Tulane at East Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo   Tulane Green Wave at East Carolina Pirates  East Carolina logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Tulane -17 (46.0) (-850)  Open: -16.5
Tulane 13 - East Carolina: 10  (American Athletic)

 
Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (26 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TULN 2nd straight Road Game
ECU is playing their 4th straight game
TULN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tulane -12  (SP+ TULN -17.5)
Projected Score: TULN: 31 - ECU: 19 (51)
TULN Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
TULN Travel: 837 miles, 1 hrs behind
Pirates (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (22 - 27)
Avg Score : 33 - 20 (36 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulane's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tulane vs South Alabama-6.051.0W 37 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Tulane vs Ole Miss+8.064.0L 20 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Tulane at Southern Miss-8.047.5W 21 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Tulane vs Nicholls-38.055.5W 36 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Tulane vs UAB-22.559.5W 35 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Tulane at Memphis-4.554.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/21 Tulane vs North Texas-20.063.5W 35 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Tulane at Rice-10.055.0W 30 - 28ON
Sat 11/4 Tulane at East Carolina-17.046.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/11 Tulane vs Tulsa-24.552.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Tulane at Florida Atlantic-9.546.5W 24 - 8UY
Fri 11/24 Tulane vs UTSA-2.551.5W 29 - 16UY
Sat 12/2 Tulane vs SMU-4.050.5L 14 - 26UN
Wed 12/27 Tulane vs Virginia Tech+13.543.5L 20 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
East Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 East Carolina at Michigan+36.053.5L 3 - 30UY
Sat 9/9 East Carolina vs Marshall+3.043.5L 13 - 31ON
Sat 9/16 East Carolina at App State+7.548.5L 28 - 43ON
Sat 9/23 East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb-13.051.0W 44 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 East Carolina at Rice+3.547.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 East Carolina vs SMU+11.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 10/21 East Carolina vs Charlotte-6.039.5L 7 - 10UN
Sat 10/28 East Carolina at UTSA+17.548.0L 27 - 41OY
Sat 11/4 East Carolina vs Tulane+17.046.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 11/11 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic+7.544.5W 22 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 East Carolina at Navy+2.530.5L 0 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 East Carolina vs Tulsa-4.544.5L 27 - 29ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN.343%27.745%3.2620542%2374.5.1641%23.942%41%4.1334.31.11.8
ECU.2845%32.745%3.0817145%2903.84.2445%20.142%48%4.1437.60.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ECU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1427.726.443.5%4.51.1224422052375.254%45%45%42%14%.3
ECU Defense1320.119.845.1%4.141.5 - - - - - 39%59%42%48%18%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1423.93241.1%4.131.8 - - - - - 49%50%42%41%13%.16
ECU Offense1332.736.245%3.840.5234611712905.246%54%45%45%17%.28

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1429:4021.638%59%434.31.11.84.11.7130.5
East Carolina1331:1122.546%45%4.337.60.51.55.41.8230
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1454%45%39.7204.95.234.273.2677%9%1.14
ECU Defense1339%42% - - - - .092.8359%11%0.96
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1449%42% - - - - .133.268%8%0.93
ECU Offense1346%45%32.5170.65.225.213.0868%9%1.13

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1445%42%17.227.1236.68.713.8305.351.731%35%.415%2
ECU Defense1359%48% - - - - - - 10.391.531%36%.47%2.1
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1450%41% - - - - - - 12.241.530%26%.236%1.9
ECU Offense1354%45%24.837.2290.57.811.7285.351.532%34%.498%2.1

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 1.85  #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61  #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32  #29
2023 Talent Rating: 537.70  #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8  #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1  #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 1.85   East Carolina: -8.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 4.1   East Carolina: -13.3




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -8.96  #117
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.42  #132
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.62  #25
2023 Talent Rating: 563.94  #77
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #69
East Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
East Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3  #111
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1  #126
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3  #81

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.4
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 32

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 31
East Carolina 19

Projected Total Points: 51
East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 32.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 20.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.8

East Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/09Tulane26East Carolina19Tulane -7Push53.5Under
202311/04East Carolina10Tulane13Tulane -17East Carolina46.0Under
202210/08Tulane24East Carolina9Tulane -2.5Tulane56.0Under
202110/02East Carolina52Tulane29Tulane -3East Carolina65.0Over
202011/07East Carolina21Tulane38Tulane -3.5Tulane63.5Under
201811/10Tulane24East Carolina18Tulane -10.5East Carolina53.0Under
201711/11East Carolina24Tulane31Tulane -6.5Tulane64.0Under
201411/22East Carolina34Tulane6East Carolina -17.5East Carolina0
201310/12Tulane36East Carolina33East Carolina -9Tulane0
201211/17Tulane23East Carolina28
201110/29East Carolina34Tulane13
200809/13Tulane24East Carolina28
200711/24East Carolina35Tulane12
200410/09East Carolina27Tulane25
200311/22Tulane28East Carolina18
200209/14East Carolina24Tulane20
200109/08Tulane24East Carolina51
200009/15East Carolina37Tulane17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina1041 Overs
Tulane846 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 65 - 32 - 13 - 2
Road Teams6 - 123 - 52 - 31 - 2

(#52) TULN at (#117) ECU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTULNECU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #52 #117
SP+SP+ #50 #111
Perf GradeGrade #33 #127
OffenseOff #47 #134
DefenseDef #27 #71
Spec TeamsST #93 #91
TalentTal #82 #77
Blue ChipsBC% #75 #69
Tulane on Offense
CategoryCat
TULN OffECU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #47 #71
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #86 #25
SP+SP+ #63 #81
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tulane Run Game
CategoryCat
TULN OffECU Def
Run GameRun #78 #39
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #14
Tulane Pass Game
CategoryCat
TULN OffECU Def
Pass GamePass #62 #107
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #91 #107
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
East Carolina on Offense
CategoryCatECU OffTULN Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #134 #27
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #132 #29
SP+SP+ #126 #40
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
East Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
ECU OffTULN Def
Run GameRun #92 #42
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #114 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #112
East Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCatECU OffTULN Def
Pass GamePass #115 #43
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #135 #37
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ECU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 10
Tulane 17.0 (46.0)
Tulane won at East Carolina this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat East Carolina last year (26-19)
Tulane beat East Carolina in 2023 (13-10)

  
TULN's OC Slade Nagle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Pratt18528365%24062258.5
Kai Horton448254%604327.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes258137875.358
Michael Pratt9828652.926
Ashaad Clayton4115003.717
Arnold Barnes2313806.065
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II44711516.247
Lawrence Keys III33599718.257
Jha'Quan Jackson26439416.948
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)33391211.842

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jesus Machado983011
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)858311
Bailey Despanie676002
Jared Small606222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Hodges2510840
Patrick Jenkins3512620
Keith Cooper Jr.329532
Kameron Hamilton256410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kam Pedescleaux5640212
Jarius Monroe4841110
Lance Robinson430007

ECU's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alex Flinn15929055%15586125.4
Mason Garcia489551%408124.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahjai Harris12948553.850
Mason Garcia5022724.557
Javious Bond4122115.439
Alex Flinn9717801.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Sowell (Tr)47622113.245
Jaylen Johnson45466210.439
Jsi Hatfield27341112.639
Jhari Patterson2013706.930

View East Carolina's Full Roster

ECU's DC Blake Harrell (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julius Wood873011
Michael Edwards III588110
BJ Davis576026
Shavon Revel554106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Anta Johnson339410
Chad Stephens3912440
Jeremy Lewis409361
J.D. Lampley166221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
BJ Davis576026
Shavon Revel554106
Teylor Jackson515134