Purdue at Illinois - 2022 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo   Purdue Boilermakers at Illinois Fighting Illini  Illinois logo
Saturday, November 12th 2022 (12:00 PM EST)
Illinois -6.0 (44.0)
Purdue 31 - Illinois: 24  (Big Ten)

 
Boilermakers (8 - 6) (5 - 9 - 0)
Coach Jeff Brohm (28 - 29)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ILL 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ ILL -8)
Projected Score: PUR: 18 - ILL: 32 (50)
ILL Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
PUR Travel: 73 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Fighting Illini (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Bret Bielema (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 29 - 24 (31 - 14 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Purdue's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 9/1 Purdue vs Penn State+3.553.5L 31 - 35ON
Sat 9/10 Purdue vs Indiana State-37.054.0W 56 - 0OY
Sat 9/17 Purdue at Syracuse+1.559.5L 29 - 32ON
Sat 9/24 Purdue vs Florida Atlantic-16.057.0W 28 - 26UN
Sat 10/1 Purdue at Minnesota+9.053.0W 20 - 10UY
Sat 10/8 Purdue at Maryland+3.059.5W 31 - 29OY
Sat 10/15 Purdue vs Nebraska-14.056.0W 43 - 37ON
Sat 10/22 Purdue at Wisconsin+1.551.5L 24 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Purdue vs Iowa-3.539.5L 3 - 24UN
Sat 11/12 Purdue at Illinois+6.044.0W 31 - 24OY
Sat 11/19 Purdue vs Northwestern-17.544.5W 17 - 9UN
Sat 11/26 Purdue at Indiana-10.052.5W 30 - 16UY
Sat 12/3 Purdue vs Michigan+16.053.0L 22 - 43ON
Mon 1/2 Purdue vs LSU+15.054.0L 7 - 63ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Illinois's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Illinois vs Wyoming-14.042.5W 38 - 6OY
Fri 9/2 Illinois at Indiana+1.047.5L 20 - 23UN
Sat 9/10 Illinois vs Virginia-4.055.0W 24 - 3UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 9/22 Illinois vs Chattanooga-20.044.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 10/1 Illinois at Wisconsin+6.543.0W 34 - 10OY
Sat 10/8 Illinois vs Iowa-3.536.5W 9 - 6UN
Sat 10/15 Illinois vs Minnesota+4.540.0W 26 - 14UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/29 Illinois at Nebraska-7.550.5W 26 - 9UY
Sat 11/5 Illinois vs Michigan State-16.541.0L 15 - 23UN
Sat 11/12 Illinois vs Purdue-6.044.0L 24 - 31ON
Sat 11/19 Illinois at Michigan+17.041.5L 17 - 19UY
Sat 11/26 Illinois at Northwestern-15.038.0W 41 - 3OY
Mon 1/2 Illinois vs Mississippi State+3.546.5L 10 - 19UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2021)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR.2346%18.844%2.798447%3553.93.1740%31.841%38%3.4642.81.51.3
ILL.1340%29.445%3.3817433%1563.16.1844%23.645%42%3.3452.811.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ILL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1318.815.846%3.931.524440843552.835%64%44%47%15%.23
ILL Defense1223.614.443.6%3.341.6 - - - - - 52%48%45%42%15%.18
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1331.834.439.8%3.461.3 - - - - - 53%47%41%38%18%.17
ILL Offense1229.431.339.7%3.161183301741564.559%41%45%33%16%.13

Additional Stats 2021
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1331:5723.944%53%4.542.81.51.35.91.9128.1
Illinois1229:1117.638%38%552.811.65.72.5028
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1335%44%30.284.22.87-.042.7968%10%0.57
ILL Defense1252%45% - - - - .143.2178%9%0.83
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1353%41% - - - - .12.964%11%0.97
ILL Offense1259%45%39173.64.512.153.3886%9%0.87

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1364%47%31.344.3355.4811.43512.391.529%38%.526%2.1
ILL Defense1248%42% - - - - - - 9.261.431%27%.186%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1347%38% - - - - - - 13.251.832%27%.187%1.9
ILL Offense1241%33%13.826.8156.25.811.4136.121.734%25%.157%1.8

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: NR
Purdue's Offense Rating: NR
Purdue's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Purdue's 2022 Expected Record: -
Purdue's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.7  #47
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #49
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4  #39

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue:    Illinois: 10.45

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: 7.7   Illinois: 15.9




Illinois's Power Ratings
Illinois's Power Rating: 10.45 NR
Illinois's Offense Rating: NR
Illinois's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Illinois's 2022 Expected Record: -
Illinois's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 15.9  #17
Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.6  #98
Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 5.5  #3

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 5
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Illinois 32
Purdue 18

Projected Total Points: 50
Illinois Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 23.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 14.4

Illinois's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/04Purdue27Illinois43Illinois -7.5Illinois55.5Over
202410/12Illinois50Purdue49Illinois -22.5Purdue47.5Over
202309/30Purdue44Illinois19Purdue -1.0Purdue54.0Over
202211/12Illinois24Purdue31Illinois -6.0Purdue44.0Over
202109/25Purdue13Illinois9Purdue -10.5Illinois53.5Under
202010/31Illinois24Purdue31Purdue -7.0NA0
201910/26Purdue6Illinois24Purdue -9Illinois54.5Under
201810/13Illinois7Purdue46Purdue -10.5Purdue62.0Under
201711/04Purdue29Illinois10Purdue -14Purdue50.0Under
201610/08Illinois31Purdue34Illinois -9Purdue49.5Over
201511/07Purdue14Illinois48Illinois -1.5Illinois50.0Over
201410/04Illinois27Purdue38Illinois -10.5Purdue0
201311/23Purdue16Illinois20Illinois -6.5Purdue0
201211/17Illinois17Purdue20
201110/22Purdue21Illinois14
201010/30Illinois44Purdue10
200910/24Purdue24Illinois14
200611/11Illinois31Purdue42
200511/12Purdue37Illinois3
200409/25Illinois30Purdue38
200310/04Purdue43Illinois10
200210/12Illinois38Purdue31
200111/03Purdue13Illinois38
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Illinois846 Overs
Purdue1584 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 133 - 92 - 61 - 3
Road Teams13 - 109 - 33 - 16 - 2

(#) PUR at (#) ILL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURILL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #47 #17
Perf GradeGrade #105 #8
OffenseOff #80 #24
DefenseDef #112 #4
Spec TeamsST #88 #56
TalentTal #51 #56
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Purdue on Offense
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #80 #4
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #49 #3
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Purdue Run Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
Run GameRun #91 #8
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #75 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #30
Purdue Pass Game
CategoryCat
PUR OffILL Def
Pass GamePass #90 #3
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #69 #40
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Illinois on Offense
CategoryCatILL OffPUR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #24 #112
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #98 #39
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Illinois Run Game
CategoryCat
ILL OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #51 #115
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #22 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #91
Illinois Pass Game
CategoryCatILL OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #21 #104
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #39 #73
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
ILL 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 11
Illinois -6.0 (44.0)
Purdue won at Illinois this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
Illinois beat Purdue last year (43-27)
Illinois beat Purdue in 2024 (50-49)
Purdue beat Illinois in 2023 (44-19)

  
PUR's OC Brian Brohm (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Ron English (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

ILL's OC Barry Lunney Jr. (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Illinois's Full Roster

ILL's DC Ryan Walters (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD