Western Kentucky at Florida International

Western Kentucky at Florida International - 2023 Matchup Preview

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Florida International Golden Panthers

Saturday, November 25th 2023 (3:00 PM EST)
Western Kentucky -11.5 (54.0) (-380) Open: -10.0 | 55.0
Western Kentucky 41 - Florida International: 28 (Conference USA)

Hilltoppers (8 - 5) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Tyson Helton (34 - 22)
Avg Score : 31 - 29 (25 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.6 - 5.4 (#49)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

WKU is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Western Kentucky -11 (SP+ WKU -19.5)
Projected Score: WKU: 32 - FIU: 21 (54)
WKU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
WKU Travel: 855 miles, 1 hrs behind

Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (7 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (21 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WKU Players
FIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Western Kentucky's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Western Kentucky vs South Florida	-13.5	71.5	W 41 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Western Kentucky vs Houston Christian	-41.5	64.5	W 52 - 22	O	N
Sat 9/16	Western Kentucky at Ohio State	+29.5	65.0	L 10 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/23	Western Kentucky at Troy	+3.5	57.0	L 24 - 27	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Western Kentucky vs Middle Tennessee	-6.5	61.0	W 31 - 10	U	Y
Thu 10/5	Western Kentucky at Louisiana Tech	-6.0	59.0	W 35 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State	-7.5	60.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Tue 10/24	Western Kentucky vs Liberty	+4.0	61.5	L 29 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/4	Western Kentucky at UTEP	-9.5	54.5	W 21 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/11	Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State	-4.5	55.5	L 29 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/18	Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston	-12.5	52.0	W 28 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/25	Western Kentucky at Florida International	-11.5	54.0	W 41 - 28	O	Y
Mon 12/18	Western Kentucky vs Old Dominion	+4.0	49.0	W 38 - 35	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Western Kentucky's Schedule

Florida International's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Florida International at Louisiana Tech	+12.0	57.5	L 17 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Florida International vs Maine	-15.0	46.0	W 14 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida International vs North Texas	+10.5	51.5	W 46 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Florida International at UConn	+7.0	43.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Florida International vs Liberty	+10.0	54.0	L 6 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4	Florida International at New Mexico State	+6.5	49.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
Wed 10/11	Florida International vs UTEP	+1.5	44.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
Wed 10/18	Florida International at Sam Houston	+6.0	42.0	W 33 - 27	O	Y
Wed 10/25	Florida International vs Jacksonville State	+9.0	48.0	L 16 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	Florida International at Middle Tennessee	+10.5	50.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida International at Arkansas	+27.5	49.5	L 20 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida International vs Western Kentucky	+11.5	54.0	L 28 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	#47 (.22)	40% (92)	30.5	38% (119)	3.07 (78)	107	41% (70)	295	4.95 (6)	#81 (.2)	44% (98)	28.7	48% (121)	41% (53)	4 (87)	36.8	1.8	1.8
FIU	#117 (.09)	37% (120)	20.1	40% (104)	2.67 (126)	90	35% (119)	230	3.21 (113)	#84 (.2)	40% (46)	31.8	40% (39)	42% (73)	3.34 (26)	50.6	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WKU	#66 (.19)	42% (83)		38% (117)	2.78 (108)	110	45% (33)	265	3.83 (78)	#95 (.21)	45% (102)		48% (113)	40% (60)	3.66 (54)	41.3	1.7	1.5
FIU	#101 (.13)	39% (111)		37% (125)	2.48 (130)	122	42% (64)	229	4.44 (21)	#37 (.12)	41% (62)		44% (81)	37% (30)	3.49 (39)	47.4	1.6	1.3

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Offense	13	30.5	24.7	40%	4.95	1.8	20	402	107	295	3.9	38%	61%	38%	41%	16%	.22
FIU Defense	12	31.8	33	40.4%	3.34	1	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	40%	42%	12%	.2

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WKU Defense	13	28.7	29.8	44%	4	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	48%	41%	14%	.2
FIU Offense	12	20.1	20.7	36.8%	3.21	1.8	15	320	90	230	2.9	44%	55%	40%	35%	20%	.09

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Western Kentucky	13	29:32	20.2	43%	62%	4.5	36.8	1.8	1.8	4.4	2	1	28.2
Florida International	12	27:16	15.3	28%	48%	5.8	50.6	1.8	1	5.1	1	1	25.8

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Offense	13	38% (128)	38% (119)	27.5	106.6	3.9	12 (116)	.06 (117)	3.07 (78)	76% (45)	8% (23)	0.93 (99)
FIU Defense	12	51% (90)	40% (39)	-	-	-	-	.1 (39)	3.08 (64)	90% (131)	9% (91)	1.03 (89)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WKU Defense	13	52% (94)	48% (121)	-	-	-	-	.19 (98)	3.47 (125)	73% (65)	9% (109)	0.96 (45)
FIU Offense	12	44% (106)	40% (104)	31.7	90.3	2.9	17 (81)	.05 (119)	2.67 (126)	69% (99)	13% (125)	1.05 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Offense	13	61% (6)	41% (70)	26.4	41.5	295.2	7.1	11.2	38 (3)	14 (107)	.35 (42)	1.7 (29)	33% (90)	31% (69)	.39 (46)	9% (128)	2.4 (4)
FIU Defense	12	48% (45)	42% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (120)	.36 (110)	1.8 (119)	35% (31)	29% (47)	.29 (56)	3% (133)	2.2 (119)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WKU Defense	13	47% (37)	41% (53)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (15)	.27 (64)	1.6 (69)	31% (80)	32% (99)	.37 (97)	6% (81)	1.9 (26)
FIU Offense	12	55% (28)	35% (119)	18.3	31.9	230	7.2	12.6	12 (113)	12 (85)	.17 (102)	1.6 (69)	35% (115)	24% (121)	.24 (95)	6% (78)	2 (86)

Western Kentucky's Power Ratings
Western Kentucky's Power Rating: -1.01 #70
Western Kentucky's Offense Rating: 18.92 #46
Western Kentucky's Defense Rating: 9.89 #70
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Western Kentucky's 2023 Expected Record: 7.60 - 5.40
Western Kentucky's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.5 #72
Western Kentucky's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.4 #55
Western Kentucky's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #86

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.01 Florida International: -12.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Western Kentucky: -1.5 Florida International: -20.9

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -12.385 #114
Florida International's Offense Rating: 11.13 #117
Florida International's Defense Rating: 10.84 #84
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Florida International's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Florida International's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9 #127
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Western Kentucky Scoring
Offense: 30.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 28.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.8

Western Kentucky's 2023 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Western Kentucky 32
Florida International 21

Total Points: 54

Based on Last 4 Games
Western Kentucky 32
Florida International 19

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Western Kentucky 30
Florida International 25

Total Points: 55

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 20.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Florida International's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/14	Western Kentucky	6	Florida International	25	Western Kentucky -9.5	Florida International	55.5	Under
2023	11/25	Florida International	28	Western Kentucky	41	Western Kentucky -11.5	Western Kentucky	54.0	Over
2022	09/24	Western Kentucky	73	Florida International	0	Western Kentucky -31	Western Kentucky	65.0	Over
2021	10/23	Florida International	19	Western Kentucky	34	Western Kentucky -16.5	Florida International	78.0	Under
2020	11/21	Western Kentucky	38	Florida International	21	Western Kentucky -6.5	Western Kentucky	41.5	Over
2019	09/07	Florida International	14	Western Kentucky	20	Florida International -9	Western Kentucky	57.0	Under
2018	10/27	Western Kentucky	17	Florida International	38	Florida International -3	Florida International	54.0	Over
2017	11/24	Florida International	41	Western Kentucky	17	Western Kentucky -3	Florida International	56.5	Over
2016	11/05	Western Kentucky	49	Florida International	21	Western Kentucky -25	Western Kentucky	65.5	Over
2015	11/21	Florida International	7	Western Kentucky	63	Western Kentucky -14	Western Kentucky	65.5	Over
2012	10/27	Florida International	6	Western Kentucky	14
2011	11/05	Western Kentucky	10	Florida International	9
2010	10/09	Florida International	28	Western Kentucky	21
2009	10/10	Western Kentucky	20	Florida International	37
2008	12/06	Florida International	27	Western Kentucky	3
2005	11/19	Florida International	38	Western Kentucky	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida International	7	4	7 Overs
Western Kentucky	9	6	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 8	5 - 5	3 - 2	2 - 3
Road Teams	8 - 8	5 - 5	3 - 2	2 - 3

(#70) WKU at (#114) FIU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WKU	FIU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#70	#114
SP+SP+	#72	#127
Perf GradeGrade	#108	#122
OffenseOff	#111	#118
DefenseDef	#90	#103
Spec TeamsST	#33	#84
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Western Kentucky Injury Report

Florida International Injury Report

Western Kentucky on Offense


CategoryCat	WKU Off	FIU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#111	#103
SuccessSuc	#92	#46
ExplosiveExp	#8	#114
PPAPPA	#47	#84
PowerPwr	#46	#84
SP+SP+	#55	#119
Pts POPPO	#6	#26
HavocHav	#74	#129

Western Kentucky Run Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	#133	#101
Run SuccessRSuc	#119	#39
Run ExplRExp	#99	#89
PPAExp	#117	#39
Run BlockR Blk	#127	-
OL YdsOLY	#78	#64
Stuff RateStuff	#19	#57
TackleTak	-	#103

Western Kentucky Pass Game


CategoryCat	WKU Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	#75	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	#70	#73
Pass ExplPExl	#29	#119
PPAExp	#42	#110
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#83	#99
F7 HavocF7	#23	#91
DB HavocDB	#128	#133

Florida International on Offense


CategoryCat	FIU Off	WKU Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#90
SuccessSuc	#120	#98
ExplosiveExp	#46	#41
PPAPPA	#117	#81
PowerPwr	#117	#70
SP+SP+	#120	#86
Pts POPPO	#113	#87
HavocHav	#118	#114

Florida International Run Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	WKU Def
Run GameRun	#119	#122
Run SuccessRSuc	#104	#121
Run ExplRExp	#40	#45
PPAExp	#119	#98
Run BlockR Blk	#126	-
OL YdsOLY	#126	#125
Stuff RateStuff	#128	#118
TackleTak	-	#128

Florida International Pass Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	WKU Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#35
Pass SuccessPSuc	#119	#53
Pass ExplPExl	#69	#69
PPAExp	#102	#64
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#114	#63
F7 HavocF7	#125	#109
DB HavocDB	#78	#81

Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

WKU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FIU Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 80° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Western Kentucky 11.5 (54.0)
Western Kentucky won at Florida International this year (41-28)

Previous Matchups
Western Kentucky beat Florida International in 2023 (41-28)
Western Kentucky beat Florida International in 2022 (73-0)

WKU's OC Drew Hollingshead (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Austin Reed (Tr)	289	470	62%	3324	31	11	7.1
Caden Veltkamp	41	54	76%	387	5	1	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Elijah Young	104	490	3	4.7	64
Markese Stepp	69	310	3	4.5	56
Davion Ervin-Poindexter	63	241	1	3.8	18
LT Sanders	31	138	0	4.5	56

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malachi Corley	79	984	11	12.5	75
Dalvin Smith	50	513	6	10.3	45
Easton Messer	42	484	4	11.5	35
Jimmy Holiday (Tr)	20	326	2	16.3	39

View Western Kentucky's Full Roster

WKU's DC Tyson Summers (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendrick Simpkins	50	12	8	8	1
Talique Allen (Tr)	48	1	0	1	3
Kylan Guidry	48	6	3	1	0
Desmyn Baker	41	3	1	2	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kendrick Simpkins	50	12	8	8	1
Kylan Guidry	48	6	3	1	0
Sebastian Benjamin	25	3	3	2	0
Hosea Wheeler	40	4	2	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Upton Stout	24	1	1	5	8
Rome Weber	19	1	0	0	7
Anthony Johnson Jr.	36	1	0	0	5

FIU's OC David Yost (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Keyone Jenkins	194	332	58%	2422	11	11	7.3
Grayson James	19	37	51%	218	1	1	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)	125	566	4	4.5	67
Kejon Owens	80	453	5	5.7	47
Keyone Jenkins	117	50	6	0.4	23
Antonio Patterson	14	33	1	2.4	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kris Mitchell	64	1118	7	17.5	80
Dean Patterson	28	423	1	15.1	40
Eric Rivers (Tr)	32	343	2	10.7	48
Jalen Bracey	31	316	1	10.2	45

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Manuel	98	12	0	1	2
Reggie Peterson	89	7	3	1	0
D'Verick Daniel	57	2	0	0	1
Jamal Potts	53	5	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alex Nobles	35	8	3	5	0
Reggie Peterson	89	7	3	1	0
Jeramy Passmore	23	4	2	2	0
Jack Daly	20	3	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hezekiah Masses	33	0	0	0	4
Donovan Manuel	98	12	0	1	2
Jamal Potts	53	5	1	0	2