UAB at Tulane - 2023 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (12:00 PM EDT)
Tulane -22.5 (59.5) (0) Open: 0.0
Tulane 35 - UAB: 23 (American Athletic)

Blazers (4 - 8) (6 - 5 - 1)
Coach Trent Dilfer (1 - 2)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.4 - 6.6 (#89)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

UAB 2nd straight Road Game
TULN 2nd straight Home Game
TULN is playing their 5th straight game
UAB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tulane -16 (SP+ TULN -19)
Projected Score: UAB: 21 - TULN: 37 (58)
TULN Win prob: 95% | Cover: 53%
UAB Travel: 315 miles

Green Wave (11 - 3) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Willie Fritz (45 - 46)
Avg Score : 28 - 24 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 5.6 (#38)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UAB Players
TULN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UAB's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/31	UAB vs North Carolina A&T	-24.5	46.5	W 35 - 6	U	Y
Sat 9/9	UAB at Georgia Southern	+7.0	63.0	L 35 - 49	O	N
Sat 9/16	UAB vs Louisiana	-2.0	60.0	L 21 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/23	UAB at Georgia	+40.0	56.0	L 21 - 49	O	Y
Sat 9/30	UAB at Tulane	+22.5	59.5	L 23 - 35	U	Y
Sat 10/7	UAB vs South Florida	+3.5	68.5	W 56 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/14	UAB at UTSA	+9.0	67.0	L 20 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/21	UAB vs Memphis	+7.5	61.5	L 21 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/4	UAB vs Florida Atlantic	-1.0	59.5	W 45 - 42	O	Y
Sat 11/11	UAB at Navy	-3.5	52.5	L 6 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/18	UAB vs Temple	-8.0	61.5	W 34 - 24	U	Y
Sat 11/25	UAB at North Texas	+3.0	72.5	L 42 - 45	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Tulane's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Tulane vs South Alabama	-6.0	51.0	W 37 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Tulane vs Ole Miss	+8.0	64.0	L 20 - 37	U	N
Sat 9/16	Tulane at Southern Miss	-8.0	47.5	W 21 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Tulane vs Nicholls	-38.0	55.5	W 36 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/30	Tulane vs UAB	-22.5	59.5	W 35 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Fri 10/13	Tulane at Memphis	-4.5	54.5	W 31 - 21	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Tulane vs North Texas	-20.0	63.5	W 35 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/28	Tulane at Rice	-10.0	55.0	W 30 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/4	Tulane at East Carolina	-17.0	46.0	W 13 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/11	Tulane vs Tulsa	-24.5	52.5	W 24 - 22	U	N
Sat 11/18	Tulane at Florida Atlantic	-9.5	46.5	W 24 - 8	U	Y
Fri 11/24	Tulane vs UTSA	-2.5	51.5	W 29 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/2	Tulane vs SMU	-4.0	50.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Wed 12/27	Tulane vs Virginia Tech	+13.5	43.5	L 20 - 41	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	.32	46%	26.4	48%	3.33	235	44%	203	4.05	.17	43%	38.3	48%	40%	3.25	60.5	1.4	1.5
TULN	.3	43%	27.7	45%	3.26	205	42%	237	4.5	.16	41%	23.9	42%	41%	4.13	34.3	1.1	1.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TULN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Offense	13	26.4	24.7	46%	4.05	1.4	21	438	235	203	5.8	60%	40%	48%	44%	16%	.32
TULN Defense	14	23.9	15.9	41.1%	4.13	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	42%	41%	13%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Defense	13	38.3	38.8	43.4%	3.25	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	48%	40%	17%	.17
TULN Offense	14	27.7	29	43.5%	4.5	1.1	22	442	205	237	5.2	54%	45%	45%	42%	14%	.3

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UAB	13	31:55	21.2	45%	48%	7	60.5	1.4	1.5	4.7	1.9	3	29.3
Tulane	14	29:40	21.6	38%	59%	4	34.3	1.1	1.8	4.1	1.7	1	30.5

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Offense	13	60%	48%	40.6	235.1	5.8	32	.3	3.33	73%	11%	1.15
TULN Defense	14	49%	42%	-	-	-	-	.13	3.2	68%	8%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Defense	13	49%	48%	-	-	-	-	.28	3.31	78%	9%	1.03
TULN Offense	14	54%	45%	39.7	204.9	5.2	34	.27	3.26	77%	9%	1.14

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Offense	13	40%	44%	14.9	24.7	203.2	8.2	13.6	15	7	.41	1.8	31%	35%	.45	4%	2.3
TULN Defense	14	50%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	12	.24	1.5	30%	26%	.23	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Defense	13	49%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.12	1.5	30%	29%	.14	8%	1.9
TULN Offense	14	45%	42%	17.2	27.1	236.6	8.7	13.8	30	5	.35	1.7	31%	35%	.41	5%	2

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -5.80 #96
UAB's Offense Rating: 23.13 #18
UAB's Defense Rating: 17.37 #126
2023 Talent Rating: 473.46 #98
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #75
UAB's 2023 Expected Record: 5.40 - 6.60
UAB's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.2 #118
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.7 #65
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -5.80 Tulane: 5.475

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.2 Tulane: 4.1

Tulane's Power Ratings
Tulane's Power Rating: 5.475 #52
Tulane's Offense Rating: 14.61 #86
Tulane's Defense Rating: 5.32 #29
2023 Talent Rating: 537.70 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #75
Tulane's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 5.60
Tulane's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1 #50
Tulane's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.8 #63
Tulane's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.1 #40

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 471.63
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2023 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Tulane 37
UAB 21

Projected Total Points: 58

Tulane Scoring
Offense: 27.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 23.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.9

Tulane's 2023 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 11
Record at home: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 5 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/05	UAB	20	Tulane	71	Tulane -19.5	Tulane	52.0	Over
2023	09/30	Tulane	35	UAB	23	Tulane -22.5	UAB	59.5	Under
2021	09/25	Tulane	21	UAB	28	Tulane -2.5	UAB	55.0	Under
2018	09/15	UAB	31	Tulane	24	Tulane -3.5	UAB	57.5	Under
2012	10/27	Tulane	55	UAB	45
2011	09/17	UAB	10	Tulane	49
2008	11/15	Tulane	24	UAB	41
2007	10/13	UAB	26	Tulane	21
2004	10/23	Tulane	59	UAB	55
2003	11/08	UAB	24	Tulane	38
2002	10/19	Tulane	35	UAB	14
2001	10/20	UAB	34	Tulane	27

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulane	7	1	1 Overs
UAB	5	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 5	1 - 3	0 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	5 - 7	3 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 0

(#96) UAB at (#52) TULN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UAB	TULN
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#96	#52
SP+SP+	#118	#50
Perf GradeGrade	#87	#33
OffenseOff	#57	#47
DefenseDef	#101	#27
Spec TeamsST	#131	#93
TalentTal	#98	#82
Blue ChipsBC%	#75	#75

UAB Injury Report

Tulane Injury Report

UAB on Offense


CategoryCat	UAB Off	TULN Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#57	#27
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#18	#29
SP+SP+	#65	#40
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

UAB Run Game


CategoryCat	UAB Off	TULN Def
Run GameRun	#21	#42
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#64	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#112

UAB Pass Game


CategoryCat	UAB Off	TULN Def
Pass GamePass	#81	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#48	#37
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Tulane on Offense


CategoryCat	TULN Off	UAB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#47	#101
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	#86	#126
SP+SP+	#63	#132
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Tulane Run Game


CategoryCat	TULN Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#78	#108
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#46	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#69

Tulane Pass Game


CategoryCat	TULN Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#62	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#91	#33
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
TULN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'23 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Benson Field at Yulman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Tulane -22.5 (59.5)
Tulane won vs UAB this year (35-23)

Previous Matchups
Tulane beat UAB in 2024 (71-20)
Tulane beat UAB in 2023 (35-23)

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jacob Zeno	279	379	74%	3126	20	9	8.2
Landy Lyddy	14	22	64%	121	1	3	5.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jermaine Brown Jr.	158	803	12	5.1	40
Lee Beebe	52	360	4	6.9	66
Isaiah Jacobs	55	249	3	4.5	26
Jacob Zeno	91	168	4	1.8	44

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tejhaun Palmer	47	858	7	18.3	80
Amare Thomas	53	437	3	8.2	49
Jermaine Brown Jr.	41	416	1	10.1	55
Fred Farrier II	18	266	1	14.8	67

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Sione Ta'ufo'ou (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Keondre Swoopes	72	0	0	0	1
Jackson Bratton	70	5	2	3	1
Michael Moore	62	6	1	3	1
Ike Rowell	54	0	0	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmond Little	30	8	6	3	2
Kevin Penn	43	5	4	4	0
Michael Fairbanks II	23	5	4	3	0
Nikia Eason Jr.	26	4	4	6	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Brian Mayes	41	1	10
Colby Dempsey	37	1	9
Mac McWilliams	52	2	8

TULN's OC Slade Nagle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Michael Pratt	185	283	65%	2406	22	5	8.5
Kai Horton	44	82	54%	604	3	2	7.4

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Makhi Hughes	258	1378	7	5.3	58
Michael Pratt	98	286	5	2.9	26
Ashaad Clayton	41	150	0	3.7	17
Arnold Barnes	23	138	0	6.0	65

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Chris Brazzell II	44	711	5	16.2	47
Lawrence Keys III	33	599	7	18.2	57
Jha'Quan Jackson	26	439	4	16.9	48
Yulkeith Brown (Tr)	33	391	2	11.8	42

View Tulane's Full Roster

TULN's DC Shiel Wood (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jesus Machado	98	3	0	1	1
Tyler Grubbs (Tr)	85	8	3	1	1
Bailey Despanie	67	6	0	0	2
Jared Small	60	6	2	2	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darius Hodges	25	10	8	4	0
Patrick Jenkins	35	12	6	2	0
Keith Cooper Jr.	32	9	5	3	2
Kameron Hamilton	25	6	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kam Pedescleaux	56	4	0	2	12
Jarius Monroe	48	4	1	1	10
Lance Robinson	43	0	0	0	7