Texas A&M at Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo   Texas A&M Aggies at Tennessee Volunteers  Tennessee logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Tennessee -3 (54.5) (-155)  Open: -7.0
Tennessee 20 - Texas A&M: 13  (SEC)

 
Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Jimbo Fisher (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 34 - 21 (38 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN coming off BYE
TA&M is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -1.5  (SP+ TA&M -2.5)
Projected Score: TA&M: 31 - TENN: 29 (60)
TENN Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TA&M Travel: 806 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas A&M vs New Mexico-37.548.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/9 Texas A&M at Miami-3.050.5L 33 - 48ON
Sat 9/16 Texas A&M vs UL Monroe-36.553.5W 47 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas A&M vs Auburn-9.551.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.553.5W 34 - 22OY
Sat 10/7 Texas A&M vs Alabama+2.545.0L 20 - 26ON
Sat 10/14 Texas A&M at Tennessee+3.054.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-17.051.5W 30 - 17UN
Sat 11/4 Texas A&M at Ole Miss+3.052.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-16.540.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian-40.554.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 Texas A&M at LSU+10.567.5L 30 - 42ON
Wed 12/27 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State+4.056.0L 23 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M.1440%33.845%3.0314236%2193.78.1240%2143%35%3.0449.11.51.9
TENN.3751%39.851%3.319951%3264.81.1841%28.839%43%3.1669.50.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1233.83840.1%3.781.5193621422194.746%54%45%36%19%.14
TENN Defense1328.82941.2%3.161.8 - - - - - 44%56%39%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense122130.240%3.041.9 - - - - - 60%40%43%35%16%.12
TENN Offense1339.842.351.1%4.810.825526199326550%50%51%51%10%.37

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1227:5019.436%36%6.349.11.51.95.51.6127.6
Tennessee1325:1425.441%68%8.169.50.81.872.4130.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1246%45%30.6142.34.712.143.0369%11%0.94
TENN Defense1344%39% - - - - .042.6570%11%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1260%43% - - - - .113.0876%10%0.97
TENN Offense1350%51%40.2199.5540.293.380%7%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1254%36%18.332.6219.46.712186.181.634%28%.267%2.2
TENN Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 11.291.632%32%.335%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1240%35% - - - - - - 4.141.635%27%.275%2.1
TENN Offense1350%51%22.332.5326.110.114.6383.451.625%32%.43%2.2

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 14.95  #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69  #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57  #9
2023 Talent Rating: 925.92  #4
Blue Chip Ratio: 75%  #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4  #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 14.95   Tennessee: 13.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 15.4   Tennessee: 13.0




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 13.855  #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15  #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94  #31
2023 Talent Rating: 821.07  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 48  #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0  #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 33.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 38
Defense: 21 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.2

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 31
Tennessee 29

Projected Total Points: 60
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Tennessee20Texas A&M13Tennessee -3Tennessee54.5Under
202012/19Tennessee13Texas A&M34Texas A&M -13.5Texas A&M50.0Under
201610/08Texas A&M45Tennessee38Texas A&M -6.5Texas A&M60.5Over
200401/01Texas A&M7Tennessee38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee211 Overs
Texas A&M222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 12 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 21 - 21 - 00 - 2

(#13) TA&M at (#24) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatTA&MTENN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #13 #24
SP+SP+ #15 #19
Perf GradeGrade #18 #37
OffenseOff #32 #59
DefenseDef #21 #33
Spec TeamsST #27 #13
TalentTal #4 #16
Blue ChipsBC% #4 #17
Texas A&M on Offense
CategoryCat
TA&M OffTENN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #32 #33
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #63 #31
SP+SP+ #20 #31
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Texas A&M Run Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #93 #68
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #43 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #44
Texas A&M Pass Game
CategoryCat
TA&M OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #16 #25
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #95 #11
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatTENN OffTA&M Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #21
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #36 #9
SP+SP+ #28 #15
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffTA&M Def
Run GameRun #22 #17
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #98
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatTENN OffTA&M Def
Pass GamePass #53 #48
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #73 #25
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

TA&M 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Tennessee -3.0 (54.5)
Tennessee won vs Texas A&M this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Texas A&M in 2023 (20-13)

  
TA&M's OC Bobby Petrino (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Johnson11819062%1452957.6
Conner Weigman8211969%979828.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Amari Daniels10553265.179
Le'Veon Moss9648455.036
Rueben Owens10138533.828
Jaylen Henderson (Tr)4110422.522
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Ainias Smith53795215.042
Jahdae Walker (Tr)35590216.940
Evan Stewart38514413.544
Noah Thomas29359512.434

View Texas A&M's Full Roster

TA&M's DC D. J. Durkin (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Taurean York749350
Demani Richardson593143
Bryce Anderson568334
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Edgerrin Cooper83191092
Shemar Turner319530
Fadil Diggs3611462
Walter Nolen368401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon181007
Josh DeBerry (Tr)395117
Tyreek Chappell211006

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Milton23035565%28142057.9
Nico Iamaleava284562%314207.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Wright137101347.482
Dylan Sampson10660375.744
Jabari Small9547525.040
Joe Milton7829973.881
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Squirrel White68804211.883
Ramel Keyton35642618.360
McCallan Castles (Tr)22283512.943
Dont'E Thornton13224117.247

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Herring795111
Aaron Beasley6912313
Jaylen McCollough583014
Wesley Walker534112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.271410150
Tyler Baron2811652
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)266610
Aaron Beasley6912313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamal Hadden190017
Tamarion McDonald404114
Jaylen McCollough583014