Illinois at Nebraska - 2022 Matchup Preview

Illinois Fighting Illini at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Saturday, October 29th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Illinois -7.5 (50.5)
Illinois 26 - Nebraska: 9 (Big Ten)

Fighting Illini (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (27 - 36 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

ILL coming off BYE
NEB coming off BYE
Our Line: -6 (SP+ ILL -17)
Projected Score: ILL: 25 - NEB: 31 (56)
ILL Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
ILL Travel: 448 miles

Cornhuskers (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Scott Frost (15 - 29)
Avg Score : 29 - 25 (36 - 21 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
ILL Players
NEB Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Illinois's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Illinois vs Wyoming	-14.0	42.5	W 38 - 6	O	Y
Fri 9/2	Illinois at Indiana	+1.0	47.5	L 20 - 23	U	N
Sat 9/10	Illinois vs Virginia	-4.0	55.0	W 24 - 3	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 9/22	Illinois vs Chattanooga	-20.0	44.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Illinois at Wisconsin	+6.5	43.0	W 34 - 10	O	Y
Sat 10/8	Illinois vs Iowa	-3.5	36.5	W 9 - 6	U	N
Sat 10/15	Illinois vs Minnesota	+4.5	40.0	W 26 - 14	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Illinois at Nebraska	-7.5	50.5	W 26 - 9	U	Y
Sat 11/5	Illinois vs Michigan State	-16.5	41.0	L 15 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/12	Illinois vs Purdue	-6.0	44.0	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 11/19	Illinois at Michigan	+17.0	41.5	L 17 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Illinois at Northwestern	-15.0	38.0	W 41 - 3	O	Y
Mon 1/2	Illinois vs Mississippi State	+3.5	46.5	L 10 - 19	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule

Nebraska's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Nebraska vs Northwestern	-12.0	52.5	L 28 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/3	Nebraska vs North Dakota	-28.5	62.5	W 38 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/10	Nebraska vs Georgia Southern	-23.5	64.0	L 42 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/17	Nebraska vs Oklahoma	+10.5	65.5	L 14 - 49	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/1	Nebraska vs Indiana	-6.5	62.0	W 35 - 21	U	Y
Fri 10/7	Nebraska at Rutgers	-3.0	50.5	W 14 - 13	U	N
Sat 10/15	Nebraska at Purdue	+14.0	56.0	L 37 - 43	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29	Nebraska vs Illinois	+7.5	50.5	L 9 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/5	Nebraska vs Minnesota	+14.5	44.5	L 13 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Nebraska at Michigan	+30.5	49.5	L 3 - 34	U	N
Sat 11/19	Nebraska vs Wisconsin	+10.0	40.5	L 14 - 15	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Nebraska at Iowa	+10.5	38.0	W 24 - 17	O	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL	.13	40%	29.4	45%	3.38	174	33%	156	3.16	.18	44%	23.6	45%	42%	3.34	52.8	1	1.6
NEB	.27	45%	28.7	43%	3.05	181	47%	266	3.97	.19	44%	24.6	45%	44%	2.97	45	1.5	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ILL		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
NEB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Offense	12	29.4	26.6	39.7%	3.16	1	18	330	174	156	4.5	59%	41%	45%	33%	16%	.13
NEB Defense	12	24.6	20.9	44.2%	2.97	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	45%	44%	16%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ILL Defense	12	23.6	35.6	43.6%	3.34	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	52%	48%	45%	42%	15%	.18
NEB Offense	12	28.7	36.1	44.5%	3.97	1.5	22	448	181	266	4.4	54%	46%	43%	47%	15%	.27

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Illinois	12	29:11	17.6	38%	38%	5	52.8	1	1.6	5.7	2.5	0	28
Nebraska	12	28:53	21.6	41%	58%	5.3	45	1.5	1.1	5.6	1.7	0	28

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Offense	12	59%	45%	39	173.6	4.5	12	.15	3.38	86%	9%	0.87
NEB Defense	12	49%	45%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.96	71%	9%	0.82

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ILL Defense	12	52%	45%	-	-	-	-	.14	3.21	78%	9%	0.83
NEB Offense	12	54%	43%	40.8	181.2	4.4	31	.2	3.05	63%	10%	1.1

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Offense	12	41%	33%	13.8	26.8	156.2	5.8	11.4	13	6	.12	1.7	34%	25%	.15	7%	1.8
NEB Defense	12	50%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.3	1.5	29%	31%	.35	7%	1.8

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ILL Defense	12	48%	42%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.26	1.4	31%	27%	.18	6%	1.7
NEB Offense	12	46%	47%	17.9	28.5	266.4	9.4	14.9	14	11	.37	1.6	28%	30%	.26	5%	2

Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Illinois's 2022 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9 #17
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6 #98
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 5.5 #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Illinois: Nebraska: 1.9

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Illinois: 15.9 Nebraska: -1.2

Nebraska's Power Ratings
Nebraska's Power Rating: 1.9 NR
Nebraska's Offense Rating: NR
Nebraska's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #24
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Nebraska's 2022 Expected Record: -
Nebraska's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.2 #71
Nebraska's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #74
Nebraska's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #59

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 26.6
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.6

Illinois's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record on Road: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Nebraska 31
Illinois 25

Projected Total Points: 56

Nebraska Scoring
Offense: 28.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.1
Defense: 24.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.9

Nebraska's 2022 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	09/20	Nebraska	24	Illinois	31	Nebraska -9.5	Illinois	41.5	Over
2023	10/06	Illinois	7	Nebraska	20	Illinois -3.5	Nebraska	43.0	Under
2022	10/29	Nebraska	9	Illinois	26	Illinois -7.5	Illinois	50.5	Under
2021	08/28	Illinois	30	Nebraska	22	Nebraska -6.5	Illinois	52.0	Push
2020	11/21	Nebraska	23	Illinois	41	Nebraska -17.0	Illinois	61.0	Over
2019	09/21	Illinois	38	Nebraska	42	Nebraska -13	Illinois	62.5	Over
2018	11/10	Nebraska	54	Illinois	35	Nebraska -17	Nebraska	71.0	Over
2017	09/29	Illinois	6	Nebraska	28	Nebraska -6.5	Nebraska	47.5	Under
2016	10/01	Nebraska	31	Illinois	16	Nebraska -21.5	Illinois	53.0	Under
2015	10/03	Illinois	14	Nebraska	13	Nebraska -7.5	Illinois	57.0	Under
2014	09/27	Nebraska	45	Illinois	14	Nebraska -19	Nebraska	0
2013	10/05	Nebraska	39	Illinois	19	Nebraska -10.5	Nebraska	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Nebraska	7	5	4 Overs
Illinois	5	7	5 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 6	6 - 6	3 - 4	3 - 2
Road Teams	6 - 6	6 - 6	2 - 3	4 - 3

(#) ILL at (#) NEB

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ILL	NEB
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#17	#71
Perf GradeGrade	#8	#112
OffenseOff	#24	#102
DefenseDef	#4	#107
Spec TeamsST	#56	#88
TalentTal	#56	#24
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Illinois Injury Report

Nebraska Injury Report

Illinois on Offense


CategoryCat	ILL Off	NEB Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#24	#107
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#98	#59
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Illinois Run Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	NEB Def
Run GameRun	#51	#125
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#22	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#52

Illinois Pass Game


CategoryCat	ILL Off	NEB Def
Pass GamePass	#21	#96
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#39	#46
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Nebraska on Offense


CategoryCat	NEB Off	ILL Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#102	#4
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#74	#3
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Nebraska Run Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	ILL Def
Run GameRun	#82	#8
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#112	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#30

Nebraska Pass Game


CategoryCat	NEB Off	ILL Def
Pass GamePass	#71	#3
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#134	#40
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
NEB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Down to Top G5

ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 9
Illinois 7.5 (50.5)
Illinois won at Nebraska this year (26-9)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Nebraska in 2024 (31-24)
Nebraska beat Illinois in 2023 (20-7)

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Ryan Walters (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

NEB's OC Mark Whipple (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Nebraska's Full Roster

NEB's DC Erik Chinander (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD