Akron at Ball State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Akron logo Akron Zips at Ball State CardinalsBall State logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Akron -2.5 (44.5) (-125)  Open: -1.5
Ball State 42 - Akron: 28  (Mid-American)

 
Zips (5 - 7) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (8 - 28)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (17 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
Light Rain Predicted
Wind: 17.6 MPH
AKR is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Akron -4  (SP+ AKR -9)

Projected Score: AKR: 25 - BALL: 21 (47)
AKR Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
AKR Travel: 213 miles
Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (24 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
 
Akron's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Akron vs Wyoming+8.549.5L 0 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Akron at Nebraska+34.047.5L 0 - 68ON
Sat 9/13 Akron at UAB+12.558.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Akron vs Duquesne-10.551.0W 51 - 7OY
Sat 9/27 Akron at Toledo+21.550.5L 3 - 45UN
Sat 10/4 Akron vs Central Michigan+7.047.5W 28 - 22OY
Sat 10/11 Akron vs Miami (OH)+11.547.5L 7 - 20UN
Sat 10/18 Akron at Ball State-2.544.5L 28 - 42ON
Sat 10/25 Akron at Buffalo+10.048.5W 24 - 16UY
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Akron vs Massachusetts-12.551.5W 44 - 10OY
Tue 11/11 Akron vs Kent State-7.549.5L 35 - 42ON
Tue 11/18 Akron at Bowling Green+2.547.5W 19 - 16UY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ball State at Purdue+16.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+43.052.5L 3 - 42UY
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-3.046.5W 34 - 29OY
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21.053.5L 25 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+14.052.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+9.543.5L 0 - 42UN
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+2.544.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+6.541.5L 7 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-3.048.5W 17 - 13UY
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+2.548.5L 9 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+29.545.5L 9 - 38OY
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+16.540.5L 24 - 45ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)22.344% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)27.441% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)15.844% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)29.846% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense1222.31738.8%3.261.7183331012333.540%59%44%36%17%.07
BALL Defense1229.821.646.5%4.811.3 - - - - - 47%52%46%47%13%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense1227.436.344.6%4.190.8 - - - - - 54%45%41%49%14%.21
BALL Offense1215.824.442.1%3.941.2203481032453.442%58%44%41%19%.14

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron1228:3317.936%31%6.348.71.70.851.5226.4
Ball State1230:5820.342%46%4.945.31.21.34.61.7230.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense1240% (124)44% (64)28.5100.53.511 (116).03 (114)2.82 (103)78% (34)10% (77)0.91 (93)
BALL Defense1247% (34)46% (103) - - - - .22 (116)3.17 (90)74% (72)9% (103)1.08 (110)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense1254% (111)41% (55) - - - - .1 (57)2.95 (58)65% (24)9% (95)0.98 (66)
BALL Offense1242% (120)44% (70)30.8103.43.410 (122).1 (91)3.06 (61)80% (23)11% (99)0.87 (117)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense1259% (13)36% (118)19.535232.56.611.916 (87)10 (63).12 (118)1.6 (54)35% (121)25% (120).07 (133)7% (91)2.1 (36)
BALL Defense1252% (100)47% (121) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (128)1.8 (119)33% (55)40% (133).57 (131)5% (115)2.2 (115)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense1245% (23)49% (126) - - - - - - 3 (132).37 (122)1.5 (45)28% (120)36% (121).45 (114)5% (90)2.1 (71)
BALL Offense1258% (16)41% (72)23.336.6244.76.710.526 (26)11 (72).19 (98)1.6 (73)33% (93)28% (101).29 (88)8% (123)2.2 (15)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -16.31  #122
Akron's Offense Rating: 3.83  #121
Akron's Defense Rating: 20.14  #110
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00  #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Akron's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Akron's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.9  #117
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.2  #123
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3  #87

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -16.31   Ball State: -19.115

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -13.9   Ball State: -23.0




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -19.115  #131
Ball State's Offense Rating: -1.10  #136
Ball State's Defense Rating: 19.13  #98
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 1  #88
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0  #132
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.4  #134
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Akron Scoring
Offense: 22.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 27.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.3

Akron's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Akron 25
Ball State 21


Projected Total Points: 47
Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 24.4
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.6

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Ball State42Akron28Akron -2.5Ball State44.5Over
202111/02Akron25Ball State31Ball State -20Akron58.0Under
201710/07Akron31Ball State3Akron -4.5Akron52.0Under
201610/22Ball State25Akron35Ball State -2Akron62.5Under
201410/25Ball State35Akron21Akron -1Ball State0
201310/26Akron24Ball State42Ball State -11.5Ball State0
201011/06Ball State37Akron30
200809/13Akron24Ball State41
200511/05Ball State23Akron17
200410/23Akron35Ball State23
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State731 Overs
Akron333 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams6 - 44 - 21 - 13 - 1
Road Teams4 - 62 - 41 - 31 - 1

(#122) AKR at (#131) BALL
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatAKRBALL
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #122 #131
SP+SP+ #117 #132
Perf GradeGrade #91 #133
OffenseOff #90 #133
DefenseDef #59 #123
Spec TeamsST #102 #120
TalentTal #122 #97
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #88
Akron Notes
(11/4) Killed UMass, over 430 yds, Def played well
(10/31) Coming off only bye into Nov & last 3 MAC gms
(10/31) QB Ben Finley & RB Jordan Grant can play, OL Avg
(10/31) Could get to 6-6? UMass, Kent, BG to finish
(10/4) QB Finley missed Toledo game, ? for CMU game
(9/24) QB Finley playing better but this Off is terrible
(8/28) Offense somehow worse than anticipated, woof
(8/21) This is not an FBS roster. Bad team
(8/21) No bowl, no real bye, end on Nov 18th
(7/27) WR A Adams was leader WR in '23, injury probs
(5/29) QB Finley & WRs + DBs are only real assets
(5/29) RB awful LY. Limited options, 1 FCS portal add?
Akron Injury Report
Ball State Notes
(11/5) Uremovich outcoached Carney in Kent St win
(10/31) OL is worst in MAC, DL bad as well. QB Kelly bad
(10/19) Off is awful, RB Qua Ashley is it. W over Ohio baffling
(10/8) Run Def has improved since paycheck games
(8/30) Off abysmal vs Purdue, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/12) OL has size, low key good starting 5 if healthy
(7/12) Overall portal loser both talent & quantity
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
Ball State Injury Report
Akron on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
AKR OffBALL Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #90 #123
SuccessSuc #114 #118
ExplosiveExp #66 #126
PPAPPA #122 #128
PowerPwr #121 #98
SP+SP+ #123 #115
Pts POPPO #120 #133
HavocHav #85 #116
Akron Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
AKR OffBALL Def
Run GameRun #112 #125
Run SuccessRSuc #64 #103
Run ExplRExp #93 #110
PPAExp #114 #116
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #103 #90
Stuff RateStuff #100 #77
TackleTak -  #117
Akron Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
AKR OffBALL Def
Pass GamePass #63 #134
Pass SuccessPSuc #118 #121
Pass ExplPExl #54 #119
PPAExp #118 #128
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #119 #21
F7 HavocF7 #77 #103
DB HavocDB #91 #115
Ball State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatBALL OffAKR Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #133 #59
SuccessSuc #78 #101
ExplosiveExp #81 #54
PPAPPA #98 #91
PowerPwr #136 #110
SP+SP+ #134 #87
Pts POPPO #65 #108
HavocHav #119 #96
Ball State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
BALL OffAKR Def
Run GameRun #130 #64
Run SuccessRSuc #70 #55
Run ExplRExp #117 #66
PPAExp #91 #57
Run BlockR Blk #106 -
OL YdsOLY #61 #58
Stuff RateStuff #8 #37
TackleTak -  #55
Ball State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatBALL OffAKR Def
Pass GamePass #132 #87
Pass SuccessPSuc #72 #126
Pass ExplPExl #73 #45
PPAExp #98 #122
Pass Block/RushP Blk #108 #49
F7 HavocF7 #99 #95
DB HavocDB #123 #90
Program Comparison
BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

AKR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 78° - Wind: 18 mph
Rain: 0.004
Rematch from Week 8
Akron 2.5 (44.5)
Ball State won vs Akron this year (42-28)

Previous Matchups
Ball State beat Akron last year (42-28)

  
AKR's OC Taylor Housewright (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley18636251%24751996.8
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)122352%62102.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Gant (Tr)213103264.836
Sean Patrick6927414.025
Ben Finley6913021.940
Marquese Williams218604.114
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Marcel Williams (Tr)45641214.246
Israel Polk33525815.975
Kyan Mason33481514.662
Myles Walker20209010.524

View Akron's Full Roster

AKR's DC Tim Tibesar (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shammond Cooper665111
Gage Summers547210
DiMarco Johnson531003
Malcom DeWalt IV513018
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Julien Laventure4511460
Bruno Dall448466
Cyrus Durham (Tr)329470
Ronald Hull203320
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcom DeWalt IV513018
Bruno Dall448466
Elijah Reed442104

BALL's OC Mike Uremovich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kiael Kelly15327256%15601085.7
Ty Robinson2367%770025.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kiael Kelly21160852.956
Qua Ashley (Tr)11854744.672
TJ Horton6018003.013
Eric Weatherly (Tr)1311709.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qian Magwood19320116.853
Donovan Hamilton (Tr)20244012.247
Eric Weatherly (Tr)2923818.235
Koby Gross (Tr)10141114.142

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Jeff Knowles (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alfred Chea (Tr)594015
Nathan Voorhis49161020
Michael Gravely Jr. (Tr)441001
Joey Stemler442021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nathan Voorhis49161020
DeJuan Echoles276422
Drew Hughes272210
Darin Conley244221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willizhuan Yates320006
Alfred Chea (Tr)594015
Jahmad Harmon242005