Texas A&M at Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview
Texas A&M logo Texas A&M Aggies at Tennessee VolunteersTennessee logo
Saturday, October 14th 2023 (3:30 PM EDT)
Tennessee -3 (54.5) (-155)  Open: -7.0
Tennessee 20 - Texas A&M: 13  (SEC)

 
Aggies (7 - 6) (5 - 7 - 1)
Coach Elijah Robinson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 30 - 22 (32 - 33 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.6 - 3.4 (#18)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN coming off BYE
TA&M is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Texas A&M -1.5   (SP+ TA&M -2.5)
Projected Score: TA&M: 28 - TENN: 27 (52)
TENN Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
TA&M Travel: 806 miles, 1 hrs behind
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 36 - 16 (43 - 10 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Texas A&M's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Texas A&M vs New Mexico-37.548.5W 52 - 10OY
Sat 9/9 Texas A&M at Miami-3.050.5L 33 - 48ON
Sat 9/16 Texas A&M vs UL Monroe-36.553.5W 47 - 3UY
Sat 9/23 Texas A&M vs Auburn-9.551.0W 27 - 10UY
Sat 9/30 Texas A&M vs Arkansas-6.553.5W 34 - 22OY
Sat 10/7 Texas A&M vs Alabama+2.545.0L 20 - 26ON
Sat 10/14 Texas A&M at Tennessee+3.054.5L 13 - 20UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/28 Texas A&M vs South Carolina-17.051.5W 30 - 17UN
Sat 11/4 Texas A&M at Ole Miss+3.052.5L 35 - 38OY
Sat 11/11 Texas A&M vs Mississippi State-16.540.5W 51 - 10OY
Sat 11/18 Texas A&M vs Abilene Christian-40.554.5W 38 - 10UN
Sat 11/25 Texas A&M at LSU+10.567.5L 30 - 42ON
Wed 12/27 Texas A&M vs Oklahoma State+4.056.0L 23 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Texas A&M's Schedule
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule

Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M.1440%30.445%3.0314236%2193.78.1240%22.243%35%3.0449.11.51.9
TENN.3751%35.751%3.319951%3264.81.1841%16.139%43%3.1669.50.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
TA&M0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Offense1230.43240.1%3.781.5193621422194.746%54%45%36%19%.14
TENN Defense1316.19.941.2%3.161.8 - - - - - 44%56%39%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
TA&M Defense1222.232.840%3.041.9 - - - - - 60%40%43%35%16%.12
TENN Offense1335.743.451.1%4.810.825526199326550%50%51%51%10%.37

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Texas A&M1227:5019.436%36%6.349.11.51.95.51.6127.6
Tennessee1325:1425.441%68%8.169.50.81.872.4130.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Offense1246%45%30.6142.34.712.143.0369%11%0.94
TENN Defense1344%39% - - - - .042.6570%11%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
TA&M Defense1260%43% - - - - .113.0876%10%0.97
TENN Offense1350%51%40.2199.5540.293.380%7%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Offense1254%36%18.332.6219.46.712186.181.634%28%.267%2.2
TENN Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 11.291.632%32%.335%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
TA&M Defense1240%35% - - - - - - 4.141.635%27%.275%2.1
TENN Offense1350%51%22.332.5326.110.114.6383.451.625%32%.43%2.2

Texas A&M's Power Ratings
Texas A&M's Power Rating: 14.95 #13
Texas A&M's Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Texas A&M's Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
2023 Talent Rating: 1314.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #4
Texas A&M's 2023 Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40
Texas A&M's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Texas A&M's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Texas A&M's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78

Power Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 14.95   Tennessee: 13.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Texas A&M: 15.4   Tennessee: 13.0




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 13.855 #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
2023 Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 993.25
Average Power Five Talent: 811.88
Average FBS Talent: 636.78


Texas A&M Scoring
Offense: 30.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 32
Defense: 22.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.8

Texas A&M's 2023 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 1
Record on Road: 1 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Texas A&M 28
Tennessee 27

Projected Total Points: 52
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 35.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 43.4
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 9.9

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202310/14Tennessee20Texas A&M13TennesseeTennessee -3Tennessee54.5Under
202012/19Tennessee13Texas A&M34Texas A&MTexas A&M -13.5Texas A&M50.0Under
201610/08Texas A&M45Tennessee38Texas A&MTexas A&M -6.5Texas A&M60.5Over
200401/01Texas A&M7Tennessee38Tennessee
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee211 Overs
Texas A&M222 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 12 - 00 - 1
Road Teams2 - 21 - 21 - 00 - 2

(#13) Texas A&M Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 14.95 #13
Offense Rating: 16.69 #63
Defense Rating: 0.57 #9
Overall SP+ Rating: 15.4 #15
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #20
Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7 #15
Talent Rating: 1314.00 #3
Blue Chip Ratio: 75% #4
Expected Record: 9.60 - 3.40

Team Profile






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Texas A&M     Ratings Matchup     Tennessee
Power #13
#24
Off #63
#36
Def #9
#31
Talent #3
#12
SP+ #15
#19
SP+ Off #20
#28
SP+ Def #15
#31

Rematch from Week 7
Tennessee -3.0 (54.5)
Tennessee won vs Texas A&M this year (20-13)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat Texas A&M in 2023 (20-13)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 71° - Wind: 9 mph


Team Information
Injuries: TA&M | TENN
Depth Chart: TA&M | TENN
Rosters: TA&M | TENN
(#24) Tennessee Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: 13.855 #24
Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31
Talent Rating: 1042.00 #12
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #17
Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60

Team Profile






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Texas A&M's OC Bobby Petrino
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Max Johnson121963%71013.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahdae Walker (Tr)31204.06
Max Johnson61011.716
Jordan Anthony (Tr)2703.54
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Evan Stewart48613512.869
Jahdae Walker (Tr)29345211.940
Jordan Anthony (Tr)8111113.927
Moose Muhammad III65529.220

View Texas A&M's Full Roster
Texas A&M's DC D. J. Durkin
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jardin Gilbert522102
Walter Nolen4713642
Lebbeus Overton423291
Fadil Diggs4213731
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Fadil Diggs4213731
Walter Nolen4713642
Lebbeus Overton423291
Shemar Turner366211
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Deuce Harmon282006
Tony Grimes (Tr)200015
Kent Robinson334204

Tennessee's OC Joey Halzle
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Navy Shuler1333%10003.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dylan Sampson2581491225.856
Bru McCoy21507.59
Patrick Wilk31204.09
Navy Shuler2502.56
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Dont'E Thornton26661625.486
Bru McCoy39472212.142
Dylan Sampson2014307.221

View Tennessee's Full Roster
Tennessee's DC Tim Banks
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Doneiko Slaughter783106
Elijah Herring598434
Will Brooks594115
Tamarion McDonald584201
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.38138101
Tyler Baron3811660
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)184430
Elijah Herring598434
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
De'Shawn Rucker412007
Doneiko Slaughter783106
Will Brooks594115