Jacksonville State at Florida International - 2023 Matchup Preview
Jacksonville State logo Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Florida International Golden PanthersFlorida International logo
Wednesday, October 25th 2023 (7:00 PM EDT)
Jacksonville State -9 (48.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Jacksonville State 41 - Florida International: 16  (Conference USA)

 
Gamecocks (9 - 4) (9 - 4 - 0)
Coach Rich Rodriguez (11 - 3)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (30 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.4 - 5.6 (#51)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 12.7 MPH
FIU is playing their 4th straight game
JVST is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Jacksonville State -11  (SP+ JVST -20)

Projected Score: JVST: 31 - FIU: 20 (51)
JVST Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
JVST Travel: 644 miles, 1 hrs behind
Golden Panthers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike MacIntyre (7 - 9)
Avg Score : 20 - 32 (21 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Jacksonville State's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Jacksonville State vs UTEP+1.554.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 9/2 Jacksonville State vs East Tennessee State-20.055.0W 49 - 3UY
Sat 9/9 Jacksonville State at Coastal Carolina+13.561.0L 16 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/23 Jacksonville State vs Eastern Michigan-6.551.0W 21 - 0UY
Thu 9/28 Jacksonville State at Sam Houston-6.536.5W 35 - 28OY
Wed 10/4 Jacksonville State at Middle Tennessee+2.552.0W 45 - 30OY
Tue 10/10 Jacksonville State vs Liberty+7.059.5L 13 - 31UN
Tue 10/17 Jacksonville State vs Western Kentucky+7.560.5W 20 - 17UY
Wed 10/25 Jacksonville State at Florida International-9.048.0W 41 - 16OY
Sat 11/4 Jacksonville State at South Carolina+15.555.0L 28 - 38OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/18 Jacksonville State vs Louisiana Tech-8.553.5W 56 - 17OY
Sat 11/25 Jacksonville State at New Mexico State+2.048.5L 17 - 20UN
Sat 12/16 Jacksonville State vs Louisiana-3.558.5W 34 - 31ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Jacksonville State's Schedule
Florida International's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/26 Florida International at Louisiana Tech+12.057.5L 17 - 22UY
Sat 9/2 Florida International vs Maine-15.046.0W 14 - 12UN
Sat 9/9 Florida International vs North Texas+10.551.5W 46 - 39OY
Sat 9/16 Florida International at UConn+7.043.0W 24 - 17UY
Sat 9/23 Florida International vs Liberty+10.054.0L 6 - 38UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 10/4 Florida International at New Mexico State+6.549.5L 17 - 34ON
Wed 10/11 Florida International vs UTEP+1.544.0L 14 - 27UN
Wed 10/18 Florida International at Sam Houston+6.042.0W 33 - 27OY
Wed 10/25 Florida International vs Jacksonville State+9.048.0L 16 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/11 Florida International at Middle Tennessee+10.550.5L 6 - 40UN
Sat 11/18 Florida International at Arkansas+27.549.5L 20 - 44OY
Sat 11/25 Florida International vs Western Kentucky+11.554.0L 28 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Florida International's Schedule
Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST#103 (.13)42% (65)30.246% (41)3.08 (73)23738% (101)1713.77 (79)#10 (.07)36% (15)21.233% (6)39% (39)3.33 (24)43.41.61.9
FIU#117 (.09)37% (120)20.140% (104)2.67 (126)9035% (119)2303.21 (113)#84 (.2)40% (46)31.840% (39)42% (73)3.34 (26)50.61.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
JVST#22 (.27)45% (35)49% (18)3.36 (17)25440% (95)1894.85 (3)#55 (.14)43% (84)44% (79)43% (85)3.81 (70)58.41.11.6
FIU#101 (.13)39% (111)37% (125)2.48 (130)12242% (64)2294.44 (21)#37 (.12)41% (62)44% (81)37% (30)3.49 (39)47.41.61.3



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Offense1330.230.342.3%3.771.6224082371714.861%38%46%38%16%.13
FIU Defense1231.83340.4%3.341 - - - - - 51%48%40%42%12%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
JVST Defense1321.22735.9%3.331.9 - - - - - 50%48%33%39%18%.07
FIU Offense1220.120.736.8%3.211.815320902302.944%55%40%35%20%.09

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Jacksonville State1326:4322.238%52%4.843.41.61.972.9130.6
Florida International1227:1615.328%48%5.850.61.815.11125.8
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Offense1361% (8)46% (41)49.8236.74.835 (5).18 (51)3.08 (73)72% (82)9% (54)0.99 (73)
FIU Defense1251% (90)40% (39) - - - - .1 (39)3.08 (64)90% (131)9% (91)1.03 (89)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
JVST Defense1350% (66)33% (6) - - - - -.06 (2)2.45 (4)71% (57)12% (28)0.85 (12)
FIU Offense1244% (106)40% (104)31.790.32.917 (81).05 (119)2.67 (126)69% (99)13% (125)1.05 (40)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Offense1338% (128)38% (101)1426.91716.412.212 (113)12 (85).12 (119)1.6 (75)31% (47)30% (71).15 (119)6% (90)2 (90)
FIU Defense1248% (45)42% (73) - - - - - - 6 (120).36 (110)1.8 (119)35% (31)29% (47).29 (56)3% (133)2.2 (119)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
JVST Defense1348% (53)39% (39) - - - - - - 16 (9).27 (69)1.7 (106)35% (30)25% (12).18 (10)6% (68)2 (63)
FIU Offense1255% (28)35% (119)18.331.92307.212.612 (113)12 (85).17 (102)1.6 (69)35% (115)24% (121).24 (95)6% (78)2 (86)

Jacksonville State's Power Ratings
Jacksonville State's Power Rating: -2.40  #79
Jacksonville State's Offense Rating: 13.61  #93
Jacksonville State's Defense Rating: 1.52  #13
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Jacksonville State's 2023 Expected Record: 7.40 - 5.60
Jacksonville State's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.7  #67
Jacksonville State's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6  #77
Jacksonville State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8  #51

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -2.40   Florida International: -12.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Jacksonville State: -0.7   Florida International: -20.9




Florida International's Power Ratings
Florida International's Power Rating: -12.385  #114
Florida International's Offense Rating: 11.13  #117
Florida International's Defense Rating: 10.84  #84
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00  #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #75
Florida International's 2023 Expected Record: 5.20 - 6.80
Florida International's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -20.9  #127
Florida International's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.2  #120
Florida International's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5  #119

Average Talent
Average Conference USA Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482


Jacksonville State Scoring
Offense: 30.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.3
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 27

Jacksonville State's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Jacksonville State 31
Florida International 20


Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Jacksonville State 33
Florida International 21

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Jacksonville State 31
Florida International 22

Total Points: 53
Florida International Scoring
Offense: 20.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.7
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Florida International's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Florida International27Jacksonville State21Florida International -2.5Florida International55.5Under
202411/16Jacksonville State34Florida International31Jacksonville State -12.5Florida International58.5Over
202310/25Florida International16Jacksonville State41Jacksonville State -9Jacksonville State48.0Over
202010/23Florida International10Jacksonville State19Florida International -10.5Jacksonville State55.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Florida International122 Overs
Jacksonville State322 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 21 - 31 - 20 - 1
Road Teams2 - 23 - 11 - 02 - 1

(#79) JVST at (#114) FIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatJVSTFIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #79 #114
SP+SP+ #67 #127
Perf GradeGrade #68 #122
OffenseOff #68 #118
DefenseDef #37 #103
Spec TeamsST #124 #84
TalentTal #1 #1
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #75
Jacksonville State on Offense
CategoryCat
JVST OffFIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #68 #103
SuccessSuc #65 #46
ExplosiveExp #117 #114
PPAPPA #103 #84
PowerPwr #93 #84
SP+SP+ #77 #119
Pts POPPO #79 #26
HavocHav #66 #129
Jacksonville State Run Game
CategoryCat
JVST OffFIU Def
Run GameRun #59 #101
Run SuccessRSuc #41 #39
Run ExplRExp #73 #89
PPAExp #51 #39
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLY #73 #64
Stuff RateStuff #75 #57
TackleTak -  #103
Jacksonville State Pass Game
CategoryCat
JVST OffFIU Def
Pass GamePass #116 #76
Pass SuccessPSuc #101 #73
Pass ExplPExl #75 #119
PPAExp #119 #110
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #27 #99
F7 HavocF7 #54 #91
DB HavocDB #90 #133
Florida International on Offense
CategoryCatFIU OffJVST Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #118 #37
SuccessSuc #120 #15
ExplosiveExp #46 #80
PPAPPA #117 #10
PowerPwr #117 #13
SP+SP+ #120 #51
Pts POPPO #113 #24
HavocHav #118 #37
Florida International Run Game
CategoryCat
FIU OffJVST Def
Run GameRun #119 #29
Run SuccessRSuc #104 #6
Run ExplRExp #40 #12
PPAExp #119 #2
Run BlockR Blk #126 -
OL YdsOLY #126 #4
Stuff RateStuff #128 #13
TackleTak -  #73
Florida International Pass Game
CategoryCatFIU OffJVST Def
Pass GamePass #111 #67
Pass SuccessPSuc #119 #39
Pass ExplPExl #69 #106
PPAExp #102 #69
Pass Block/RushP Blk #114 #36
F7 HavocF7 #125 #28
DB HavocDB #78 #68
Program Comparison
FIU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'23 Profile: Remains Poor G5

JVST 5 Year Profile: Improving Poor G5
'23 Profile: Down to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in FIU Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 79° - Wind: 13 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Jacksonville State 9.0 (48.0)
Jacksonville State won at Florida International this year (41-16)

Previous Matchups
Jacksonville State beat Florida International last year (34-31)
Jacksonville State beat Florida International in 2023 (41-16)

  
JVST's OC Rod Smith (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Zion Webb11122051%1437686.5
Logan Smothers6611756%735646.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Malik Jackson14689776.168
Zion Webb13270875.461
Ron Wiggins9246865.137
Anwar Lewis9345234.940
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Perry Carter38687418.163
Quinton Lane31346111.230
Sean Brown19294515.558
Michael Pettway17196111.537

View Jacksonville State's Full Roster

JVST's DC Zac Alley (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quae Drake927222
Kolbi Fuqua866361
Fred Perry754075
Jeremiah Harris651003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Chris Hardie5914841
Curley Young Jr.336530
Jaylen Swain307442
Kamari Stephens126421
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Derek Carter442008
Fred Perry754075
Kekoura Tarnue532104

FIU's OC David Yost (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Keyone Jenkins19433258%242211117.3
Grayson James193751%218115.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Shomari Lawrence (Tr)12556644.567
Kejon Owens8045355.747
Keyone Jenkins1175060.423
Antonio Patterson143312.411
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Kris Mitchell641118717.580
Dean Patterson28423115.140
Eric Rivers (Tr)32343210.748
Jalen Bracey31316110.245

View Florida International's Full Roster

FIU's DC Jovan Dewitt (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Donovan Manuel9812012
Reggie Peterson897310
D'Verick Daniel572001
Jamal Potts535102
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alex Nobles358350
Reggie Peterson897310
Jeramy Passmore234220
Jack Daly203231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hezekiah Masses330004
Donovan Manuel9812012
Jamal Potts535102