UTSA at Tulane - 2023 Matchup Preview

UTSA Roadrunners at Tulane Green Wave(#24)

Friday, November 24th 2023 (3:30 PM EST)
Tulane -2.5 (51.5) (-170) Open: -2.5
Tulane 29 - UTSA: 16 (American Athletic)

Roadrunners (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Jeff Traylor (31 - 12)
Avg Score : 32 - 24 (28 - 27 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.6 - 4.4 (#32)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TULN is playing their 7th straight game
UTSA is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Tulane -2.5 (SP+ UTSA -0)
Projected Score: UTSA: 25 - TULN: 27 (52)
TULN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
UTSA Travel: 503 miles

Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 26 - 21 (29 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UTSA Players
TULN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UTSA's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	UTSA at Houston	-2.5	59.5	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/9	UTSA vs Texas State	-13.5	66.5	W 20 - 13	U	N
Fri 9/15	UTSA vs Army	-7.0	42.0	L 29 - 37	O	N
Sat 9/23	UTSA at Tennessee	+24.0	59.0	L 14 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/7	UTSA at Temple	-14.0	56.0	W 49 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/14	UTSA vs UAB	-9.0	67.0	W 41 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/21	UTSA at Florida Atlantic	-2.5	58.5	W 36 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/28	UTSA vs East Carolina	-17.5	48.0	W 41 - 27	O	N
Sat 11/4	UTSA at North Texas	-7.5	71.0	W 37 - 29	U	Y
Sat 11/11	UTSA vs Rice	-13.5	53.5	W 34 - 14	U	Y
Fri 11/17	UTSA vs South Florida	-14.5	65.5	W 49 - 21	O	Y
Fri 11/24	UTSA at Tulane	+2.5	51.5	L 16 - 29	U	N
Tue 12/19	UTSA vs Marshall	-7.0	47.0	W 35 - 17	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UTSA's Schedule

Tulane's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Tulane vs South Alabama	-6.0	51.0	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Tulane vs Ole Miss	+8.0	64.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/16	Tulane at Southern Miss	-8.0	47.5	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Tulane vs Nicholls	-38.0	55.5	W 36 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Tulane vs UAB	-22.5	59.5	W 35 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Tulane at Memphis	-4.5	54.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Tulane vs North Texas	-20.0	63.5	W 35 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulane at Rice	-10.0	55.0	W 30 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulane at East Carolina	-17.0	46.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Tulane vs Tulsa	-24.5	52.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Tulane at Florida Atlantic	-9.5	46.5	W 24 - 8	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Tulane vs UTSA	-2.5	51.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Tulane vs SMU	-4.0	50.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Wed 12/27	Tulane vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	43.5	L 20 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	#45 (.23)	42% (66)	31.9	41% (89)	3 (88)	172	44% (49)	250	4.45 (24)	#35 (.14)	37% (21)	24.1	38% (26)	38% (25)	3.77 (65)	51.2	1.7	1.3
TULN	#70 (.19)	42% (61)	26.4	40% (108)	3.13 (63)	155	47% (27)	215	3.62 (91)	#56 (.16)	41% (55)	20.5	40% (42)	43% (83)	3.7 (61)	42.9	1.4	2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UTSA	#61 (.2)	40% (100)		37% (123)	3.03 (70)	169	43% (61)	283	3.63 (94)	#42 (.13)	34% (2)		32% (1)	36% (16)	3.78 (66)	81.1	1.7	1.6
TULN	#20 (.27)	45% (32)		45% (61)	3.15 (47)	197	47% (23)	209	4.5 (18)	#14 (.07)	38% (29)		38% (14)	39% (45)	3.53 (42)	50.1	1.1	1.6

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Offense	13	31.9	27.7	42.2%	4.45	1.7	23	422	172	250	4.3	51%	49%	41%	44%	15%	.23
TULN Defense	14	20.5	22	41.1%	3.7	2	-	-	-	-	-	45%	54%	40%	43%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UTSA Defense	13	24.1	27.3	37.4%	3.77	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	38%	38%	20%	.14
TULN Offense	14	26.4	28.8	42.4%	3.62	1.4	18	370	155	215	4.1	56%	43%	40%	47%	14%	.19

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UTSA	13	30:08	22.6	47%	58%	5.6	51.2	1.7	1.3	7.6	3.5	1	29
Tulane	14	31:20	18.4	38%	59%	4.8	42.9	1.4	2	5.9	2.4	2	33.7

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Offense	13	51% (62)	41% (89)	39.7	171.8	4.3	27 (29)	.18 (48)	3 (88)	81% (14)	9% (45)	1.13 (13)
TULN Defense	14	45% (14)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.09 (34)	3.03 (54)	77% (94)	11% (46)	1.01 (75)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UTSA Defense	13	47% (27)	38% (26)	-	-	-	-	.12 (52)	2.86 (27)	83% (114)	12% (14)	1.14 (118)
TULN Offense	14	56% (21)	40% (108)	37.6	155.1	4.1	16 (89)	.09 (104)	3.13 (63)	72% (89)	8% (36)	0.88 (121)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Offense	13	49% (72)	44% (49)	22.3	34.3	249.8	7.3	11.2	25 (37)	14 (107)	.31 (58)	1.6 (60)	32% (71)	35% (27)	.46 (28)	6% (64)	2.2 (35)
TULN Defense	14	54% (121)	43% (83)	-	-	-	-	-	-	17 (3)	.25 (54)	1.4 (13)	34% (40)	29% (53)	.23 (28)	7% (24)	1.8 (15)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UTSA Defense	13	52% (101)	38% (25)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.23 (44)	1.6 (70)	35% (28)	24% (6)	.18 (13)	8% (11)	2.4 (130)
TULN Offense	14	43% (109)	47% (27)	16.4	26.3	215	8.2	13.1	25 (37)	7 (21)	.35 (40)	1.6 (77)	29% (24)	29% (83)	.28 (86)	6% (57)	2 (101)

UTSA's Power Ratings
UTSA's Power Rating: 1.44 #55
UTSA's Offense Rating: 18.48 #51
UTSA's Defense Rating: 7.49 #43
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UTSA's 2023 Expected Record: 8.60 - 4.40
UTSA's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.2 #49
UTSA's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #42
UTSA's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #75

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 1.44 Tulane: 5.475

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UTSA: 4.2 Tulane: 4.1

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 5.475 #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

UTSA Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.7
Defense: 24.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.3

UTSA's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Tulane 27
UTSA 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
UTSA 29
Tulane 25

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Tulane 27
UTSA 25

Total Points: 52

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.8
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 22

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/30	UTSA	48	Tulane	26	Tulane -5.5	UTSA	54.5	Over
2023	11/24	Tulane	29	UTSA	16	Tulane -2.5	Tulane	51.5	Under
2013	11/09	UTSA	10	Tulane	7	UT San Antonio -7.5	Tulane	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulane	1	2	1 Overs
UTSA	2	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 0	2 - 1	1 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 3	1 - 2	0 - 1	1 - 1

(#55) UTSA at (#52) TULN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UTSA	TULN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#55	#52
SP+SP+	#49	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#65	#33
OffenseOff	#53	#47
DefenseDef	#73	#27
Spec TeamsST	#122	#93
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

UTSA Injury Report

Tulane Injury Report

UTSA on Offense


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	TULN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#53	#27
SuccessSuc	#66	#55
ExplosiveExp	#21	#43
PPAPPA	#45	#56
PowerPwr	#51	#29
SP+SP+	#42	#40
Pts POPPO	#24	#61
HavocHav	#46	#29

UTSA Run Game


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	#40	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	#89	#42
Run ExplRExp	#13	#75
PPAExp	#48	#34
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	#88	#54
Stuff RateStuff	#68	#67
TackleTak	-	#112

UTSA Pass Game


CategoryCat	UTSA Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	#71	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	#49	#83
Pass ExplPExl	#60	#13
PPAExp	#58	#54
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#106	#37
F7 HavocF7	#45	#46
DB HavocDB	#64	#24

Tulane on Offense


CategoryCat	TULN Off	UTSA Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#73
SuccessSuc	#61	#21
ExplosiveExp	#112	#112
PPAPPA	#70	#35
PowerPwr	#86	#43
SP+SP+	#63	#75
Pts POPPO	#91	#65
HavocHav	#32	#10

Tulane Run Game


CategoryCat	TULN Off	UTSA Def
Run GameRun	#78	#55
Run SuccessRSuc	#108	#26
Run ExplRExp	#121	#118
PPAExp	#104	#52
Run BlockR Blk	#46	-
OL YdsOLY	#63	#27
Stuff RateStuff	#33	#45
TackleTak	-	#96

Tulane Pass Game


CategoryCat	TULN Off	UTSA Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#112
Pass SuccessPSuc	#27	#25
Pass ExplPExl	#77	#70
PPAExp	#40	#44
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#91	#24
F7 HavocF7	#36	#14
DB HavocDB	#57	#11

Program Comparison
TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UTSA 5 Year Profile: Improving Top G5
'23 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 57° - Wind: 5 mph

Rematch from Week 13
Tulane -2.5 (51.5)
Tulane won vs UTSA this year (29-16)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat UTSA in 2023 (29-16)

UTSA's OC Justin Burke (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Frank Harris	218	336	65%	2506	18	8	7.5
Owen McCown (Tr)	43	58	74%	442	4	3	7.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kevorian Barnes	147	715	6	4.9	44
Robert Henry	127	588	11	4.6	43
Rocko Griffin (Tr)	91	483	6	5.3	69
Frank Harris	86	323	4	3.8	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joshua Cephus	89	1151	10	12.9	84
Tykee Ogle-Kellogg	33	575	7	17.4	46
Devin Mccuin	42	546	3	13.0	72
Oscar Cardenas	32	280	2	8.8	28

View UTSA's Full Roster

UTSA's DC Jess Loepp (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ken Robinson	65	2	0	1	4
Jamal Ligon	62	7	1	5	1
Martavius French	61	5	2	4	3
Rashad Wisdom	61	2	2	0	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Moore	45	18	14	3	3
Brandon Matterson	14	6	5	5	0
Jimmori Robinson	40	11	5	10	2
Nick Booker-Brown	18	7	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kameryn Alexander (Tr)	34	2	1	1	15
Nicktroy Fortune	26	1	0	2	9
Ken Robinson	65	2	0	1	4

TULN's OC Slade Nagle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Pratt	185	283	65%	2406	22	5	8.5
Kai Horton	44	82	54%	604	3	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Makhi Hughes	258	1378	7	5.3	58
Michael Pratt	98	286	5	2.9	26
Ashaad Clayton	41	150	0	3.7	17
Arnold Barnes	23	138	0	6.0	65

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Brazzell II	44	711	5	16.2	47
Lawrence Keys III	33	599	7	18.2	57
Jha'Quan Jackson	26	439	4	16.9	48
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)	33	391	2	11.8	42

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jesus Machado	98	3	0	1	1
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)	85	8	3	1	1
Bailey Despanie	67	6	0	0	2
Jared Small	60	6	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Hodges	25	10	8	4	0
Patrick Jenkins	35	12	6	2	0
Keith Cooper Jr.	32	9	5	3	2
Kameron Hamilton	25	6	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kam Pedescleaux	56	4	0	2	12
Jarius Monroe	48	4	1	1	10
Lance Robinson	43	0	0	0	7