Illinois at Northwestern - 2022 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo (#21)Illinois Fighting Illini at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, November 26th 2022 (3:30 PM EST)
Illinois -15.0 (38.0)
Illinois 41 - Northwestern: 3  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 13 (28 - 13 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ILL 2nd straight Road Game
NW is playing their 6th straight game
ILL is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -12  (SP+ ILL -29.5)
Projected Score: ILL: 25 - NW: 13 (38)
ILL Win prob: 85% | Cover: 46%
ILL Travel: 139 miles
Wildcats (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Fitzgerald (109 - 89)
Avg Score : 14 - 28 (13 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Illinois vs Wyoming-14.042.5W 38 - 6OY
Fri 9/2 Illinois at Indiana+1.047.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/10 Illinois vs Virginia-4.055.0W 24 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/22 Illinois vs Chattanooga-20.044.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 Illinois at Wisconsin+6.543.0W 34 - 10OY
Sat 10/8 Illinois vs Iowa-3.536.5W 9 - 6UN
Sat 10/15 Illinois vs Minnesota+4.540.0W 26 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Illinois at Nebraska-7.550.5W 26 - 9UY
Sat 11/5 Illinois vs Michigan State-16.541.0L 15 - 23UN
Sat 11/12 Illinois vs Purdue-6.044.0L 24 - 31ON
Sat 11/19 Illinois at Michigan+17.041.5L 17 - 19UY
Sat 11/26 Illinois at Northwestern-15.038.0W 41 - 3OY
Mon 1/2 Illinois vs Mississippi State+3.546.5L 10 - 19UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Northwestern's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Northwestern vs Nebraska+12.052.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/10 Northwestern vs Duke-10.056.5L 23 - 31UN
Sat 9/17 Northwestern vs Southern Illinois-13.558.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/24 Northwestern vs Miami (OH)-7.550.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 10/1 Northwestern at Penn State+25.550.0L 7 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Northwestern vs Wisconsin+10.044.5L 7 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Northwestern at Maryland+14.051.0L 24 - 31OY
Sat 10/29 Northwestern at Iowa+11.537.0L 13 - 33ON
Sat 11/5 Northwestern vs Ohio State+37.555.0L 7 - 21UY
Sat 11/12 Northwestern at Minnesota+17.040.5L 3 - 31UN
Sat 11/19 Northwestern at Purdue+17.544.5L 9 - 17UY
Sat 11/26 Northwestern vs Illinois+15.038.0L 3 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL.1544%24.243%3.0716845%2093.37-.0233%12.830%36%2.259.11.22.5
NW.0137%13.838%2.6312538%2102.67.1745%28.346%44%4.0340.82.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL#31 (.25)45% (45)45% (51)3.14 (49)14044% (44)1984.23 (39)#76 (.18)46% (115)50% (127)43% (90)3.48 (37)390.91.5
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1324.227.643.8%3.371.221377168209454%46%43%45%13%.15
NW Defense1228.330.545.1%4.031.5 - - - - - 59%41%46%44%13%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1312.812.832.8%2.22.5 - - - - - 45%53%30%36%22%-.02
NW Offense1213.81337.2%2.672.5193351252103.251%47%38%38%18%.01

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1332:4121.238%48%6.459.11.22.56.12.1130.1
Northwestern1229:011937%49%4.640.82.51.54.51.9026.9
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1354%43%41.9167.7418.083.0772%10%0.85
NW Defense1259%46% - - - - .163.1674%8%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1345%30% - - - - -.032.6450%11%1.1
NW Offense1251%38%39.1125.13.211-.042.6367%9%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1346%45%2130.2209.46.910155.251.430%32%.242%1.7
NW Defense1241%44% - - - - - - 6.221.329%29%.164%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1353%36% - - - - - - 24.071.436%23%.0511%2
NW Offense1247%38%20.434.8210.36.110.31017.151.433%21%.049%1.9

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2022 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9  #17
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #98
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 5.5  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois:    Northwestern: -4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 15.9   Northwestern: -13.4




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -4.2 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2022 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4  #111
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #111
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 24.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.6
Defense: 12.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 12.8

Illinois's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 25
Northwestern 13

Total Points: 38

Based on Last 4 Games
Illinois 22
Northwestern 12

Total Points: 35

Based on Entire Season
Illinois 28
Northwestern 13

Total Points: 41
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 13.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 13
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.5

Northwestern's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Illinois20Northwestern13Illinois -7Push44.5Under
202411/30Northwestern28Illinois38Illinois -8.5Illinois42.5Over
202311/25Illinois43Northwestern45Illinois -5Northwestern46.5Over
202211/26Northwestern3Illinois41Illinois -15.0Illinois38.0Over
202111/27Illinois47Northwestern14Illinois -7Illinois45.0Over
202012/12Northwestern28Illinois10Northwestern -13Northwestern41.0Under
201911/30Illinois10Northwestern29Illinois -6.5Northwestern38.0Over
201811/24Northwestern24Illinois16Northwestern -14.5Illinois56.0Under
201711/25Illinois7Northwestern42Northwestern -16.5Northwestern46.0Over
201611/26Northwestern42Illinois21Northwestern -15Northwestern48.5Over
201511/28Illinois14Northwestern24Northwestern -3.5Northwestern42.0Under
201411/29Northwestern33Illinois47Northwestern -9Illinois0
201311/30Illinois34Northwestern37Northwestern -4Illinois0
201211/24Northwestern50Illinois14
201110/01Illinois38Northwestern35
201011/20Northwestern27Illinois48
200911/14Illinois16Northwestern21
200811/22Northwestern27Illinois10
200711/17Illinois41Northwestern22
200611/18Northwestern27Illinois16
200511/19Illinois21Northwestern38
200411/20Northwestern28Illinois21
200311/22Illinois20Northwestern37
200111/22Illinois34Northwestern28
200011/17Northwestern61Illinois23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern1667 Overs
Illinois964 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 124 - 83 - 41 - 4
Road Teams12 - 138 - 44 - 14 - 3

(#) ILL at (#) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILLNW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #111
Perf GradeGrade #8 #132
OffenseOff #24 #123
DefenseDef #4 #129
Spec TeamsST #56 #61
TalentTal #56 #46
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
ILL OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #24 #129
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #73
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffNW Def
Run GameRun #51 #118
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #99
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffNW Def
Pass GamePass #21 #131
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #39 #102
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCatNW OffILL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #123 #4
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #111 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffILL Def
Run GameRun #134 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #65 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #30
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCatNW OffILL Def
Pass GamePass #134 #3
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #14 #40
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 54° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 13
Illinois 15.0 (38.0)
Illinois won at Northwestern this year (41-3)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Northwestern last year (38-28)
Northwestern beat Illinois in 2023 (45-43)
Illinois beat Northwestern in 2022 (41-3)

  
ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Ryan Walters (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NW's OC Mike Bajakian (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Jim O'Neil (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD