Central Michigan at Bowling Green - 2025 Matchup Preview

Central Michigan Chippewas at Bowling Green Falcons

Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -3 (43.5) (-155) Open: -5.5
Central Michigan 27 - Bowling Green: 6 (Mid-American)

Chippewas (7 - 5) (8 - 4 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#59)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)

BGSU 2nd straight Home Game
CMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Central Michigan -5 (SP+ CMU -7.5)
Projected Score: CMU: 25 - BGSU: 20 (45)
BGSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CMU Travel: 163 miles

Falcons (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)

Matchup
Schedules
CMU Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Central Michigan's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Fri 8/29	Central Michigan at San José State	+11.5	50.5	W 16 - 14	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Central Michigan at Pittsburgh	+21.5	48.5	L 17 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/13	Central Michigan at Michigan	+27.5	42.5	L 3 - 63	O	N
Sat 9/20	Central Michigan vs Wagner	-29.0	47.0	W 49 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan	-3.0	55.5	W 24 - 13	U	Y
Sat 10/4	Central Michigan at Akron	-7.0	47.5	L 22 - 28	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Central Michigan at Bowling Green	+3.0	43.5	W 27 - 6	U	Y
Sat 10/25	Central Michigan vs Massachusetts	-16.5	46.5	W 38 - 13	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Central Michigan at Western Michigan	+6.0	43.5	L 21 - 24	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12	Central Michigan vs Buffalo	-2.5	44.5	W 38 - 19	O	Y
Wed 11/19	Central Michigan at Kent State	-7.5	50.5	W 28 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Central Michigan vs Toledo	+11.5	46.5	L 3 - 21	U	N
Fri 12/26	Central Michigan vs Northwestern	+12.5	43.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule

Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Bowling Green vs Lafayette	-21.0	53.0	W 26 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/6	Bowling Green at Cincinnati	+21.5	46.5	L 20 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Bowling Green vs Liberty	+6.0	51.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Bowling Green at Louisville	+26.5	50.5	L 17 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Bowling Green at Ohio	+7.5	49.5	L 20 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+10.5	45.5	W 28 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Bowling Green vs Central Michigan	-3.0	43.5	L 6 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/25	Bowling Green at Kent State	-7.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/1	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	-2.5	44.5	L 3 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/8	Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan	+3.0	49.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/18	Bowling Green vs Akron	-2.5	47.5	L 16 - 19	U	N
Tue 11/25	Bowling Green at Massachusetts	-14.0	44.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	#64 (.19)	41% (93)	23.8	40% (104)	2.8 (97)	171	44% (50)	166	3.66 (78)	#32 (.09)	39% (42)	22.7	41% (55)	39% (42)	3.09 (21)	48.9	1	1.7
BGSU	#128 (.02)	36% (128)	20.5	37% (124)	2.88 (79)	156	35% (124)	151	3.19 (117)	#65 (.15)	41% (55)	24.3	39% (36)	42% (68)	3.44 (49)	61	1.2	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CMU	#96 (.15)	39% (115)		42% (88)	3.2 (41)	169	34% (124)	163	3.82 (80)	#96 (.21)	40% (44)		41% (48)	39% (50)	3.6 (45)	60.9	2	0.4
BGSU	#53 (.21)	43% (68)		41% (99)	3.01 (74)	134	44% (38)	207	3.84 (77)	#43 (.13)	38% (15)		39% (29)	37% (20)	3.47 (32)	41.1	0.8	1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Offense	12	23.8	19.1	40.7%	3.66	1	17	337	171	166	4.1	64%	34%	40%	44%	15%	.19
BGSU Defense	12	24.3	19.5	40.6%	3.44	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	53%	46%	39%	42%	19%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CMU Defense	12	22.7	28	39.5%	3.09	1.7	-	-	-	-	-	48%	51%	41%	39%	17%	.09
BGSU Offense	12	20.5	17	35.6%	3.19	1.2	17	307	156	151	4	58%	40%	37%	35%	16%	.02

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Central Michigan	12	32:03	17.1	35%	60%	6.1	48.9	1	1.7	5.3	2.3	2	29.5
Bowling Green	12	31:18	16.6	37%	42%	6.7	61	1.2	1.3	6.2	1.8	1	31

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Offense	12	64% (7)	40% (104)	42	171.3	4.1	17 (78)	.09 (80)	2.8 (97)	74% (59)	11% (110)	0.96 (70)
BGSU Defense	12	53% (106)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	.06 (50)	2.74 (43)	59% (10)	13% (9)	1.06 (115)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CMU Defense	12	48% (44)	41% (55)	-	-	-	-	.03 (28)	2.83 (58)	64% (22)	10% (60)	0.89 (36)
BGSU Offense	12	58% (15)	37% (124)	39.3	155.5	4	13 (119)	.03 (112)	2.88 (79)	58% (132)	10% (95)	0.95 (75)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Offense	12	34% (130)	44% (50)	12.9	18.9	166.2	8.8	12.9	15 (106)	6 (3)	.43 (20)	1.7 (23)	32% (85)	26% (109)	.33 (58)	4% (14)	2.1 (30)
BGSU Defense	12	46% (34)	42% (68)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.28 (82)	1.6 (96)	33% (48)	31% (83)	.32 (76)	7% (37)	2.1 (83)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CMU Defense	12	51% (94)	39% (42)	-	-	-	-	-	-	12 (12)	.18 (41)	1.5 (61)	32% (54)	28% (45)	.27 (63)	7% (32)	2 (78)
BGSU Offense	12	40% (122)	35% (124)	13.8	23.8	151.3	6.4	10.9	13 (106)	12 (119)	.07 (129)	1.6 (50)	34% (110)	25% (121)	.19 (111)	6% (70)	2.1 (51)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -5.43 #89
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 4.11 #100
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 9.54 #78
2025 Talent Rating: 514.00 #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Central Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Central Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.9 #92
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 19.5 #115
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.2 #57

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -5.43 Bowling Green: -10.805

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -5.9 Bowling Green: -13.2

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -10.805 #122
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: -0.76 #132
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 12.65 #99
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.2 #115
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.8 #129
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 29.3 #82

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 23.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.1
Defense: 22.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Central Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 4 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Central Michigan 25
Bowling Green 20

Total Points: 45

Based on Last 4 Games
Bowling Green 30
Central Michigan 21

Total Points: 51

Based on Entire Season
Central Michigan 22
Bowling Green 22

Total Points: 44

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Bowling Green	6	Central Michigan	27	Bowling Green -3	Central Michigan	43.5	Under
2024	11/05	Central Michigan	13	Bowling Green	23	Bowling Green -14.5	Central Michigan	47.5	Under
2022	10/22	Central Michigan	18	Bowling Green	34	Central Michigan -5.5	Bowling Green	51.0	Over
2019	10/19	Bowling Green	20	Central Michigan	38	Central Michigan -11.5	Central Michigan	54.0	Over
2018	11/10	Central Michigan	13	Bowling Green	24	Central Michigan -7.5	Bowling Green	49.5	Under
2010	10/30	Central Michigan	14	Bowling Green	17
2009	10/24	Bowling Green	10	Central Michigan	24
2006	10/19	Central Michigan	31	Bowling Green	14
2004	10/09	Central Michigan	14	Bowling Green	38
2003	10/04	Bowling Green	23	Central Michigan	3
2002	10/12	Central Michigan	35	Bowling Green	45

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	7	2	2 Overs
Central Michigan	4	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	2 - 9	1 - 4	0 - 3	1 - 1
Road Teams	9 - 2	4 - 1	1 - 1	3 - 0

(#89) CMU at (#122) BGSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CMU	BGSU
Power RatePwr	#89	#122
SP+SP+	#92	#115
Perf GradeGrade	#78	#102
OffenseOff	#75	#106
DefenseDef	#70	#99
Spec TeamsST	#117	#80
TalentTal	#116	#112
Blue ChipsBC%	#101	#101

Central Michigan Notes(10/31) QB1 Labas meh but QB2 Flores incredible runner
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games but lost @ Akron
(8/30) Ground & Pound offense, good vs SJSU 200+
(8/25) QB1 - Joe Labas starting, inj after 6 starts LY
(7/28) Is Drinkall running Army offense?
(6/12) Skill positions very weak on paper. Risers?
(3/26) QB Labas PT starter LY, Glasser has exp
(3/26) RB rebuild, Cornist (Tul) added, some depth
(3/26) WR complete rebuild, 13 rec back. No portals
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, meh LY. 4 portals, 3 via Valpo
(3/26) Def bad LY, return some. 3 portals
(3/26) New HC Drinkall was Army OL coach.
Central Michigan Injury Report

Bowling Green Notes(11/3) Fired OC Travis Partidge after Buffalo loss
(11/1) QB4 Hunter Najm (Fr) may have to start vs Buf
(10/31) QB1 Pyne ?, QB2 Anderson ?, QB3 May out
(10/31) Haven't played awful, W's over Liberty/Toledo
(10/31) Can still bowl, favs in 3 of final 4. Buf game big
(10/31) Run Def really good, Off just doesn't have weapons
(10/31) Falcons blew a 21-point lead to Kent, QBs awful
(10/12) Great W vs Toledo, only 226 yds & 2-12 on 3rd down
(10/12) Off still bottom 5 in CFB, zero playmakers/scheme
(9/25) LB D Pringle out for season, best Def player
(9/22) Held Liberty to 300 yds & forced 4 TOs. Huge W
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
Bowling Green Injury Report

Central Michigan on Offense

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	BGSU Def
Perf GradePerf	#75	#99
SuccessSuc	#93	#55
ExplosiveExp	#80	#106
PPAPPA	#64	#65
PowerPwr	#100	#99
SP+SP+	#115	#82
Pts POPPO	#78	#49
HavocHav	#61	#14

Central Michigan Run Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	#66	#94
Run SuccessRSuc	#104	#36
Run ExplRExp	#70	#115
PPAExp	#80	#50
Run BlockR Blk	#87	-
OL YdsOLY	#97	#43
Stuff RateStuff	#73	#8
TackleTak	-	#55

Central Michigan Pass Game

Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat	CMU Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	#59	#101
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	#68
Pass ExplPExl	#23	#96
PPAExp	#20	#82
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#134	#49
F7 HavocF7	#110	#9
DB HavocDB	#14	#37

Bowling Green on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	CMU Def
Perf GradePerf	#106	#70
SuccessSuc	#128	#42
ExplosiveExp	#84	#53
PPAPPA	#128	#32
PowerPwr	#132	#78
SP+SP+	#129	#57
Pts POPPO	#117	#21
HavocHav	#82	#54

Bowling Green Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	CMU Def
Run GameRun	#98	#117
Run SuccessRSuc	#124	#55
Run ExplRExp	#75	#36
PPAExp	#112	#28
Run BlockR Blk	#43	-
OL YdsOLY	#79	#58
Stuff RateStuff	#65	#29
TackleTak	-	#36

Bowling Green Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	CMU Def
Pass GamePass	#132	#43
Pass SuccessPSuc	#124	#42
Pass ExplPExl	#50	#61
PPAExp	#129	#41
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#76	#21
F7 HavocF7	#95	#60
DB HavocDB	#70	#32

Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

CMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 8
Bowling Green -3.0 (43.5)
Central Michigan won at Bowling Green this year (27-6)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Central Michigan last year (23-13)
Bowling Green beat Central Michigan in 2022 (34-18)

CMU's OC Jim Chapin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joey Labas	126	183	69%	1676	12	6	9.2
Angel H Flores	19	27	70%	195	2	0	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Nahree Biggins	105	540	2	5.1	58
Angel H Flores	103	519	8	5.0	37
Trey Cornist (Tr)	93	403	1	4.3	29
Brock Townsend	75	394	4	5.3	46

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Langston Lewis	35	513	3	14.7	77
Tommy Mcintosh	27	401	3	14.9	47
Tyson Davis	20	270	2	13.5	36
Nahree Biggins	19	185	1	9.7	88

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Sean Cronin (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Kwiatkowski	104	12	3	2	4
Dakota Cochran	76	6	1	5	2
Caleb Spann	48	1	0	0	4
Michael Heldman	47	16	12	8	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Michael Heldman	47	16	12	8	4
Korver Demma	27	9	4	4	1
Jordan Kwiatkowski	104	12	3	2	4
JJ Douglas	23	2	2	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaion Jackson	43	4	2	2	7
Jordan Kwiatkowski	104	12	3	2	4
Caleb Spann	48	1	0	0	4

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (Int) (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)	94	151	62%	882	4	5	5.8
Hunter Najm (Tr)	33	66	50%	473	5	4	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Austyn Dendy (Tr)	108	493	5	4.6	24
Cameron Pettaway	72	365	0	5.1	34
Chris McMillian	84	342	3	4.1	33
Kaderris Roberts	48	215	0	4.5	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jyrin Johnson (Tr)	37	466	2	12.6	38
RJ Garcia II	27	283	0	10.5	28
Finn Hogan	13	183	0	14.1	24
Jacob Harris	19	182	5	9.6	38

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Brandon Fisher (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gideon Lampron (Tr)	119	18	3	4	1
Kal-El Pascal	80	4	0	0	5
Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr)	57	6	2	1	1
Jalen Mcclendon (Tr)	56	1	1	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Bradley	20	6	5	7	0
Eriq George (Tr)	26	5	4	2	0
Gideon Lampron (Tr)	119	18	3	4	1
David Afogho	37	4	3	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
JoJo Johnson (Tr)	22	0	0	13
Jalen Mcclendon (Tr)	56	1	1	7
Kal-El Pascal	80	4	0	5