Illinois at Michigan - 2022 Matchup Preview

Illinois Fighting Illini at Michigan Wolverines

Saturday, November 19th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Michigan -17 (41.5)
Michigan 19 - Illinois: 17 (Big Ten)

Fighting Illini (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (27 - 36 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

MICH 2nd straight Home Game
MICH is playing their 4th straight game
ILL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -10.5 (SP+ MICH -16)
Projected Score: ILL: 23 - MICH: 29 (52)
MICH Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
ILL Travel: 277 miles, 1 hrs behind

Wolverines (13 - 1) (8 - 5 - 1)
Coach Jim Harbaugh (61 - 24)
Avg Score : 28 - 20 (29 - 13 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ILL Players
MICH Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Illinois's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Illinois vs Wyoming	-14.0	42.5	W 38 - 6	O	Y
Fri 9/2	Illinois at Indiana	+1.0	47.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/10	Illinois vs Virginia	-4.0	55.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 9/22	Illinois vs Chattanooga	-20.0	44.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Illinois at Wisconsin	+6.5	43.0	W 34 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Illinois vs Iowa	-3.5	36.5	W 9 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/15	Illinois vs Minnesota	+4.5	40.0	W 26 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Illinois at Nebraska	-7.5	50.5	W 26 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Illinois vs Michigan State	-16.5	41.0	L 15 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/12	Illinois vs Purdue	-6.0	44.0	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/19	Illinois at Michigan	+17.0	41.5	L 17 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Illinois at Northwestern	-15.0	38.0	W 41 - 3	O	Y
Mon 1/2	Illinois vs Mississippi State	+3.5	46.5	L 10 - 19	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Michigan's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Michigan vs Colorado State	-31.0	60.5	W 51 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/10	Michigan vs Hawai'i	-52.5	66.5	W 56 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/17	Michigan vs UConn	-47.5	59.0	W 59 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Michigan vs Maryland	-17.0	66.0	W 34 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/1	Michigan at Iowa	-10.5	42.0	W 27 - 14	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Michigan at Indiana	-23.5	57.5	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 10/15	Michigan vs Penn State	-7.0	49.0	W 41 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Michigan vs Michigan State	-22.0	55.0	W 29 - 7	U	N
Sat 11/5	Michigan at Rutgers	-26.0	45.0	W 52 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/12	Michigan vs Nebraska	-30.5	49.5	W 34 - 3	U	Y
Sat 11/19	Michigan vs Illinois	-17.0	41.5	W 19 - 17	U	N
Sat 11/26	Michigan at Ohio State	+9.0	56.0	W 45 - 23	O	Y
Sat 12/3	Michigan vs Purdue	-16.0	53.0	W 43 - 22	O	Y
Sat 12/31	Michigan vs TCU	-8.0	56.0	L 45 - 51	O	N

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL	.13	40%	29.4	45%	3.38	174	33%	156	3.16	.18	44%	23.6	45%	42%	3.34	52.8	1	1.6
MICH	.27	47%	27.5	49%	3.18	214	43%	229	4.15	.12	38%	20.4	39%	38%	3.03	41.5	1	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
MICH		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Offense	12	29.4	26.6	39.7%	3.16	1	18	330	174	156	4.5	59%	41%	45%	33%	16%	.13
MICH Defense	14	20.4	13.3	38.3%	3.03	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	46%	54%	39%	38%	17%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Defense	12	23.6	35.6	43.6%	3.34	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	45%	42%	15%	.18
MICH Offense	14	27.5	29.2	46.5%	4.15	1	22	443	214	229	5.2	57%	43%	49%	43%	10%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Illinois	12	29:11	17.6	38%	38%	5	52.8	1	1.6	5.7	2.5	0	28
Michigan	14	31:21	21.8	46%	52%	4.9	41.5	1	1.2	5.1	2.4	2	31.1

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Offense	12	59%	45%	39	173.6	4.5	12	.15	3.38	86%	9%	0.87
MICH Defense	14	46%	39%	-	-	-	-	.05	2.78	66%	10%	0.91

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.21	78%	9%	0.83
MICH Offense	14	57%	49%	41.1	214.4	5.2	39	.22	3.18	79%	5%	0.94

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Offense	12	41%	33%	13.8	26.8	156.2	5.8	11.4	13	6	.12	1.7	34%	25%	.15	7%	1.8
MICH Defense	14	54%	38%	-	-	-	-	-	-	8	.18	1.5	33%	26%	.16	7%	2

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.26	1.4	31%	27%	.18	6%	1.7
MICH Offense	14	43%	43%	17.7	28.2	228.7	8.1	12.9	21	9	.33	1.6	28%	39%	.55	5%	2

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2022 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #17
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #98
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 5.5 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: Michigan: 18.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 15.9 Michigan: 32.0

Michigan's Power Ratings
Michigan's Power Rating: 18.5 NR
Michigan's Offense Rating: NR
Michigan's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #14
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Michigan's 2022 Expected Record: -
Michigan's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 32.0 #2
Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.0 #21
Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 7.6 #4

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.6

Illinois's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Michigan 29
Illinois 23

Projected Total Points: 52

Michigan Scoring
Offense: 27.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.2
Defense: 20.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 13.3

Michigan's 2022 Record
Record: 13 - 1
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 9
Record at home: 8 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/19	Illinois	21	Michigan	7	Michigan -6	Illinois	44.0	Under
2022	11/19	Michigan	19	Illinois	17	Michigan -17	Illinois	41.5	Under
2019	10/12	Illinois	25	Michigan	42	Michigan -24.5	Illinois	49.0	Over
2016	10/22	Michigan	41	Illinois	8	Michigan -28	Michigan	51.5	Under
2012	10/13	Michigan	45	Illinois	0
2011	11/12	Illinois	14	Michigan	31
2010	11/06	Michigan	67	Illinois	65
2009	10/31	Illinois	38	Michigan	13
2008	10/04	Michigan	20	Illinois	45
2007	10/20	Illinois	17	Michigan	27
2004	10/16	Illinois	19	Michigan	30
2003	10/18	Michigan	56	Illinois	14
2002	09/28	Illinois	28	Michigan	45
2001	09/29	Michigan	45	Illinois	20
2000	09/22	Illinois	31	Michigan	35

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Michigan	12	1	1 Overs
Illinois	3	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	8 - 7	3 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 0
Road Teams	7 - 8	1 - 3	0 - 2	1 - 1

(#) ILL at (#) MICH

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ILL	MICH
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#2
Perf GradeGrade	#8	#2
OffenseOff	#24	#10
DefenseDef	#4	#2
Spec TeamsST	#56	#27
TalentTal	#56	#14
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Illinois Injury Report

Michigan Injury Report

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	MICH Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#24	#2
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#98	#4
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	MICH Def
Run GameRun	#51	#2
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#2

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	MICH Def
Pass GamePass	#21	#2
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#39	#17
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Michigan on Offense


CategoryCat	MICH Off	ILL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#10	#4
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#21	#3
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Michigan Run Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	#1	#8
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#21	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#30

Michigan Pass Game


CategoryCat	MICH Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	#54	#3
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#24	#40
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MICH 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'22 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Michigan Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Michigan -17.0 (41.5)
Michigan won vs Illinois this year (19-17)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Michigan in 2024 (21-7)

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Ryan Walters (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MICH's OC Sherrone Moore (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Michigan's Full Roster

MICH's DC Jesse Minter (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD