Tulane at East Carolina - 2023 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at East Carolina PiratesEast Carolina logo
Saturday, November 4th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Tulane -17 (46.0) (-850)  Open: -16.5
Tulane 13 - East Carolina: 10  (American Athletic)

 
Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (24 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TULN 2nd straight Road Game
ECU is playing their 4th straight game
TULN is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Tulane -12   (SP+ TULN -17.5)

Projected Score: TULN: 28 - ECU: 16 (44)
TULN Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
TULN Travel: 837 miles, 1 hrs behind
Pirates (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Houston (22 - 27)
Avg Score : 17 - 22 (19 - 19 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#110)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulane's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tulane vs South Alabama-6.051.0W 37 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Tulane vs Ole Miss+8.064.0L 20 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Tulane at Southern Miss-8.047.5W 21 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Tulane vs Nicholls-38.055.5W 36 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Tulane vs UAB-22.559.5W 35 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Tulane at Memphis-4.554.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/21 Tulane vs North Texas-20.063.5W 35 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Tulane at Rice-10.055.0W 30 - 28ON
Sat 11/4 Tulane at East Carolina-17.046.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/11 Tulane vs Tulsa-24.552.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Tulane at Florida Atlantic-9.546.5W 24 - 8UY
Fri 11/24 Tulane vs UTSA-2.551.5W 29 - 16UY
Sat 12/2 Tulane vs SMU-4.050.5L 14 - 26UN
Wed 12/27 Tulane vs Virginia Tech+13.543.5L 20 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
East Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 East Carolina at Michigan+36.053.5L 3 - 30UY
Sat 9/9 East Carolina vs Marshall+3.043.5L 13 - 31ON
Sat 9/16 East Carolina at App State+7.548.5L 28 - 43ON
Sat 9/23 East Carolina vs Gardner-Webb-13.051.0W 44 - 0UY
Sat 9/30 East Carolina at Rice+3.547.0L 17 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/12 East Carolina vs SMU+11.548.5L 10 - 31UN
Sat 10/21 East Carolina vs Charlotte-6.039.5L 7 - 10UN
Sat 10/28 East Carolina at UTSA+17.548.0L 27 - 41OY
Sat 11/4 East Carolina vs Tulane+17.046.0L 10 - 13UY
Sat 11/11 East Carolina at Florida Atlantic+7.544.5W 22 - 7UY
Sat 11/18 East Carolina at Navy+2.530.5L 0 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 East Carolina vs Tulsa-4.544.5L 27 - 29ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for East Carolina's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#70 (.19)42% (61)26.440% (108)3.13 (63)15547% (27)2153.62 (91)#56 (.16)41% (55)20.540% (42)43% (83)3.7 (61)42.91.42
ECU#132 (.02)33% (132)17.335% (128)2.85 (111)11232% (130)1642.62 (129)#40 (.14)34% (6)22.430% (2)39% (37)2.84 (8)54.31.81.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
ECU#49 (.22)43% (62)44% (71)3.07 (57)14743% (54)2533.79 (83)#64 (.16)40% (40)37% (11)43% (86)3.85 (76)612.21.6



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1426.423.842.4%3.621.4183701552154.156%43%40%47%14%.19
ECU Defense1222.41934.3%2.841.3 - - - - - 51%48%30%39%20%.14
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1420.51441.1%3.72 - - - - - 45%54%40%43%18%.16
ECU Offense1217.318.533.3%2.621.8152761121643.546%53%35%32%20%.02

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1431:2018.438%59%4.842.91.425.92.4233.7
East Carolina1228:5915.130%35%5.854.31.81.36.91.5230.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1456% (21)40% (108)37.6155.14.116 (89).09 (104)3.13 (63)72% (89)8% (36)0.88 (121)
ECU Defense1251% (88)30% (2) - - - - -.01 (13)2.53 (7)74% (76)13% (8)1.19 (124)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1445% (14)40% (42) - - - - .09 (34)3.03 (54)77% (94)11% (46)1.01 (75)
ECU Offense1246% (98)35% (128)32.2111.73.512 (116).03 (123)2.85 (111)71% (90)12% (108)0.97 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1443% (109)47% (27)16.426.32158.213.125 (37)7 (21).35 (40)1.6 (77)29% (24)29% (83).28 (86)6% (57)2 (101)
ECU Defense1248% (55)39% (37) - - - - - - 6 (120).32 (100)1.8 (126)38% (6)33% (107).43 (116)6% (53)2.2 (98)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1454% (121)43% (83) - - - - - - 17 (3).25 (54)1.4 (13)34% (40)29% (53).23 (28)7% (24)1.8 (15)
ECU Offense1253% (37)32% (130)17.332.3163.95.19.57 (129)14 (107).05 (129)1.5 (92)38% (133)22% (129).11 (127)8% (116)2.1 (55)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 1.85 #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 1.85   East Carolina: -8.96

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 4.1   East Carolina: -13.3




East Carolina's Power Ratings
East Carolina's Power Rating: -8.96 #117
East Carolina's Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
East Carolina's Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
East Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50
East Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
East Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
East Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 14

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 28
East Carolina 16


Total Points: 44

East Carolina Scoring
Offense: 17.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.5
Defense: 22.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 19

East Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/04East Carolina10Tulane13TulaneTulane -17East Carolina46.0Under
202210/08Tulane24East Carolina9TulaneTulane -2.5Tulane56.0Under
202110/02East Carolina52Tulane29East CarolinaTulane -3East Carolina65.0Over
202011/07East Carolina21Tulane38TulaneTulane -3.5Tulane63.5Under
201811/10Tulane24East Carolina18TulaneTulane -10.5East Carolina53.0Under
201711/11East Carolina24Tulane31TulaneTulane -6.5Tulane64.0Under
201411/22East Carolina34Tulane6East CarolinaEast Carolina -17.5East Carolina0
201310/12Tulane36East Carolina33TulaneEast Carolina -9Tulane0
201211/17Tulane23East Carolina28East Carolina
201110/29East Carolina34Tulane13East Carolina
200809/13Tulane24East Carolina28East Carolina
200711/24East Carolina35Tulane12East Carolina
200410/09East Carolina27Tulane25East Carolina
200311/22Tulane28East Carolina18Tulane
200209/14East Carolina24Tulane20East Carolina
200109/08Tulane24East Carolina51East Carolina
200009/15East Carolina37Tulane17East Carolina
TeamWinsCoversO/U
East Carolina1041 Overs
Tulane745 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 65 - 32 - 13 - 2
Road Teams6 - 113 - 52 - 31 - 2

(#52) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 1.85 #52
Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60


Tulane has won 6 straight
Tulane has won 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulane Highlights
Tulane Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tulane Secondary is very good (#24)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Tulane offense is not Explosive (#88)
Tulane run game is really bad (#80)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatECUTULN
OverallOver#106#27
OffenseOff#115#44
DefenseDef#57#23
Special TeamsST#72#73
PassingPass#97#48
RushingRush#65#55
Run BlockRBLK#87#36
Pass BlockPBLK#117#79
Route RunningWR Rt#114#31
TacklingTkl#12#95
Run DefenseR Def#34#37
Pass Rush DefPRush#82#32
Coverage DefCov#87#36

Rematch from Week 10
Tulane 17.0 (46.0)
Tulane won at East Carolina this year (13-10)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat East Carolina in 2023 (13-10)
Tulane beat East Carolina in 2022 (24-9)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | ECU
Depth Chart: TULN | ECU
Rosters: TULN | ECU
(#117) East Carolina Info
Power Rating: -8.96 #117
Offense Rating: 4.42 #132
Defense Rating: 4.62 #25
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.3 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.1 #126
Defense SP+ Rating: 28.3 #81
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #69
Expected Record: 4.50 - 7.50


East Carolina has lost 4 straight
East Carolina has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 5 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

East Carolina Highlights
East Carolina has a really good defense (#34)
East Carolina defense is really good in red zone (#20)
East Carolina has a good run defense (#44)
East Carolina Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#5)
East Carolina Defensive Line is very good (#15)
East Carolina Front 7 is disruptive (#3)

East Carolina Deficiencies
East Carolina has a really bad Offense
East Carolina has a really bad Offense at Home
East Carolina Can Not Run the Ball (#86)
East Carolina throws a Lot of Interceptions (#23)
East Carolina offense is really bad (#73)
East Carolina offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#66)
East Carolina run game is really bad (#132)
East Carolina pass game is really bad (#23)
East Carolina offense is bad on 3rd Downs
East Carolina does not Sack the QB (#31)
East Carolina gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#91)


  
Tulane's OC Slade Nagle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Pratt18528365%24062258.5
Kai Horton448254%604327.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes258137875.358
Michael Pratt9828652.926
Ashaad Clayton4115003.717
Arnold Barnes2313806.065
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II44711516.247
Lawrence Keys III33599718.257
Jha'Quan Jackson26439416.948
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)33391211.842

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jesus Machado983011
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)858311
Bailey Despanie676002
Jared Small606222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Hodges2510840
Patrick Jenkins3512620
Keith Cooper Jr.329532
Kameron Hamilton256410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kam Pedescleaux5640212
Jarius Monroe4841110
Lance Robinson430007

East Carolina's OC Donnie Kirkpatrick
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Alex Flinn15929055%15586125.4
Mason Garcia489551%408124.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rahjai Harris12948553.850
Mason Garcia5022724.557
Javious Bond4122115.439
Alex Flinn9717801.821
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chase Sowell (Tr)47622113.245
Jaylen Johnson45466210.439
Jsi Hatfield27341112.639
Jhari Patterson2013706.930

View East Carolina's Full Roster
East Carolina's DC Blake Harrell
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julius Wood873011
Michael Edwards III588110
BJ Davis576026
Shavon Revel554106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
D'Anta Johnson339410
Chad Stephens3912440
Jeremy Lewis409361
J.D. Lampley166221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
BJ Davis576026
Shavon Revel554106
Teylor Jackson515134