Ball State at Northern Illinois - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Northern Illinois HuskiesNorthern Illinois logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Northern Illinois -6.5 (41.5) (-250)  Open: -6.0
Northern Illinois 21 - Ball State: 7  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (4 - 8) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 16 - 30 (10 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
NIU is playing their 6th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -5.5  (SP+ NIU -6)

Projected Score: BALL: 18 - NIU: 24 (42)
NIU Win prob: 68% | Cover: 48%
BALL Travel: 212 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (3 - 9) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (31 - 38)
Avg Score : 17 - 24 (18 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
 
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ball State at Purdue+16.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+43.052.5L 3 - 42UY
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-3.046.5W 34 - 29OY
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21.053.5L 25 - 31OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+14.052.5W 20 - 14UY
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+9.543.5L 0 - 42UN
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+2.544.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+6.541.5L 7 - 21UN
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-3.048.5W 17 - 13UY
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+2.548.5L 9 - 24UN
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+29.545.5L 9 - 38OY
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+16.540.5L 24 - 45ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northern Illinois vs Holy Cross-13.548.5W 19 - 17UN
Fri 9/5 Northern Illinois at Maryland+17.044.5L 9 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Northern Illinois at Mississippi State+23.548.5L 10 - 38UN
Sat 9/27 Northern Illinois vs San Diego State+1.541.5L 3 - 6UN
Sat 10/4 Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)+4.538.5L 14 - 25ON
Sat 10/11 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-1.548.5L 10 - 16UN
Sat 10/18 Northern Illinois at Ohio+10.541.5L 21 - 48ON
Sat 10/25 Northern Illinois vs Ball State-6.541.5W 21 - 7UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Northern Illinois at Toledo+14.542.5L 3 - 42ON
Wed 11/12 Northern Illinois at Massachusetts-8.543.5W 45 - 3OY
Tue 11/18 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan+7.039.5L 19 - 35ON
Fri 11/28 Northern Illinois vs Kent State-5.045.0L 31 - 35ON

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)15.844% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)29.846% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)17.144% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)24.341% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
NIU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense1215.89.742.1%3.941.2203481032453.442%58%44%41%19%.14
NIU Defense1324.320.837.7%3.081.1 - - - - - 49%51%41%35%17%.06
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense1229.835.746.5%4.811.3 - - - - - 47%52%46%47%13%.32
NIU Offense1317.117.842.1%3.391.2213832041794.859%41%44%40%15%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State1230:5820.342%46%4.945.31.21.34.61.7230.3
Northern Illinois1333:2021.542%45%4.242.81.21.15.42.5130.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense1242% (120)44% (70)30.8103.43.410 (122).1 (91)3.06 (61)80% (23)11% (99)0.87 (117)
NIU Defense1349% (44)41% (52) - - - - .08 (45)3.06 (79)74% (73)11% (53)0.9 (33)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense1247% (34)46% (103) - - - - .22 (116)3.17 (90)74% (72)9% (103)1.08 (110)
NIU Offense1359% (11)44% (72)42.8204.24.822 (55).14 (66)3.25 (33)72% (83)9% (60)1 (54)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense1258% (16)41% (72)23.336.6244.76.710.526 (26)11 (72).19 (98)1.6 (73)33% (93)28% (101).29 (88)8% (123)2.2 (15)
NIU Defense1351% (93)35% (9) - - - - - - 9 (76).04 (4)1.5 (55)36% (15)25% (10).18 (16)7% (37)2 (67)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense1252% (100)47% (121) - - - - - - 8 (93).44 (128)1.8 (119)33% (55)40% (133).57 (131)5% (115)2.2 (115)
NIU Offense1341% (124)40% (86)16.528.5179.16.310.816 (87)8 (40).23 (84)1.6 (58)31% (68)30% (89).17 (117)5% (39)1.9 (116)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -20.23  #131
Ball State's Offense Rating: -1.10  #136
Ball State's Defense Rating: 19.13  #98
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00  #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.0  #132
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 13.4  #134
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.4  #115

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -20.23   Northern Illinois: -15.955

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -23.0   Northern Illinois: -16.7




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -15.955  #130
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 1.81  #130
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 22.02  #121
2025 Talent Rating: 526.00  #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Northern Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Northern Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -16.7  #128
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 12.0  #135
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.1  #74

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 15.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 9.7
Defense: 29.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.7

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 0 - 7
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 24
Ball State 18


Projected Total Points: 42
Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 17.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 17.8
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.8

Northern Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Northern Illinois21Ball State7Northern Illinois -6.5Northern Illinois41.5Under
202410/26Ball State25Northern Illinois23Northern Illinois -13.5Ball State47.5Over
202311/07Northern Illinois17Ball State20Northern Illinois -9.5Ball State43.5Under
202210/01Ball State44Northern Illinois38Northern Illinois -3.5Ball State58.5Over
202111/10Northern Illinois30Ball State29Ball State -3Northern Illinois59.5Under
202011/18Ball State31Northern Illinois25Ball State -14.5Northern Illinois59.5Under
201910/05Northern Illinois20Ball State27Northern Illinois -4Ball State55.0Under
201810/06Ball State16Northern Illinois24Northern Illinois -3Northern Illinois52.5Under
201711/09Northern Illinois63Ball State17Northern Illinois -28.5Northern Illinois51.5Over
201610/01Ball State24Northern Illinois31Ball State -1Northern Illinois57.5Under
201510/10Northern Illinois59Ball State41Northern Illinois -10.5Northern Illinois54.5Over
201411/05Ball State21Northern Illinois35Northern Illinois -1.5Northern Illinois0
201311/13Northern Illinois48Ball State27Northern Illinois -6.5Northern Illinois0
201210/06Ball State23Northern Illinois35
201111/15Northern Illinois41Ball State38
201011/20Ball State21Northern Illinois59
200911/12Northern Illinois26Ball State20
200811/05Ball State45Northern Illinois14
200711/24Northern Illinois21Ball State27
200609/30Ball State28Northern Illinois40
200510/29Northern Illinois17Ball State31
200410/30Ball State31Northern Illinois38
200311/01Northern Illinois48Ball State23
200210/05Ball State29Northern Illinois41
200111/17Northern Illinois33Ball State29
200009/29Ball State14Northern Illinois43
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois1894 Overs
Ball State847 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams13 - 137 - 64 - 43 - 2
Road Teams13 - 136 - 72 - 34 - 4

(#131) BALL at (#130) NIU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBALLNIU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #131 #130
SP+SP+ #132 #128
Perf GradeGrade #133 #116
OffenseOff #133 #117
DefenseDef #123 #105
Spec TeamsST #120 #88
TalentTal #97 #113
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #101
Ball State Notes
(11/5) Uremovich outcoached Carney in Kent St win
(10/31) OL is worst in MAC, DL bad as well. QB Kelly bad
(10/19) Off is awful, RB Qua Ashley is it. W over Ohio baffling
(10/8) Run Def has improved since paycheck games
(8/30) Off abysmal vs Purdue, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/12) OL has size, low key good starting 5 if healthy
(7/12) Overall portal loser both talent & quantity
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
Ball State Injury Report
Northern Illinois Notes
(11/20) QB play abysmal, Rush Def mauled vs WMU
(11/5) Last MAC year, no bowl. No Offense. Grim outlook
(10/31) Off is worst in CFB, QBs awful, RB Johnson OK
(10/31) DL good, Def good but Off #'s are just ass
(10/19) Lost 6 straight, worst Off Success #'s in all CFB
(10/19) Program is regressing fast. OC Beschorner must go
(9/29) QB Holst benched, QB2 Davidson immediately picked
(9/25) Off poss worst in CFB, have no QB, rush Off worse
(8/30) Slog W over Holy Cross. 3.7 ypc, 4.5 ypp. Woof
(5/5) Portal QB Proctor (Dart) exciting, joins in summer
(5/5) QB1 Holst won spring, started 3 games LY
(5/5) WR Bryant, Pardridge and Givens top 3 spring
Northern Illinois Injury Report
Ball State on Offense
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
BALL OffNIU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #133 #105
SuccessSuc #78 #19
ExplosiveExp #81 #37
PPAPPA #98 #11
PowerPwr #136 #121
SP+SP+ #134 #74
Pts POPPO #65 #12
HavocHav #119 #48
Ball State Run Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
BALL OffNIU Def
Run GameRun #130 #108
Run SuccessRSuc #70 #52
Run ExplRExp #117 #33
PPAExp #91 #45
Run BlockR Blk #106 -
OL YdsOLY #61 #79
Stuff RateStuff #8 #104
TackleTak -  #9
Ball State Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
BALL OffNIU Def
Pass GamePass #132 #94
Pass SuccessPSuc #72 #9
Pass ExplPExl #73 #55
PPAExp #98 #4
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #108 #100
F7 HavocF7 #99 #53
DB HavocDB #123 #37
Northern Illinois on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCatNIU OffBALL Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #117 #123
SuccessSuc #79 #118
ExplosiveExp #96 #126
PPAPPA #86 #128
PowerPwr #130 #98
SP+SP+ #135 #115
Pts POPPO #113 #133
HavocHav #44 #116
Northern Illinois Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
NIU OffBALL Def
Run GameRun #64 #125
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #103
Run ExplRExp #54 #110
PPAExp #66 #116
Run BlockR Blk #79 -
OL YdsOLY #33 #90
Stuff RateStuff #14 #77
TackleTak -  #117
Northern Illinois Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCatNIU OffBALL Def
Pass GamePass #136 #134
Pass SuccessPSuc #86 #121
Pass ExplPExl #58 #119
PPAExp #84 #128
Pass Block/RushP Blk #114 #21
F7 HavocF7 #60 #103
DB HavocDB #39 #115
Program Comparison
NIU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

BALL 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 52° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 9
Northern Illinois -6.5 (41.5)
Northern Illinois won vs Ball State this year (21-7)

Previous Matchups
Northern Illinois beat Ball State last year (21-7)
Ball State beat Northern Illinois in 2024 (25-23)
Ball State beat Northern Illinois in 2023 (20-17)

  
BALL's OC Mike Uremovich (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kiael Kelly15327256%15601085.7
Ty Robinson2367%770025.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kiael Kelly21160852.956
Qua Ashley (Tr)11854744.672
TJ Horton6018003.013
Eric Weatherly (Tr)1311709.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Qian Magwood19320116.853
Donovan Hamilton (Tr)20244012.247
Eric Weatherly (Tr)2923818.235
Koby Gross (Tr)10141114.142

View Ball State's Full Roster

BALL's DC Jeff Knowles (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Alfred Chea (Tr)594015
Nathan Voorhis49161020
Michael Gravely Jr. (Tr)441001
Joey Stemler442021
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nathan Voorhis49161020
DeJuan Echoles276422
Drew Hughes272210
Darin Conley244221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willizhuan Yates320006
Alfred Chea (Tr)594015
Jahmad Harmon242005

NIU's OC Wesley Beschorner (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Holst7813060%689435.3
Brady Davidson408746%384334.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chavon Wright19687554.545
Telly Johnson Jr.12469045.680
Jalen Macon4521654.836
Lazaro Rogers3318915.776
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DeAree Rogers46506311.050
Gary Givens III12145112.131
Rickey Taylor Jr.9134114.941
Telly Johnson Jr.169706.117

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster

NIU's DC Nick Benedetto (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Urwiler1278221
Filip Maciorowski766302
Jasper Beeler741102
Jacob Finley571007
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Filip Maciorowski766302
Jay'Shon Thomas193250
Roy Williams3332110
Quinton Urwiler1278221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Finley571007
Donte Harrison302005
Dev'ion Reynolds130003