Central Michigan at Bowling Green - 2025 Matchup Preview
Central Michigan logo   Central Michigan Chippewas at Bowling Green Falcons  Bowling Green logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -3 (43.5) (-155)  Open: -5.5
Central Michigan 27 - Bowling Green: 6  (Mid-American)

 
Chippewas (7 - 6) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Matt Drinkall (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 24 (19 - 28 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 5.7 (#66)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
BGSU 2nd straight Home Game
CMU coming off BYE
Our Line: Central Michigan -6  (SP+ CMU -4)

Projected Score: CMU: 25 - BGSU: 19 (43)
BGSU Win prob: 56% | Cover: 47%
CMU Travel: 163 miles
Falcons (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
 
Central Michigan's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Central Michigan at San José State+11.550.5W 16 - 14UY
Sat 9/6 Central Michigan at Pittsburgh+21.548.5L 17 - 45ON
Sat 9/13 Central Michigan at Michigan+27.542.5L 3 - 63ON
Sat 9/20 Central Michigan vs Wagner-29.047.0W 49 - 10OY
Sat 9/27 Central Michigan vs Eastern Michigan-3.055.5W 24 - 13UY
Sat 10/4 Central Michigan at Akron-7.047.5L 22 - 28ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Central Michigan at Bowling Green+3.043.5W 27 - 6UY
Sat 10/25 Central Michigan vs Massachusetts-16.546.5W 38 - 13OY
Sat 11/1 Central Michigan at Western Michigan+6.043.5L 21 - 24OY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/12 Central Michigan vs Buffalo-2.544.5W 38 - 19OY
Wed 11/19 Central Michigan at Kent State-7.550.5W 28 - 16UY
Sat 11/29 Central Michigan vs Toledo+11.546.5L 3 - 21UN
Fri 12/26 Central Michigan vs Northwestern+13.543.5L 7 - 34UN

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Central Michigan's Schedule
Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Bowling Green vs Lafayette-21.053.0W 26 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Bowling Green at Cincinnati+21.546.5L 20 - 34OY
Sat 9/13 Bowling Green vs Liberty+6.051.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 9/20 Bowling Green at Louisville+26.550.5L 17 - 40OY
Sat 9/27 Bowling Green at Ohio+7.549.5L 20 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Bowling Green vs Toledo+10.545.5W 28 - 23OY
Sat 10/18 Bowling Green vs Central Michigan-3.043.5L 6 - 27UN
Sat 10/25 Bowling Green at Kent State-7.547.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 11/1 Bowling Green vs Buffalo-2.544.5L 3 - 28UN
Sat 11/8 Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan+3.049.5L 21 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/18 Bowling Green vs Akron-2.547.5L 16 - 19UN
Tue 11/25 Bowling Green at Massachusetts-14.044.5W 45 - 14OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU#96 (.15)39% (115)22.542% (88)3.2 (41)16934% (124)1633.82 (80)#96 (.21)40% (44)23.541% (48)39% (50)3.6 (45)60.920.4
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)20.541% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)24.339% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CMU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Offense1222.519.138.7%3.822183321691634.557%43%42%34%20%.15
BGSU Defense1324.319.537.6%3.471 - - - - - 50%49%39%37%16%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CMU Defense1223.52839.9%3.60.4 - - - - - 52%48%41%39%18%.21
BGSU Offense1320.51742.6%3.840.8183411342074.447%53%41%44%18%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Central Michigan1229:2617.935%58%6.860.920.47.72.6327.1
Bowling Green1329:2118.237%59%4.841.10.814.92.2229.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Offense1257% (24)42% (88)37.3168.94.517 (84).22 (24)3.2 (41)80% (23)12% (108)1.09 (27)
BGSU Defense1350% (66)39% (29) - - - - .17 (94)3.28 (109)80% (113)10% (75)1.1 (116)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CMU Defense1252% (80)41% (48) - - - - .15 (82)3 (66)82% (117)13% (14)1.18 (127)
BGSU Offense1347% (92)41% (99)30.6133.54.420 (67).14 (64)3.01 (74)78% (34)12% (118)1.08 (30)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Offense1243% (110)34% (124)13.925.2163.46.511.711 (122)12 (85).04 (129)1.5 (85)34% (112)22% (132).18 (116)8% (119)2 (86)
BGSU Defense1349% (66)37% (20) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (19)1.6 (65)34% (31)24% (3).15 (9)6% (69)2 (46)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CMU Defense1248% (54)39% (50) - - - - - - 2 (134).28 (93)1.7 (102)36% (18)30% (60).37 (95)5% (117)2.2 (103)
BGSU Offense1353% (42)44% (38)18.728.4207.37.311.116 (87)6 (10).28 (53)1.4 (127)32% (86)32% (67).29 (85)5% (53)1.8 (128)

Central Michigan's Power Ratings
Central Michigan's Power Rating: -9.36  #98
Central Michigan's Offense Rating: 6.88  #109
Central Michigan's Defense Rating: 16.24  #90
2025 Talent Rating: 514.00  #116
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Central Michigan's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 5.7
Central Michigan's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.8  #100
Central Michigan's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #120
Central Michigan's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #65

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -9.36   Bowling Green: -14.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Central Michigan: -8.8   Bowling Green: -12.6




Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -14.92  #133
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 0.09  #133
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 22.33  #125
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6  #113
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #128
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #83

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Central Michigan Scoring
Offense: 22.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 19.1
Defense: 23.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 28

Central Michigan's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record on Road: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0
Projected Score
Central Michigan 25
Bowling Green 19


Projected Total Points: 43
Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Bowling Green6Central Michigan27Bowling Green -3Central Michigan43.5Under
202411/05Central Michigan13Bowling Green23Bowling Green -14.5Central Michigan47.5Under
202210/22Central Michigan18Bowling Green34Central Michigan -5.5Bowling Green51.0Over
201910/19Bowling Green20Central Michigan38Central Michigan -11.5Central Michigan54.0Over
201811/10Central Michigan13Bowling Green24Central Michigan -7.5Bowling Green49.5Under
201010/30Central Michigan14Bowling Green17
200910/24Bowling Green10Central Michigan24
200610/19Central Michigan31Bowling Green14
200410/09Central Michigan14Bowling Green38
200310/04Bowling Green23Central Michigan3
200210/12Central Michigan35Bowling Green45
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Bowling Green722 Overs
Central Michigan433 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 91 - 40 - 31 - 1
Road Teams9 - 24 - 11 - 13 - 0

(#98) CMU at (#133) BGSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatCMUBGSU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #98 #133
SP+SP+ #100 #113
Perf GradeGrade #73 #102
OffenseOff #79 #104
DefenseDef #46 #88
Spec TeamsST #126 #77
TalentTal #116 #112
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Central Michigan Notes
(10/31) QB1 Labas meh but QB2 Flores incredible runner
(10/31) 5-1 outside of paycheck games but lost @ Akron
(8/30) Ground & Pound offense, good vs SJSU 200+
(8/25) QB1 - Joe Labas starting, inj after 6 starts LY
(7/28) Is Drinkall running Army offense?
(6/12) Skill positions very weak on paper. Risers?
(3/26) QB Labas PT starter LY, Glasser has exp
(3/26) RB rebuild, Cornist (Tul) added, some depth
(3/26) WR complete rebuild, 13 rec back. No portals
(3/26) OL 3/5 back, meh LY. 4 portals, 3 via Valpo
(3/26) Def bad LY, return some. 3 portals
(3/26) New HC Drinkall was Army OL coach.
Central Michigan Injury Report
Bowling Green Notes
(11/3) Fired OC Travis Partidge after Buffalo loss
(11/1) QB4 Hunter Najm (Fr) may have to start vs Buf
(10/31) QB1 Pyne ?, QB2 Anderson ?, QB3 May out
(10/31) Haven't played awful, W's over Liberty/Toledo
(10/31) Can still bowl, favs in 3 of final 4. Buf game big
(10/31) Run Def really good, Off just doesn't have weapons
(10/31) Falcons blew a 21-point lead to Kent, QBs awful
(10/12) Great W vs Toledo, only 226 yds & 2-12 on 3rd down
(10/12) Off still bottom 5 in CFB, zero playmakers/scheme
(9/25) LB D Pringle out for season, best Def player
(9/22) Held Liberty to 300 yds & forced 4 TOs. Huge W
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
Bowling Green Injury Report
Central Michigan on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffBGSU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #79 #88
SuccessSuc #115 #15
ExplosiveExp #82 #98
PPAPPA #96 #43
PowerPwr #109 #125
SP+SP+ #120 #83
Pts POPPO #80 #32
HavocHav #124 #73
Central Michigan Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffBGSU Def
Run GameRun #78 #89
Run SuccessRSuc #88 #29
Run ExplRExp #27 #116
PPAExp #24 #94
Run BlockR Blk #77 -
OL YdsOLY #41 #109
Stuff RateStuff #12 #103
TackleTak -  #62
Central Michigan Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 64%, Pass: 34%
CategoryCat
CMU OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePass #55 #103
Pass SuccessPSuc #124 #20
Pass ExplPExl #85 #65
PPAExp #129 #19
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #135 #47
F7 HavocF7 #108 #75
DB HavocDB #119 #69
Bowling Green on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCatBGSU OffCMU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #104 #46
SuccessSuc #68 #44
ExplosiveExp #75 #121
PPAPPA #53 #96
PowerPwr #133 #90
SP+SP+ #128 #65
Pts POPPO #77 #45
HavocHav #104 #45
Bowling Green Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffCMU Def
Run GameRun #101 #99
Run SuccessRSuc #99 #48
Run ExplRExp #30 #127
PPAExp #64 #82
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLY #74 #66
Stuff RateStuff #124 #72
TackleTak -  #21
Bowling Green Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCatBGSU OffCMU Def
Pass GamePass #131 #26
Pass SuccessPSuc #38 #50
Pass ExplPExl #127 #102
PPAExp #53 #93
Pass Block/RushP Blk #86 #45
F7 HavocF7 #118 #14
DB HavocDB #53 #117
Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CMU 5 Year Profile: Improving Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Bowling Green -3.0 (43.5)
Central Michigan won at Bowling Green this year (27-6)

Previous Matchups
Central Michigan beat Bowling Green last year (27-6)
Bowling Green beat Central Michigan in 2024 (23-13)

  
CMU's OC Jim Chapin (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Joey Labas14720871%18541368.9
Angel H Flores192868%195217.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Nahree Biggins10554025.158
Angel H Flores10752784.937
Trey Cornist (Tr)10446914.529
Brock Townsend8241845.146
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Langston Lewis43596313.977
Tommy Mcintosh31422313.647
Tyson Davis25323212.936
Nahree Biggins1918519.788

View Central Michigan's Full Roster

CMU's DC Sean Cronin (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jordan Kwiatkowski11214324
Dakota Cochran816153
Caleb Spann541004
Kalen Carroll (Tr)492014
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Michael Heldman48171284
Korver Demma289451
Jordan Kwiatkowski11214324
Jaion Jackson454227
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brenden Deasfernandes250008
Jaion Jackson454227
Jordan Kwiatkowski11214324

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)9415162%882455.8
Hunter Najm (Tr)336650%473547.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Austyn Dendy (Tr)10849354.624
Cameron Pettaway7236505.134
Chris McMillian8434234.133
Kaderris Roberts4821504.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jyrin Johnson (Tr)37466212.638
RJ Garcia II27283010.528
Finn Hogan13183014.124
Jacob Harris1918259.638

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Steve Morrison (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gideon Lampron (Tr)11918341
Kal-El Pascal804005
Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr)576211
Jalen Mcclendon (Tr)561107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Bradley206570
Eriq George (Tr)265420
Gideon Lampron (Tr)11918341
David Afogho374361
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Johnson (Tr)2200013
Jalen Mcclendon (Tr)561107
Kal-El Pascal804005