Northwestern at Purdue - 2022 Matchup Preview

Northwestern Wildcats at Purdue Boilermakers

Saturday, November 19th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Purdue -17.5 (44.5)
Purdue 17 - Northwestern: 9 (Big Ten)

Wildcats (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Fitzgerald (109 - 89)
Avg Score : 14 - 28 (11 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Wind: 16.2 MPH
NW 2nd straight Road Game
NW is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -13 (SP+ PUR -21)
Projected Score: NW: 20 - PUR: 28 (48)
PUR Win prob: 89% | Cover: 51%
NW Travel: 120 miles, 1 hrs behind

Boilermakers (8 - 6) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 29)
Avg Score : 27 - 27 (30 - 22 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NW Players
PUR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northwestern's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Northwestern vs Nebraska	+12.0	52.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Northwestern vs Duke	-10.0	56.5	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/17	Northwestern vs Southern Illinois	-13.5	58.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/24	Northwestern vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	50.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/1	Northwestern at Penn State	+25.5	50.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Northwestern vs Wisconsin	+10.0	44.5	L 7 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Northwestern at Maryland	+14.0	51.0	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Northwestern at Iowa	+11.5	37.0	L 13 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/5	Northwestern vs Ohio State	+37.5	55.0	L 7 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Northwestern at Minnesota	+17.0	40.5	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Northwestern at Purdue	+17.5	44.5	L 9 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Northwestern vs Illinois	+15.0	38.0	L 3 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Purdue's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 9/1	Purdue vs Penn State	+3.5	53.5	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/10	Purdue vs Indiana State	-37.0	54.0	W 56 - 0	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Purdue at Syracuse	+1.5	59.5	L 29 - 32	O	N
Sat 9/24	Purdue vs Florida Atlantic	-16.0	57.0	W 28 - 26	U	N
Sat 10/1	Purdue at Minnesota	+9.0	53.0	W 20 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Purdue at Maryland	+3.0	59.5	W 31 - 29	O	Y
Sat 10/15	Purdue vs Nebraska	-14.0	56.0	W 43 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/22	Purdue at Wisconsin	+1.5	51.5	L 24 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Purdue vs Iowa	-3.5	39.5	L 3 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/12	Purdue at Illinois	+6.0	44.0	W 31 - 24	O	Y
Sat 11/19	Purdue vs Northwestern	-17.5	44.5	W 17 - 9	U	N
Sat 11/26	Purdue at Indiana	-10.0	52.5	W 30 - 16	U	Y
Sat 12/3	Purdue vs Michigan	+16.0	53.0	L 22 - 43	O	N
Mon 1/2	Purdue vs LSU	+15.0	54.0	L 7 - 63	O	N

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	.01	37%	13.8	38%	2.63	125	38%	210	2.67	.17	45%	28.3	46%	44%	4.03	40.8	2.5	1.5
PUR	.15	44%	26.6	47%	3	121	43%	278	3.52	.16	41%	27.4	42%	41%	4.38	53.4	1.6	1.7

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	#129 (.02)	37% (123)		39% (113)	2.63 (124)	99	36% (116)	186	3.02 (127)	#57 (.15)	45% (106)		44% (80)	46% (117)	3.74 (64)	38.8	1.5	1.3
PUR	#112 (.11)	41% (96)		42% (90)	3.04 (65)	116	40% (93)	184	3.34 (115)	#134 (.39)	49% (129)		49% (120)	50% (129)	4.82 (134)	51.8	1.6	0.4

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Offense	12	13.8	11.2	37.2%	2.67	2.5	19	335	125	210	3.2	51%	47%	38%	38%	18%	.01
PUR Defense	14	27.4	21.8	40.8%	4.38	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	42%	41%	16%	.16

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Defense	12	28.3	25.8	45.1%	4.03	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	59%	41%	46%	44%	13%	.17
PUR Offense	14	26.6	29.7	43.7%	3.52	1.6	23	399	121	278	3.6	41%	58%	47%	43%	13%	.15

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northwestern	12	29:01	19	37%	49%	4.6	40.8	2.5	1.5	4.5	1.9	0	26.9
Purdue	14	31:51	23	38%	55%	5.3	53.4	1.6	1.7	4.3	1.9	3	28.5

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Offense	12	51%	38%	39.1	125.1	3.2	11	-.04	2.63	67%	9%	0.86
PUR Defense	14	50%	42%	-	-	-	-	.12	3.04	71%	9%	0.93

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Defense	12	59%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.16	74%	8%	0.92
PUR Offense	14	41%	47%	33.4	121.1	3.6	17	.09	3	79%	6%	0.76

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Offense	12	47%	38%	20.4	34.8	210.3	6.1	10.3	10	17	.15	1.4	33%	21%	.04	9%	1.9
PUR Defense	14	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	15	.28	1.6	30%	23%	.09	7%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.22	1.3	29%	29%	.16	4%	1.7
PUR Offense	14	58%	43%	26.3	41.5	278.2	6.7	10.6	26	17	.24	1.4	30%	28%	.18	7%	1.8

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2022 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 #111
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #111
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: Purdue: 6.35

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -13.4 Purdue: 7.7

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: 6.35 NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Purdue's 2022 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7 #47
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6 #49
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 13.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.2
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Northwestern's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Purdue 28
Northwestern 20

Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Purdue 27
Northwestern 21

Total Points: 49

Based on Entire Season
Purdue 28
Northwestern 19

Total Points: 47

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 26.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.8

Purdue's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Northwestern	19	Purdue	0	Northwestern -3	Northwestern	47.5	Under
2024	11/02	Purdue	20	Northwestern	26	Purdue -3	Northwestern	44.5	Over
2023	11/18	Northwestern	23	Purdue	15	Northwestern -2.5	Northwestern	47.5	Under
2022	11/19	Purdue	17	Northwestern	9	Purdue -17.5	Northwestern	44.5	Under
2021	11/20	Northwestern	14	Purdue	32	Purdue -11	Purdue	47.5	Under
2020	11/14	Purdue	20	Northwestern	27	Northwestern -3.5	Northwestern	48.5	Under
2019	11/09	Northwestern	22	Purdue	24	Purdue -0.0	Purdue	38.5	Over
2018	08/30	Purdue	27	Northwestern	31	Purdue -1	Northwestern	52.5	Over
2017	11/11	Northwestern	23	Purdue	13	Northwestern -6	Northwestern	49.5	Under
2016	11/12	Purdue	17	Northwestern	45	Northwestern -10.5	Northwestern	58.0	Over
2015	11/14	Northwestern	21	Purdue	14	Northwestern -13	Purdue	48.0	Under
2014	11/22	Purdue	14	Northwestern	38	Northwestern -2	Northwestern	0
2010	10/09	Northwestern	17	Purdue	20
2009	10/03	Purdue	21	Northwestern	27
2008	10/18	Northwestern	48	Purdue	26
2007	10/27	Purdue	35	Northwestern	17
2006	10/14	Northwestern	10	Purdue	31
2005	10/15	Purdue	29	Northwestern	34
2004	10/30	Northwestern	13	Purdue	10
2003	11/01	Purdue	34	Northwestern	14
2002	10/26	Northwestern	13	Purdue	42
2001	10/27	Purdue	32	Northwestern	27
2000	10/13	Northwestern	28	Purdue	41

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Purdue	10	3	4 Overs
Northwestern	13	9	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 13	3 - 9	3 - 5	0 - 4
Road Teams	13 - 10	9 - 3	4 - 0	5 - 3

(#) NW at (#) PUR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NW	PUR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#47
Perf GradeGrade	#132	#105
OffenseOff	#123	#80
DefenseDef	#129	#112
Spec TeamsST	#61	#88
TalentTal	#46	#51
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Northwestern Injury Report

Purdue Injury Report

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	PUR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#123	#112
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#39
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#134	#115
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#65	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#91

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#104
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#14	#73
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Purdue on Offense


CategoryCat	PUR Off	NW Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#80	#129
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#49	#73
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Purdue Run Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	#91	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#75	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#99

Purdue Pass Game


CategoryCat	PUR Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	#90	#131
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#69	#102
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

NW 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ross-Ade Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 30° - Wind: 16 mph

Rematch from Week 12
Purdue -17.5 (44.5)
Purdue won vs Northwestern this year (17-9)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Purdue last year (26-20)
Northwestern beat Purdue in 2023 (23-15)
Purdue beat Northwestern in 2022 (17-9)

NW's OC Mike Bajakian (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Jim O'Neil (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Ron English (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD