Wyoming at Illinois - 2022 Matchup Preview

Wyoming Cowboys at Illinois Fighting Illini

Saturday, August 27th 2022 (4:00 PM EDT)
Illinois -14 (42.5)
Illinois 38 - Wyoming: 6

Cowboys (7 - 6) (6 - 6 - 1)
Coach Craig Bohl (45 - 50)
Avg Score : 16 - 21 (11 - 23 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -16 (SP+ ILL -27)
Projected Score: WYO: 16 - ILL: 26 (42)
ILL Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
WYO Travel: 910 miles, 1 hrs behind

Fighting Illini (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
WYO Players
ILL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Wyoming's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Wyoming at Illinois	+14.0	42.5	L 6 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/3	Wyoming vs Tulsa	+6.5	47.0	W 40 - 37	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Wyoming vs Northern Colorado	-23.5	54.5	W 33 - 10	U	N
Fri 9/16	Wyoming vs Air Force	+16.5	47.0	W 17 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Wyoming at BYU	+21.5	50.0	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Wyoming vs San José State	+2.5	42.5	L 16 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/8	Wyoming at New Mexico	-3.0	37.0	W 27 - 14	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Wyoming vs Utah State	-5.0	44.5	W 28 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Wyoming at Hawai'i	-11.5	50.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/12	Wyoming at Colorado State	-8.5	42.5	W 14 - 13	U	N
Sat 11/19	Wyoming vs Boise State	+14.5	44.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Wyoming at Fresno State	+15.0	50.5	L 0 - 30	U	N
Fri 12/30	Wyoming vs Ohio	+3.0	43.0	L 27 - 30	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wyoming's Schedule

Illinois's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Illinois vs Wyoming	-14.0	42.5	W 38 - 6	O	Y
Fri 9/2	Illinois at Indiana	+1.0	47.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/10	Illinois vs Virginia	-4.0	55.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 9/22	Illinois vs Chattanooga	-20.0	44.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Illinois at Wisconsin	+6.5	43.0	W 34 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Illinois vs Iowa	-3.5	36.5	W 9 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/15	Illinois vs Minnesota	+4.5	40.0	W 26 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Illinois at Nebraska	-7.5	50.5	W 26 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Illinois vs Michigan State	-16.5	41.0	L 15 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/12	Illinois vs Purdue	-6.0	44.0	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/19	Illinois at Michigan	+17.0	41.5	L 17 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Illinois at Northwestern	-15.0	38.0	W 41 - 3	O	Y
Mon 1/2	Illinois vs Mississippi State	+3.5	46.5	L 10 - 19	U	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO	.22	44%	16	47%	3.26	212	40%	163	3.79	.17	41%	20.5	42%	41%	3.2	44.9	1.4	1.4
ILL	.13	40%	29.4	45%	3.38	174	33%	156	3.16	.18	44%	23.6	45%	42%	3.34	52.8	1	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
WYO		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Offense	13	16	11.3	44.3%	3.79	1.4	19	374	212	163	5.1	61%	39%	47%	40%	14%	.22
ILL Defense	12	23.6	14.4	43.6%	3.34	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	45%	42%	15%	.18

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
WYO Defense	13	20.5	22.7	41.2%	3.2	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	42%	41%	13%	.17
ILL Offense	12	29.4	31.3	39.7%	3.16	1	18	330	174	156	4.5	59%	41%	45%	33%	16%	.13

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Wyoming	13	29:56	18.5	43%	35%	5.1	44.9	1.4	1.4	4.4	1.8	4	28.1
Illinois	12	29:11	17.6	38%	38%	5	52.8	1	1.6	5.7	2.5	0	28

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Offense	13	61%	47%	41.8	211.7	5.1	24	.23	3.26	77%	9%	1.04
ILL Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.21	78%	9%	0.83

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
WYO Defense	13	56%	42%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.27	72%	7%	1
ILL Offense	12	59%	45%	39	173.6	4.5	12	.15	3.38	86%	9%	0.87

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Offense	13	39%	40%	12.5	22.8	162.7	7.1	13.1	15	12	.21	1.6	30%	28%	.35	6%	2.1
ILL Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.26	1.4	31%	27%	.18	6%	1.7

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
WYO Defense	13	44%	41%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.22	1.6	33%	31%	.3	6%	1.8
ILL Offense	12	41%	33%	13.8	26.8	156.2	5.8	11.4	13	6	.12	1.7	34%	25%	.15	7%	1.8

Wyoming's Power Ratings
Wyoming's Power Rating: NR
Wyoming's Offense Rating: NR
Wyoming's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #125
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wyoming's 2022 Expected Record: -
Wyoming's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.8 #101
Wyoming's Offense SP+ Rating: 14.9 #125
Wyoming's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #63

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: Illinois: 10.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wyoming: -10.8 Illinois: 15.9

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 10.45 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2022 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #17
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #98
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 5.5 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Wyoming Scoring
Offense: 16 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.3
Defense: 20.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.7

Wyoming's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Illinois 26
Wyoming 16

Projected Total Points: 42

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	08/27	Illinois	38	Wyoming	6	Illinois -14	Illinois	42.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Illinois	1	1	1 Overs
Wyoming	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#) WYO at (#) ILL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	WYO	ILL
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#101	#17
Perf GradeGrade	#95	#8
OffenseOff	#93	#24
DefenseDef	#93	#4
Spec TeamsST	#45	#56
TalentTal	#125	#56
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Wyoming Injury Report

Illinois Injury Report

Wyoming on Offense


CategoryCat	WYO Off	ILL Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#93	#4
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#125	#3
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Wyoming Run Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	#56	#8
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#29	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#30

Wyoming Pass Game


CategoryCat	WYO Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#3
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#23	#40
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	WYO Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#24	#93
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#98	#63
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	WYO Def
Run GameRun	#51	#108
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#132

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	WYO Def
Pass GamePass	#21	#70
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#39	#124
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

WYO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Illinois -14.0 (42.5)
Illinois won vs Wyoming this year (38-6)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

WYO's OC Tim Polasek (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Wyoming's Full Roster

WYO's DC Jay Sawvel (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Ryan Walters (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD