Ball State at UConn Game Matchup
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at UConn HuskiesUConn logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Rentschler Field - East Hartford, CT

 
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (23 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.1 - 8.9 (#131)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
CONN is playing their 4th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UConn -21   (SP+ CONN -16)

Projected Score: BALL: 20 - CONN: 41 (60)
CONN Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
BALL Travel: 675 miles
Huskies (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Jim L. Mora (17 - 20)
Avg Score : 32 - 23 (37 - 16 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#35)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)
 
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Ball State at Purdue+16.50.0
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+42
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-1
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+16
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+7.5
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+0.5
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+14.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-6
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+5.5
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+23.5
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+13.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
UConn's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 UConn vs Central Connecticut-19.5
Sat 9/6 UConn at Syracuse+12
Sat 9/13 UConn at Delaware-10
Sat 9/20 UConn vs Ball State-21
Sat 9/27 UConn at Buffalo-1
Sat 10/4 UConn vs Florida International-13.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 UConn at Boston College+9
Sat 10/25 UConn at Rice-10.5
Sat 11/1 UConn vs UAB-13
Sat 11/8 UConn vs Duke+7.5
Sat 11/15 UConn vs Air Force-10.5
Sat 11/22 UConn at Florida Atlantic-7.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)25.344% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)40.146% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
CONN#67 (.19)42% (82)31.943% (82)3.07 (58)18440% (84)1874.09 (51)#25 (.1)39% (37)23.142% (63)37% (23)3.36 (26)50.41.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
CONN0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1225.32342.1%3.941.2203481032453.442%58%44%41%19%.14
CONN Defense1323.116.339.4%3.361.1 - - - - - 49%51%42%37%17%.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1240.144.946.5%4.811.3 - - - - - 47%52%46%47%13%.32
CONN Offense1331.936.941.8%4.091.2193711841875.254%46%43%40%13%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1230:5820.342%46%4.945.31.21.34.61.7230.3
UConn1327:1619.137%47%550.41.21.15.21.6231.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1242% (120)44% (70)30.8103.43.410 (122).1 (91)3.06 (61)80% (23)11% (99)0.87 (117)
CONN Defense1349% (45)42% (63) - - - - .05 (29)2.76 (31)63% (18)10% (78)0.89 (28)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1247% (34)46% (103) - - - - .22 (116)3.17 (90)74% (72)9% (103)1.08 (110)
CONN Offense1354% (39)43% (82)35.7184.15.222 (55).18 (40)3.07 (58)77% (39)7% (13)1.03 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1258% (16)41% (72)23.336.6244.76.710.526 (26)11 (72).19 (98)1.6 (73)33% (93)28% (101).29 (88)8% (123)2.2 (15)
CONN Defense1351% (84)37% (23) - - - - - - 9 (76).17 (35)1.5 (37)32% (72)26% (17).28 (57)7% (23)2.1 (97)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1252% (100)47% (121) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (128)1.8 (119)33% (55)40% (133).57 (131)5% (115)2.2 (115)
CONN Offense1346% (96)40% (84)15.828.6186.86.511.823 (41)9 (48).23 (85)1.5 (114)30% (47)30% (88).29 (86)6% (87)2 (82)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -23.84 #133
Ball State's Offense Rating: 2.51 #128
Ball State's Defense Rating: 26.35 #126
2025 Talent Rating: 486.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #134
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -23.84   UConn: -1.405

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -21.2   UConn: -5.4




UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -1.405 #73
UConn's Offense Rating: 13.36 #74
UConn's Defense Rating: 15.77 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 550.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
UConn's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
UConn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #84
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #86

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 811
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 23
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 44.9

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
UConn 41
Ball State 20


Projected Total Points: 60
UConn Scoring
Offense: 31.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.9
Defense: 23.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 16.3

UConn's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202210/15Ball State25UConn21Ball StateBall State -9.5UConn47.5Under
200209/28UConn21Ball State24Ball State
200110/27UConn5Ball State10Ball State
200011/17Ball State29UConn0Ball State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
UConn010 Overs
Ball State401 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 20 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams2 - 21 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#133) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -23.84 #133
Offense Rating: 2.51 #128
Defense Rating: 26.35 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #134
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131
Talent Rating: 486.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #82
Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Ball State Notes
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
(3/26) New HC Uremovich 23-11 @ Butler
(3/26) OC Harmon a HS coach recently, history w/ HC
Ball State     Ratings Matchup     UConn
Power #133
#73
Off #128
#74
Def #126
#75
Talent #109
#96
SP+ #134
#84
SP+ Off #123
#84
SP+ Def #131
#86

Previous Matchups
Ball State beat UConn in 2022 (25-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Rentschler Field
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BALL | CONN
Depth Chart: BALL | CONN
Rosters: BALL | CONN
(#73) UConn Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -1.405 #73
Offense Rating: 13.36 #74
Defense Rating: 15.77 #75
Overall SP+ Rating: -5.4 #84
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.5 #86
Talent Rating: 550.00 #96
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.09 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Bad Pass Success 40%
Good OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 39%
Good in Scoring Position 3.36 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 42%
Good Pass Def Success 37%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


UConn Notes
(3/21) QB Evers started last 1/2 LY. JAG
(3/21) RB Edwards back, Brown good depth
(3/21) WR Sheffield/Bell good combo. Added depth
(3/21) Def OK LY, considering. 12 portal adds.
(3/21) HC Mora great job LY. Tough job, doing well


  
Ball State's OC Craig Harmon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Leffler2633%6001.0
Kiael Kelly2450%8002.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)12240913.460
TJ Horton2310704.717
Elijah Jackson (Tr)697116.269
Kiael Kelly359112.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)2825519.151
Qian Magwood2320749.045
Dahya Patel7120117.133
Ty Robinson569113.821

View Ball State's Full Roster
Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joey Stemler566260
Jordan Coleman422002
Ashton Whitner (Tr)261011
Eric McClain240000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Feeney73300
Darin Conley163220
Joey Stemler566260
Caden Johnson221100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scott Hudson31102
Jackson Wiegold242002
Jordan Coleman422002

UConn's OC Gordon Sammis
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Nick Evers9718054%918555.1
Tucker McDonald3560%20004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cam Edwards14683085.771
Jayden Brown9857825.952
Nick Evers8024533.123
Victor Rosa167214.529
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Skyler Bell50860517.270
TJ Sheffield5450539.458
Chris Parker (Tr)29360312.444
Jasaiah Gathings3230739.626

View UConn's Full Roster
UConn's DC Matt Brock
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jayden McDonald12510483
Tyquan King (Tr)1116360
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Rante Jones562032
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Jayden McDonald12510483
Tyquan King (Tr)1116360
Aaron Key102100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tui Faumuina-Brown9111576
Cam Chadwick471016
D'Mon Brinson484004