Jacksonville State at Florida International - 2023 Matchup Preview

Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Florida International Golden Panthers

Wednesday, October 25th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Jacksonville State -9 (48.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Jacksonville State 41 - Florida International: 16 (Conference USA)

Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 28 - 25 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

FIU is playing their 4th straight game
JVST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Jacksonville State -11 (SP+ JVST -20)
Projected Score: JVST: 32 - FIU: 21 (52)
JVST Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
JVST Travel: 644 miles, 1 hrs behind

Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (7 - 9)
Avg Score : 29 - 30 (31 - 28 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
JVST Players
FIU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Jacksonville State's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Jacksonville State vs UTEP	+1.5	54.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Jacksonville State vs East Tennessee State	-20.0	55.0	W 49 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/9	Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina	+13.5	61.0	L 16 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23	Jacksonville State vs Eastern Michigan	-6.5	51.0	W 21 - 0	U	Y
Thu 9/28	Jacksonville State at Sam Houston	-6.5	36.5	W 35 - 28	O	Y
Wed 10/4	Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee	+2.5	52.0	W 45 - 30	O	Y
Tue 10/10	Jacksonville State vs Liberty	+7.0	59.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Tue 10/17	Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky	+7.5	60.5	W 20 - 17	U	Y
Wed 10/25	Jacksonville State at Florida International	-9.0	48.0	W 41 - 16	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Jacksonville State at South Carolina	+15.5	55.0	L 28 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech	-8.5	53.5	W 56 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Jacksonville State at New Mexico State	+2.0	48.5	L 17 - 20	U	N
Sat 12/16	Jacksonville State vs Louisiana	-3.5	58.5	W 34 - 31	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule

Florida International's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/26	Florida International at Louisiana Tech	+12.0	57.5	L 17 - 22	U	Y
Sat 9/2	Florida International vs Maine	-15.0	46.0	W 14 - 12	U	N
Sat 9/9	Florida International vs North Texas	+10.5	51.5	W 46 - 39	O	Y
Sat 9/16	Florida International at UConn	+7.0	43.0	W 24 - 17	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Florida International vs Liberty	+10.0	54.0	L 6 - 38	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4	Florida International at New Mexico State	+6.5	49.5	L 17 - 34	O	N
Wed 10/11	Florida International vs UTEP	+1.5	44.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
Wed 10/18	Florida International at Sam Houston	+6.0	42.0	W 33 - 27	O	Y
Wed 10/25	Florida International vs Jacksonville State	+9.0	48.0	L 16 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11	Florida International at Middle Tennessee	+10.5	50.5	L 6 - 40	U	N
Sat 11/18	Florida International at Arkansas	+27.5	49.5	L 20 - 44	O	Y
Sat 11/25	Florida International vs Western Kentucky	+11.5	54.0	L 28 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST	.32	47%	28.1	52%	3.32	0	42%	0	4.2	.13	38%	25.2	39%	38%	3.52	0	0	0
FIU	.1	39%	28.5	40%	2.86	104	39%	219	3.06	.28	47%	30	49%	46%	4.16	53.3	1.7	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
JVST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
FIU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Offense	1	28.1	24	47.2%	4.2	0	0	0	0	0	0	62%	36%	52%	42%	2047%	.32
FIU Defense	12	30	28	47.4%	4.16	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	51%	49%	49%	46%	14%	.28

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
JVST Defense	1	25.2	29.2	37.9%	3.52	0	-	-	-	-	-	57%	42%	39%	38%	3950%	.13
FIU Offense	12	28.5	30.5	38.7%	3.06	1.7	18	323	104	219	3.5	39%	59%	40%	39%	18%	.1

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Jacksonville State	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	31.3
Florida International	12	27:09	18	29%	46%	6.2	53.3	1.7	1.6	5.4	1.8	1	28.1

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Offense	1	62%	52%	0	0	0	0	.36	3.32	76%	2046%	1.15
FIU Defense	12	51%	49%	-	-	-	-	.25	3.25	76%	9%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
JVST Defense	1	57%	39%	-	-	-	-	.07	2.84	69%	3949%	1.08
FIU Offense	12	39%	40%	29.7	104.2	3.5	11	.13	2.86	69%	10%	1.05

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Offense	1	36%	42%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.35	1.9	28%	36%	.51	1%	2.2
FIU Defense	12	49%	46%	-	-	-	-	-	-	7	.37	1.6	30%	36%	.54	5%	2.2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
JVST Defense	1	42%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0	.28	1.8	34%	27%	.21	1%	2.3
FIU Offense	12	59%	39%	22.6	39	218.8	5.6	9.7	16	16	.15	1.5	37%	29%	.22	9%	2

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -2.40 #79
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 13.61 #93
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 1.52 #13
2023 Talent Rating: 227.27 #134
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Jacksonville State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7 #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -2.40 Florida International: -12.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -0.7 Florida International: -20.9

Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -12.385 #114
Florida International's Offense Rating: 11.13 #117
Florida International's Defense Rating: 10.84 #84
2023 Talent Rating: 487.50 #91
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Florida International's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Florida International's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9 #127
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2 #120
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 303.49
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 25.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.2

Jacksonville State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Jacksonville State 32
Florida International 21

Projected Total Points: 52

Florida International Scoring
Offense: 28.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.5
Defense: 30 PPG
Defense at Home: 28

Florida International's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Florida International	27	Jacksonville State	21	Florida International -2.5	Florida International	55.5	Under
2024	11/16	Jacksonville State	34	Florida International	31	Jacksonville State -12.5	Florida International	58.5	Over
2023	10/25	Florida International	16	Jacksonville State	41	Jacksonville State -9	Jacksonville State	48.0	Over
2020	10/23	Florida International	10	Jacksonville State	19	Florida International -10.5	Jacksonville State	55.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Florida International	1	2	2 Overs
Jacksonville State	3	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	1 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	3 - 1	1 - 0	2 - 1

(#79) JVST at (#114) FIU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	JVST	FIU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#79	#114
SP+SP+	#67	#127
Perf GradeGrade	#68	#122
OffenseOff	#68	#118
DefenseDef	#37	#103
Spec TeamsST	#124	#84
TalentTal	#134	#91
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

Jacksonville State Injury Report

Florida International Injury Report

Jacksonville State on Offense


CategoryCat	JVST Off	FIU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#103
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#93	#84
SP+SP+	#77	#119
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Jacksonville State Run Game


CategoryCat	JVST Off	FIU Def
Run GameRun	#59	#101
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#103

Jacksonville State Pass Game


CategoryCat	JVST Off	FIU Def
Pass GamePass	#116	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#27	#99
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Florida International on Offense


CategoryCat	FIU Off	JVST Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#118	#37
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#117	#13
SP+SP+	#120	#51
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Florida International Run Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	JVST Def
Run GameRun	#119	#29
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#126	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#73

Florida International Pass Game


CategoryCat	FIU Off	JVST Def
Pass GamePass	#111	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#114	#36
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

JVST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FIU Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Jacksonville State 9.0 (48.0)
Jacksonville State won at Florida International this year (41-16)

Previous Matchups
Florida International beat Jacksonville State last year (27-21)
Jacksonville State beat Florida International in 2024 (34-31)
Jacksonville State beat Florida International in 2023 (41-16)

JVST's OC Rod Smith (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Zion Webb	111	220	51%	1437	6	8	6.5
Logan Smothers	66	117	56%	735	6	4	6.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Malik Jackson	146	897	7	6.1	68
Zion Webb	132	708	7	5.4	61
Ron Wiggins	92	468	6	5.1	37
Anwar Lewis	93	452	3	4.9	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Perry Carter	38	687	4	18.1	63
Quinton Lane	31	346	1	11.2	30
Sean Brown	19	294	5	15.5	58
Michael Pettway	17	196	1	11.5	37

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

JVST's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Quae Drake	92	7	2	2	2
Kolbi Fuqua	86	6	3	6	1
Fred Perry	75	4	0	7	5
Jeremiah Harris	65	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Chris Hardie	59	14	8	4	1
Curley Young Jr.	33	6	5	3	0
Jaylen Swain	30	7	4	4	2
Kamari Stephens	12	6	4	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Derek Carter	44	2	0	0	8
Fred Perry	75	4	0	7	5
Kekoura Tarnue	53	2	1	0	4

FIU's OC David Yost (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Keyone Jenkins	194	332	58%	2422	11	11	7.3
Grayson James	19	37	51%	218	1	1	5.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)	125	566	4	4.5	67
Kejon Owens	80	453	5	5.7	47
Keyone Jenkins	117	50	6	0.4	23
Antonio Patterson	14	33	1	2.4	11

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kris Mitchell	64	1118	7	17.5	80
Dean Patterson	28	423	1	15.1	40
Eric Rivers (Tr)	32	343	2	10.7	48
Jalen Bracey	31	316	1	10.2	45

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Donovan Manuel	98	12	0	1	2
Reggie Peterson	89	7	3	1	0
D'Verick Daniel	57	2	0	0	1
Jamal Potts	53	5	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Alex Nobles	35	8	3	5	0
Reggie Peterson	89	7	3	1	0
Jeramy Passmore	23	4	2	2	0
Jack Daly	20	3	2	3	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Hezekiah Masses	33	0	0	0	4
Donovan Manuel	98	12	0	1	2
Jamal Potts	53	5	1	0	2