Tulane at Southern Miss - 2023 Matchup Preview

Tulane Green Wave at Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Saturday, September 16th 2023 (4:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -8 (47.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Tulane 21 - Southern Miss: 3

Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 35 - 21 (37 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Temp: 96.8° (30% Hum)
Our Line: Tulane -13 (SP+ TULN -19.5)
Projected Score: TULN: 32 - USM: 19 (55)
TULN Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
TULN Travel: 106 miles

Golden Eagles (3 - 9) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Will Hall (11 - 17)
Avg Score : 15 - 38 (20 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#114)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TULN Players
USM Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Tulane's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Tulane vs South Alabama	-6.0	51.0	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Tulane vs Ole Miss	+8.0	64.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/16	Tulane at Southern Miss	-8.0	47.5	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Tulane vs Nicholls	-38.0	55.5	W 36 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Tulane vs UAB	-22.5	59.5	W 35 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Tulane at Memphis	-4.5	54.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Tulane vs North Texas	-20.0	63.5	W 35 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulane at Rice	-10.0	55.0	W 30 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulane at East Carolina	-17.0	46.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Tulane vs Tulsa	-24.5	52.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Tulane at Florida Atlantic	-9.5	46.5	W 24 - 8	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Tulane vs UTSA	-2.5	51.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Tulane vs SMU	-4.0	50.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Wed 12/27	Tulane vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	43.5	L 20 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tulane's Schedule

Southern Miss's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Southern Miss vs Alcorn State	-24.0	47.5	W 40 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Southern Miss at Florida State	+31.0	54.0	L 13 - 66	O	N
Sat 9/16	Southern Miss vs Tulane	+8.0	47.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/23	Southern Miss at Arkansas State	-7.0	46.5	L 37 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/30	Southern Miss vs Texas State	+6.5	60.0	L 36 - 50	O	N
Sat 10/7	Southern Miss vs Old Dominion	-3.0	56.5	L 13 - 17	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/17	Southern Miss at South Alabama	+18.5	51.0	L 3 - 55	O	N
Sat 10/28	Southern Miss at App State	+16.0	55.5	L 38 - 48	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Southern Miss vs UL Monroe	-3.0	56.0	W 24 - 7	U	Y
Thu 11/9	Southern Miss at Louisiana	+8.5	51.5	W 34 - 31	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Southern Miss at Mississippi State	+18.5	47.5	L 20 - 41	O	N
Sat 11/25	Southern Miss vs Troy	+16.5	48.5	L 17 - 35	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN	.3	43%	35.1	45%	3.26	205	42%	237	4.5	.16	41%	20.6	42%	41%	4.13	34.3	1.1	1.8
USM	.11	39%	15.3	40%	2.8	142	39%	208	3.69	.1	36%	37.8	37%	37%	3.86	59.5	2	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TULN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
USM		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Offense	14	35.1	37	43.5%	4.5	1.1	22	442	205	237	5.2	54%	45%	45%	42%	14%	.3
USM Defense	13	37.8	33	36.4%	3.86	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	50%	48%	37%	37%	18%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TULN Defense	14	20.6	23.1	41.1%	4.13	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	42%	41%	13%	.16
USM Offense	13	15.3	19.5	38.6%	3.69	2	18	349	142	208	3.9	53%	45%	40%	39%	19%	.11

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Tulane	14	29:40	21.6	38%	59%	4	34.3	1.1	1.8	4.1	1.7	1	30.5
Southern Miss	13	28:38	17.9	34%	63%	6.7	59.5	2	1.8	7.8	3	3	32.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Offense	14	54%	45%	39.7	204.9	5.2	34	.27	3.26	77%	9%	1.14
USM Defense	13	50%	37%	-	-	-	-	.08	2.79	74%	13%	1.03

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TULN Defense	14	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.2	68%	8%	0.93
USM Offense	13	53%	40%	36.6	141.7	3.9	15	.06	2.8	60%	13%	0.97

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Offense	14	45%	42%	17.2	27.1	236.6	8.7	13.8	30	5	.35	1.7	31%	35%	.41	5%	2
USM Defense	13	48%	37%	-	-	-	-	-	-	16	.18	1.7	36%	27%	.21	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TULN Defense	14	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.24	1.5	30%	26%	.23	6%	1.9
USM Offense	13	45%	39%	14.7	26.6	207.5	7.8	14.1	20	14	.25	1.7	33%	26%	.26	6%	2.2

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 1.85 #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
2023 Talent Rating: 604.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 492.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 1.85 Southern Miss: -10.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Tulane: 4.1 Southern Miss: -15.2

Southern Miss's Power Ratings
Southern Miss's Power Rating: -10.21 #119
Southern Miss's Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Southern Miss's Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
2023 Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Southern Miss's 2023 Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90
Southern Miss's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Southern Miss's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Southern Miss's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 393.43
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 35.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 37
Defense: 20.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 23.1

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Record on Road: 5 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Tulane 32
Southern Miss 19

Projected Total Points: 55

Southern Miss Scoring
Offense: 15.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 19.5
Defense: 37.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Southern Miss's 2023 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/16	Southern Miss	3	Tulane	21	Tulane	Tulane -8	Tulane	47.5	Under
2022	09/24	Tulane	24	Southern Miss	27	Southern Miss	Tulane -12	Southern Miss	48.5	Over
2020	09/26	Southern Miss	24	Tulane	66	Tulane	Tulane -3.5	Tulane	54.5	Over
2019	01/04	Tulane	30	Southern Miss	13	Tulane	Tulane -7.5	Tulane	58.0	Under
2010	11/06	Tulane	30	Southern Miss	46	Southern Miss
2009	10/24	Southern Miss	43	Tulane	6	Southern Miss
2006	11/11	Tulane	3	Southern Miss	31	Southern Miss
2005	11/26	Southern Miss	26	Tulane	7	Southern Miss
2004	09/25	Tulane	14	Southern Miss	32	Southern Miss
2003	11/15	Southern Miss	28	Tulane	14	Southern Miss
2001	11/17	Southern Miss	59	Tulane	6	Southern Miss
2000	10/13	Tulane	24	Southern Miss	56	Southern Miss

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Southern Miss	9	1	2 Overs
Tulane	3	3	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	5 - 7	1 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 2
Road Teams	7 - 5	3 - 1	2 - 0	1 - 1

(#52) Tulane Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 1.85 #52
Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40
Talent Rating: 604.00 #71
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60

Team Profile

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Tulane Ratings Matchup Southern Miss

Power #52

#119

Off #86

#116

Def #29

#102

Talent #71

#111

SP+ #50

#118

SP+ Off #63

#85

SP+ Def #40

#125

Rematch from Week 3
Tulane 8.0 (47.5)
Tulane won at Southern Miss this year (21-3)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat Southern Miss in 2023 (21-3)
Southern Miss beat Tulane in 2022 (27-24)

Weather Forecast
Playing in M. M. Roberts Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 97° - Wind: 7 mph

Team Information
Injuries: TULN | USM
Depth Chart: TULN | USM
Rosters: TULN | USM

(#119) Southern Miss Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -10.21 #119
Offense Rating: 11.32 #116
Defense Rating: 12.99 #102
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #85
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #125
Talent Rating: 408.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Expected Record: 4.10 - 7.90

Team Profile

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Tulane's OC Slade Nagle

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carson Haggard	35	59	59%	431	4	5	7.3
Ty Thompson	6	11	55%	74	2	0	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ty Thompson	40	243	6	6.1	50
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)	7	37	1	5.3	15
Iverson Celestine	6	21	1	3.5	6
Dontae Fleming (Tr)	3	21	0	7.0	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dontae Fleming (Tr)	29	577	1	19.9	53
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)	31	440	4	14.2	42
Chris Brazzell II	29	333	2	11.5	53
Hunter Summers	9	116	2	12.9	32

View Tulane's Full Roster

Tulane's DC Shiel Wood

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)	58	5	2	1	1
Kentrell Webb	54	1	0	0	3
Keith Cooper Jr.	46	9	4	7	2
Devean Deal	46	10	6	3	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devean Deal	46	10	6	3	1
Patrick Jenkins	30	7	5	1	2
Keith Cooper Jr.	46	9	4	7	2
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)	58	5	2	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kentrell Webb	54	1	0	0	3
Keith Cooper Jr.	46	9	4	7	2
Patrick Jenkins	30	7	5	1	2

Southern Miss's OC Sam Gregg

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Chandler Pittman	1	1	100%	25	0	0	25.0
Holman Edwards (Tr)	0	1	0%	0	0	0	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)	124	604	1	4.9	54
Chandler Pittman	2	7	0	3.5	6

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Rodrigues Clark (Tr)	13	51	0	3.9	19
Chandler Pittman	8	51	0	6.4	25

View Southern Miss's Full Roster

Southern Miss's DC Dan O'Brien

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Jones	46	3	0	3	3
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)	41	2	0	1	0
Jalil Clemons	34	7	3	3	0
Kristin Booth	10	3	2	2	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jalil Clemons	34	7	3	3	0
Kristin Booth	10	3	2	2	0
Jay Jones	46	3	0	3	3
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)	41	2	0	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jay Jones	46	3	0	3	3
Dylan Lawrence (Tr)	41	2	0	1	0
Jalil Clemons	34	7	3	3	0