Miami at Pittsburgh - 2021 Matchup Preview
Miami logo   Miami Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Panthers  Pittsburgh logo
Saturday, October 30th 2021 (12:00 PM EDT)
Pittsburgh -9.5 (61.0)
Miami 38 - Pittsburgh: 34  (ACC)

 
Hurricanes (7 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Manny Diaz (15 - 12)
Avg Score : 31 - 15 (26 - 15 on Road)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
PITT 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: -6  (SP+ PITT -7)

Projected Score: MIAMI: 27 - PITT: 25 (52)
PITT Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MIAMI Travel: 1001 miles
Panthers (11 - 3) (10 - 4 - 0)
Coach Pat Narduzzi (44 - 35)
Avg Score : 34 - 25 (37 - 25 @ Home)
'21 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
 
Miami's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Miami vs Alabama+19.561.5L 13 - 44UN
Sat 9/11 Miami vs App State-7.555.0W 25 - 23UN
Sat 9/18 Miami vs Michigan State-7.057.5L 17 - 38UN
Sat 9/25 Miami vs Central Connecticut-46.055.5W 69 - 0OY
Thu 9/30 Miami vs Virginia-3.563.5L 28 - 30UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Miami at North Carolina+7.563.5L 42 - 45OY
Sat 10/23 Miami vs NC State+3.554.5W 31 - 30OY
Sat 10/30 Miami at Pittsburgh+9.561.0W 38 - 34OY
Sat 11/6 Miami vs Georgia Tech-10.063.0W 33 - 30UN
Sat 11/13 Miami at Florida State-2.561.5L 28 - 31UN
Sat 11/20 Miami vs Virginia Tech-7.055.5W 38 - 26OY
Sat 11/27 Miami at Duke-20.567.0W 47 - 10UY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Miami's Schedule
Pittsburgh's 2021 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 9/4 Pittsburgh vs Massachusetts-38.056.0W 51 - 7OY
Sat 9/11 Pittsburgh at Tennessee-3.556.0W 41 - 34OY
Sat 9/18 Pittsburgh vs Western Michigan-14.059.0L 41 - 44ON
Sat 9/25 Pittsburgh vs New Hampshire-29.053.0W 77 - 7OY
Sat 10/2 Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech-3.057.5W 52 - 21OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/16 Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech-6.055.5W 28 - 7UY
Sat 10/23 Pittsburgh vs Clemson-3.547.0W 27 - 17UY
Sat 10/30 Pittsburgh vs Miami-9.561.0L 34 - 38ON
Sat 11/6 Pittsburgh at Duke-21.064.5W 54 - 29OY
Thu 11/11 Pittsburgh vs North Carolina-6.572.0W 30 - 23UY
Sat 11/20 Pittsburgh vs Virginia-12.569.0W 48 - 38ON
Sat 11/27 Pittsburgh at Syracuse-12.058.5W 31 - 14UY
Sat 12/4 Pittsburgh vs Wake Forest-3.572.5W 45 - 21UY
Thu 12/30 Pittsburgh vs Michigan State+3.555.0L 21 - 31UN

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Pittsburgh's Schedule
Important Stats (2020)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI.2442%30.941%2.7516443%2774.27.243%14.846%40%3.7972.21.11.5
PITT.1441%33.742%2.2912240%2603.41.1337%24.837%38%3.1668.51.51.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MIAMI0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
PITT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Offense1130.92642.2%4.271.1234411642774.349%51%41%43%20%.24
PITT Defense1124.825.137.3%3.161.7 - - - - - 44%56%37%38%23%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MIAMI Defense1114.81542.9%3.791.5 - - - - - 48%52%46%40%20%.2
PITT Offense1133.736.640.6%3.411.5213821222603.544%55%42%40%20%.14

Additional Stats 2020
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Miami1127:1122.740%68%7.872.21.11.58.52.8027.8
Pittsburgh1131:0820.536%50%7.868.51.51.7104.1229.9
Run Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Offense1149%41%38.1163.64.318.142.7577%13%1.06
PITT Defense1144%37% - - - - .012.2669%16%0.94
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MIAMI Defense1148%46% - - - - .182.7276%14%1.04
PITT Offense1144%42%35.3122.13.520.032.2969%13%0.91

Pass Game Stats (2021)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Offense1151%43%21.734.6277.3812.8266.351.734%34%.448%2.1
PITT Defense1156%38% - - - - - - 14.221.837%30%.337%2.2
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MIAMI Defense1152%40% - - - - - - 7.211.533%29%.256%1.9
PITT Offense1155%40%22.438.7259.76.711.61412.251.634%31%.297%1.9

Miami's Power Ratings
Miami's Power Rating: NR
Miami's Offense Rating: NR
Miami's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #13
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Miami's 2021 Expected Record: -
Miami's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.8  #32
Miami's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #25
Miami's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #51

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Miami:    Pittsburgh: 11.3

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Miami: 10.8   Pittsburgh: 17.6




Pittsburgh's Power Ratings
Pittsburgh's Power Rating: 11.3 NR
Pittsburgh's Offense Rating: NR
Pittsburgh's Defense Rating: NR
2021 Talent Rating:  #37
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Pittsburgh's 2021 Expected Record: -
Pittsburgh's 2021 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.6  #9
Pittsburgh's Offense SP+ Rating: 38.2  #9
Pittsburgh's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #29

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Miami Scoring
Offense: 30.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 26
Defense: 14.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 15

Miami's 2021 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Miami 27
Pittsburgh 25


Projected Total Points: 52
Pittsburgh Scoring
Offense: 33.7 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.6
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.1

Pittsburgh's 2021 Record
Record: 11 - 3
Record vs Spread: 10 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 6
Record at home: 5 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/29Pittsburgh7Miami38Miami -6.5Miami49.5Under
202211/26Miami16Pittsburgh42Pittsburgh -5.5Pittsburgh43.0Over
202110/30Pittsburgh34Miami38Pittsburgh -9.5Miami61.0Over
202010/17Miami31Pittsburgh19Miami -12.5Pittsburgh47.5Over
201910/26Pittsburgh12Miami16Pittsburgh -4.5Miami43.0Under
201811/24Miami24Pittsburgh3Miami -5.5Miami45.5Under
201711/24Pittsburgh24Miami14Miami -12Pittsburgh54.0Under
201611/05Miami51Pittsburgh28Miami -6Miami58.0Over
201511/27Pittsburgh24Miami29Pittsburgh -7Miami54.5Under
201411/29Miami23Pittsburgh35Miami -9.5Pittsburgh0
201311/29Pittsburgh31Miami41Miami -3Miami0
201009/23Pittsburgh3Miami31
200311/29Pittsburgh14Miami28
200109/27Pittsburgh21Miami43
200011/10Miami35Pittsburgh7
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Pittsburgh344 Overs
Miami1275 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 103 - 82 - 51 - 3
Road Teams10 - 58 - 33 - 15 - 2

(#) MIAMI at (#) PITT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatMIAMIPITT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #32 #9
Perf GradeGrade #91 #29
OffenseOff #65 #21
DefenseDef #102 #50
Spec TeamsST #120 #38
TalentTal #13 #37
Blue ChipsBC%NRNR
Miami on Offense
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffPITT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #65 #50
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #25 #29
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Miami Run Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffPITT Def
Run GameRun #97 #21
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #89 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #47
Miami Pass Game
CategoryCat
MIAMI OffPITT Def
Pass GamePass #36 #75
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #7 #65
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Pittsburgh on Offense
CategoryCatPITT OffMIAMI Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #21 #102
SuccessSucNRNR
ExplosiveExpNRNR
PPAPPANRNR
PowerPwrNRNR
SP+SP+ #9 #51
Pts POPPONRNR
HavocHavNRNR
Pittsburgh Run Game
CategoryCat
PITT OffMIAMI Def
Run GameRun #24 #87
Run SuccessRSucNRNR
Run ExplRExpNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLYNRNR
Stuff RateStuffNRNR
TackleTak -  #134
Pittsburgh Pass Game
CategoryCatPITT OffMIAMI Def
Pass GamePass #1 #84
Pass SuccessPSucNRNR
Pass ExplPExlNRNR
PPAExpNRNR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #38 #108
F7 HavocF7NRNR
DB HavocDBNRNR
Program Comparison
PITT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average P4
'21 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

MIAMI 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average P4
'21 Profile: Remains Average P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Acrisure Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Pittsburgh -9.5 (61.0)
Miami won at Pittsburgh this year (38-34)

Previous Matchups
Miami beat Pittsburgh last year (38-7)

  
MIAMI's OC Rhett Lashlee (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Miami's Full Roster

MIAMI's DC Manny Diaz (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD

PITT's OC Mark Whipple (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG

View Pittsburgh's Full Roster

PITT's DC Randy Bates (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD