Wisconsin at Northwestern - 2022 Matchup Preview
Wisconsin logo Wisconsin Badgers at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, October 8th 2022 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -10 (44.5)
Wisconsin 42 - Northwestern: 7  (Big Ten)

 
Badgers (7 - 6) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Paul Chryst (65 - 23)
Avg Score : 26 - 20 (23 - 26 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Wind: 13.9 MPH
NW is playing their 6th straight game
WIS is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: -8.5  (SP+ WIS -21.5)
Projected Score: WIS: 26 - NW: 24 (50)
WIS Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
WIS Travel: 112 miles
Wildcats (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Fitzgerald (109 - 89)
Avg Score : 14 - 28 (13 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Wisconsin's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Wisconsin vs Illinois State-36.542.5W 38 - 0UY
Sat 9/10 Wisconsin vs Washington State-17.548.5L 14 - 17UN
Sat 9/17 Wisconsin vs New Mexico State-38.045.5W 66 - 7OY
Sat 9/24 Wisconsin at Ohio State+19.056.5L 21 - 52ON
Sat 10/1 Wisconsin vs Illinois-6.543.0L 10 - 34ON
Sat 10/8 Wisconsin at Northwestern-10.044.5W 42 - 7OY
Sat 10/15 Wisconsin at Michigan State-7.049.5L 28 - 34ON
Sat 10/22 Wisconsin vs Purdue-1.551.5W 35 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/5 Wisconsin vs Maryland-5.047.5W 23 - 10UY
Sat 11/12 Wisconsin at Iowa+1.035.5L 10 - 24UN
Sat 11/19 Wisconsin at Nebraska-10.040.5W 15 - 14UN
Sat 11/26 Wisconsin vs Minnesota-3.037.0L 16 - 23ON
Tue 12/27 Wisconsin vs Oklahoma State-5.045.0W 24 - 17UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Northwestern's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Northwestern vs Nebraska+12.052.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/10 Northwestern vs Duke-10.056.5L 23 - 31UN
Sat 9/17 Northwestern vs Southern Illinois-13.558.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/24 Northwestern vs Miami (OH)-7.550.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 10/1 Northwestern at Penn State+25.550.0L 7 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Northwestern vs Wisconsin+10.044.5L 7 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Northwestern at Maryland+14.051.0L 24 - 31OY
Sat 10/29 Northwestern at Iowa+11.537.0L 13 - 33ON
Sat 11/5 Northwestern vs Ohio State+37.555.0L 7 - 21UY
Sat 11/12 Northwestern at Minnesota+17.040.5L 3 - 31UN
Sat 11/19 Northwestern at Purdue+17.544.5L 9 - 17UY
Sat 11/26 Northwestern vs Illinois+15.038.0L 3 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS.1642%26.345%3.0718038%1844.33.0736%20.235%39%3.6157.81.41.6
NW.0137%13.838%2.6312538%2102.67.1745%28.346%44%4.0340.82.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)46% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)45% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Offense1326.323.242.2%4.331.4183641801844.759%40%45%38%15%.16
NW Defense1228.330.545.1%4.031.5 - - - - - 59%41%46%44%13%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WIS Defense1320.226.236.4%3.611.6 - - - - - 49%49%35%39%19%.07
NW Offense1213.81337.2%2.672.5193351252103.251%47%38%38%18%.01

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wisconsin1331:0817.940%47%6.257.81.41.66.22.5230.1
Northwestern1229:011937%49%4.640.82.51.54.51.9026.9
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Offense1359%45%38.5179.84.721.173.0776%10%0.96
NW Defense1259%46% - - - - .163.1674%8%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WIS Defense1349%35% - - - - -.022.5765%11%0.86
NW Offense1251%38%39.1125.13.211-.042.6367%9%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Offense1340%38%14.525.1183.87.312.72111.181.730%27%.216%2.2
NW Defense1241%44% - - - - - - 6.221.329%29%.164%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WIS Defense1349%39% - - - - - - 17.191.636%27%.217%2
NW Offense1247%38%20.434.8210.36.110.31017.151.433%21%.049%1.9

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: NR
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #25
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Wisconsin's 2022 Expected Record: -
Wisconsin's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.3  #42
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #68
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 17.1  #20

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin:    Northwestern: -4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wisconsin: 8.3   Northwestern: -13.4




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -4.2 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2022 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4  #111
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #111
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 26.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23.2
Defense: 20.2 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.2

Wisconsin's 2022 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 26
Northwestern 24

Total Points: 50

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 29
Wisconsin 25

Total Points: 54

Based on Entire Season
Wisconsin 27
Northwestern 18

Total Points: 45
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 13.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 13
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.5

Northwestern's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Northwestern3Wisconsin23Wisconsin -9.5Wisconsin42.5Under
202311/11Wisconsin10Northwestern24Wisconsin -9.5Northwestern43.5Under
202210/08Northwestern7Wisconsin42Wisconsin -10Wisconsin44.5Over
202111/13Wisconsin35Northwestern7Wisconsin -26.0Wisconsin41.5Over
202011/21Northwestern17Wisconsin7Wisconsin -7.5Northwestern43.0Under
201909/28Wisconsin24Northwestern15Wisconsin -23Northwestern46.0Under
201810/27Northwestern31Wisconsin17Wisconsin -4.5Northwestern50.0Under
201709/30Wisconsin33Northwestern24Wisconsin -16.5Northwestern50.5Over
201611/05Northwestern7Wisconsin21Wisconsin -6.5Wisconsin41.5Under
201511/21Wisconsin7Northwestern13Wisconsin -10.5Northwestern41.5Under
201410/04Northwestern20Wisconsin14Wisconsin -9.5Northwestern0
201310/12Wisconsin35Northwestern6Wisconsin -10Wisconsin0
201011/27Wisconsin70Northwestern23
200911/21Northwestern33Wisconsin31
200610/07Wisconsin41Northwestern9
200510/08Northwestern51Wisconsin48
200410/23Wisconsin24Northwestern12
200310/25Northwestern16Wisconsin7
200009/22Wisconsin44Northwestern47
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern973 Overs
Wisconsin1057 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 65 - 72 - 43 - 3
Road Teams6 - 137 - 53 - 34 - 2

(#) WIS at (#) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWISNW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #42 #111
Perf GradeGrade #27 #132
OffenseOff #47 #123
DefenseDef #26 #129
Spec TeamsST #34 #61
TalentTal #25 #46
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Wisconsin on Offense
CategoryCat
WIS OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #47 #129
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #68 #73
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Wisconsin Run Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffNW Def
Run GameRun #74 #118
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #29 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #99
Wisconsin Pass Game
CategoryCat
WIS OffNW Def
Pass GamePass #50 #131
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #15 #102
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCatNW OffWIS Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #123 #26
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #111 #20
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #134 #47
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #65 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #75
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCatNW OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #134 #23
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #14 #37
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 58° - Wind: 14 mph
Rematch from Week 6
Wisconsin 10.0 (44.5)
Wisconsin won at Northwestern this year (42-7)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Northwestern last year (23-3)
Northwestern beat Wisconsin in 2023 (24-10)
Wisconsin beat Northwestern in 2022 (42-7)

  
WIS's OC Bobby Engram (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Jim Leonhard (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NW's OC Mike Bajakian (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Jim O'Neil (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD