Cincinnati at Louisville - 2022 Matchup Preview

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Louisville Cardinals

Saturday, December 17th 2022 (11:00 AM EST)
Louisville -2.5 (38.5) (100) Open: -1.5 | 43.5
Louisville 24 - Cincinnati: 7 (Wasabi Fenway Bowl)

Bearcats (9 - 4) (2 - 9 - 1)
Coach Luke Fickell (48 - 15)
Avg Score : 30 - 26 (31 - 35 on Road)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Light Rain Predicted
Wind: 12.7 MPH
Bowl Game Opt Outs
Our Line: -2 (SP+ CIN -4)
Projected Score: CIN: 25 - LOU: 31 (56)
LOU Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
CIN Travel: 736 miles

Cardinals (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (18 - 19)
Avg Score : 30 - 21 (34 - 19 @ Home)
'22 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
Bowls
CIN Players
LOU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Cincinnati at Arkansas	+6.5	54.5	L 24 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/10	Cincinnati vs Kennesaw State	-30
Sat 9/17	Cincinnati vs Miami (OH)	-24.0	51.0	W 38 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/24	Cincinnati vs Indiana	-16.5	57.0	W 45 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/1	Cincinnati at Tulsa	-10.0	59.0	W 31 - 21	U	N
Sat 10/8	Cincinnati vs South Florida	-27.0	58.5	W 28 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Cincinnati at SMU	-3.5	59.5	W 29 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/29	Cincinnati at UCF	+1.5	55.5	L 21 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/5	Cincinnati vs Navy	-18.5	43.5	W 20 - 10	U	N
Fri 11/11	Cincinnati vs East Carolina	-4.5	51.5	W 27 - 25	O	N
Sat 11/19	Cincinnati at Temple	-17.0	48.5	W 23 - 3	U	Y
Fri 11/25	Cincinnati vs Tulane	+1.0	44.0	L 24 - 27	O	N
Sat 12/17	Cincinnati vs Louisville	+2.5	38.5	L 7 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Louisville's 2022 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 9/3	Louisville at Syracuse	-6.0	55.0	L 7 - 31	U	N
Fri 9/9	Louisville at UCF	+5.5	62.0	W 20 - 14	U	Y
Fri 9/16	Louisville vs Florida State	+2.5	57.0	L 31 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/24	Louisville vs South Florida	-15.5	63.5	W 41 - 3	U	Y
Sat 10/1	Louisville at Boston College	-13.5	48.5	L 33 - 34	O	N
Sat 10/8	Louisville at Virginia	+1.5	47.5	W 34 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/22	Louisville vs Pittsburgh	-1.5	55.0	W 24 - 10	U	Y
Sat 10/29	Louisville vs Wake Forest	+3.0	66.5	W 48 - 21	O	Y
Sat 11/5	Louisville vs James Madison	-6.5	53.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/12	Louisville at Clemson	+7.0	52.0	L 16 - 31	U	N
Sat 11/19	Louisville vs NC State	-4.0	43.0	W 25 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/26	Louisville at Kentucky	+3.5	42.5	L 13 - 26	U	N
Sat 12/17	Louisville vs Cincinnati	-2.5	38.5	W 24 - 7	U	Y

Important Stats (2021)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	.3	48%	30.3	50%	3.13	172	47%	241	4.56	.06	38%	25.6	41%	35%	2.87	53.9	1.4	2.4
LOU	.32	44%	29.9	43%	3.27	210	45%	236	4.45	.24	42%	21.2	46%	40%	4.21	54.9	1	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
LOU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2021

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	14	30.3	30.8	48.3%	4.56	1.4	20	413	172	241	5.2	48%	52%	50%	47%	13%	.3
LOU Defense	13	21.2	18.9	42.4%	4.21	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	46%	40%	17%	.24

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	14	25.6	35.3	38.2%	2.87	2.4	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	41%	35%	20%	.06
LOU Offense	13	29.9	33.8	44.1%	4.45	1	21	446	210	236	5.4	56%	44%	43%	45%	14%	.32

Additional Stats 2021

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	14	27:09	19.8	39%	63%	7.2	53.9	1.4	2.4	7.3	2.8	2	33.9
Louisville	13	30:32	21.1	40%	52%	6.2	54.9	1	1.3	6.2	2.5	3	28.6

Run Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	14	48%	50%	33.1	171.9	5.2	34	.29	3.13	83%	8%	1.07
LOU Defense	13	48%	46%	-	-	-	-	.23	3.27	77%	10%	1.06

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	14	54%	41%	-	-	-	-	.04	2.87	73%	13%	0.86
LOU Offense	13	56%	43%	38.8	209.8	5.4	29	.25	3.27	68%	9%	1.22

Pass Game Stats (2022)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	14	52%	47%	18.4	28.6	241.2	8.4	13.1	33	9	.31	1.5	27%	28%	.17	5%	1.8
LOU Defense	13	52%	40%	-	-	-	-	-	-	10	.25	1.7	33%	30%	.35	6%	2.1

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	14	46%	35%	-	-	-	-	-	-	19	.07	1.6	35%	25%	.15	7%	2.1
LOU Offense	13	44%	45%	17	28	236.5	8.5	13.9	21	6	.4	1.7	30%	36%	.51	5%	2.1

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: NR
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #49
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Cincinnati's 2022 Expected Record: -
Cincinnati's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 13.1 #24
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.6 #62
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1 #17

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: Louisville: 4.5

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 13.1 Louisville: 9.0

Louisville's Power Ratings
Louisville's Power Rating: 4.5 NR
Louisville's Offense Rating: NR
Louisville's Defense Rating: NR
2022 Talent Rating: #60
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 NR
Louisville's 2022 Expected Record: -
Louisville's 2022 Overall SP+ Rating: 9.0 #39
Louisville's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #65
Louisville's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.1 #28

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 0
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 30.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 25.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2022 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 2 - 9 - 1
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisville 31
Cincinnati 25

Projected Total Points: 56

Louisville Scoring
Offense: 29.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.8
Defense: 21.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.9

Louisville's 2022 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 9
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2022	12/17	Louisville	24	Cincinnati	7	Louisville -2.5	Louisville	38.5	Under
2013	12/05	Cincinnati	24	Louisville	31	Louisville -6.5	Louisville	0
2012	10/26	Louisville	34	Cincinnati	31
2011	10/15	Cincinnati	25	Louisville	16
2010	10/15	Louisville	27	Cincinnati	35
2009	10/24	Cincinnati	41	Louisville	10
2008	11/14	Louisville	20	Cincinnati	28
2007	10/13	Cincinnati	24	Louisville	28
2006	10/14	Louisville	23	Cincinnati	17
2005	10/22	Cincinnati	22	Louisville	46
2004	11/27	Louisville	70	Cincinnati	7
2003	11/28	Cincinnati	40	Louisville	43
2002	11/07	Louisville	14	Cincinnati	24
2001	10/27	Cincinnati	13	Louisville	28
2000	10/13	Louisville	38	Cincinnati	24

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisville	10	2	0 Overs
Cincinnati	5	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 8	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1
Road Teams	8 - 7	1 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 1

Cincinnati Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Fenway Bowl	Cincinnati vs Louisville	+2.5	38.5	L 7 - 24
2021	CFP Semifinal	Cincinnati vs Alabama	+13.0	57.5	L 6 - 27
2020	Peach Bowl	Cincinnati vs Georgia	+7.0	50.0	L 21 - 24
2019	Birmingham Bowl	Cincinnati vs Boston College	-8.0	53.0	W 38 - 6
2018	N/A	Cincinnati vs Virginia Tech	-5.5	48.5	W 35 - 31

Louisville Recent Bowl History
Date	Bowl	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result
2022	Fenway Bowl	Louisville vs Cincinnati	-2.5	38.5	W 24 - 7
2021	Responder Bowl	Louisville vs Air Force	+1.0	55.0	L 28 - 31
2019	City Bowl	Louisville vs Mississippi State	+5.0	64.5	W 38 - 28
2017	N/A	Louisville vs Mississippi State	-6.5	62.0	L 27 - 31
2016	N/A	Louisville vs LSU	+3.0	59.0	L 9 - 29

(#) CIN at (#) LOU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	LOU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#24	#39
Perf GradeGrade	#31	#57
OffenseOff	#59	#68
DefenseDef	#19	#51
Spec TeamsST	#54	#114
TalentTal	#49	#60
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	NR

Cincinnati Injury Report

Louisville Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense


CategoryCat	CIN Off	LOU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#59	#51
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#62	#28
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Cincinnati Run Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	LOU Def
Run GameRun	#98	#54
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#51	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#124

Cincinnati Pass Game


CategoryCat	CIN Off	LOU Def
Pass GamePass	#25	#99
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#73	#9
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Louisville on Offense


CategoryCat	LOU Off	CIN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#68	#19
SuccessSuc	NR	NR
ExplosiveExp	NR	NR
PPAPPA	NR	NR
PowerPwr	NR	NR
SP+SP+	#65	#17
Pts POPPO	NR	NR
HavocHav	NR	NR

Louisville Run Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	#62	#15
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	NR
Run ExplRExp	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#37	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	NR
Stuff RateStuff	NR	NR
TackleTak	-	#39

Louisville Pass Game


CategoryCat	LOU Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	#99	#65
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	NR
Pass ExplPExl	NR	NR
PPAExp	NR	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#40	#4
F7 HavocF7	NR	NR
DB HavocDB	NR	NR

Program Comparison
LOU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'22 Profile: Up to Average P4

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'22 Profile: Remains Top 25 Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Fenway Park
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 41° - Wind: 13 mph

Rematch from Week 1
Louisville -2.5 (38.5)
Louisville won vs Cincinnati this year (24-7)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

CIN's OC Gino Guidugli (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

LOU's OC Lance Taylor (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG

View Louisville's Full Roster

LOU's DC Bryan Brown (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD