Texas A&M at Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview

(#5)Texas A&M Aggies at Tennessee Volunteers(#12)

Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Tennessee -3 (54.5) (-155) Open: -7.0
Tennessee 20 - Texas A&M: 13 (SEC)

Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Elijah Robinson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 33 - 22 (28 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TENN coming off BYE
TA&M is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -1.5 (SP+ TA&M -2.5)
Projected Score: TA&M: 26 - TENN: 25 (51)
TENN Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TA&M Travel: 806 miles, 1 hrs behind

Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
TA&M Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Texas A&M vs New Mexico	-37.5	48.5	W 52 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Texas A&M at Miami	-3.0	50.5	L 33 - 48	O	N
Sat 9/16	Texas A&M vs UL Monroe	-36.5	53.5	W 47 - 3	U	Y
Sat 9/23	Texas A&M vs Auburn	-9.5	51.0	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Texas A&M vs Arkansas	-6.5	53.5	W 34 - 22	O	Y
Sat 10/7	Texas A&M vs Alabama	+2.5	45.0	L 20 - 26	O	N
Sat 10/14	Texas A&M at Tennessee	+3.0	54.5	L 13 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28	Texas A&M vs South Carolina	-17.0	51.5	W 30 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/4	Texas A&M at Ole Miss	+3.0	52.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Texas A&M vs Mississippi State	-16.5	40.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
Sat 11/18	Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian	-40.5	54.5	W 38 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/25	Texas A&M at LSU	+10.5	67.5	L 30 - 42	O	N
Wed 12/27	Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State	+4.0	56.0	L 23 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule

Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Tennessee vs Virginia	-27.5	56.0	W 49 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Tennessee vs Austin Peay	-48.0	65.5	W 30 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Tennessee at Florida	-5.0	57.0	L 16 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/23	Tennessee vs UTSA	-24.0	59.0	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Tennessee vs South Carolina	-12.0	59.0	W 41 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Tennessee vs Texas A&M	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Tennessee at Alabama	+8.5	47.5	L 20 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/28	Tennessee at Kentucky	-4.0	50.5	W 33 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Tennessee vs UConn	-35.0	55.5	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Tennessee at Missouri	-1.0	58.5	L 7 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/18	Tennessee vs Georgia	+9.0	59.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/25	Tennessee vs Vanderbilt	-27.0	58.0	W 48 - 24	O	N
Mon 1/1	Tennessee vs Iowa	-4.5	37.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	#42 (.24)	43% (54)	33.3	44% (58)	3.02 (85)	136	43% (58)	271	4.15 (44)	#21 (.1)	37% (20)	22.1	34% (7)	40% (46)	2.76 (6)	45.5	1.1	1
TENN	#36 (.27)	46% (24)	31.8	46% (39)	3.31 (30)	187	47% (25)	232	3.56 (94)	#54 (.16)	39% (35)	20.3	37% (19)	41% (65)	3.41 (34)	65.6	0.9	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
TA&M	#54 (.21)	45% (41)		46% (38)	3.29 (27)	185	43% (58)	188	3.63 (93)	#67 (.16)	38% (23)		40% (38)	37% (22)	3.03 (9)	60.7	1	1.3
TENN	#46 (.23)	47% (18)		48% (23)	3.4 (13)	227	47% (19)	221	4.02 (55)	#13 (.07)	38% (17)		36% (9)	39% (48)	3.03 (10)	66.8	1.2	1.6

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Offense	13	33.3	27.8	43.2%	4.15	1.1	22	407	136	271	3.9	48%	51%	44%	43%	14%	.24
TENN Defense	13	20.3	17.9	38.9%	3.41	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	37%	41%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
TA&M Defense	13	22.1	37	37%	2.76	1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	52%	34%	40%	22%	.1
TENN Offense	13	31.8	36.1	46.3%	3.56	0.9	20	419	187	232	5.6	51%	49%	46%	47%	13%	.27

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Texas A&M	13	31:24	22.1	43%	60%	5.9	45.5	1.1	1	7.4	3.2	2	35.5
Tennessee	13	22:32	19.9	43%	31%	7.5	65.6	0.9	1.2	7.2	2.8	4	30.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense	13	48% (84)	44% (58)	35.1	136.2	3.9	23 (46)	.14 (76)	3.02 (85)	78% (33)	9% (50)	0.94 (97)
TENN Defense	13	48% (41)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	.05 (21)	2.71 (15)	65% (24)	13% (11)	1.03 (85)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense	13	47% (35)	34% (7)	-	-	-	-	-.03 (9)	2.46 (6)	61% (13)	15% (4)	0.99 (67)
TENN Offense	13	51% (60)	46% (39)	33.5	186.9	5.6	20 (61)	.22 (28)	3.31 (30)	72% (80)	7% (16)	1.05 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense	13	51% (48)	43% (58)	21.1	32.7	270.8	8.3	12.9	24 (41)	9 (40)	.35 (41)	1.7 (23)	31% (60)	33% (46)	.46 (26)	5% (31)	2.3 (17)
TENN Defense	13	52% (96)	41% (65)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.29 (85)	1.6 (85)	35% (27)	31% (82)	.36 (93)	5% (100)	2 (41)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense	13	52% (99)	40% (46)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (87)	.28 (77)	1.7 (98)	38% (3)	26% (22)	.18 (11)	7% (33)	2.2 (118)
TENN Offense	13	49% (69)	47% (25)	19.3	30.1	231.7	7.7	12	21 (65)	5 (6)	.35 (39)	1.5 (110)	30% (39)	32% (64)	.38 (54)	6% (68)	2.1 (63)

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 14.95 #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 14.95 Tennessee: 13.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 15.4 Tennessee: 13.0

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 13.855 #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.8
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 37

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Texas A&M 26
Tennessee 25

Total Points: 51

Based on Last 4 Games
Tennessee 22
Texas A&M 17

Total Points: 38

Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 32
Texas A&M 25

Total Points: 57

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	10/14	Tennessee	20	Texas A&M	13	Tennessee -3	Tennessee	54.5	Under
2020	12/19	Tennessee	13	Texas A&M	34	Texas A&M -13.5	Texas A&M	50.0	Under
2016	10/08	Texas A&M	45	Tennessee	38	Texas A&M -6.5	Texas A&M	60.5	Over
2004	01/01	Texas A&M	7	Tennessee	38

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	2	1	1 Overs
Texas A&M	2	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 2	2 - 1	2 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 2	1 - 2	1 - 0	0 - 2

(#13) TA&M at (#24) TENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	TA&M	TENN
Power RatePwr	#13	#24
SP+SP+	#15	#19
Perf GradeGrade	#18	#37
OffenseOff	#32	#59
DefenseDef	#21	#33
Spec TeamsST	#27	#13
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#4	#17

Texas A&M Injury Report

Tennessee Injury Report

Texas A&M on Offense


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	TENN Def
Perf GradePerf	#32	#33
SuccessSuc	#54	#35
ExplosiveExp	#36	#104
PPAPPA	#42	#54
PowerPwr	#63	#31
SP+SP+	#20	#31
Pts POPPO	#44	#34
HavocHav	#36	#35

Texas A&M Run Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#93	#68
Run SuccessRSuc	#58	#19
Run ExplRExp	#97	#85
PPAExp	#76	#21
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	#85	#15
Stuff RateStuff	#24	#28
TackleTak	-	#44

Texas A&M Pass Game


CategoryCat	TA&M Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#16	#25
Pass SuccessPSuc	#58	#65
Pass ExplPExl	#23	#85
PPAExp	#41	#85
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#95	#11
F7 HavocF7	#50	#11
DB HavocDB	#31	#100

Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	TENN Off	TA&M Def
Perf GradePerf	#59	#21
SuccessSuc	#24	#20
ExplosiveExp	#86	#110
PPAPPA	#36	#21
PowerPwr	#36	#9
SP+SP+	#28	#15
Pts POPPO	#94	#6
HavocHav	#21	#5

Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	TA&M Def
Run GameRun	#22	#17
Run SuccessRSuc	#39	#7
Run ExplRExp	#39	#67
PPAExp	#28	#9
Run BlockR Blk	#86	-
OL YdsOLY	#30	#6
Stuff RateStuff	#10	#10
TackleTak	-	#98

Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	TA&M Def
Pass GamePass	#53	#48
Pass SuccessPSuc	#25	#46
Pass ExplPExl	#110	#98
PPAExp	#39	#77
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#73	#25
F7 HavocF7	#16	#4
DB HavocDB	#68	#33

Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 71° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 7
Tennessee -3.0 (54.5)
Tennessee won vs Texas A&M this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Texas A&M in 2023 (20-13)

TA&M's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Max Johnson	118	190	62%	1452	9	5	7.6
Conner Weigman	82	119	69%	979	8	2	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Amari Daniels	105	532	6	5.1	79
Le'Veon Moss	96	484	5	5.0	36
Rueben Owens	101	385	3	3.8	28
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)	41	104	2	2.5	22

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ainias Smith	53	795	2	15.0	42
Jahdae Walker (Tr)	35	590	2	16.9	40
Evan Stewart	38	514	4	13.5	44
Noah Thomas	29	359	5	12.4	34

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC D. J. Durkin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Edgerrin Cooper	83	19	10	9	2
Taurean York	74	9	3	5	0
Demani Richardson	59	3	1	4	3
Bryce Anderson	56	8	3	3	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Edgerrin Cooper	83	19	10	9	2
Shemar Turner	31	9	5	3	0
Fadil Diggs	36	11	4	6	2
Walter Nolen	36	8	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Deuce Harmon	18	1	0	0	7
Josh DeBerry (Tr)	39	5	1	1	7
Tyreek Chappell	21	1	0	0	6

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joe Milton	230	355	65%	2814	20	5	7.9
Nico Iamaleava	28	45	62%	314	2	0	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Wright	137	1013	4	7.4	82
Dylan Sampson	106	603	7	5.7	44
Jabari Small	95	475	2	5.0	40
Joe Milton	78	299	7	3.8	81

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Squirrel White	68	804	2	11.8	83
Ramel Keyton	35	642	6	18.3	60
McCallan Castles (Tr)	22	283	5	12.9	43
Dont'E Thornton	13	224	1	17.2	47

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Herring	79	5	1	1	1
Aaron Beasley	69	12	3	1	3
Jaylen McCollough	58	3	0	1	4
Wesley Walker	53	4	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Pearce Jr.	27	14	10	15	0
Tyler Baron	28	11	6	5	2
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)	26	6	6	1	0
Aaron Beasley	69	12	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kamal Hadden	19	0	0	1	7
Tamarion McDonald	40	4	1	1	4
Jaylen McCollough	58	3	0	1	4