Northwestern at Iowa - 2022 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 29th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Iowa -11.5 (37.0)
Iowa 33 - Northwestern: 13 (Big Ten)

Wildcats (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Fitzgerald (109 - 89)
Avg Score : 14 - 28 (11 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NW 2nd straight Road Game
Our Line: -15.5 (SP+ IOWA -26)
Projected Score: NW: 17 - IOWA: 21 (38)
IOWA Win prob: 77% | Cover: 45%
NW Travel: 201 miles

Hawkeyes (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (177 - 110)
Avg Score : 18 - 13 (18 - 12 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NW Players
IOWA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northwestern's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Northwestern vs Nebraska	+12.0	52.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Northwestern vs Duke	-10.0	56.5	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/17	Northwestern vs Southern Illinois	-13.5	58.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/24	Northwestern vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	50.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/1	Northwestern at Penn State	+25.5	50.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Northwestern vs Wisconsin	+10.0	44.5	L 7 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Northwestern at Maryland	+14.0	51.0	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Northwestern at Iowa	+11.5	37.0	L 13 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/5	Northwestern vs Ohio State	+37.5	55.0	L 7 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Northwestern at Minnesota	+17.0	40.5	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Northwestern at Purdue	+17.5	44.5	L 9 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Northwestern vs Illinois	+15.0	38.0	L 3 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Iowa's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Iowa vs South Dakota State	-11.0	42.5	W 7 - 3	U	N
Sat 9/10	Iowa vs Iowa State	-3.5	39.0	L 7 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/17	Iowa vs Nevada	-24.0	39.0	W 27 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Iowa at Rutgers	-7.5	34.5	W 27 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Iowa vs Michigan	+10.5	42.0	L 14 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/8	Iowa at Illinois	+3.5	36.5	L 6 - 9	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Iowa at Ohio State	+29.5	50.0	L 10 - 54	O	N
Sat 10/29	Iowa vs Northwestern	-11.5	37.0	W 33 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Iowa at Purdue	+3.5	39.5	W 24 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Iowa vs Wisconsin	-1.0	35.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Iowa at Minnesota	+2.0	31.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Iowa vs Nebraska	-10.5	38.0	L 17 - 24	O	N
Sat 12/31	Iowa vs Kentucky	-3.0	31.5	W 21 - 0	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	.01	37%	13.8	38%	2.63	125	38%	210	2.67	.17	45%	28.3	46%	44%	4.03	40.8	2.5	1.5
IOWA		36%	17.7	38%	2.45	95	35%	157	2.76	-.05	34%	13.3	38%	32%	2.75	32.3	1.3	2.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	#129 (.02)	37% (123)		39% (113)	2.63 (124)	99	36% (116)	186	3.02 (127)	#57 (.15)	45% (106)		44% (80)	46% (117)	3.74 (64)	38.8	1.5	1.3
IOWA	#100 (.14)	42% (72)		44% (63)	2.92 (89)	185	40% (94)	121	3.77 (84)	#30 (.11)	42% (72)		46% (97)	39% (51)	3.37 (27)	26.3	0.8	1.8

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Offense	12	13.8	11.2	37.2%	2.67	2.5	19	335	125	210	3.2	51%	47%	38%	38%	18%	.01
IOWA Defense	13	13.3	12.4	34.4%	2.75	2.2	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	38%	32%	17%	-.05

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Defense	12	28.3	25.8	45.1%	4.03	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	59%	41%	46%	44%	13%	.17
IOWA Offense	13	17.7	18.4	35.8%	2.76	1.3	14	252	95	157	2.9	49%	51%	38%	35%	18%

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northwestern	12	29:01	19	37%	49%	4.6	40.8	2.5	1.5	4.5	1.9	0	26.9
Iowa	13	28:16	13.8	28%	33%	4.1	32.3	1.3	2.2	6.1	2.6	4	31.9

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Offense	12	51%	38%	39.1	125.1	3.2	11	-.04	2.63	67%	9%	0.86
IOWA Defense	13	49%	38%	-	-	-	-	-.02	2.57	74%	11%	0.76

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Defense	12	59%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.16	74%	8%	0.92
IOWA Offense	13	49%	38%	32.5	94.9	2.9	12	-.05	2.45	63%	13%	0.84

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Offense	12	47%	38%	20.4	34.8	210.3	6.1	10.3	10	17	.15	1.4	33%	21%	.04	9%	1.9
IOWA Defense	13	49%	32%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	-.01	1.4	34%	22%	-.02	6%	1.6

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.22	1.3	29%	29%	.16	4%	1.7
IOWA Offense	13	51%	35%	14.8	26.8	156.7	5.8	10.6	7	7	.06	1.5	36%	22%	.08	5%	2

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2022 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 #111
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #111
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: Iowa: 8.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -13.4 Iowa: 12.7

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 8.85 NR
Iowa's Offense Rating: NR
Iowa's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #36
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Iowa's 2022 Expected Record: -
Iowa's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 12.7 #26
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.0 #118
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 5.1 #2

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 13.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.2
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Northwestern's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Iowa 21
Northwestern 17

Total Points: 38

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 20
Iowa 20

Total Points: 40

Based on Entire Season
Iowa 23
Northwestern 13

Total Points: 36

Iowa Scoring
Offense: 17.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 18.4
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 12.4

Iowa's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/26	Iowa	40	Northwestern	14	Iowa -16.5	Iowa	38.5	Over
2023	11/04	Northwestern	7	Iowa	10	Iowa -4.5	Northwestern	30.5	Under
2022	10/29	Iowa	33	Northwestern	13	Iowa -11.5	Iowa	37.0	Over
2021	11/06	Northwestern	12	Iowa	17	Iowa -11.5	Northwestern	40.5	Under
2020	10/31	Iowa	20	Northwestern	21	Iowa -3.0	Northwestern	0
2019	10/26	Northwestern	0	Iowa	20	Iowa -7.5	Iowa	35.5	Under
2018	11/10	Iowa	10	Northwestern	14	Iowa -10	Northwestern	46.5	Under
2017	10/21	Northwestern	17	Iowa	10	Northwestern -2.5	Northwestern	45.5	Under
2016	10/01	Iowa	31	Northwestern	38	Iowa -12	Northwestern	44.5	Over
2015	10/17	Northwestern	10	Iowa	40	Iowa -2.5	Iowa	41.0	Over
2014	11/01	Iowa	48	Northwestern	7	Iowa -6	Iowa	0
2013	10/26	Iowa	17	Northwestern	10	Iowa -3	Iowa	0
2012	10/27	Northwestern	28	Iowa	17
2011	10/15	Iowa	41	Northwestern	31
2010	11/13	Northwestern	21	Iowa	17
2009	11/07	Iowa	10	Northwestern	17
2008	09/27	Iowa	17	Northwestern	22
2007	11/03	Northwestern	17	Iowa	28
2006	11/04	Iowa	7	Northwestern	21
2005	11/05	Northwestern	28	Iowa	27
2002	11/09	Iowa	62	Northwestern	10
2001	11/10	Northwestern	16	Iowa	59
2000	11/10	Iowa	27	Northwestern	17

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Iowa	13	6	4 Overs
Northwestern	10	6	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 12	7 - 5	5 - 3	2 - 2
Road Teams	12 - 11	5 - 7	2 - 2	3 - 5

(#) NW at (#) IOWA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NW	IOWA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#26
Perf GradeGrade	#132	#29
OffenseOff	#123	#111
DefenseDef	#129	#1
Spec TeamsST	#61	#16
TalentTal	#46	#36
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Northwestern Injury Report

Iowa Injury Report

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	IOWA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#123	#1
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#2
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	IOWA Def
Run GameRun	#134	#5
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#65	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#3

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	IOWA Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#1
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#14	#49
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Iowa on Offense


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	NW Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#111	#129
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#118	#73
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Iowa Run Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	#118	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#57	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#99

Iowa Pass Game


CategoryCat	IOWA Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	#114	#131
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#131	#102
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Average P4

NW 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Kinnick Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 66°

Rematch from Week 9
Iowa -11.5 (37.0)
Iowa won vs Northwestern this year (33-13)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Northwestern last year (40-14)
Iowa beat Northwestern in 2023 (10-7)
Iowa beat Northwestern in 2022 (33-13)

NW's OC Mike Bajakian (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Jim O'Neil (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

IOWA's OC Brian Ferentz (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD