Illinois at Wisconsin - 2022 Matchup Preview
Illinois logo   Illinois Fighting Illini at Wisconsin Badgers  Wisconsin logo
Saturday, October 1st 2022 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -6.5 (43.0)
Illinois 34 - Wisconsin: 10  (Big Ten)

 
Fighting Illini (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (27 - 36 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
WIS is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: -1.5  (SP+ ILL -7.5)
Projected Score: ILL: 24 - WIS: 22 (46)
WIS Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
ILL Travel: 214 miles
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Paul Chryst (65 - 23)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Illinois's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Illinois vs Wyoming-14.042.5W 38 - 6OY
Fri 9/2 Illinois at Indiana+1.047.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/10 Illinois vs Virginia-4.055.0W 24 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/22 Illinois vs Chattanooga-20.044.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 Illinois at Wisconsin+6.543.0W 34 - 10OY
Sat 10/8 Illinois vs Iowa-3.536.5W 9 - 6UN
Sat 10/15 Illinois vs Minnesota+4.540.0W 26 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Illinois at Nebraska-7.550.5W 26 - 9UY
Sat 11/5 Illinois vs Michigan State-16.541.0L 15 - 23UN
Sat 11/12 Illinois vs Purdue-6.044.0L 24 - 31ON
Sat 11/19 Illinois at Michigan+17.041.5L 17 - 19UY
Sat 11/26 Illinois at Northwestern-15.038.0W 41 - 3OY
Mon 1/2 Illinois vs Mississippi State+3.546.5L 10 - 19UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Wisconsin vs Illinois State-36.542.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/10 Wisconsin vs Washington State-17.548.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/17 Wisconsin vs New Mexico State-38.045.5W 66 - 7OY
Sat 9/24 Wisconsin at Ohio State+19.056.5L 21 - 52ON
Sat 10/1 Wisconsin vs Illinois-6.543.0L 10 - 34ON
Sat 10/8 Wisconsin at Northwestern-10.044.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/15 Wisconsin at Michigan State-7.049.5L 28 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 Wisconsin vs Purdue-1.551.5W 35 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Wisconsin vs Maryland-5.047.5W 23 - 10UY
Sat 11/12 Wisconsin at Iowa+1.035.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/19 Wisconsin at Nebraska-10.040.5W 15 - 14UN
Sat 11/26 Wisconsin vs Minnesota-3.037.0L 16 - 23ON
Tue 12/27 Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State-5.045.0W 24 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL.1340%29.445%3.3817433%1563.16.1844%23.645%42%3.3452.811.6
WIS.1445%12.847%3.1521142%1603.07.0233%21.633%33%2.8743.61.82.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WIS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Offense1229.426.639.7%3.161183301741564.559%41%45%33%16%.13
WIS Defense1321.618.332.9%2.872.1 - - - - - 49%51%33%33%21%.02
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ILL Defense1223.635.643.6%3.341.6 - - - - - 52%48%45%42%15%.18
WIS Offense1312.815.644.5%3.071.8203712111604.862%38%47%42%13%.14

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Illinois1229:1117.638%38%552.811.65.72.5028
Wisconsin1333:4720.134%55%5.443.61.82.173329.6
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Offense1259%45%39173.64.512.153.3886%9%0.87
WIS Defense1349%33% - - - - -.042.1173%14%0.93
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ILL Defense1252%45% - - - - .143.2178%9%0.83
WIS Offense1362%47%43.6210.94.826.163.1570%8%0.92

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Offense1241%33%13.826.8156.25.811.4136.121.734%25%.157%1.8
WIS Defense1351%33% - - - - - - 16.081.638%28%.267%1.9
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ILL Defense1248%42% - - - - - - 9.261.431%27%.186%1.7
WIS Offense1338%42%13.623.1160.26.911.81113.141.427%32%.165%1.6

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2022 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9  #17
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #98
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 5.5  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois:    Wisconsin: 6.65

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 15.9   Wisconsin: 8.3




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 6.65 NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Wisconsin's 2022 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #42
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #68
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.6

Illinois's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 24
Wisconsin 22

Projected Total Points: 46
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/22Wisconsin27Illinois10Illinois -8.5Wisconsin42.5Under
202310/21Illinois21Wisconsin25Wisconsin -3Wisconsin40.5Over
202210/01Wisconsin10Illinois34Wisconsin -6.5Illinois43.0Over
202110/09Illinois0Wisconsin24Wisconsin -12.5Wisconsin42.0Under
202010/23Wisconsin45Illinois7Wisconsin -20.5Wisconsin51.5Over
201910/19Illinois24Wisconsin23Wisconsin -28.5Illinois52.0Under
201810/20Wisconsin49Illinois20Wisconsin -24Wisconsin53.5Over
201710/28Illinois10Wisconsin24Wisconsin -28.5Illinois51.0Under
201611/12Wisconsin48Illinois3Wisconsin -26.5Wisconsin42.0Over
201510/24Illinois13Wisconsin24Wisconsin -7Wisconsin46.5Under
201410/11Wisconsin38Illinois28Wisconsin -24Illinois0
201310/19Illinois32Wisconsin56Wisconsin -10Wisconsin0
201210/06Wisconsin31Illinois14
201111/19Illinois17Wisconsin28
200810/25Wisconsin27Illinois17
200710/06Illinois31Wisconsin26
200610/28Wisconsin30Illinois24
200510/29Illinois24Wisconsin41
200410/02Wisconsin24Illinois7
200309/27Illinois20Wisconsin38
200211/09Wisconsin20Illinois37
200110/20Illinois42Wisconsin35
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin1785 Overs
Illinois545 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 106 - 63 - 23 - 4
Road Teams10 - 126 - 64 - 32 - 3

(#) ILL at (#) WIS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatILLWIS
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #17 #42
Perf GradeGrade #8 #27
OffenseOff #24 #47
DefenseDef #4 #26
Spec TeamsST #56 #34
TalentTal #56 #25
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCat
ILL OffWIS Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #24 #26
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #20
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #51 #47
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #75
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #21 #23
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #39 #37
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Wisconsin on Offense
CategoryCatWIS OffILL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #47 #4
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wisconsin Run Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffILL Def
Run GameRun #74 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #29 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #30
Wisconsin Pass Game
CategoryCatWIS OffILL Def
Pass GamePass #50 #3
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #15 #40
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 5
Wisconsin -6.5 (43.0)
Illinois won at Wisconsin this year (34-10)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Illinois last year (27-10)
Wisconsin beat Illinois in 2023 (25-21)

  
ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Ryan Walters (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

WIS's OC Bobby Engram (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Jim Leonhard (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD