Ball State at Western Michigan Game Matchup
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Waldo Stadium - Kalamazoo, MI  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (23 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.1 - 8.9 (#130)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
WMU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Western Michigan -7.5   (SP+ WMU -6)
Projected Score: BALL: 29 - WMU: 37 (63)
WMU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 143 miles
Broncos (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 29 - 31 (40 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.1 - 7.9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Ball State at Purdue+16.50.0
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+42
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-1
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+16
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+7.5
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+1
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+14.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-6
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+5.5
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+23.5
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+13.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Western Michigan at Michigan State+17.50.0
Sat 9/6 Western Michigan vs North Texas+7
Sat 9/13 Western Michigan at Illinois+34
Sat 9/20 Western Michigan vs Toledo+13.5
Sat 9/27 Western Michigan vs Rhode Island-6
Sat 10/4 Western Michigan at Massachusetts-2.5
Sat 10/11 Western Michigan vs Ball State-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)+8.5
Sat 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan+1.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11 Western Michigan vs Ohio+11
Tue 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois+9.5
Tue 11/25 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan+5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)25.344% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)40.146% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)28.945% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)31.348% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1225.32342.1%3.941.2203481032453.442%58%44%41%19%.14
WMU Defense1331.327.249.1%4.381.6 - - - - - 56%44%48%51%18%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1240.144.946.5%4.811.3 - - - - - 47%52%46%47%13%.32
WMU Offense1328.939.845.2%4.11119371184187555%45%45%46%15%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1230:5820.342%46%4.945.31.21.34.61.7230.3
Western Michigan1329:5819.535%59%4.139.211.64.21.5131.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1242% (120)44% (70)30.8103.43.410 (122).1 (91)3.06 (61)80% (23)11% (99)0.87 (117)
WMU Defense1356% (123)48% (115) - - - - .19 (105)3.18 (96)76% (84)10% (66)1.01 (81)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1247% (34)46% (103) - - - - .22 (116)3.17 (90)74% (72)9% (103)1.08 (110)
WMU Offense1355% (35)45% (59)36.8184.2528 (25).18 (43)3.05 (62)75% (53)10% (64)1.07 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1258% (16)41% (72)23.336.6244.76.710.526 (26)11 (72).19 (98)1.6 (73)33% (93)28% (101).29 (88)8% (123)2.2 (15)
WMU Defense1344% (12)51% (132) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (127)1.5 (31)27% (125)33% (103).33 (81)8% (19)1.9 (39)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1252% (100)47% (121) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (128)1.8 (119)33% (55)40% (133).57 (131)5% (115)2.2 (115)
WMU Offense1345% (100)46% (27)16.324.91877.511.518 (68)9 (48).32 (40)1.5 (98)28% (16)31% (71).27 (91)6% (59)1.9 (108)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -23.84 #134
Ball State's Offense Rating: 2.51 #129
Ball State's Defense Rating: 26.35 #126
2025 Talent Rating: 486.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #134
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -23.84   Western Michigan: -15.065

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -21.2   Western Michigan: -14.8




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -15.065 #127
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 7.29 #111
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 27.62 #131
2025 Talent Rating: 542.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #112
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #116

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.9

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 37
Ball State 29

Projected Total Points: 63
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 28.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 39.8
Defense: 31.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/05Ball State42Western Michigan45Western MichiganWestern Michigan -10Ball State57.5Over
202309/30Western Michigan42Ball State24Western MichiganWestern Michigan -1.5Western Michigan50.0Over
202209/10Ball State30Western Michigan37Western MichiganWestern Michigan -6.5Western Michigan51.5Over
202110/09Western Michigan20Ball State45Ball StateWestern Michigan -13Ball State57.5Over
202012/12Ball State30Western Michigan27Ball StateWestern Michigan -2Ball State66.5Under
201911/05Western Michigan35Ball State31Western MichiganWestern Michigan -6.5Ball State64.0Over
201811/13Ball State42Western Michigan41Ball StateWestern Michigan -10Ball State58.0Over
201709/30Western Michigan55Ball State3Western MichiganWestern Michigan -13Western Michigan53.5Over
201611/01Ball State20Western Michigan52Western MichiganWestern Michigan -16Western Michigan64.5Over
201511/05Western Michigan54Ball State7Western MichiganWestern Michigan -13.5Western Michigan62.0Under
201410/11Ball State38Western Michigan42Western MichiganBall State -6Western Michigan0
201310/19Western Michigan17Ball State38Ball StateBall State -21NA0
201210/13Ball State30Western Michigan24Ball State
201110/29Western Michigan45Ball State35Western Michigan
201010/09Ball State16Western Michigan45Western Michigan
200911/24Western Michigan17Ball State22Ball State
200811/25Ball State45Western Michigan22Ball State
200710/20Western Michigan23Ball State27Ball State
200610/21Ball State27Western Michigan41Western Michigan
200510/08Western Michigan57Ball State60Ball State
200409/25Ball State41Western Michigan14Ball State
200311/08Western Michigan28Ball State20Western Michigan
200211/02Ball State17Western Michigan7Ball State
200111/24Western Michigan31Ball State35Ball State
200011/03Ball State3Western Michigan42Western Michigan
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan1368 Overs
Ball State1252 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 136 - 53 - 33 - 2
Road Teams13 - 125 - 62 - 33 - 3

(#134) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -23.84 #134
Offense Rating: 2.51 #129
Defense Rating: 26.35 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #134
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131
Talent Rating: 486.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Ball State Notes
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
(3/26) New HC Uremovich 23-11 @ Butler
(3/26) OC Harmon a HS coach recently, history w/ HC
Ball State     Ratings Matchup     Western Michigan
Power #134
#127
Off #129
#111
Def #126
#131
Talent #109
#100
SP+ #134
#117
SP+ Off #123
#112
SP+ Def #131
#116

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Ball State last year (45-42)
Western Michigan beat Ball State in 2023 (42-24)
Western Michigan beat Ball State in 2022 (37-30)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BALL | WMU
Depth Chart: BALL | WMU
Rosters: BALL | WMU
(#127) Western Michigan Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.065 #127
Offense Rating: 7.29 #111
Defense Rating: 27.62 #131
Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #117
Offense SP+ Rating: 20.7 #112
Defense SP+ Rating: 35.5 #116
Talent Rating: 542.00 #100
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 4.1 - 7.9

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.11 PPO
Avg Run Success 45%
Good Pass Success 46%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 49%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.38 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 48%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Western Michigan Notes
(3/26) QB Lowry was backup LY, limited options
(3/26) RB Buckley was co starter LY, limited depth
(3/26) WR rebuild, 3 portal adds. Have depth
(3/26) OL good LY, 2/5 back. 3 P4 portal adds
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace a lot. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New DC O'Leary was S coach at ND


  
Ball State's OC Craig Harmon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Leffler2633%6001.0
Kiael Kelly2450%8002.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)12240913.460
TJ Horton2310704.717
Elijah Jackson (Tr)697116.269
Kiael Kelly359112.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)2825519.151
Qian Magwood2320749.045
Dahya Patel7120117.133
Ty Robinson569113.821

View Ball State's Full Roster
Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joey Stemler566260
Jordan Coleman422002
Ashton Whitner (Tr)261011
Eric McClain240000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Feeney73300
Darin Conley163220
Joey Stemler566260
Caden Johnson221100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scott Hudson31102
Jackson Wiegold242002
Jordan Coleman422002

Western Michigan's OC Walt Bell
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry4850%21002.6
Ryan Millmore010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley12065785.561
Broc Lowry2212335.640
Palmer Domschke126026.026
Tre' Hartwell3401.34
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Malique Dieudonne12209217.443
Tailique Williams (Tr)16165010.324
Jalen Buckley129808.224
Mareyohn Hrabowski339113.015

View Western Michigan's Full Roster
Western Michigan's DC Chris O'Leary
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock845005
Aaron Wofford642114
Tyson Lee263135
Rodney McGraw223110
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyson Lee263135
Rodney McGraw223110
Popeye Williams192150
Aaron Wofford642114
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tate Hallock845005
Tyson Lee263135
Aaron Wofford642114