Miami (OH) at Northwestern - 2022 Matchup Preview
Miami (OH) logo Miami (OH) RedHawks at Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern logo
Saturday, September 24th 2022 (7:30 PM EDT)
Northwestern -7.5 (50.0)
Miami (OH) 17 - Northwestern: 14

 
RedHawks (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chuck Martin (39 - 52)
Avg Score : 20 - 23 (20 - 21 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
NW 4th straight Home Game
NW is playing their 4th straight game
M-OH is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: -2  (SP+ M-OH -0.5)
Projected Score: M-OH: 25 - NW: 22 (47)
NW Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
M-OH Travel: 234 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (1 - 11) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Pat Fitzgerald (109 - 89)
Avg Score : 14 - 28 (13 - 31 @ Home)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/3 Miami (OH) at Kentucky+15.055.0L 13 - 37UN
Sat 9/10 Miami (OH) vs Robert Morris-30.054.0W 31 - 14UN
Sat 9/17 Miami (OH) vs Cincinnati+24.051.0L 17 - 38OY
Sat 9/24 Miami (OH) at Northwestern+7.550.0W 17 - 14UY
Sat 10/1 Miami (OH) at Buffalo+3.050.0L 20 - 24UN
Sat 10/8 Miami (OH) vs Kent State+5.056.5W 27 - 24UY
Sat 10/15 Miami (OH) at Bowling Green-7.045.0L 13 - 17UN
Sat 10/22 Miami (OH) vs Western Michigan-7.044.0L 10 - 16UN
Sat 10/29 Miami (OH) at Akron-9.051.5W 27 - 9UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/8 Miami (OH) vs Ohio+2.552.0L 21 - 37ON
Wed 11/16 Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois+1.044.0W 29 - 23OY
Tue 11/22 Miami (OH) vs Ball State-2.545.0W 18 - 17UN
Fri 12/16 Miami (OH) vs UAB+11.044.5L 20 - 24UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami (OH)'s Schedule
Northwestern's 2022 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/27 Northwestern vs Nebraska+12.052.5W 31 - 28OY
Sat 9/10 Northwestern vs Duke-10.056.5L 23 - 31UN
Sat 9/17 Northwestern vs Southern Illinois-13.558.5L 24 - 31UN
Sat 9/24 Northwestern vs Miami (OH)-7.550.0L 14 - 17UN
Sat 10/1 Northwestern at Penn State+25.550.0L 7 - 17UY
Sat 10/8 Northwestern vs Wisconsin+10.044.5L 7 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22 Northwestern at Maryland+14.051.0L 24 - 31OY
Sat 10/29 Northwestern at Iowa+11.537.0L 13 - 33ON
Sat 11/5 Northwestern vs Ohio State+37.555.0L 7 - 21UY
Sat 11/12 Northwestern at Minnesota+17.040.5L 3 - 31UN
Sat 11/19 Northwestern at Purdue+17.544.5L 9 - 17UY
Sat 11/26 Northwestern vs Illinois+15.038.0L 3 - 41ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Northwestern's Schedule
Important Stats (2022)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH.137%20.236%2.8614138%1663.31.1541%22.639%43%3.1448.30.81.8
NW.0137%13.838%2.6312538%2102.67.1745%28.346%44%4.0340.82.51.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
M-OH#95 (.15)41% (97)38% (119)3.1 (51)12144% (48)2043.43 (108)#38 (.12)44% (92)46% (100)42% (74)2.91 (6)38.61.11.4
NW#129 (.02)37% (123)39% (113)2.63 (124)9936% (116)1863.02 (127)#57 (.15)45% (106)44% (80)46% (117)3.74 (64)38.81.51.3



Overall Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Offense1320.219.837.1%3.310.8173061411663.854%45%36%38%24%.1
NW Defense1228.330.545.1%4.031.5 - - - - - 59%41%46%44%13%.17
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
M-OH Defense1322.620.740.9%3.141.8 - - - - - 47%52%39%43%24%.15
NW Offense1213.81337.2%2.672.5193351252103.251%47%38%38%18%.01

Additional Stats 2022
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami (OH)1330:0017.232%50%5.548.30.81.84.42.2129.9
Northwestern1229:011937%49%4.640.82.51.54.51.9026.9
Run Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Offense1354%36%37.2140.83.814.062.8667%15%1.09
NW Defense1259%46% - - - - .163.1674%8%0.92
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
M-OH Defense1347%39% - - - - .032.6777%13%0.82
NW Offense1251%38%39.1125.13.211-.042.6367%9%0.86

Pass Game Stats (2022)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Offense1345%38%14.225.9165.56.411.7155.161.636%26%.188%1.9
NW Defense1241%44% - - - - - - 6.221.329%29%.164%1.7
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
M-OH Defense1352%43% - - - - - - 11.331.633%33%.3311%2
NW Offense1247%38%20.434.8210.36.110.31017.151.433%21%.049%1.9

Miami (OH)'s Power Ratings
Miami (OH)'s Power Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Offense Rating: NR
Miami (OH)'s Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Expected Record: -
Miami (OH)'s 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.7  #105
Miami (OH)'s Offense SP+ Rating: 8.6  #130
Miami (OH)'s Defense SP+ Rating: 22.1  #38

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH):    Northwestern: -4.2

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami (OH): -12.7   Northwestern: -13.4




Northwestern's Power Ratings
Northwestern's Power Rating: -4.2 NR
Northwestern's Offense Rating: NR
Northwestern's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating:  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Northwestern's 2022 Expected Record: -
Northwestern's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.4  #111
Northwestern's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #111
Northwestern's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.6  #73

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 482


Miami (OH) Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.8
Defense: 22.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Miami (OH)'s 2022 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 3 - 10
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Miami (OH) 25
Northwestern 22

Total Points: 47

Based on Last 4 Games
Northwestern 28
Miami (OH) 25

Total Points: 53

Based on Entire Season
Miami (OH) 25
Northwestern 17

Total Points: 42
Northwestern Scoring
Offense: 13.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 13
Defense: 28.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 30.5

Northwestern's 2022 Record
Record: 1 - 11
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202408/31Northwestern13Miami (OH)6Northwestern -4Northwestern43.0Under
202209/24Northwestern14Miami (OH)17Northwestern -7.5Miami (OH)50.0Under
200910/10Northwestern16Miami (OH)6
200608/31Miami (OH)3Northwestern21
200309/13Northwestern14Miami (OH)44
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northwestern310 Overs
Miami (OH)212 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 31 - 11 - 10 - 0
Road Teams3 - 21 - 10 - 01 - 1

(#) M-OH at (#) NW
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatM-OHNW
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #105 #111
Perf GradeGrade #116 #132
OffenseOff #116 #123
DefenseDef #97 #129
Spec TeamsST #41 #61
TalentTal #112 #46
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Miami (OH) on Offense
CategoryCat
M-OH OffNW Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #116 #129
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #130 #73
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami (OH) Run Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffNW Def
Run GameRun #109 #118
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #58 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #99
Miami (OH) Pass Game
CategoryCat
M-OH OffNW Def
Pass GamePass #129 #131
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #95 #102
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Northwestern on Offense
CategoryCatNW OffM-OH Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #123 #97
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #111 #38
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Northwestern Run Game
CategoryCat
NW OffM-OH Def
Run GameRun #134 #103
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #65 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #77
Northwestern Pass Game
CategoryCatNW OffM-OH Def
Pass GamePass #134 #79
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #14 #116
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
NW 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

M-OH 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'22 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Ryan Field
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 63° - Wind: 6 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Northwestern -7.5 (50.0)
Miami (OH) won at Northwestern this year (17-14)

Previous Matchups
Northwestern beat Miami (OH) last year (13-6)
Miami (OH) beat Northwestern in 2022 (17-14)

  
M-OH's OC Eric Koehler (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami (OH)'s Full Roster

M-OH's DC Bill Brechin (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

NW's OC Mike Bajakian (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Northwestern's Full Roster

NW's DC Jim O'Neil (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD