Ball State at Western Michigan - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Western Michigan BroncosWestern Michigan logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Western Michigan -9.5 (43.5) (-340)  Open: -10.0
Western Michigan 42 - Ball State: 0  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
WMU is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Western Michigan -17  (SP+ WMU -22)

Projected Score: BALL: 14 - WMU: 31 (44)
WMU Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
BALL Travel: 143 miles
Broncos (10 - 4) (10 - 3 - 1)
Coach Lance Taylor (10 - 14)
Avg Score : 25 - 17 (29 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.5 - 4.5 (#25)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
 
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ball State at Purdue+16.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+43.052.5L 3 - 42UY
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-3.046.5W 34 - 29OY
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21.053.5L 25 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+14.052.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+9.543.5L 0 - 42UN
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+2.544.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+6.541.5L 7 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-3.048.5W 17 - 13UY
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+2.548.5L 9 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+29.545.5L 9 - 38OY
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+16.540.5L 24 - 45ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Western Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Western Michigan at Michigan State+18.549.5L 6 - 23UY
Sat 9/6 Western Michigan vs North Texas+12.056.0L 30 - 33OY
Sat 9/13 Western Michigan at Illinois+27.550.5L 0 - 38UN
Sat 9/20 Western Michigan vs Toledo+13.548.5W 14 - 13UY
Sat 9/27 Western Michigan vs Rhode Island-7.545.5W 47 - 14OY
Sat 10/4 Western Michigan at Massachusetts-12.546.5W 21 - 3UY
Sat 10/11 Western Michigan vs Ball State-9.543.5W 42 - 0UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Western Michigan at Miami (OH)+2.540.5L 17 - 26ON
Sat 11/1 Western Michigan vs Central Michigan-6.043.5W 24 - 21ON
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/11 Western Michigan vs Ohio-1.546.5W 17 - 13UY
Tue 11/18 Western Michigan at Northern Illinois-7.039.5W 35 - 19OY
Tue 11/25 Western Michigan at Eastern Michigan-10.049.0W 31 - 21ON
Sat 12/6 Western Michigan vs Miami (OH)-2.544.5W 23 - 13UY
Fri 12/19 Western Michigan vs Kennesaw State-3.047.0W 41 - 6UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Western Michigan's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)15.844% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)29.846% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
WMU#43 (.24)45% (33)24.945% (59)3.05 (62)18446% (27)1874.11 (49)#122 (.29)49% (128)17.448% (115)51% (132)4.38 (119)39.211.6
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
WMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1215.89.742.1%3.941.2203481032453.442%58%44%41%19%.14
WMU Defense1317.415.749.1%4.381.6 - - - - - 56%44%48%51%18%.29
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1229.835.746.5%4.811.3 - - - - - 47%52%46%47%13%.32
WMU Offense1324.92945.2%4.11119371184187555%45%45%46%15%.24

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1230:5820.342%46%4.945.31.21.34.61.7230.3
Western Michigan1329:5819.535%59%4.139.211.64.21.5131.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1242% (120)44% (70)30.8103.43.410 (122).1 (91)3.06 (61)80% (23)11% (99)0.87 (117)
WMU Defense1356% (123)48% (115) - - - - .19 (105)3.18 (96)76% (84)10% (66)1.01 (81)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1247% (34)46% (103) - - - - .22 (116)3.17 (90)74% (72)9% (103)1.08 (110)
WMU Offense1355% (35)45% (59)36.8184.2528 (25).18 (43)3.05 (62)75% (53)10% (64)1.07 (33)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1258% (16)41% (72)23.336.6244.76.710.526 (26)11 (72).19 (98)1.6 (73)33% (93)28% (101).29 (88)8% (123)2.2 (15)
WMU Defense1344% (12)51% (132) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (127)1.5 (31)27% (125)33% (103).33 (81)8% (19)1.9 (39)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1252% (100)47% (121) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (128)1.8 (119)33% (55)40% (133).57 (131)5% (115)2.2 (115)
WMU Offense1345% (100)46% (27)16.324.91877.511.518 (68)9 (48).32 (40)1.5 (98)28% (16)31% (71).27 (91)6% (59)1.9 (108)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -20.23  #131
Ball State's Offense Rating: -1.10  #136
Ball State's Defense Rating: 19.13  #98
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0  #132
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.4  #134
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -20.23   Western Michigan: -4.43

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -23.0   Western Michigan: -1.4




Western Michigan's Power Ratings
Western Michigan's Power Rating: -4.43  #109
Western Michigan's Offense Rating: 3.31  #124
Western Michigan's Defense Rating: 15.77  #85
2025 Talent Rating: 558.00  #106
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Western Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 9.5 - 4.5
Western Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.4  #78
Western Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7  #105
Western Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8  #42

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Western Michigan 31
Ball State 14


Projected Total Points: 44
Western Michigan Scoring
Offense: 24.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 17.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 15.7

Western Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 4
Record vs Spread: 10 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 8
Record at home: 5 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 5 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 7 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 3 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Western Michigan42Ball State0Western Michigan -9.5Western Michigan43.5Under
202410/05Ball State42Western Michigan45Western Michigan -10Ball State57.5Over
202309/30Western Michigan42Ball State24Western Michigan -1.5Western Michigan50.0Over
202209/10Ball State30Western Michigan37Western Michigan -6.5Western Michigan51.5Over
202110/09Western Michigan20Ball State45Western Michigan -13Ball State57.5Over
202012/12Ball State30Western Michigan27Western Michigan -2Ball State66.5Under
201911/05Western Michigan35Ball State31Western Michigan -6.5Ball State64.0Over
201811/13Ball State42Western Michigan41Western Michigan -10Ball State58.0Over
201709/30Western Michigan55Ball State3Western Michigan -13Western Michigan53.5Over
201611/01Ball State20Western Michigan52Western Michigan -16Western Michigan64.5Over
201511/05Western Michigan54Ball State7Western Michigan -13.5Western Michigan62.0Under
201410/11Ball State38Western Michigan42Ball State -6Western Michigan0
201310/19Western Michigan17Ball State38Ball State -21NA0
201210/13Ball State30Western Michigan24
201110/29Western Michigan45Ball State35
201010/09Ball State16Western Michigan45
200911/24Western Michigan17Ball State22
200811/25Ball State45Western Michigan22
200710/20Western Michigan23Ball State27
200610/21Ball State27Western Michigan41
200510/08Western Michigan57Ball State60
200409/25Ball State41Western Michigan14
200311/08Western Michigan28Ball State20
200211/02Ball State17Western Michigan7
200111/24Western Michigan31Ball State35
200011/03Ball State3Western Michigan42
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Western Michigan1478 Overs
Ball State1253 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 137 - 54 - 33 - 2
Road Teams13 - 135 - 72 - 33 - 4

(#131) BALL at (#109) WMU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBALLWMU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #131 #109
SP+SP+ #132 #78
Perf GradeGrade #133 #53
OffenseOff #133 #54
DefenseDef #123 #46
Spec TeamsST #120 #37
TalentTal #97 #106
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #88
Ball State Notes
(11/5) Uremovich outcoached Carney in Kent St win
(10/31) OL is worst in MAC, DL bad as well. QB Kelly bad
(10/19) Off is awful, RB Qua Ashley is it. W over Ohio baffling
(10/8) Run Def has improved since paycheck games
(8/30) Off abysmal vs Purdue, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/12) OL has size, low key good starting 5 if healthy
(7/12) Overall portal loser both talent & quantity
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
Ball State Injury Report
Western Michigan Notes
(11/29) Beat EMU, will play Miami OH in MAC Championship
(11/20) Control MAC w/ W over N Ill. 361 rush, 32 pass!
(11/13) Great W over Ohio, leaders of the MAC now
(11/13) Def shut down Navarro, Run Off 210+. 5.0 ypc
(10/31) QB Lowry a weapon, JAG arm, only real rush threat
(10/31) Def meh vs Mia OH, all 400+ but good on 3rd D's
(10/22) DL is one of best in CFB, best in G5 statistically
(10/8) Def has improved a lot, red zone defense especially
(9/20) Off is terrible, esp Run Off. QB Lowry meh
(9/20) Huge win vs Toledo. Def held 5-18 3rd down, 3 TO
(8/30) QB B Jones starter, B Lowry is QB2, both bad
(8/30) Run game alarming bad vs Mich St, 1.2 ypc
Western Michigan Injury Report
Ball State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
BALL OffWMU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #133 #46
SuccessSuc #78 #128
ExplosiveExp #81 #45
PPAPPA #98 #122
PowerPwr #136 #85
SP+SP+ #134 #42
Pts POPPO #65 #119
HavocHav #119 #44
Ball State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
BALL OffWMU Def
Run GameRun #130 #88
Run SuccessRSuc #70 #115
Run ExplRExp #117 #81
PPAExp #91 #105
Run BlockR Blk #106 -
OL YdsOLY #61 #96
Stuff RateStuff #8 #99
TackleTak -  #93
Ball State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
BALL OffWMU Def
Pass GamePass #132 #51
Pass SuccessPSuc #72 #132
Pass ExplPExl #73 #31
PPAExp #98 #127
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #108 #12
F7 HavocF7 #99 #66
DB HavocDB #123 #19
Western Michigan on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCatWMU OffBALL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #54 #123
SuccessSuc #33 #118
ExplosiveExp #74 #126
PPAPPA #43 #128
PowerPwr #124 #98
SP+SP+ #105 #115
Pts POPPO #49 #133
HavocHav #55 #116
Western Michigan Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
WMU OffBALL Def
Run GameRun #42 #125
Run SuccessRSuc #59 #103
Run ExplRExp #33 #110
PPAExp #43 #116
Run BlockR Blk #57 -
OL YdsOLY #62 #90
Stuff RateStuff #67 #77
TackleTak -  #117
Western Michigan Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCatWMU OffBALL Def
Pass GamePass #65 #134
Pass SuccessPSuc #27 #121
Pass ExplPExl #98 #119
PPAExp #40 #128
Pass Block/RushP Blk #113 #21
F7 HavocF7 #64 #103
DB HavocDB #59 #115
Program Comparison
WMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Waldo Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 57° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Western Michigan -9.5 (43.5)
Western Michigan won vs Ball State this year (42-0)

Previous Matchups
Western Michigan beat Ball State last year (42-0)
Western Michigan beat Ball State in 2024 (45-42)
Western Michigan beat Ball State in 2023 (42-24)

  
BALL's OC Mike Uremovich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kiael Kelly15327256%15601085.7
Ty Robinson2367%770025.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kiael Kelly21160852.956
Qua Ashley (Tr)11854744.672
TJ Horton6018003.013
Eric Weatherly (Tr)1311709.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qian Magwood19320116.853
Donovan Hamilton (Tr)20244012.247
Eric Weatherly (Tr)2923818.235
Koby Gross (Tr)10141114.142

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Jeff Knowles (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alfred Chea (Tr)594015
Nathan Voorhis49161020
Michael Gravely Jr. (Tr)441001
Joey Stemler442021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nathan Voorhis49161020
DeJuan Echoles276422
Drew Hughes272210
Darin Conley244221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willizhuan Yates320006
Alfred Chea (Tr)594015
Jahmad Harmon242005

WMU's OC Walt Bell (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Broc Lowry16626263%1803936.9
Brady Jones194048%136133.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jalen Buckley179100395.667
Broc Lowry203963144.737
Devin Miles9942534.332
Ofa Mataele5725234.422
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tailique Williams (Tr)35478213.771
Baylin Brooks (Tr)27372013.842
Aveion Chenault23277212.045
Blake Bosma2725119.324

View Western Michigan's Full Roster

WMU's DC Scott Power (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
James Camden855410
Sefa Saipaia Jr.776250
Tate Hallock672142
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)612104
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nadame Tucker (Tr)552215161
Rodney McGraw4297101
James Camden855410
Tyson Lee153330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joshua Franklin5362110
Aaron Wofford331008
Jarvarius Sims (Tr)612104