florida International logo Florida International Golden Panthers at Sam Houston BearkatsSam Houston logo
Wednesday, October 18th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Sam Houston State -6 (42.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Florida International 33 - Sam Houston: 27  (Conference USA)

 
Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (7 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (20 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
SHSU is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Sam Houston -5.5   (SP+ SHSU -7)

Projected Score: FIU: 21 - SHSU: 26 (47)
SHSU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
FIU Travel: 984 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Bearkats (3 - 9) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach K. C. Keeler (85 - 29)
Avg Score : 20 - 26 (27 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.6 - 7.4 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Florida International's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Florida International at Louisiana Tech+12.057.5L 17 - 22UY
Sat 9/2 Florida International vs Maine-15.046.0W 14 - 12UN
Sat 9/9 Florida International vs North Texas+10.551.5W 46 - 39OY
Sat 9/16 Florida International at UConn+7.043.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 Florida International vs Liberty+10.054.0L 6 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 Florida International at New Mexico State+6.549.5L 17 - 34ON
Wed 10/11 Florida International vs UTEP+1.544.0L 14 - 27UN
Wed 10/18 Florida International at Sam Houston+6.042.0W 33 - 27OY
Wed 10/25 Florida International vs Jacksonville State+9.048.0L 16 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+10.550.5L 6 - 40UN
Sat 11/18 Florida International at Arkansas+27.549.5L 20 - 44OY
Sat 11/25 Florida International vs Western Kentucky+11.554.0L 28 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Sam Houston's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Sam Houston at BYU+19.046.5L 0 - 14UY
Sat 9/9 Sam Houston vs Air Force+13.536.5L 3 - 13UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Sam Houston at Houston+11.537.0L 7 - 38ON
Thu 9/28 Sam Houston vs Jacksonville State+6.536.5L 28 - 35ON
Thu 10/5 Sam Houston at Liberty+21.046.5L 16 - 21UY
Wed 10/11 Sam Houston at New Mexico State+4.543.0L 13 - 27UN
Wed 10/18 Sam Houston vs Florida International-6.042.0L 27 - 33ON
Wed 10/25 Sam Houston vs UTEP-4.038.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 11/4 Sam Houston vs Kennesaw State-16.541.5W 24 - 21ON
Sat 11/11 Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech+8.549.5W 42 - 27OY
Sat 11/18 Sam Houston at Western Kentucky+12.552.0L 23 - 28UY
Sat 11/25 Sam Houston vs Middle Tennessee+3.549.5W 23 - 20UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Sam Houston's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#117 (.09)37% (120)20.140% (104)2.67 (126)9035% (119)2303.21 (113)#84 (.2)40% (46)31.840% (39)42% (73)3.34 (26)50.61.81
SHSU#115 (.1)37% (118)2034% (130)2.61 (131)8940% (84)2223.47 (97)#69 (.18)41% (58)26.241% (55)42% (75)3.77 (64)42.21.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3
SHSU#115 (.1)39% (107)41% (100)3.18 (44)18038% (105)1682.97 (129)#31 (.11)42% (70)47% (105)37% (27)3.84 (75)37.91.22.1



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Offense1220.119.536.8%3.211.815320902302.944%55%40%35%20%.09
SHSU Defense1226.229.241.3%3.771.7 - - - - - 53%47%41%42%14%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
FIU Defense1231.830.740.4%3.341 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%12%.2
SHSU Offense122027.236.9%3.471.318311892222.943%55%34%40%15%.1

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Florida International1227:1615.328%48%5.850.61.815.11125.8
Sam Houston1229:4118.336%59%5.142.21.31.74.31.4228
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Offense1244% (106)40% (104)31.790.32.917 (81).05 (119)2.67 (126)69% (99)13% (125)1.05 (40)
SHSU Defense1253% (104)41% (55) - - - - .16 (80)3.2 (92)79% (104)8% (119)1.02 (82)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
FIU Defense1251% (90)40% (39) - - - - .1 (39)3.08 (64)90% (131)9% (91)1.03 (89)
SHSU Offense1243% (110)34% (130)30.789.12.913 (108)-.02 (129)2.61 (131)83% (7)9% (56)0.81 (130)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Offense1255% (28)35% (119)18.331.92307.212.612 (113)12 (85).17 (102)1.6 (69)35% (115)24% (121).24 (95)6% (78)2 (86)
SHSU Defense1247% (32)42% (75) - - - - - - 13 (26).23 (49)1.5 (24)31% (79)27% (25).26 (41)6% (87)2.1 (88)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
FIU Defense1248% (45)42% (73) - - - - - - 6 (120).36 (110)1.8 (119)35% (31)29% (47).29 (56)3% (133)2.2 (119)
SHSU Offense1255% (25)40% (84)23.537.3222.369.515 (96)12 (85).24 (81)1.4 (127)34% (105)24% (124).17 (112)6% (55)1.9 (119)

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -8.87 #114
Florida International's Offense Rating: 11.13 #117
Florida International's Defense Rating: 10.84 #84
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Florida International's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Florida International's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9 #127
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -8.87   Sam Houston: -9.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Florida International: -20.9   Sam Houston: -13.5




Sam Houston's Power Ratings
Sam Houston's Power Rating: -9.21 #118
Sam Houston's Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Sam Houston's Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Sam Houston's 2023 Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40
Sam Houston's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Sam Houston's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Sam Houston's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Florida International Scoring
Offense: 20.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.5
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.7

Florida International's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Sam Houston 26
Florida International 21


Total Points: 47

Sam Houston Scoring
Offense: 20 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.2
Defense: 26.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.2

Sam Houston's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/22Florida International7Sam Houston10Sam HoustonSam Houston -5.0Florida International47.0Under
202310/18Sam Houston27Florida International33Florida InternationalSam Houston State -6Florida International42.0Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Sam Houston101 Overs
Florida International121 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 21 - 10 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 01 - 10 - 11 - 0

(#114) Florida International Info
Power Rating: -8.87 #114
Offense Rating: 11.13 #117
Defense Rating: 10.84 #84
Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9 #127
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #119
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80


Florida International has lost 3 straight
Florida International has lost 1 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 2 - 4 (4 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Florida International Highlights
Florida International defense is really good in red zone (#31)

Florida International Deficiencies
Florida International has a really bad Offense
Florida International Can Not Run the Ball (#36)
Florida International offense is really bad (#81)
Florida International Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#74)
Florida International offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#57)
Florida International run game is really bad (#51)
Florida International pass game is really bad (#105)
Florida International offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Florida International Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Florida International does not Sack the QB (#64)
Florida International gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#106)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatSHSUFIU
OverallOver#85#101
OffenseOff#103#101
DefenseDef#24#79
Special TeamsST#105#67
PassingPass#53#94
RushingRush#101#85
Run BlockRBLK#100#95
Pass BlockPBLK#78#98
Route RunningWR Rt#63#65
TacklingTkl#11#89
Run DefenseR Def#63#86
Pass Rush DefPRush#82#76
Coverage DefCov#7#61

Rematch from Week 8
Sam Houston -6.0 (42.0)
Florida International won at Sam Houston this year (33-27)

Previous Matchups
Sam Houston beat Florida International last year (10-7)
Florida International beat Sam Houston in 2023 (33-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bowers Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: FIU | SHSU
Depth Chart: FIU | SHSU
Rosters: FIU | SHSU
(#118) Sam Houston Info
Power Rating: -9.21 #118
Offense Rating: 11.59 #113
Defense Rating: 8.82 #57
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.5 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #82
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.60 - 7.40


Sam Houston has lost 6 straight
Sam Houston has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 3 (1 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Sam Houston Highlights
Sam Houston commits very few Penalties (#95)
Sam Houston defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#56)

Sam Houston Deficiencies
Sam Houston has a really bad Offense
Sam Houston Can Not Run the Ball (#85)
Sam Houston offense is really bad (#111)
Sam Houston offense is not Explosive (#70)
Sam Houston run game is really bad (#105)
Sam Houston does not Sack the QB (#64)
Sam Houston Does Not Stuff Runs (#96)


  
Florida International's OC David Yost
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins19433258%242211117.3
Grayson James193751%218115.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)12556644.567
Kejon Owens8045355.747
Keyone Jenkins1175060.423
Antonio Patterson143312.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kris Mitchell641118717.580
Dean Patterson28423115.140
Eric Rivers (Tr)32343210.748
Jalen Bracey31316110.245

View Florida International's Full Roster
Florida International's DC Jovan Dewitt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Manuel9812012
Reggie Peterson897310
D'Verick Daniel572001
Jamal Potts535102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex Nobles358350
Reggie Peterson897310
Jeramy Passmore234220
Jack Daly203231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hezekiah Masses330004
Donovan Manuel9812012
Jamal Potts535102

Sam Houston's OC Brad Cornelsen
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keegan Shoemaker26441963%250415116.0
Grant Gunnell142264%100014.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
John Gentry (Tr)11939433.328
Keegan Shoemaker9325412.729
Adrian Murdaugh2611724.548
Noah Smith2710623.925
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Noah Smith7978269.942
Malik Phillips35430112.341
Al'Vonte Woodard31339210.926
John Gentry (Tr)3526127.556

View Sam Houston's Full Roster
Sam Houston's DC Clayton Carlin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trevor Williams1148240
Kavian Gaither625101
Caleb Weaver421004
Da'Marcus Crosby421003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Nixon236511
Chris Scott154300
Trevor Williams1148240
Markel Perry305230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Da'Veawn Armstead90005
Dakerric Hobbs281005
Caleb Weaver421004