South Carolina at Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview

South Carolina Gamecocks at Tennessee Volunteers(#15)

Saturday, September 30th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Tennessee -12 (59.0) (0) Open: 0.0
Tennessee 41 - South Carolina: 20 (SEC)

Gamecocks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (16 - 13)
Avg Score : 26 - 26 (16 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#92)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

TENN 2nd straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 5th straight game
SC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -11.5 (SP+ TENN -10)
Projected Score: SC: 22 - TENN: 33 (55)
TENN Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
SC Travel: 214 miles

Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 32 - 20 (36 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
SC Players
TENN Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

South Carolina's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	South Carolina vs North Carolina	-2.5	63.5	L 17 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/9	South Carolina vs Furman	-18.0	52.5	W 47 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/16	South Carolina at Georgia	+27.0	54.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 9/23	South Carolina vs Mississippi State	-6.0	46.5	W 37 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/30	South Carolina at Tennessee	+12.0	59.0	L 20 - 41	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	South Carolina vs Florida	+1.0	50.0	L 39 - 41	O	N
Sat 10/21	South Carolina at Missouri	+7.5	57.5	L 12 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/28	South Carolina at Texas A&M	+17.0	51.5	L 17 - 30	U	Y
Sat 11/4	South Carolina vs Jacksonville State	-15.5	55.0	W 38 - 28	O	N
Sat 11/11	South Carolina vs Vanderbilt	-13.5	53.5	W 47 - 6	U	Y
Sat 11/18	South Carolina vs Kentucky	-2.5	52.5	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/25	South Carolina vs Clemson	+7.5	48.0	L 7 - 16	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule

Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/2	Tennessee vs Virginia	-27.5	56.0	W 49 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/9	Tennessee vs Austin Peay	-48.0	65.5	W 30 - 13	U	N
Sat 9/16	Tennessee at Florida	-5.0	57.0	L 16 - 29	U	N
Sat 9/23	Tennessee vs UTSA	-24.0	59.0	W 45 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/30	Tennessee vs South Carolina	-12.0	59.0	W 41 - 20	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14	Tennessee vs Texas A&M	-3.0	54.5	W 20 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/21	Tennessee at Alabama	+8.5	47.5	L 20 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/28	Tennessee at Kentucky	-4.0	50.5	W 33 - 27	O	Y
Sat 11/4	Tennessee vs UConn	-35.0	55.5	W 59 - 3	O	Y
Sat 11/11	Tennessee at Missouri	-1.0	58.5	L 7 - 36	U	N
Sat 11/18	Tennessee vs Georgia	+9.0	59.0	L 10 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/25	Tennessee vs Vanderbilt	-27.0	58.0	W 48 - 24	O	N
Mon 1/1	Tennessee vs Iowa	-4.5	37.0	W 35 - 0	U	Y

Important Stats (2023)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SC	#67 (.2)	41% (86)	26	38% (120)	2.81 (117)	85	43% (54)	278	4.06 (51)	#80 (.2)	44% (92)	26.3	46% (97)	43% (85)	3.42 (36)	55.1	1.1	1.4
TENN	#36 (.27)	46% (24)	31.8	46% (39)	3.31 (30)	187	47% (25)	232	3.56 (94)	#54 (.16)	39% (35)	20.3	37% (19)	41% (65)	3.41 (34)	65.6	0.9	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
SC	#48 (.22)	44% (58)		44% (74)	3.01 (73)	175	44% (42)	203	3.97 (62)	#15 (.08)	42% (73)		45% (93)	40% (61)	3.19 (16)	53.8	1.5	1.7
TENN	#46 (.23)	47% (18)		48% (23)	3.4 (13)	227	47% (19)	221	4.02 (55)	#13 (.07)	38% (17)		36% (9)	39% (48)	3.03 (10)	66.8	1.2	1.6

Overall Stats 2023

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SC Offense	12	26	15.8	40.8%	4.06	1.1	18	363	85	278	2.8	41%	58%	38%	43%	20%	.2
TENN Defense	13	20.3	17.9	38.9%	3.41	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	37%	41%	18%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
SC Defense	12	26.3	32.3	43.8%	3.42	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	46%	43%	16%	.2
TENN Offense	13	31.8	36.1	46.3%	3.56	0.9	20	419	187	232	5.6	51%	49%	46%	47%	13%	.27

Additional Stats 2023

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
South Carolina	12	28:17	18.1	34%	38%	7.1	55.1	1.1	1.4	4.6	1.8	2	30.7
Tennessee	13	22:32	19.9	43%	31%	7.5	65.6	0.9	1.2	7.2	2.8	4	30.3

Run Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SC Offense	12	41% (122)	38% (120)	30.8	85.1	2.8	17 (81)	.03 (122)	2.81 (117)	74% (73)	14% (128)	0.94 (96)
TENN Defense	13	48% (41)	37% (19)	-	-	-	-	.05 (21)	2.71 (15)	65% (24)	13% (11)	1.03 (85)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
SC Defense	12	50% (72)	46% (97)	-	-	-	-	.16 (79)	3.2 (93)	77% (95)	8% (115)	0.86 (17)
TENN Offense	13	51% (60)	46% (39)	33.5	186.9	5.6	20 (61)	.22 (28)	3.31 (30)	72% (80)	7% (16)	1.05 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2023)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SC Offense	12	58% (12)	43% (54)	23.6	34.3	278	8.1	11.8	21 (65)	8 (30)	.33 (50)	1.6 (70)	37% (131)	30% (72)	.29 (81)	6% (81)	1.9 (111)
TENN Defense	13	52% (96)	41% (65)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.29 (85)	1.6 (85)	35% (27)	31% (82)	.36 (93)	5% (100)	2 (41)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
SC Defense	12	49% (58)	43% (85)	-	-	-	-	-	-	10 (67)	.31 (92)	1.6 (50)	30% (107)	29% (51)	.29 (53)	8% (14)	2.2 (114)
TENN Offense	13	49% (69)	47% (25)	19.3	30.1	231.7	7.7	12	21 (65)	5 (6)	.35 (39)	1.5 (110)	30% (39)	32% (64)	.38 (54)	6% (68)	2.1 (63)

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 1.41 #56
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.50 #66
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 11.58 #94
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 35% #22
South Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 6.70
South Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4 #54
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8 #58
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1 #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 1.41 Tennessee: 13.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 3.4 Tennessee: 13.0

Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 13.855 #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15 #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94 #31
2023 Talent Rating: 482.00 #1
Blue Chip Ratio: 48 #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0 #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0 #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 482
Average Power Five Talent: 482
Average FBS Talent: 482

South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 26.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.3

South Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Tennessee 33
South Carolina 22

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Tennessee 30
South Carolina 18

Total Points: 47

Based on Entire Season
Tennessee 32
South Carolina 20

Total Points: 52

Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 20.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 17.9

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2023	09/30	Tennessee	41	South Carolina	20	Tennessee -12	Tennessee	59.0	Over
2022	11/19	South Carolina	63	Tennessee	38	Tennessee -22.5	South Carolina	66.5	Over
2021	10/09	Tennessee	45	South Carolina	20	Tennessee -10.5	Tennessee	57.0	Over
2020	09/26	South Carolina	27	Tennessee	31	Tennessee -4	NA	45.0	Over
2019	10/26	Tennessee	41	South Carolina	21	South Carolina -4	Tennessee	45.5	Over
2018	10/27	South Carolina	27	Tennessee	24	South Carolina -10.5	Tennessee	53.0	Under
2017	10/14	Tennessee	9	South Carolina	15	Tennessee -2.5	South Carolina	45.0	Under
2016	10/29	South Carolina	24	Tennessee	21	Tennessee -14	South Carolina	52.0	Under
2015	11/07	Tennessee	27	South Carolina	24	Tennessee -15	South Carolina	60.0	Under
2014	11/01	South Carolina	42	Tennessee	45	South Carolina -8	Tennessee	0
2013	10/19	Tennessee	23	South Carolina	21	South Carolina -7	Tennessee	0
2012	10/27	South Carolina	38	Tennessee	35
2011	10/29	Tennessee	3	South Carolina	14
2010	10/30	South Carolina	38	Tennessee	24
2009	10/31	Tennessee	31	South Carolina	13
2008	11/01	South Carolina	27	Tennessee	6
2007	10/27	Tennessee	27	South Carolina	24
2006	10/28	South Carolina	24	Tennessee	31
2005	10/29	Tennessee	15	South Carolina	16
2004	10/30	South Carolina	29	Tennessee	43
2003	09/27	Tennessee	23	South Carolina	20
2002	11/02	South Carolina	10	Tennessee	18
2001	10/27	Tennessee	17	South Carolina	10
2000	10/27	South Carolina	14	Tennessee	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tennessee	15	6	5 Overs
South Carolina	9	4	4 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	15 - 9	6 - 4	2 - 4	4 - 0
Road Teams	9 - 15	4 - 6	0 - 4	4 - 2

(#56) SC at (#24) TENN

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	SC	TENN
Power RatePwr	#56	#24
SP+SP+	#54	#19
Perf GradeGrade	#94	#37
OffenseOff	#97	#59
DefenseDef	#95	#33
Spec TeamsST	#93	#13
TalentTal	#1	#1
Blue ChipsBC%	#22	#17

South Carolina on Offense


CategoryCat	SC Off	TENN Def
Perf GradePerf	#97	#33
SuccessSuc	#86	#35
ExplosiveExp	#43	#104
PPAPPA	#67	#54
PowerPwr	#66	#31
SP+SP+	#58	#31
Pts POPPO	#51	#34
HavocHav	#123	#35

South Carolina Run Game


CategoryCat	SC Off	TENN Def
Run GameRun	#102	#68
Run SuccessRSuc	#120	#19
Run ExplRExp	#96	#85
PPAExp	#122	#21
Run BlockR Blk	#123	-
OL YdsOLY	#117	#15
Stuff RateStuff	#78	#28
TackleTak	-	#44

South Carolina Pass Game


CategoryCat	SC Off	TENN Def
Pass GamePass	#45	#25
Pass SuccessPSuc	#54	#65
Pass ExplPExl	#70	#85
PPAExp	#50	#85
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#107	#11
F7 HavocF7	#128	#11
DB HavocDB	#81	#100

Tennessee on Offense


CategoryCat	TENN Off	SC Def
Perf GradePerf	#59	#95
SuccessSuc	#24	#92
ExplosiveExp	#86	#15
PPAPPA	#36	#80
PowerPwr	#36	#94
SP+SP+	#28	#60
Pts POPPO	#94	#36
HavocHav	#21	#72

Tennessee Run Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	SC Def
Run GameRun	#22	#87
Run SuccessRSuc	#39	#97
Run ExplRExp	#39	#17
PPAExp	#28	#79
Run BlockR Blk	#86	-
OL YdsOLY	#30	#93
Stuff RateStuff	#10	#123
TackleTak	-	#24

Tennessee Pass Game


CategoryCat	TENN Off	SC Def
Pass GamePass	#53	#109
Pass SuccessPSuc	#25	#85
Pass ExplPExl	#110	#50
PPAExp	#39	#92
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#73	#45
F7 HavocF7	#16	#115
DB HavocDB	#68	#14

Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 70°

Rematch from Week 5
Tennessee -12.0 (59.0)
Tennessee won vs South Carolina this year (41-20)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat South Carolina in 2023 (41-20)
South Carolina beat Tennessee in 2022 (63-38)

SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Spencer Rattler	275	399	69%	3186	19	8	8.0
Lanorris Sellers	4	4	100%	86	2	0	21.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Mario Anderson	143	707	3	4.9	75
Dakereon Joyner	50	120	5	2.4	16
Spencer Rattler	98	102	4	1.0	28
Juju McDowell	26	63	2	2.4	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Xavier Legette	71	1255	7	17.7	76
Trey Knox (Tr)	37	312	2	8.4	22
Ahmarean Brown	26	265	1	10.2	44
Joshua Simon (Tr)	28	256	2	9.1	33

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Debo Williams	113	9	1	2	2
Jalon Kilgore	76	2	0	0	6
DQ Smith	73	2	1	0	2
Nick Emmanwori	71	0	0	1	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Strachan	20	8	5	2	1
T.J. Sanders	43	10	5	4	4
Tyreek Johnson	16	4	3	2	0
Bam Martin-Scott	38	4	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Marcellas Dial	36	2	1	0	10
Nick Emmanwori	71	0	0	1	8
Tonka Hemingway	32	5	2	6	7

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joe Milton	230	355	65%	2814	20	5	7.9
Nico Iamaleava	28	45	62%	314	2	0	7.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jaylen Wright	137	1013	4	7.4	82
Dylan Sampson	106	603	7	5.7	44
Jabari Small	95	475	2	5.0	40
Joe Milton	78	299	7	3.8	81

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Squirrel White	68	804	2	11.8	83
Ramel Keyton	35	642	6	18.3	60
McCallan Castles (Tr)	22	283	5	12.9	43
Dont'E Thornton	13	224	1	17.2	47

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Elijah Herring	79	5	1	1	1
Aaron Beasley	69	12	3	1	3
Jaylen McCollough	58	3	0	1	4
Wesley Walker	53	4	1	1	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
James Pearce Jr.	27	14	10	15	0
Tyler Baron	28	11	6	5	2
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)	26	6	6	1	0
Aaron Beasley	69	12	3	1	3

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kamal Hadden	19	0	0	1	7
Tamarion McDonald	40	4	1	1	4
Jaylen McCollough	58	3	0	1	4