Northwestern at Maryland - 2022 Matchup Preview

Northwestern Wildcats at Maryland Terrapins

Saturday, October 22nd 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Maryland -14 (51.0)
Maryland 31 - Northwestern: 24 (Big Ten)

Wildcats (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Fitzgerald (109 - 89)
Avg Score : 14 - 28 (11 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

NW coming off BYE
MD is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -15 (SP+ MD -25)
Projected Score: NW: 18 - MD: 27 (45)
MD Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
NW Travel: 602 miles, 1 hrs behind

Terrapins (8 - 5) (7 - 6 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (12 - 23)
Avg Score : 28 - 23 (31 - 21 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
NW Players
MD Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Northwestern's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/27	Northwestern vs Nebraska	+12.0	52.5	W 31 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/10	Northwestern vs Duke	-10.0	56.5	L 23 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/17	Northwestern vs Southern Illinois	-13.5	58.5	L 24 - 31	U	N
Sat 9/24	Northwestern vs Miami (OH)	-7.5	50.0	L 14 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/1	Northwestern at Penn State	+25.5	50.0	L 7 - 17	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Northwestern vs Wisconsin	+10.0	44.5	L 7 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Northwestern at Maryland	+14.0	51.0	L 24 - 31	O	Y
Sat 10/29	Northwestern at Iowa	+11.5	37.0	L 13 - 33	O	N
Sat 11/5	Northwestern vs Ohio State	+37.5	55.0	L 7 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Northwestern at Minnesota	+17.0	40.5	L 3 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Northwestern at Purdue	+17.5	44.5	L 9 - 17	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Northwestern vs Illinois	+15.0	38.0	L 3 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule

Maryland's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Maryland vs Buffalo	-24.0	66.0	W 31 - 10	U	N
Sat 9/10	Maryland at Charlotte	-28.0	65.0	W 56 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/17	Maryland vs SMU	-3.0	74.0	W 34 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/24	Maryland at Michigan	+17.0	66.0	L 27 - 34	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Maryland vs Michigan State	-7.5	58.5	W 27 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/8	Maryland vs Purdue	-3.0	59.5	L 29 - 31	O	N
Sat 10/15	Maryland at Indiana	-11.0	63.0	W 38 - 33	O	N
Sat 10/22	Maryland vs Northwestern	-14.0	51.0	W 31 - 24	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5	Maryland at Wisconsin	+5.0	47.5	L 10 - 23	U	N
Sat 11/12	Maryland at Penn State	+10.5	56.5	L 0 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/19	Maryland vs Ohio State	+26.5	62.5	L 30 - 43	O	Y
Sat 11/26	Maryland vs Rutgers	-14.5	48.5	W 37 - 0	U	Y
Fri 12/30	Maryland vs NC State	+2.5	45.0	W 16 - 12	U	Y

Important Stats (2022)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	.01	37%	13.8	38%	2.63	125	38%	210	2.67	.17	45%	28.3	46%	44%	4.03	40.8	2.5	1.5
MD	.19	41%	28.2	42%	2.95	141	41%	260	4.19	.1	40%	23.2	41%	40%	3.44	71.1	1.2	1.6

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
NW	#129 (.02)	37% (123)		39% (113)	2.63 (124)	99	36% (116)	186	3.02 (127)	#57 (.15)	45% (106)		44% (80)	46% (117)	3.74 (64)	38.8	1.5	1.3
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)		41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)		42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4

Overall Stats 2022

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Offense	12	13.8	11.2	37.2%	2.67	2.5	19	335	125	210	3.2	51%	47%	38%	38%	18%	.01
MD Defense	13	23.2	21.1	40.2%	3.44	1.6	-	-	-	-	-	49%	50%	41%	40%	15%	.1

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
NW Defense	12	28.3	25.8	45.1%	4.03	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	59%	41%	46%	44%	13%	.17
MD Offense	13	28.2	31.3	41%	4.19	1.2	20	402	141	260	3.9	46%	53%	42%	41%	17%	.19

Additional Stats 2022

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Northwestern	12	29:01	19	37%	49%	4.6	40.8	2.5	1.5	4.5	1.9	0	26.9
Maryland	13	31:06	20.2	42%	61%	7.8	71.1	1.2	1.6	4.8	1.8	0	28.7

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Offense	12	51%	38%	39.1	125.1	3.2	11	-.04	2.63	67%	9%	0.86
MD Defense	13	49%	41%	-	-	-	-	.09	2.94	76%	9%	0.94

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
NW Defense	12	59%	46%	-	-	-	-	.16	3.16	74%	8%	0.92
MD Offense	13	46%	42%	36.1	141.3	3.9	23	.13	2.95	66%	12%	1.02

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Offense	12	47%	38%	20.4	34.8	210.3	6.1	10.3	10	17	.15	1.4	33%	21%	.04	9%	1.9
MD Defense	13	50%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	9	.16	1.4	32%	28%	.2	6%	1.9

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
NW Defense	12	41%	44%	-	-	-	-	-	-	6	.22	1.3	29%	29%	.16	4%	1.7
MD Offense	13	53%	41%	22.6	34.3	260.2	7.6	11.5	21	8	.25	1.6	32%	25%	.23	5%	2.2

Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Northwestern's 2022 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4 #111
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0 #111
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6 #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: Maryland: 8.1

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Northwestern: -13.4 Maryland: 11.2

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 8.1 NR
Maryland's Offense Rating: NR
Maryland's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #38
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Maryland's 2022 Expected Record: -
Maryland's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 11.2 #32
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #39
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.2 #46

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 13.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.2
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.8

Northwestern's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 27
Northwestern 18

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Maryland 26
Northwestern 17

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Maryland 28
Northwestern 18

Total Points: 46

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 28.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.1

Maryland's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 7 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	10/11	Maryland	10	Northwestern	37	Maryland -11	Northwestern	45.0	Over
2023	10/28	Northwestern	33	Maryland	27	Maryland -14	Northwestern	48.5	Over
2022	10/22	Maryland	31	Northwestern	24	Maryland -14	Northwestern	51.0	Over
2020	10/24	Northwestern	43	Maryland	3	Northwestern -14	Northwestern	51.0	Under
2017	10/14	Maryland	21	Northwestern	37	Northwestern -2.5	Northwestern	50.0	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Maryland	1	0	4 Overs
Northwestern	4	5	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	2 - 3	1 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 3	3 - 2	1 - 1	2 - 1

(#) NW at (#) MD

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	NW	MD
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#32
Perf GradeGrade	#132	#68
OffenseOff	#123	#62
DefenseDef	#129	#90
Spec TeamsST	#61	#49
TalentTal	#46	#38
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Northwestern Injury Report

Maryland Injury Report

Northwestern on Offense


CategoryCat	NW Off	MD Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#123	#90
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#111	#46
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Northwestern Run Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#134	#96
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#65	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#29

Northwestern Pass Game


CategoryCat	NW Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#134	#52
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#14	#126
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Maryland on Offense


CategoryCat	MD Off	NW Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#62	#129
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#39	#73
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Maryland Run Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	NW Def
Run GameRun	#74	#118
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#83	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#99

Maryland Pass Game


CategoryCat	MD Off	NW Def
Pass GamePass	#37	#131
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#25	#102
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
MD 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

NW 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Maryland Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 66°

Rematch from Week 8
Maryland -14.0 (51.0)
Maryland won vs Northwestern this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Maryland last year (37-10)
Northwestern beat Maryland in 2023 (33-27)
Maryland beat Northwestern in 2022 (31-24)

NW's OC Mike Bajakian (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Jim O'Neil (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

MD's OC Dan Enos (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Brian Williams (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD