Kent State at Ball State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kent State logo Kent State Golden Flashes at Ball State CardinalsBall State logo
Wednesday, November 5th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Scheumann Stadium - Muncie, IN  (Mid-American)

 
Golden Flashes (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Mark Carney (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 37 (14 - 62 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#118)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
KENT coming off BYE
BALL coming off BYE
Our Line: Ball State -0   (SP+ KENT -1.5)

Projected Score: KENT: 31 - BALL: 31 (62)
BALL Win prob: 49% | Cover: 49%
KENT Travel: 224 miles
Cardinals (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 12 - 34 (34 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.3 - 8.7 (#125)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
 
Kent State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Kent State vs Merrimack-5.550.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Kent State at Texas Tech+48.560.0L 14 - 62OY
Sat 9/13 Kent State vs Buffalo+23.548.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Kent State at Florida State+45.555.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Kent State at Oklahoma+49
Sat 10/11 Kent State vs Massachusetts-6.5
Sat 10/18 Kent State at Toledo+30
Sat 10/25 Kent State vs Bowling Green+6
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Kent State at Ball State+0
Tue 11/11 Kent State at Akron+3
Wed 11/19 Kent State vs Central Michigan-4.5
Fri 11/28 Kent State at Northern Illinois+15.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ball State at Purdue+16.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+43.052.5L 3 - 42UY
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-3.046.5W 34 - 29OY
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21.052.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+13.5
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+7
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+0.5
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+18
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-0
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+1.5
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+32.5
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+12

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#135 (-.08)29% (134)2126% (135)1.91 (133)10233% (116)2152.33 (126)#92 (.18)39% (66)36.740% (76)38% (58)4 (89)47.711
BALL#107 (.09)35% (126)12.336% (117)2.52 (110)14035% (111)883 (116)#121 (.32)51% (128)3449% (117)52% (125)3.6 (70)43.710.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)33% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)50% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)44% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)46% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Offense3211429.3%2.331153171022152.756%44%26%33%18%-.08
BALL Defense3342950.6%3.60.3 - - - - - 41%59%49%52%20%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Defense336.76239%41 - - - - - 48%52%40%38%10%.18
BALL Offense312.33435.3%311322814088464%35%36%35%22%.09

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kent State331:541532%44%6.347.71141127
Ball State328:3613.332%67%5.343.710.37.33.3024.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Offense356% (38)26% (135)38102.32.73 (95)-.19 (135)1.91 (133)57% (114)12% (116)0.66 (129)
BALL Defense341% (14)49% (117) - - - - .35 (130)2.94 (85)83% (110)14% (23)1.19 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Defense348% (54)40% (76) - - - - .14 (99)2.65 (53)44% (15)7% (115)1.09 (96)
BALL Offense364% (10)36% (117)35140.343 (95).12 (79)2.52 (110)86% (22)19% (134)1.25 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Offense344% (95)33% (116)1525.72158.414.35 (54)1 (23).06 (123)2 (6)39% (126)16% (131)-.09 (134)6% (92)2.6 (8)
BALL Defense359% (127)52% (125) - - - - - - 0.29 (100)1.3 (24)30% (99)35% (111).28 (73)6% (66)1.6 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Defense352% (84)38% (58) - - - - - - 1 (87).22 (70)1.5 (68)33% (62)40% (124).44 (105)3% (125)1.6 (33)
BALL Offense335% (128)35% (111)9.715.787.75.69.12 (102)1 (23).1 (116)1.4 (107)36% (118)18% (127).04 (121)3% (16)2 (73)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -17.82 #124
Kent State's Offense Rating: -0.51 #135
Kent State's Defense Rating: 17.31 #107
2025 Talent Rating: 516.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.7 #130
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #122
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #130

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -17.82   Ball State: -19.59

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -21.7   Ball State: -23.2




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -19.59 #133
Ball State's Offense Rating: 1.18 #130
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.48 #127
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.2 #134
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #127
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #132

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Kent State Scoring
Offense: 21 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 36.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 62

Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kent State 31
Ball State 31


Total Points: 62

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 12.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Kent State35Ball State37Ball StateBall State -3Kent State58.0Over
202311/18Ball State34Kent State3Ball StateBall State -10.5Ball State41.5Under
202211/01Kent State20Ball State27Ball StateKent State -7Ball State61.5Under
201911/23Kent State41Ball State38Kent StateBall State -3Kent State67.5Over
201809/29Ball State52Kent State24Ball StateBall State -7Ball State62.0Over
201310/12Ball State27Kent State24Ball StateBall State -11Kent State0
201209/29Kent State45Ball State43Kent State
201010/30Kent State33Ball State14Kent State
200809/27Ball State41Kent State20Ball State
200611/24Ball State30Kent State6Ball State
200310/04Kent State17Ball State34Ball State
200111/10Ball State18Kent State31Kent State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State833 Overs
Kent State432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 44 - 22 - 22 - 0
Road Teams4 - 82 - 40 - 22 - 2

(#124) Kent State Info
Power Rating: -17.82 #124
Offense Rating: -0.51 #135
Defense Rating: 17.31 #107
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.7 #130
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.2 #122
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.6 #130
Talent Rating: 516.00 #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 44%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 29%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.33 PPO
Awful Run Success 26%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Awful OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 39%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 40%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Kent State has lost 7 straight
Kent State has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Kent State Notes
(9/10) Two QB system w/ Deshields and Montes. Meh
(9/6) Physically does not look like FBS level ball
(8/30) QB DeShields/Montes meh, Run Off awful
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
(3/26) QB Kargman some exp, glorious hair
(3/26) RB rebuild, awful LY, Nubin (Minn) added.
(3/26) WR rebuild, surprisingly decent depth/options
(3/26) OL worst in CFB, 3/5 back, only 2 portals?
(3/26) Def near worst, 6 portals, 4 DBs
(3/26) Worst CFB team of last 4 years LY

Kent State Highlights

Kent State Deficiencies
Kent State Can Not Run the Ball (#122)
Kent State offense is really bad (#134)
Kent State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#126)
Kent State run game is really bad (#135)
Kent State pass game is really bad (#116)
Kent State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kent State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Kent State does not Sack the QB (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBALLKENT
OverallOver#107#99
OffenseOff#106#111
DefenseDef#99#65
Special TeamsST#92#107
PassingPass#109#55
RushingRush#51#107
Run BlockRBLK#112#116
Pass BlockPBLK#77#119
Route RunningWR Rt#100#76
TacklingTkl#93#44
Run DefenseR Def#109#38
Pass Rush DefPRush#15#84
Coverage DefCov#103#79

Previous Matchups
Ball State beat Kent State last year (37-35)
Ball State beat Kent State in 2023 (34-3)
Ball State beat Kent State in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KENT | BALL
Depth Chart: KENT | BALL
Rosters: KENT | BALL
(#133) Ball State Info
Power Rating: -19.59 #133
Offense Rating: 1.18 #130
Defense Rating: 22.48 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.2 #134
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #132
Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Ball State has lost 5 straight
Ball State has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Ball State Notes
(8/30) Off abysmal vs Purdue, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/12) OL has size, low key good starting 5 if healthy
(7/12) Overall portal loser both talent & quantity
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
(3/26) New HC Uremovich 23-11 @ Butler
(3/26) OC Harmon a HS coach recently, history w/ HC

Ball State Highlights
Ball State is Undefeated at Home
Ball State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Ball State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ball State Front 7 is disruptive (#23)
Ball State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State has a really bad Offense
Ball State offense is really bad (#126)
Ball State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#120)
Ball State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Ball State run game is really bad (#117)
Ball State pass game is really bad (#111)
Ball State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Ball State has a bad defense (#128)


  
Kent State's OC Mark Carney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dru Deshields355761%513409.0
CJ Montes (Tr)101953%140117.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Garcia4513503.011
Dru Deshields246122.510
Jahzae Kimbrough164502.812
Maurice Stephens131131.031
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Wolford7223431.979
Terik Mulder (Tr)789112.750
Wayne Harris775010.727
Ardell Banks475018.838

View Kent State's Full Roster
Kent State's DC Kody Morgan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
CJ Young210020
Mason Woods202010
Jaire Rawlison192002
Joel Cordoba160010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Campbell62100
Jamond Mathis (Tr)61150
Jelani Davis (Tr)62110
Thomas Aden (Tr)61100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaire Rawlison192002
Terrell Miller30002
Darian Blachewicz31001

Ball State's OC Craig Harmon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kiael Kelly294762%263215.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)3420926.172
Kiael Kelly5014312.940
TJ Horton113303.08
Eric Weatherly (Tr)32107.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Weatherly (Tr)76008.616
Elijah Jackson (Tr)137037.037
Qua Ashley (Tr)73314.727
TJ Horton32809.314

View Ball State's Full Roster
Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Whitner (Tr)132000
Willizhuan Yates130004
Alfred Chea (Tr)132000
Jack Beebe120000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeJuan Echoles115301
Nathan Voorhis104300
Drew Hughes82200
Caden Johnson92100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willizhuan Yates130004
Jahmad Harmon71004
Jackson Wiegold60002