Bowling Green at Kent State Game Matchup
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Kent State Golden FlashesKent State logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Dix Stadium - Kent, OH  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 22 (29 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.2 - 6.8 (#88)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)
KENT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -10   (SP+ BGSU -11)

Projected Score: BGSU: 33 - KENT: 23 (54)
BGSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
BGSU Travel: 121 miles
Golden Flashes (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Mark Carney (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 44 (20 - 38 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.1 - 9.9 (#136)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
 
Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Wed 8/27 Bowling Green vs Lafayette-10
Sat 9/6 Bowling Green at Cincinnati+20.5
Sat 9/13 Bowling Green vs Liberty+11
Sat 9/20 Bowling Green at Louisville+28
Sat 9/27 Bowling Green at Ohio+12
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Bowling Green vs Toledo+9.5
Sat 10/18 Bowling Green vs Central Michigan-2.5
Sat 10/25 Bowling Green at Kent State-10
Sat 11/1 Bowling Green vs Buffalo+3.5
Sat 11/8 Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan+1.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/18 Bowling Green vs Akron-8.5
Tue 11/25 Bowling Green at Massachusetts-6

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Kent State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Kent State vs Merrimack+2.5
Sat 9/6 Kent State at Texas Tech+41
Sat 9/13 Kent State vs Buffalo+16
Sat 9/20 Kent State at Florida State+36.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Kent State at Oklahoma+47.5
Sat 10/11 Kent State vs Massachusetts+1.5
Sat 10/18 Kent State at Toledo+27.5
Sat 10/25 Kent State vs Bowling Green+10
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Kent State at Ball State+6
Tue 11/11 Kent State at Akron+9.5
Wed 11/19 Kent State vs Central Michigan+10
Fri 11/28 Kent State at Northern Illinois+18

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 7
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)27.141% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)21.639% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)13.933% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)44.150% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KENT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1327.129.342.6%3.840.8183411342074.447%53%41%44%18%.21
KENT Defense1244.138.250.1%4.340.9 - - - - - 55%45%50%51%12%.35
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1321.62237.6%3.471 - - - - - 50%49%39%37%16%.13
KENT Offense1213.920.430.5%2.891.713233781552.447%51%33%29%28%.01

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1329:2118.237%59%4.841.10.814.92.2229.2
Kent State1226:5212.919%38%4.835.71.70.94.71.5027.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1347% (92)41% (99)30.6133.54.420 (67).14 (64)3.01 (74)78% (34)12% (118)1.08 (30)
KENT Defense1255% (113)50% (123) - - - - .3 (132)3.58 (133)81% (115)8% (111)1.13 (122)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1350% (66)39% (29) - - - - .17 (94)3.28 (109)80% (113)10% (75)1.1 (116)
KENT Offense1247% (91)33% (132)32.377.52.43 (134)-.07 (132)2.57 (128)61% (123)19% (134)0.95 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1353% (42)44% (38)18.728.4207.37.311.116 (87)6 (10).28 (53)1.4 (127)32% (86)32% (67).29 (85)5% (53)1.8 (128)
KENT Defense1245% (25)51% (130) - - - - - - 4 (125).41 (126)1.5 (23)28% (124)38% (127).42 (109)4% (127)1.8 (15)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1349% (66)37% (20) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (19)1.6 (65)34% (31)24% (3).15 (9)6% (69)2 (46)
KENT Offense1251% (54)29% (134)11.624.5155.46.313.418 (68)13 (103).14 (109)2.1 (2)41% (134)19% (134).11 (132)8% (128)2.7 (1)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -13.53 #102
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 7.36 #109
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 20.89 #103
2025 Talent Rating: 490.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #111
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #121

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -13.53   Kent State: -23.695

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -13.7   Kent State: -24.9




Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -23.695 #135
Kent State's Offense Rating: 0.40 #134
Kent State's Defense Rating: 27.89 #132
2025 Talent Rating: 452.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.1 - 9.9
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -24.9 #136
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #134
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #133

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 528.62
Average Power Five Talent: 861.13
Average FBS Talent: 684.24


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 27.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.3
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 22

Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 33
Kent State 23


Projected Total Points: 54
Kent State Scoring
Offense: 13.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 20.4
Defense: 44.1 PPG
Defense at Home: 38.2

Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/19Bowling Green27Kent State6Bowling GreenBowling Green -24Kent State54.5Under
202311/08Kent State19Bowling Green49Bowling GreenBowling Green -10.5Bowling Green41.5Over
202211/09Bowling Green6Kent State40Kent StateKent State -2.5Kent State55.5Under
202110/02Kent State27Bowling Green20Kent StateKent State -16.5Bowling Green56.0Under
202011/10Bowling Green24Kent State62Kent StateKent State -20.5Kent State55.0Over
201909/21Kent State62Bowling Green20Kent StateKent State -12Kent State61.5Over
201810/30Bowling Green28Kent State35Kent StateBowling Green -1.5Kent State67.5Under
201710/31Kent State16Bowling Green44Bowling GreenBowling Green -1Bowling Green48.0Over
201611/15Bowling Green42Kent State7Bowling GreenKent State -3Bowling Green54.0Under
201510/24Kent State0Bowling Green48Bowling GreenBowling Green -9.5Bowling Green59.0Under
201411/12Bowling Green30Kent State20Bowling GreenBowling Green -13Kent State0
201309/07Kent State22Bowling Green41Bowling GreenBowling Green -8Bowling Green0
201211/17Bowling Green24Kent State31Kent State
201110/29Kent State27Bowling Green15Kent State
201010/23Bowling Green6Kent State30Kent State
200910/10Kent State35Bowling Green36Bowling Green
200811/01Bowling Green45Kent State30Bowling Green
200710/20Kent State20Bowling Green31Bowling Green
200609/23Bowling Green3Kent State38Kent State
200511/05Kent State14Bowling Green24Bowling Green
200311/15Bowling Green42Kent State33Bowling Green
200211/02Kent State14Bowling Green45Bowling Green
200110/06Bowling Green24Kent State7Bowling Green
200009/29Kent State11Bowling Green18Bowling Green
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kent State964 Overs
Bowling Green1566 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 152 - 101 - 41 - 6
Road Teams15 - 910 - 26 - 14 - 1

(#102) Bowling Green Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -13.53 #102
Offense Rating: 7.36 #109
Defense Rating: 20.89 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.7 #111
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.0 #98
Defense SP+ Rating: 36.7 #121
Talent Rating: 490.00 #108
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #99
Expected Record: 5.2 - 6.8

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.84 PPO
Poor Run Success 41%
Good Pass Success 44%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 38%
Good in Scoring Position 3.47 PPO
Good Run Def Success 39%
Great Pass Def Success 37%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position


Bowling Green Notes
(4/7) QB Drew Pyne added (Mizzu), likely QB1
(4/7) QB Lamson (Stan) left when Loeffler (Eagles)
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. Not many options
(3/26) WR rebuild, TE Fannin out. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) OL was bad LY, 3/5 back. 2 portals
(3/26) Def bad LY, replace most. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New HC George 24-22 @ E Tenn St
(3/26) Expect very active portal after spring ball
Bowling Green     Ratings Matchup     Kent State
Power #102
#135
Off #109
#134
Def #103
#132
Talent #108
#118
SP+ #111
#136
SP+ Off #98
#134
SP+ Def #121
#133

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Kent State last year (27-6)
Bowling Green beat Kent State in 2023 (49-19)
Kent State beat Bowling Green in 2022 (40-6)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | KENT
Depth Chart: BGSU | KENT
Rosters: BGSU | KENT
(#135) Kent State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -23.695 #135
Offense Rating: 0.40 #134
Defense Rating: 27.89 #132
Overall SP+ Rating: -24.9 #136
Offense SP+ Rating: 15.6 #134
Defense SP+ Rating: 40.6 #133
Talent Rating: 452.00 #118
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #99
Expected Record: 2.1 - 9.9

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 30%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.89 PPO
Awful Run Success 33%
Awful Pass Success 29%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 50%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.34 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 51%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position


Kent State Notes
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
(3/26) QB Kargman some exp, glorious hair
(3/26) RB rebuild, awful LY, Nubin (Minn) added.
(3/26) WR rebuild, surprisingly decent depth/options
(3/26) OL worst in CFB, 3/5 back, only 2 portals?
(3/26) Def near worst, 6 portals, 4 DBs
(3/26) Worst CFB team of last 4 years LY


  
Bowling Green's OC Travis Partridge
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)498260%391334.8
Lucian Anderson III51242%32112.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Lucian Anderson III196723.519
John Henderson450012.529
Drew Pyne (Tr)152101.410
Mar'Kel Porter41102.88
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Finn Hogan17175010.333
Arlis Boardingham (Tr)1812827.120
Jared Merk115015.015
Donovan Stephens112012.012

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Brandon Fisher
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Bradley223220
Darius Lorfils221001
Evan Branch-Haynes192010
Kal-El Pascal171030
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Bradley223220
Malik Moses10000
Josira Andrews10000
Isaac Hill10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darius Lorfils221001
Myles Bradley223220
Josira Andrews10000

Kent State's OC Mark Carney
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Devin Kargman458255%432325.3
Ruel Tomlinson112839%73022.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jahzae Kimbrough2711404.218
Ayden Harris2911013.813
Jordan Nubin (Tr)111901.77
Cade Wolford41002.54
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jay Jay Etheridge1413719.837
Dashawn Martin8108013.527
Jordan Nubin (Tr)332010.719
Jahzae Kimbrough52404.811

View Kent State's Full Roster
Kent State's DC Kody Morgan
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Woods684001
Tevin Tucker652002
Canaan Williams463011
CJ Young342100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mattheus Carroll142100
CJ Young342100
Mason Woods684001
Jaihien Roy20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
A.J. Campbell62012
Tevin Tucker652002
Mason Woods684001