Tulane at Southern Miss - 2023 Matchup Preview
Tulane logo Tulane Green Wave at Southern Miss Golden EaglesSouthern Miss logo
Saturday, September 16th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -8 (47.5) (0)  Open: 0.0
Tulane 21 - Southern Miss: 3

 
Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (24 - 14 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Tulane -13   (SP+ TULN -19.5)
Projected Score: TULN: 30 - USM: 17 (47)
TULN Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TULN Travel: 106 miles
Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 23 - 36 (22 - 24 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Tulane's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tulane vs South Alabama-6.051.0W 37 - 17OY
Sat 9/9 Tulane vs Ole Miss+8.064.0L 20 - 37UN
Sat 9/16 Tulane at Southern Miss-8.047.5W 21 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Tulane vs Nicholls-38.055.5W 36 - 7UN
Sat 9/30 Tulane vs UAB-22.559.5W 35 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13 Tulane at Memphis-4.554.5W 31 - 21UY
Sat 10/21 Tulane vs North Texas-20.063.5W 35 - 28UN
Sat 10/28 Tulane at Rice-10.055.0W 30 - 28ON
Sat 11/4 Tulane at East Carolina-17.046.0W 13 - 10UN
Sat 11/11 Tulane vs Tulsa-24.552.5W 24 - 22UN
Sat 11/18 Tulane at Florida Atlantic-9.546.5W 24 - 8UY
Fri 11/24 Tulane vs UTSA-2.551.5W 29 - 16UY
Sat 12/2 Tulane vs SMU-4.050.5L 14 - 26UN
Wed 12/27 Tulane vs Virginia Tech+13.543.5L 20 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule
Southern Miss's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Southern Miss vs Alcorn State-24.047.5W 40 - 14OY
Sat 9/9 Southern Miss at Florida State+31.054.0L 13 - 66ON
Sat 9/16 Southern Miss vs Tulane+8.047.5L 3 - 21UN
Sat 9/23 Southern Miss at Arkansas State-7.046.5L 37 - 44ON
Sat 9/30 Southern Miss vs Texas State+6.560.0L 36 - 50ON
Sat 10/7 Southern Miss vs Old Dominion-3.056.5L 13 - 17UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17 Southern Miss at South Alabama+18.551.0L 3 - 55ON
Sat 10/28 Southern Miss at App State+16.055.5L 38 - 48OY
Sat 11/4 Southern Miss vs UL Monroe-3.056.0W 24 - 7UY
Thu 11/9 Southern Miss at Louisiana+8.551.5W 34 - 31OY
Sat 11/18 Southern Miss at Mississippi State+18.547.5L 20 - 41ON
Sat 11/25 Southern Miss vs Troy+16.548.5L 17 - 35ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Southern Miss's Schedule

Important Stats (2023)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#70 (.19)42% (61)26.440% (108)3.13 (63)15547% (27)2153.62 (91)#56 (.16)41% (55)20.540% (42)43% (83)3.7 (61)42.91.42
USM#109 (.12)37% (121)23.240% (106)2.89 (107)16334% (126)1913.07 (121)#105 (.24)42% (69)35.841% (49)45% (109)4.15 (103)48.21.31.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TULN#20 (.27)45% (32)45% (61)3.15 (47)19747% (23)2094.5 (18)#14 (.07)38% (29)38% (14)39% (45)3.53 (42)50.11.11.6
USM#132 ()35% (130)40% (108)2.59 (126)10930% (133)1752.75 (133)#125 (.3)44% (97)45% (89)43% (93)4.17 (104)48.32.40.8



Overall Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Offense1426.423.842.4%3.621.4183701552154.156%43%40%47%14%.19
USM Defense1235.82442.2%4.151.4 - - - - - 53%46%41%45%16%.24
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TULN Defense1420.51441.1%3.72 - - - - - 45%54%40%43%18%.16
USM Offense1223.222.236.7%3.071.320354163191453%46%40%34%20%.12

Additional Stats 2023
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Tulane1431:2018.438%59%4.842.91.425.92.4233.7
Southern Miss1233:1520.338%44%6.348.21.31.44.52.1228
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Offense1456% (21)40% (108)37.6155.14.116 (89).09 (104)3.13 (63)72% (89)8% (36)0.88 (121)
USM Defense1253% (106)41% (49) - - - - .22 (109)3.21 (94)67% (30)10% (76)1.24 (129)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TULN Defense1445% (14)40% (42) - - - - .09 (34)3.03 (54)77% (94)11% (46)1.01 (75)
USM Offense1253% (41)40% (106)40.5163.4416 (89).13 (80)2.89 (107)67% (109)12% (109)1.11 (19)

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Offense1443% (109)47% (27)16.426.32158.213.125 (37)7 (21).35 (40)1.6 (77)29% (24)29% (83).28 (86)6% (57)2 (101)
USM Defense1246% (27)45% (109) - - - - - - 9 (87).32 (101)1.7 (101)31% (93)33% (103).4 (106)6% (63)2.3 (123)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TULN Defense1454% (121)43% (83) - - - - - - 17 (3).25 (54)1.4 (13)34% (40)29% (53).23 (28)7% (24)1.8 (15)
USM Offense1246% (92)34% (126)15.730.4190.76.312.215 (96)8 (30).14 (114)1.7 (26)36% (126)28% (87).34 (67)8% (117)2.1 (49)

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 1.85 #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 1.85   Southern Miss: -10.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 4.1   Southern Miss: -15.2




Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -10.21 #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
2023 Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 96
Average Power Five Talent: 96
Average FBS Talent: 96


Tulane Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 14

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tulane 30
Southern Miss 17


Total Points: 47

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.2
Defense: 35.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 24

Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/16Southern Miss3Tulane21TulaneTulane -8Tulane47.5Under
202209/24Tulane24Southern Miss27Southern MissTulane -12Southern Miss48.5Over
202009/26Southern Miss24Tulane66TulaneTulane -3.5Tulane54.5Over
201901/04Tulane30Southern Miss13TulaneTulane -7.5Tulane58.0Under
201011/06Tulane30Southern Miss46Southern Miss
200910/24Southern Miss43Tulane6Southern Miss
200611/11Tulane3Southern Miss31Southern Miss
200511/26Southern Miss26Tulane7Southern Miss
200409/25Tulane14Southern Miss32Southern Miss
200311/15Southern Miss28Tulane14Southern Miss
200111/17Southern Miss59Tulane6Southern Miss
200010/13Tulane24Southern Miss56Southern Miss
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Southern Miss912 Overs
Tulane332 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 71 - 31 - 10 - 2
Road Teams7 - 53 - 12 - 01 - 1

(#52) Tulane Info
Power Rating: 1.85 #52
Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60


Tulane has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 5 - 0 (3 - 2 - 0 vs Spread )

Tulane Highlights
Tulane Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Tulane Secondary is very good (#24)
Tulane defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#6)

Tulane Deficiencies
Tulane Fumbles a Lot (#89)
Tulane offense is not Explosive (#88)
Tulane run game is really bad (#80)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUSMTULN
OverallOver#102#27
OffenseOff#102#44
DefenseDef#81#23
Special TeamsST#86#73
PassingPass#103#48
RushingRush#39#55
Run BlockRBLK#89#36
Pass BlockPBLK#101#79
Route RunningWR Rt#94#31
TacklingTkl#107#95
Run DefenseR Def#41#37
Pass Rush DefPRush#45#32
Coverage DefCov#114#36

Rematch from Week 3
Tulane 8.0 (47.5)
Tulane won at Southern Miss this year (21-3)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat Southern Miss in 2023 (21-3)
Southern Miss beat Tulane in 2022 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | USM
Depth Chart: TULN | USM
Rosters: TULN | USM
(#119) Southern Miss Info
Power Rating: -10.21 #119
Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 96.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90


Southern Miss has lost 1 straight
Southern Miss has won 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 4 (2 - 4 - 0 vs Spread)

Southern Miss Highlights
Southern Miss offense is explosive (#57)

Southern Miss Deficiencies
Southern Miss offense is really bad (#78)
Southern Miss Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#90)
Southern Miss offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#81)
Southern Miss run game is really bad (#99)
Southern Miss pass game is really bad (#56)
Southern Miss Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Southern Miss gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#78)
Southern Miss has a bad red zone defense (#64)


  
Tulane's OC Slade Nagle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Michael Pratt18528365%24062258.5
Kai Horton448254%604327.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Makhi Hughes258137875.358
Michael Pratt9828652.926
Ashaad Clayton4115003.717
Arnold Barnes2313806.065
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Brazzell II44711516.247
Lawrence Keys III33599718.257
Jha'Quan Jackson26439416.948
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)33391211.842

View Tulane's Full Roster
Tulane's DC Shiel Wood
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jesus Machado983011
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)858311
Bailey Despanie676002
Jared Small606222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Hodges2510840
Patrick Jenkins3512620
Keith Cooper Jr.329532
Kameron Hamilton256410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kam Pedescleaux5640212
Jarius Monroe4841110
Lance Robinson430007

Southern Miss's OC Sam Gregg
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Billy Wiles (Tr)15829055%19161176.6
Ethan Crawford193850%246306.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Frank Gore Jr.2311131104.975
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)7642925.659
Kenyon Clay4017914.528
Ethan Crawford429612.316
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jakarius Caston33621618.880
Latreal Jones36498313.843
Tiaquelin Mims39445211.437
Frank Gore Jr.2722138.233

View Southern Miss's Full Roster
Southern Miss's DC Dan O'Brien
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)721101
Jay Stanley552005
Hayes Maples511130
Swayze Bozeman514103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalil Clemons2610661
Josh Ratcliff284400
Averie Habas133310
Ja'Len Sims283220
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jay Stanley552005
Markel McLaurin313205
MJ Daniels (Tr)260004