Akron at Ball State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Akron logo Akron Zips at Ball State CardinalsBall State logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Scheumann Stadium - Muncie, IN  (Mid-American)

 
Zips (0 - 3) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Joe Moorhead (8 - 28)
Avg Score : 9 - 36 (14 - 50 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.7 - 8.3 (#121)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
AKR is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: Akron -0.5   (SP+ BALL -1)

Projected Score: AKR: 28 - BALL: 27 (55)
AKR Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
AKR Travel: 213 miles
Cardinals (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 12 - 34 (34 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.3 - 8.7 (#125)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
 
Akron's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Akron vs Wyoming+8.549.5L 0 - 10UN
Sat 9/6 Akron at Nebraska+34.047.5L 0 - 68ON
Sat 9/13 Akron at UAB+12.558.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Akron vs Duquesne-4
Sat 9/27 Akron at Toledo+30
Sat 10/4 Akron vs Central Michigan-5
Sat 10/11 Akron vs Miami (OH)+4.5
Sat 10/18 Akron at Ball State-0.5
Sat 10/25 Akron at Buffalo+17
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Akron vs Massachusetts-7
Tue 11/11 Akron vs Kent State-3
Tue 11/18 Akron at Bowling Green+10.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Akron's Schedule
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ball State at Purdue+16.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+43.052.5L 3 - 42UY
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-3.046.5W 34 - 29OY
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21.052.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+13.5
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+7
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+0.5
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+18
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-0
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+1.5
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+32.5
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+12

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#136 (-.24)27% (135)9.341% (88)2.39 (117)12019% (136)161-0.25 (136)#64 (.12)43% (88)36.343% (89)42% (87)2.56 (37)27.70.31
BALL#107 (.09)35% (126)12.336% (117)2.52 (110)14035% (111)883 (116)#121 (.32)51% (128)3449% (117)52% (125)3.6 (70)43.710.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
AKR#122 (.07)39% (114)44% (64)2.82 (103)10136% (118)2333.26 (120)#91 (.21)45% (101)41% (55)49% (126)4.19 (108)48.71.70.8
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)44% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)46% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Offense39.31427%-0.250.3162811201613.438%61%41%19%12%-.24
BALL Defense3342950.6%3.60.3 - - - - - 41%59%49%52%20%.32
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
AKR Defense336.349.542.6%2.561 - - - - - 52%48%43%42%17%.12
BALL Offense312.33435.3%311322814088464%35%36%35%22%.09

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Akron328:5015.722%50%3.727.70.314.30.7026.4
Ball State328:3613.332%67%5.343.710.37.33.3024.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Offense338% (127)41% (88)35.7120.33.41 (127)-.06 (123)2.39 (117)50% (124)4% (6)0.77 (119)
BALL Defense341% (14)49% (117) - - - - .35 (130)2.94 (85)83% (110)14% (23)1.19 (111)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
AKR Defense352% (90)43% (89) - - - - -.04 (37)3.22 (112)42% (9)8% (99)0.89 (57)
BALL Offense364% (10)36% (117)35140.343 (95).12 (79)2.52 (110)86% (22)19% (134)1.25 (21)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Offense361% (10)19% (136)14.7321615112 (102)1 (23)-.28 (136)1.5 (84)39% (127)11% (135)-.18 (135)7% (117)1.3 (130)
BALL Defense359% (127)52% (125) - - - - - - 0.29 (100)1.3 (24)30% (99)35% (111).28 (73)6% (66)1.6 (30)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
AKR Defense348% (52)42% (87) - - - - - - 2 (56).29 (96)1.5 (55)25% (128)26% (45).3 (77)9% (14)1.8 (44)
BALL Offense335% (128)35% (111)9.715.787.75.69.12 (102)1 (23).1 (116)1.4 (107)36% (118)18% (127).04 (121)3% (16)2 (73)

Akron's Power Ratings
Akron's Power Rating: -14.56 #115
Akron's Offense Rating: 0.02 #131
Akron's Defense Rating: 14.58 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Akron's 2025 Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3
Akron's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.1 #135
Akron's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.7 #134
Akron's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #126

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Akron: -14.56   Ball State: -19.59

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Akron: -24.1   Ball State: -23.2




Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -19.59 #133
Ball State's Offense Rating: 1.18 #130
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.48 #127
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.2 #134
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #127
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #132

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Akron Scoring
Offense: 9.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 14
Defense: 36.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 49.5

Akron's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Akron 28
Ball State 27


Total Points: 55

Ball State Scoring
Offense: 12.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 34
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 29

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202111/02Akron25Ball State31Ball StateBall State -20Akron58.0Under
201710/07Akron31Ball State3AkronAkron -4.5Akron52.0Under
201610/22Ball State25Akron35AkronBall State -2Akron62.5Under
201410/25Ball State35Akron21Ball StateAkron -1Ball State0
201310/26Akron24Ball State42Ball StateBall State -11.5Ball State0
201011/06Ball State37Akron30Ball State
200809/13Akron24Ball State41Ball State
200511/05Ball State23Akron17Ball State
200410/23Akron35Ball State23Akron
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Ball State620 Overs
Akron333 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams5 - 43 - 21 - 12 - 1
Road Teams4 - 52 - 31 - 21 - 1

(#115) Akron Info
Power Rating: -14.56 #115
Offense Rating: 0.02 #131
Defense Rating: 14.58 #100
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.1 #135
Offense SP+ Rating: 12.7 #134
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.9 #126
Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 3.7 - 8.3

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 61%, Run: 38%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 27%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position -0.25 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Awful Pass Success 19%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 43%
Good in Scoring Position 2.56 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Akron has lost 7 straight
Akron has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Akron Notes
(8/21) This is not an FBS roster. Bad team
(8/21) No bowl, no real bye, end on Nov 18th
(7/27) WR A Adams was leader WR in '23, injury probs
(5/29) QB Finley & WRs + DBs are only real assets
(5/29) RB awful LY. Limited options, 1 FCS portal add?
(5/29) WR complete rebuild, 4 portals. TE Newell good
(5/29) OL poor LY, 2/5 back. 4 meh portals (2 FCS).
(5/29) Def improved LY but lost most. Only 6 portals?
(5/6) Ineligible for bowl due to APR below 914
(3/26) QB Finley back, JAG. Depth looks v light

Akron Highlights
Akron Secondary is very good (#14)
Akron has a great TO Margin (#11)
Akron commits very few Penalties (#16)

Akron Deficiencies
Akron has a really bad Offense
Akron Can Not Run the Ball (#105)
Akron offense is really bad (#135)
Akron offense is not Explosive (#119)
Akron Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#111)
Akron offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#136)
Akron pass game is really bad (#136)
Akron offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Akron Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Akron does not Sack the QB (#122)
Akron has a bad defensive line (#112)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatBALLAKR
OverallOver#107#96
OffenseOff#106#95
DefenseDef#99#84
Special TeamsST#92#112
PassingPass#109#50
RushingRush#51#91
Run BlockRBLK#112#69
Pass BlockPBLK#77#59
Route RunningWR Rt#100#106
TacklingTkl#93#81
Run DefenseR Def#109#78
Pass Rush DefPRush#15#104
Coverage DefCov#103#82

Weather Forecast
Playing in Scheumann Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: AKR | BALL
Depth Chart: AKR | BALL
Rosters: AKR | BALL
(#133) Ball State Info
Power Rating: -19.59 #133
Offense Rating: 1.18 #130
Defense Rating: 22.48 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.2 #134
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #132
Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Ball State has lost 3 straight
Ball State has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread)

Ball State Notes
(8/30) Off abysmal vs Purdue, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/12) OL has size, low key good starting 5 if healthy
(7/12) Overall portal loser both talent & quantity
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
(3/26) New HC Uremovich 23-11 @ Butler
(3/26) OC Harmon a HS coach recently, history w/ HC

Ball State Highlights
Ball State is Undefeated at Home
Ball State is Undefeated vs Spread at Home

Ball State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ball State Front 7 is disruptive (#23)
Ball State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State has a really bad Offense
Ball State offense is really bad (#126)
Ball State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#120)
Ball State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Ball State run game is really bad (#117)
Ball State pass game is really bad (#111)
Ball State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Ball State has a bad defense (#128)


  
Akron's OC Taylor Housewright
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ben Finley429445%475215.1
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)22100%8004.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sean Patrick3617114.825
Jordan Gant (Tr)2511704.716
Marquese Williams125404.514
Michael Johnson Jr. (Tr)131501.217
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Israel Polk6112218.775
Myles Walker689014.824
Kyan Mason562012.432
Sean Patrick555011.018

View Akron's Full Roster
Akron's DC Tim Tibesar
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Shammond Cooper161000
DiMarco Johnson150001
Alex Branch142021
Malcom DeWalt IV122003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Bruno Dall63212
Cyrus Durham (Tr)62110
Shammond Cooper161000
Jon'Trell Mixon41000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Malcom DeWalt IV122003
Bruno Dall63212
Alex Branch142021

Ball State's OC Craig Harmon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kiael Kelly294762%263215.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)3420926.172
Kiael Kelly5014312.940
TJ Horton113303.08
Eric Weatherly (Tr)32107.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Weatherly (Tr)76008.616
Elijah Jackson (Tr)137037.037
Qua Ashley (Tr)73314.727
TJ Horton32809.314

View Ball State's Full Roster
Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Whitner (Tr)132000
Willizhuan Yates130004
Alfred Chea (Tr)132000
Jack Beebe120000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeJuan Echoles115301
Nathan Voorhis104300
Drew Hughes82200
Caden Johnson92100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willizhuan Yates130004
Jahmad Harmon71004
Jackson Wiegold60002