Ball State at Northern Illinois - 2025 Matchup Preview
Ball State logo Ball State Cardinals at Northern Illinois HuskiesNorthern Illinois logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium - DeKalb, IL  (Mid-American)

 
Cardinals (1 - 2) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Mike Uremovich (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 12 - 34 (2 - 37 on Road)
Record Prediction: 3.3 - 8.7 (#125)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
NIU is playing their 6th straight game
BALL is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Northern Illinois -18   (SP+ NIU -13)

Projected Score: BALL: 10 - NIU: 28 (38)
NIU Win prob: 91% | Cover: 49%
BALL Travel: 212 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Huskies (1 - 1) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach Thomas Hammock (31 - 38)
Avg Score : 14 - 19 (19 - 17 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#60)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
 
Ball State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Ball State at Purdue+16.550.5L 0 - 31UN
Sat 9/6 Ball State at Auburn+43.052.5L 3 - 42UY
Sat 9/13 Ball State vs New Hampshire-3.046.5W 34 - 29OY
Sat 9/20 Ball State at UConn+21.052.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Ball State vs Ohio+13.5
Sat 10/11 Ball State at Western Michigan+7
Sat 10/18 Ball State vs Akron+0.5
Sat 10/25 Ball State at Northern Illinois+18
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Ball State vs Kent State-0
Sat 11/15 Ball State vs Eastern Michigan+1.5
Sat 11/22 Ball State at Toledo+32.5
Sat 11/29 Ball State at Miami (OH)+12

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Ball State's Schedule
Northern Illinois's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Northern Illinois vs Holy Cross-13.548.5W 19 - 17UN
Fri 9/5 Northern Illinois at Maryland+17.044.5L 9 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Northern Illinois at Mississippi State+21.549.5
Sat 9/27 Northern Illinois vs San Diego State-1
Sat 10/4 Northern Illinois vs Miami (OH)-8
Sat 10/11 Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan-9
Sat 10/18 Northern Illinois at Ohio+3.5
Sat 10/25 Northern Illinois vs Ball State-18
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Northern Illinois at Toledo+17
Wed 11/12 Northern Illinois at Massachusetts-14.5
Tue 11/18 Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan-13.5
Fri 11/28 Northern Illinois vs Kent State-15.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Northern Illinois's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#107 (.09)35% (126)12.336% (117)2.52 (110)14035% (111)883 (116)#121 (.32)51% (128)3449% (117)52% (125)3.6 (70)43.710.3
NIU#112 (.07)32% (131)1433% (125)2.73 (92)18031% (127)1003.2 (110)#10 (-.1)36% (46)18.535% (39)37% (52)2.09 (16)51.50.51
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BALL#98 (.14)42% (78)44% (70)3.06 (61)10341% (72)2453.94 (65)#128 (.32)46% (118)46% (103)47% (121)4.81 (133)45.31.21.3
NIU#86 (.16)42% (79)44% (72)3.25 (33)20440% (86)1793.39 (113)#11 (.06)38% (19)41% (52)35% (9)3.08 (12)42.81.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Offense312.31.535.3%311322814088464%35%36%35%22%.09
NIU Defense218.51736.1%2.091 - - - - - 43%56%35%37%16%-.1
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BALL Defense33436.550.6%3.60.3 - - - - - 41%59%49%52%20%.32
NIU Offense2141931.7%3.20.5152801801003.865%35%33%31%13%.07

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Ball State328:3613.332%67%5.343.710.37.33.3024.4
Northern Illinois233:301532%67%6.551.50.5151127
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Offense364% (10)36% (117)35140.343 (95).12 (79)2.52 (110)86% (22)19% (134)1.25 (21)
NIU Defense243% (23)35% (39) - - - - -.27 (3)2.11 (17)75% (80)9% (80)0.55 (3)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BALL Defense341% (14)49% (117) - - - - .35 (130)2.94 (85)83% (110)14% (23)1.19 (111)
NIU Offense265% (8)33% (125)471803.82 (109).11 (81)2.73 (92)89% (16)10% (91)1.24 (25)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Offense335% (128)35% (111)9.715.787.75.69.12 (102)1 (23).1 (116)1.4 (107)36% (118)18% (127).04 (121)3% (16)2 (73)
NIU Defense256% (114)37% (52) - - - - - - 1 (87).08 (32)1.5 (75)29% (112)35% (108).58 (122)7% (51)2.5 (126)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BALL Defense359% (127)52% (125) - - - - - - 0.29 (100)1.3 (24)30% (99)35% (111).28 (73)6% (66)1.6 (30)
NIU Offense235% (129)31% (127)14231004.47.10 (133)1 (23).08 (120)1.5 (69)39% (124)22% (119).29 (81)3% (23)2.5 (16)

Ball State's Power Ratings
Ball State's Power Rating: -20.98 #133
Ball State's Offense Rating: 1.18 #130
Ball State's Defense Rating: 22.48 #127
2025 Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Ball State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7
Ball State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -23.2 #134
Ball State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #127
Ball State's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #132

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -20.98   Northern Illinois: -4.21

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Ball State: -23.2   Northern Illinois: -10.4




Northern Illinois's Power Ratings
Northern Illinois's Power Rating: -4.21 #86
Northern Illinois's Offense Rating: 1.78 #125
Northern Illinois's Defense Rating: 4.80 #54
2025 Talent Rating: 526.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Northern Illinois's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Northern Illinois's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Northern Illinois's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #130
Northern Illinois's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Ball State Scoring
Offense: 12.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 1.5
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense on Road: 36.5

Ball State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Northern Illinois 28
Ball State 10


Total Points: 38

Northern Illinois Scoring
Offense: 14 PPG
Offense at Home: 19
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 17

Northern Illinois's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Ball State25Northern Illinois23Ball StateNorthern Illinois -13.5Ball State47.5Over
202311/07Northern Illinois17Ball State20Ball StateNorthern Illinois -9.5Ball State43.5Under
202210/01Ball State44Northern Illinois38Ball StateNorthern Illinois -3.5Ball State58.5Over
202111/10Northern Illinois30Ball State29Northern IllinoisBall State -3Northern Illinois59.5Under
202011/18Ball State31Northern Illinois25Ball StateBall State -14.5Northern Illinois59.5Under
201910/05Northern Illinois20Ball State27Ball StateNorthern Illinois -4Ball State55.0Under
201810/06Ball State16Northern Illinois24Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -3Northern Illinois52.5Under
201711/09Northern Illinois63Ball State17Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -28.5Northern Illinois51.5Over
201610/01Ball State24Northern Illinois31Northern IllinoisBall State -1Northern Illinois57.5Under
201510/10Northern Illinois59Ball State41Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -10.5Northern Illinois54.5Over
201411/05Ball State21Northern Illinois35Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -1.5Northern Illinois0
201311/13Northern Illinois48Ball State27Northern IllinoisNorthern Illinois -6.5Northern Illinois0
201210/06Ball State23Northern Illinois35Northern Illinois
201111/15Northern Illinois41Ball State38Northern Illinois
201011/20Ball State21Northern Illinois59Northern Illinois
200911/12Northern Illinois26Ball State20Northern Illinois
200811/05Ball State45Northern Illinois14Ball State
200711/24Northern Illinois21Ball State27Ball State
200609/30Ball State28Northern Illinois40Northern Illinois
200510/29Northern Illinois17Ball State31Ball State
200410/30Ball State31Northern Illinois38Northern Illinois
200311/01Northern Illinois48Ball State23Northern Illinois
200210/05Ball State29Northern Illinois41Northern Illinois
200111/17Northern Illinois33Ball State29Northern Illinois
200009/29Ball State14Northern Illinois43Northern Illinois
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Northern Illinois1784 Overs
Ball State846 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams12 - 136 - 63 - 43 - 2
Road Teams13 - 126 - 62 - 34 - 3

(#133) Ball State Info
Power Rating: -20.98 #133
Offense Rating: 1.18 #130
Defense Rating: 22.48 #127
Overall SP+ Rating: -23.2 #134
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.8 #127
Defense SP+ Rating: 39.9 #132
Talent Rating: 588.00 #97
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 3.3 - 8.7

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 35%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 35%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3 PPO
Awful Run Success 36%
Awful Pass Success 35%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 51%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.6 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 49%
Awful Pass Def Success 52%
Good Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Ball State has lost 4 straight
Ball State has lost 4 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 2 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Ball State Notes
(8/30) Off abysmal vs Purdue, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/12) OL has size, low key good starting 5 if healthy
(7/12) Overall portal loser both talent & quantity
(3/30) RB rebuild. 2 portals, Ashley (KSU) explosive
(3/26) QB Taylor (CU) via portal. No exp'd options
(3/26) WR rebuild, must like depth only 1 FCS portal
(3/26) OL was OK LY, 2/5 back. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def awful LY, replace most. 8 portals, 6 DBs
(3/26) New HC Uremovich 23-11 @ Butler
(3/26) OC Harmon a HS coach recently, history w/ HC

Ball State Highlights
Ball State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Ball State Front 7 is disruptive (#23)
Ball State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Ball State Deficiencies
Ball State has a really bad Offense
Ball State offense is really bad (#126)
Ball State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#120)
Ball State offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#116)
Ball State run game is really bad (#117)
Ball State pass game is really bad (#111)
Ball State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Ball State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Ball State has a bad defense (#128)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNIUBALL
OverallOver#102#107
OffenseOff#105#106
DefenseDef#82#99
Special TeamsST#94#92
PassingPass#102#109
RushingRush#63#51
Run BlockRBLK#111#112
Pass BlockPBLK#108#77
Route RunningWR Rt#98#100
TacklingTkl#50#93
Run DefenseR Def#67#109
Pass Rush DefPRush#67#15
Coverage DefCov#93#103

Previous Matchups
Ball State beat Northern Illinois last year (25-23)
Ball State beat Northern Illinois in 2023 (20-17)
Ball State beat Northern Illinois in 2022 (44-38)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BALL | NIU
Depth Chart: BALL | NIU
Rosters: BALL | NIU
(#86) Northern Illinois Info
Power Rating: -4.21 #86
Offense Rating: 1.78 #125
Defense Rating: 4.80 #54
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.4 #106
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #130
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.9 #62
Talent Rating: 526.00 #113
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Very Run heavy Offense 65%, Pass: 35%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 32%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.2 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 31%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 36%
Great in Scoring Position 2.09 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Avg Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Northern Illinois has lost 6 straight
Northern Illinois has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 0 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Northern Illinois Notes
(8/30) Slog W over Holy Cross. 3.7 ypc, 4.5 ypp. Woof
(5/5) Portal QB Proctor (Dart) exciting, joins in summer
(5/5) QB1 Holst won spring, started 3 games LY
(5/5) WR Bryant, Pardridge and Givens top 3 spring
(5/5) OL rebuild, 1/5 back. 2 more w/ exp. Lost 5 Srs
(4/27) Staff high on Fr QB Brady Davidson, best croot
(3/26) RB rebuild, Johnson/Poe have exp, some depth
(3/26) Def good LY, replacing all. Only 2 portals, CBs
(3/26) Hammock good, but lost most exp in CFB

Northern Illinois Highlights
Northern Illinois is Undefeated at Home

Northern Illinois defense is really good in red zone (#16)
Northern Illinois Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#12)
Northern Illinois Defensive Line is very good (#17)
Northern Illinois has a great TO Margin (#11)
Northern Illinois commits very few Penalties (#30)

Northern Illinois Deficiencies
Northern Illinois has a really bad Offense
Northern Illinois has a really bad Offense at Home
Northern Illinois Can Not Run the Ball (#106)
Northern Illinois offense is really bad (#131)
Northern Illinois Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#106)
Northern Illinois offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#110)
Northern Illinois run game is really bad (#125)
Northern Illinois pass game is really bad (#127)
Northern Illinois offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Northern Illinois does not Sack the QB (#122)


  
Ball State's OC Craig Harmon
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Kiael Kelly294762%263215.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Qua Ashley (Tr)3420926.172
Kiael Kelly5014312.940
TJ Horton113303.08
Eric Weatherly (Tr)32107.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eric Weatherly (Tr)76008.616
Elijah Jackson (Tr)137037.037
Qua Ashley (Tr)73314.727
TJ Horton32809.314

View Ball State's Full Roster
Ball State's DC Jeff Knowles
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Whitner (Tr)132000
Willizhuan Yates130004
Alfred Chea (Tr)132000
Jack Beebe120000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
DeJuan Echoles115301
Nathan Voorhis104300
Drew Hughes82200
Caden Johnson92100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Willizhuan Yates130004
Jahmad Harmon71004
Jackson Wiegold60002

Northern Illinois's OC Wesley Beschorner
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Josh Holst264065%192014.8
Jackson Proctor (Tr)2633%8001.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Chavon Wright3816714.445
Telly Johnson Jr.3115314.974
Jaylen Poe222011.021
DeAree Rogers122022.022
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DeAree Rogers108908.925
Gary Givens III226013.015
Jaylen Poe52404.89
Telly Johnson Jr.31906.317

View Northern Illinois's Full Roster
Northern Illinois's DC Nick Benedetto
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quinton Urwiler201100
Muhammed Jammeh110001
Filip Maciorowski111001
Ty Myles82000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Roy Williams61120
Quinton Urwiler201100
Marc Pretto51100
Trey Porter30000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Muhammed Jammeh110001
Alvin Gulley Jr.00001
Donte Harrison62001