South Carolina at Tennessee - 2023 Matchup Preview
South Carolina logo

South Carolina Gamecocks at Tennessee Volunteers

Tennessee logo
Saturday, September 30th 2023 (7:30 PM EDT)
Tennessee -12 (59.0) (0)  Open: 0.0
Tennessee 41 - South Carolina: 20  (SEC)

 
Gamecocks (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Shane Beamer (16 - 13)
Avg Score : 23 - 22 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#92)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
TENN 2nd straight Home Game
TENN is playing their 5th straight game
SC is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tennessee -11.5  (SP+ TENN -10)

Projected Score: SC: 24 - TENN: 35 (59)
TENN Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
SC Travel: 214 miles
Volunteers (9 - 4) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Josh Heupel (20 - 9)
Avg Score : 40 - 29 (42 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#38)
'23 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
South Carolina's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 South Carolina vs North Carolina-2.563.5L 17 - 31UN
Sat 9/9 South Carolina vs Furman-18.052.5W 47 - 21OY
Sat 9/16 South Carolina at Georgia+27.054.5L 14 - 24UY
Sat 9/23 South Carolina vs Mississippi State-6.046.5W 37 - 30OY
Sat 9/30 South Carolina at Tennessee+12.059.0L 20 - 41ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 South Carolina vs Florida+1.050.0L 39 - 41ON
Sat 10/21 South Carolina at Missouri+7.557.5L 12 - 34UN
Sat 10/28 South Carolina at Texas A&M+17.051.5L 17 - 30UY
Sat 11/4 South Carolina vs Jacksonville State-15.555.0W 38 - 28ON
Sat 11/11 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt-13.553.5W 47 - 6UY
Sat 11/18 South Carolina vs Kentucky-2.552.5W 17 - 14UY
Sat 11/25 South Carolina vs Clemson+7.548.0L 7 - 16UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for South Carolina's Schedule
Tennessee's 2023 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/2 Tennessee vs Virginia-27.556.0W 49 - 13OY
Sat 9/9 Tennessee vs Austin Peay-48.065.5W 30 - 13UN
Sat 9/16 Tennessee at Florida-5.057.0L 16 - 29UN
Sat 9/23 Tennessee vs UTSA-24.059.0W 45 - 14UY
Sat 9/30 Tennessee vs South Carolina-12.059.0W 41 - 20OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/14 Tennessee vs Texas A&M-3.054.5W 20 - 13UY
Sat 10/21 Tennessee at Alabama+8.547.5L 20 - 34ON
Sat 10/28 Tennessee at Kentucky-4.050.5W 33 - 27OY
Sat 11/4 Tennessee vs UConn-35.055.5W 59 - 3OY
Sat 11/11 Tennessee at Missouri-1.058.5L 7 - 36UN
Sat 11/18 Tennessee vs Georgia+9.059.0L 10 - 38UN
Sat 11/25 Tennessee vs Vanderbilt-27.058.0W 48 - 24ON
Mon 1/1 Tennessee vs Iowa-4.537.0W 35 - 0UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Tennessee's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC.2342%22.743%2.912041%2604.54.1945%22.152%39%4.1262.62.12
TENN.3751%39.851%3.319951%3264.81.1841%28.839%43%3.1669.50.81.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
SC0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
TENN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Offense1322.718.541.6%4.542.1193801202603.846%54%43%41%19%.23
TENN Defense1328.82941.2%3.161.8 - - - - - 44%56%39%43%16%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
SC Defense1322.127.545.5%4.122 - - - - - 53%46%52%39%16%.19
TENN Offense1339.842.351.1%4.810.825526199326550%50%51%51%10%.37

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
South Carolina1328:4018.939%62%6.862.62.124.31.5530.2
Tennessee1325:1425.441%68%8.169.50.81.872.4130.6
Run Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Offense1346%43%31.5119.63.827.152.968%14%1.02
TENN Defense1344%39% - - - - .042.6570%11%0.98
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
SC Defense1353%52% - - - - .263.4885%8%0.91
TENN Offense1350%51%40.2199.5540.293.380%7%1.03

Pass Game Stats (2023)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Offense1354%41%21.632.2259.98.1122314.321.832%32%.485%2.4
TENN Defense1356%43% - - - - - - 11.291.632%32%.335%2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
SC Defense1346%39% - - - - - - 15.191.630%34%.48%2.1
TENN Offense1350%51%22.332.5326.110.114.6383.451.625%32%.43%2.2

South Carolina's Power Ratings
South Carolina's Power Rating: 1.41  #56
South Carolina's Offense Rating: 16.50  #66
South Carolina's Defense Rating: 11.58  #94
2023 Talent Rating: 763.02  #22
Blue Chip Ratio: 35%  #22
South Carolina's 2023 Expected Record: 5.30 - 6.70
South Carolina's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.4  #54
South Carolina's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.8  #58
South Carolina's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.1  #60

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89

Power Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 1.41   Tennessee: 13.855

SP+ Ratings Matchup
South Carolina: 3.4   Tennessee: 13.0




Tennessee's Power Ratings
Tennessee's Power Rating: 13.855  #24
Tennessee's Offense Rating: 20.15  #36
Tennessee's Defense Rating: 5.94  #31
2023 Talent Rating: 821.07  #16
Blue Chip Ratio: 48  #17
Tennessee's 2023 Expected Record: 8.40 - 4.60
Tennessee's 2023 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.0  #19
Tennessee's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4  #28
Tennessee's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.0  #31

Average Talent
Average SEC Talent Rating is 824.13
Average Power Five Talent: 738.21
Average FBS Talent: 573.89


South Carolina Scoring
Offense: 22.7 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.5
Defense: 22.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 27.5

South Carolina's 2023 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Tennessee 35
South Carolina 24


Projected Total Points: 59
Tennessee Scoring
Offense: 39.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 42.3
Defense: 28.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Tennessee's 2023 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202309/30Tennessee41South Carolina20Tennessee -12Tennessee59.0Over
202211/19South Carolina63Tennessee38Tennessee -22.5South Carolina66.5Over
202110/09Tennessee45South Carolina20Tennessee -10.5Tennessee57.0Over
202009/26South Carolina27Tennessee31Tennessee -4NA45.0Over
201910/26Tennessee41South Carolina21South Carolina -4Tennessee45.5Over
201810/27South Carolina27Tennessee24South Carolina -10.5Tennessee53.0Under
201710/14Tennessee9South Carolina15Tennessee -2.5South Carolina45.0Under
201610/29South Carolina24Tennessee21Tennessee -14South Carolina52.0Under
201511/07Tennessee27South Carolina24Tennessee -15South Carolina60.0Under
201411/01South Carolina42Tennessee45South Carolina -8Tennessee0
201310/19Tennessee23South Carolina21South Carolina -7Tennessee0
201210/27South Carolina38Tennessee35
201110/29Tennessee3South Carolina14
201010/30South Carolina38Tennessee24
200910/31Tennessee31South Carolina13
200811/01South Carolina27Tennessee6
200710/27Tennessee27South Carolina24
200610/28South Carolina24Tennessee31
200510/29Tennessee15South Carolina16
200410/30South Carolina29Tennessee43
200309/27Tennessee23South Carolina20
200211/02South Carolina10Tennessee18
200110/27Tennessee17South Carolina10
200010/27South Carolina14Tennessee17
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tennessee1565 Overs
South Carolina944 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams15 - 96 - 42 - 44 - 0
Road Teams9 - 154 - 60 - 44 - 2

(#56) SC at (#24) TENN
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatSCTENN
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #56 #24
SP+SP+ #54 #19
Perf GradeGrade #94 #37
OffenseOff #97 #59
DefenseDef #95 #33
Spec TeamsST #93 #13
TalentTal #22 #16
Blue ChipsBC% #22 #17
South Carolina on Offense
CategoryCat
SC OffTENN Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #97 #33
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #66 #31
SP+SP+ #58 #31
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
South Carolina Run Game
CategoryCat
SC OffTENN Def
Run GameRun #102 #68
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #123 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #44
South Carolina Pass Game
CategoryCat
SC OffTENN Def
Pass GamePass #45 #25
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #107 #11
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Tennessee on Offense
CategoryCatTENN OffSC Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #59 #95
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwr #36 #94
SP+SP+ #28 #60
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Tennessee Run Game
CategoryCat
TENN OffSC Def
Run GameRun #22 #87
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #86 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #24
Tennessee Pass Game
CategoryCatTENN OffSC Def
Pass GamePass #53 #109
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #73 #45
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
TENN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'23 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

SC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'23 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Neyland Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Tennessee -12.0 (59.0)
Tennessee won vs South Carolina this year (41-20)

Previous Matchups
Tennessee beat South Carolina in 2023 (41-20)

  
SC's OC Dowell Loggains (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Spencer Rattler27539969%31861988.0
Lanorris Sellers44100%862021.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Mario Anderson14370734.975
Dakereon Joyner5012052.416
Spencer Rattler9810241.028
Juju McDowell266322.417
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Xavier Legette711255717.776
Trey Knox (Tr)3731228.422
Ahmarean Brown26265110.244
Joshua Simon (Tr)2825629.133

View South Carolina's Full Roster

SC's DC Clayton White (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Debo Williams1139122
Jalon Kilgore762006
DQ Smith732102
Nick Emmanwori710018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Strachan208521
T.J. Sanders4310544
Tyreek Johnson164320
Bam Martin-Scott384221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marcellas Dial3621010
Nick Emmanwori710018
Tonka Hemingway325267

TENN's OC Joey Halzle (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joe Milton23035565%28142057.9
Nico Iamaleava284562%314207.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jaylen Wright137101347.482
Dylan Sampson10660375.744
Jabari Small9547525.040
Joe Milton7829973.881
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Squirrel White68804211.883
Ramel Keyton35642618.360
McCallan Castles (Tr)22283512.943
Dont'E Thornton13224117.247

View Tennessee's Full Roster

TENN's DC Tim Banks (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Herring795111
Aaron Beasley6912313
Jaylen McCollough583014
Wesley Walker534112
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Pearce Jr.271410150
Tyler Baron2811652
Omarr Norman-Lott (Tr)266610
Aaron Beasley6912313
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Kamal Hadden190017
Tamarion McDonald404114
Jaylen McCollough583014