Kent State at Ball State Game Matchup
Kent State logo Kent State Golden Flashes at Ball State CardinalsBall State logo
Wednesday, November 5th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Scheumann Stadium - Muncie, IN  (Mid-American)

 
Golden Flashes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mark Carney (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (9 - 48 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#136)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
KENT coming off BYE
BALL coming off BYE
Our Line: Ball State -6   (SP+ BALL -4)
Projected Score: KENT: 28 - BALL: 34 (62)
BALL Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
KENT Travel: 224 miles
Cardinals (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 40 (29 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.1 - 8.9 (#131)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 10)
 
Kent State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Kent State vs Merrimack+2.5
Sat 9/6 Kent State at Texas Tech+41
Sat 9/13 Kent State vs Buffalo+16
Sat 9/20 Kent State at Florida State+36.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Kent State at Oklahoma+47.5
Sat 10/11 Kent State vs Massachusetts+1.5
Sat 10/18 Kent State at Toledo+27.5
Sat 10/25 Kent State vs Bowling Green+10
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Kent State at Ball State+6
Tue 11/11 Kent State at Akron+9.5
Wed 11/19 Kent State vs Central Michigan+10
Fri 11/28 Kent State at Northern Illinois+18

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Ball State at Purdue+16.50.0
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+42
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-1
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+16
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+7.5
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+0.5
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+14.5
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-6
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+5.5
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+23.5
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+13.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 8
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)13.933% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)44.150% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)25.344% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)40.146% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KENT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Offense1213.99.330.5%2.891.713233781552.447%51%33%29%28%.01
BALL Defense1240.133.446.5%4.811.3 - - - - - 47%52%46%47%13%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KENT Defense1244.148.350.1%4.340.9 - - - - - 55%45%50%51%12%.35
BALL Offense1225.328.642.1%3.941.2203481032453.442%58%44%41%19%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kent State1226:5212.919%38%4.835.71.70.94.71.5027.2
Ball State1230:5820.342%46%4.945.31.21.34.61.7230.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Offense1247% (91)33% (132)32.377.52.43 (134)-.07 (132)2.57 (128)61% (123)19% (134)0.95 (72)
BALL Defense1247% (34)46% (103) - - - - .22 (116)3.17 (90)74% (72)9% (103)1.08 (110)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KENT Defense1255% (113)50% (123) - - - - .3 (132)3.58 (133)81% (115)8% (111)1.13 (122)
BALL Offense1242% (120)44% (70)30.8103.43.410 (122).1 (91)3.06 (61)80% (23)11% (99)0.87 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Offense1251% (54)29% (134)11.624.5155.46.313.418 (68)13 (103).14 (109)2.1 (2)41% (134)19% (134).11 (132)8% (128)2.7 (1)
BALL Defense1252% (100)47% (121) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (128)1.8 (119)33% (55)40% (133).57 (131)5% (115)2.2 (115)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KENT Defense1245% (25)51% (130) - - - - - - 4 (125).41 (126)1.5 (23)28% (124)38% (127).42 (109)4% (127)1.8 (15)
BALL Offense1258% (16)41% (72)23.336.6244.76.710.526 (26)11 (72).19 (98)1.6 (73)33% (93)28% (101).29 (88)8% (123)2.2 (15)

Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -27.49 #135
Kent State's Offense Rating: 0.40 #134
Kent State's Defense Rating: 27.89 #132
2025 Talent Rating: 452.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.1 - 9.9
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.9 #136
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #134
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #133

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29

Power Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -27.49   Ball State: -20.02

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kent State: -24.9   Ball State: -21.2




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -20.02 #133
Ball State's Offense Rating: 2.51 #128
Ball State's Defense Rating: 26.35 #126
2025 Talent Rating: 486.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #134
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.29


Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.3
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 48.3

Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Ball State 34
Kent State 28

Projected Total Points: 62
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 25.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.6
Defense: 40.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 33.4

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/12Kent State35Ball State37Ball StateBall State -3Kent State58.0Over
202311/18Ball State34Kent State3Ball StateBall State -10.5Ball State41.5Under
202211/01Kent State20Ball State27Ball StateKent State -7Ball State61.5Under
201911/23Kent State41Ball State38Kent StateBall State -3Kent State67.5Over
201809/29Ball State52Kent State24Ball StateBall State -7Ball State62.0Over
201310/12Ball State27Kent State24Ball StateBall State -11Kent State0
201209/29Kent State45Ball State43Kent State
201010/30Kent State33Ball State14Kent State
200809/27Ball State41Kent State20Ball State
200611/24Ball State30Kent State6Ball State
200310/04Kent State17Ball State34Ball State
200111/10Ball State18Kent State31Kent State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State833 Overs
Kent State432 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams8 - 44 - 22 - 22 - 0
Road Teams4 - 82 - 40 - 22 - 2

(#135) Kent State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -27.49 #135
Offense Rating: 0.40 #134
Defense Rating: 27.89 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.9 #136
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #134
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #133
Talent Rating: 452.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 2.1 - 9.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 30%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.89 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Kent State Notes
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
(3/26) QB Kargman some exp, glorious hair
(3/26) RB rebuild, awful LY, Nubin (Minn) added.
(3/26) WR rebuild, surprisingly decent depth/options
(3/26) OL worst in CFB, 3/5 back, only 2 portals?
(3/26) Def near worst, 6 portals, 4 DBs
(3/26) Worst CFB team of last 4 years LY
Kent State     Ratings Matchup     Ball State
Power #135
#133
Off #134
#128
Def #132
#126
Talent #118
#109
SP+ #136
#134
SP+ Off #134
#123
SP+ Def #133
#131

Previous Matchups
Ball State beat Kent State last year (37-35)
Ball State beat Kent State in 2023 (34-3)
Ball State beat Kent State in 2022 (27-20)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KENT | BALL
Depth Chart: KENT | BALL
Rosters: KENT | BALL
(#133) Ball State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -20.02 #133
Offense Rating: 2.51 #128
Defense Rating: 26.35 #126
Overall SP+ Rating: -21.2 #134
Offense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #123
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131
Talent Rating: 486.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #82
Expected Record: 3.1 - 8.9

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 3.94 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Bad Pass Success 41%
Avg OL Grades, Avg OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 46%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.81 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 46%
Awful Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Ball State Notes
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
(3/26) New HC Uremovich 23-11 @ Butler
(3/26) OC Harmon a HS coach recently, history w/ HC


  
Kent State's OC Mark Carney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devin Kargman458255%432325.3
Ruel Tomlinson112839%73022.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahzae Kimbrough2711404.218
Ayden Harris2911013.813
Jordan Nubin (Tr)111901.77
Cade Wolford41002.54
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Jay Etheridge1413719.837
Dashawn Martin8108013.527
Jordan Nubin (Tr)332010.719
Jahzae Kimbrough52404.811

View Kent State's Full Roster
Kent State's DC Kody Morgan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Woods684001
Tevin Tucker652002
Canaan Williams463011
CJ Young342100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mattheus Carroll142100
CJ Young342100
Mason Woods684001
Jaihien Roy20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Campbell62012
Tevin Tucker652002
Mason Woods684001

Ball State's OC Craig Harmon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Aidan Leffler2633%6001.0
Kiael Kelly2450%8002.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)12240913.460
TJ Horton2310704.717
Elijah Jackson (Tr)697116.269
Kiael Kelly359112.624
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)2825519.151
Qian Magwood2320749.045
Dahya Patel7120117.133
Ty Robinson569113.821

View Ball State's Full Roster
Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joey Stemler566260
Jordan Coleman422002
Ashton Whitner (Tr)261011
Eric McClain240000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sam Feeney73300
Darin Conley163220
Joey Stemler566260
Caden Johnson221100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Scott Hudson31102
Jackson Wiegold242002
Jordan Coleman422002