Bowling Green at Kent State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo   Bowling Green Falcons at Kent State Golden Flashes  Kent State logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -7.5 (47.5) (-310)  Open: -10.0
Kent State 24 - Bowling Green: 21  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
KENT is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Kent State -0.5  (SP+ BGSU -6.5)

Projected Score: BGSU: 24 - KENT: 25 (49)
BGSU Win prob: 73% | Cover: 49%
BGSU Travel: 121 miles
Golden Flashes (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Kenni Burns (1 - 23)
Avg Score : 21 - 34 (26 - 21 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 5)
 
Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Bowling Green vs Lafayette-21.053.0W 26 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Bowling Green at Cincinnati+21.546.5L 20 - 34OY
Sat 9/13 Bowling Green vs Liberty+6.051.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 9/20 Bowling Green at Louisville+26.550.5L 17 - 40OY
Sat 9/27 Bowling Green at Ohio+7.549.5L 20 - 35ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Bowling Green vs Toledo+10.545.5W 28 - 23OY
Sat 10/18 Bowling Green vs Central Michigan-3.043.5L 6 - 27UN
Sat 10/25 Bowling Green at Kent State-7.547.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 11/1 Bowling Green vs Buffalo-2.544.5L 3 - 28UN
Sat 11/8 Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan+3.049.5L 21 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/18 Bowling Green vs Akron-2.547.5L 16 - 19UN
Tue 11/25 Bowling Green at Massachusetts-14.044.5W 45 - 14OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Kent State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Kent State vs Merrimack-5.550.5W 21 - 17UN
Sat 9/6 Kent State at Texas Tech+48.560.0L 14 - 62OY
Sat 9/13 Kent State vs Buffalo+23.548.5L 28 - 31OY
Sat 9/20 Kent State at Florida State+44.556.5L 10 - 66ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Kent State at Oklahoma+46.553.5L 0 - 44UY
Sat 10/11 Kent State vs Massachusetts-1.549.5W 42 - 6UY
Sat 10/18 Kent State at Toledo+25.548.5L 10 - 45ON
Sat 10/25 Kent State vs Bowling Green+7.547.5W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Wed 11/5 Kent State at Ball State+3.048.5L 13 - 17UN
Tue 11/11 Kent State at Akron+7.549.5W 42 - 35OY
Wed 11/19 Kent State vs Central Michigan+7.550.5L 16 - 28UN
Fri 11/28 Kent State at Northern Illinois+5.045.0W 35 - 31OY

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Kent State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)20.541% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)24.339% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
KENT#131 (.01)30% (134)21.333% (132)2.57 (128)7829% (134)1552.89 (130)#133 (.35)50% (131)33.650% (123)51% (130)4.34 (115)35.71.70.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KENT0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1320.52442.6%3.840.8183411342074.447%53%41%44%18%.21
KENT Defense1233.620.650.1%4.340.9 - - - - - 55%45%50%51%12%.35
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1324.32937.6%3.471 - - - - - 50%49%39%37%16%.13
KENT Offense1221.326.230.5%2.891.713233781552.447%51%33%29%28%.01

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1329:2118.237%59%4.841.10.814.92.2229.2
Kent State1226:5212.919%38%4.835.71.70.94.71.5027.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1347% (92)41% (99)30.6133.54.420 (67).14 (64)3.01 (74)78% (34)12% (118)1.08 (30)
KENT Defense1255% (113)50% (123) - - - - .3 (132)3.58 (133)81% (115)8% (111)1.13 (122)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1350% (66)39% (29) - - - - .17 (94)3.28 (109)80% (113)10% (75)1.1 (116)
KENT Offense1247% (91)33% (132)32.377.52.43 (134)-.07 (132)2.57 (128)61% (123)19% (134)0.95 (72)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1353% (42)44% (38)18.728.4207.37.311.116 (87)6 (10).28 (53)1.4 (127)32% (86)32% (67).29 (85)5% (53)1.8 (128)
KENT Defense1245% (25)51% (130) - - - - - - 4 (125).41 (126)1.5 (23)28% (124)38% (127).42 (109)4% (127)1.8 (15)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1349% (66)37% (20) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (19)1.6 (65)34% (31)24% (3).15 (9)6% (69)2 (46)
KENT Offense1251% (54)29% (134)11.624.5155.46.313.418 (68)13 (103).14 (109)2.1 (2)41% (134)19% (134).11 (132)8% (128)2.7 (1)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -22.24  #133
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 0.09  #133
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 22.33  #125
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6  #113
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #128
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #83

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -22.24   Kent State: -16.99

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -12.6   Kent State: -19.3




Kent State's Power Ratings
Kent State's Power Rating: -16.99  #130
Kent State's Offense Rating: 2.18  #129
Kent State's Defense Rating: 21.86  #121
2025 Talent Rating: 516.00  #115
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Kent State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kent State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -19.3  #130
Kent State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #125
Kent State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.9  #120

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Kent State 25
Bowling Green 24


Projected Total Points: 49
Kent State Scoring
Offense: 21.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 26.2
Defense: 33.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 20.6

Kent State's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 6 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Kent State24Bowling Green21Bowling Green -7.5Kent State47.5Under
202410/19Bowling Green27Kent State6Bowling Green -24Kent State54.5Under
202311/08Kent State19Bowling Green49Bowling Green -10.5Bowling Green41.5Over
202211/09Bowling Green6Kent State40Kent State -2.5Kent State55.5Under
202110/02Kent State27Bowling Green20Kent State -16.5Bowling Green56.0Under
202011/10Bowling Green24Kent State62Kent State -20.5Kent State55.0Over
201909/21Kent State62Bowling Green20Kent State -12Kent State61.5Over
201810/30Bowling Green28Kent State35Bowling Green -1.5Kent State67.5Under
201710/31Kent State16Bowling Green44Bowling Green -1Bowling Green48.0Over
201611/15Bowling Green42Kent State7Kent State -3Bowling Green54.0Under
201510/24Kent State0Bowling Green48Bowling Green -9.5Bowling Green59.0Under
201411/12Bowling Green30Kent State20Bowling Green -13Kent State0
201309/07Kent State22Bowling Green41Bowling Green -8Bowling Green0
201211/17Bowling Green24Kent State31
201110/29Kent State27Bowling Green15
201010/23Bowling Green6Kent State30
200910/10Kent State35Bowling Green36
200811/01Bowling Green45Kent State30
200710/20Kent State20Bowling Green31
200609/23Bowling Green3Kent State38
200511/05Kent State14Bowling Green24
200311/15Bowling Green42Kent State33
200211/02Kent State14Bowling Green45
200110/06Bowling Green24Kent State7
200009/29Kent State11Bowling Green18
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kent State1074 Overs
Bowling Green1567 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 153 - 101 - 42 - 6
Road Teams15 - 1010 - 36 - 24 - 1

(#133) BGSU at (#130) KENT
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUKENT
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #133 #130
SP+SP+ #113 #130
Perf GradeGrade #102 #128
OffenseOff #104 #119
DefenseDef #88 #126
Spec TeamsST #77 #116
TalentTal #112 #115
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Bowling Green Notes
(11/3) Fired OC Travis Partidge after Buffalo loss
(11/1) QB4 Hunter Najm (Fr) may have to start vs Buf
(10/31) QB1 Pyne ?, QB2 Anderson ?, QB3 May out
(10/31) Haven't played awful, W's over Liberty/Toledo
(10/31) Can still bowl, favs in 3 of final 4. Buf game big
(10/31) Run Def really good, Off just doesn't have weapons
(10/31) Falcons blew a 21-point lead to Kent, QBs awful
(10/12) Great W vs Toledo, only 226 yds & 2-12 on 3rd down
(10/12) Off still bottom 5 in CFB, zero playmakers/scheme
(9/25) LB D Pringle out for season, best Def player
(9/22) Held Liberty to 300 yds & forced 4 TOs. Huge W
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
Bowling Green Injury Report
Kent State Notes
(11/28) Beat NIU to finish 4-3. Incredible job by Mark Carney
(11/5) Coaching malpractice by Carney vs Ball St
(11/5) Blew game vs Ball St. Coaching & stupidity
(10/31) Huge W over BG, but BG had no one at QB
(10/31) WR Cade Wolford a name to know, 26.3 ypc, 6 TD
(10/31) QB Deshields can play, just so bad on OL/DL
(10/30) Mark Carney interim no more, permanent HC
(9/13) Off much improved vs Buffalo. Impressive
(9/10) Two QB system w/ Deshields and Montes. Meh
(9/6) Physically does not look like FBS level ball
(8/30) QB DeShields/Montes meh, Run Off awful
(4/11) HC Burns fired, OC Carney Int HC for '25
Kent State Injury Report
Bowling Green on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffKENT Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #104 #126
SuccessSuc #68 #131
ExplosiveExp #75 #79
PPAPPA #53 #133
PowerPwr #133 #121
SP+SP+ #128 #120
Pts POPPO #77 #115
HavocHav #104 #127
Bowling Green Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffKENT Def
Run GameRun #101 #122
Run SuccessRSuc #99 #123
Run ExplRExp #30 #122
PPAExp #64 #132
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLY #74 #133
Stuff RateStuff #124 #133
TackleTak -  #98
Bowling Green Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffKENT Def
Pass GamePass #131 #132
Pass SuccessPSuc #38 #130
Pass ExplPExl #127 #23
PPAExp #53 #126
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #86 #58
F7 HavocF7 #118 #111
DB HavocDB #53 #127
Kent State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatKENT OffBGSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #119 #88
SuccessSuc #134 #15
ExplosiveExp #1 #98
PPAPPA #131 #43
PowerPwr #129 #125
SP+SP+ #125 #83
Pts POPPO #130 #32
HavocHav #134 #73
Kent State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCat
KENT OffBGSU Def
Run GameRun #128 #89
Run SuccessRSuc #132 #29
Run ExplRExp #72 #116
PPAExp #132 #94
Run BlockR Blk #96 -
OL YdsOLY #128 #109
Stuff RateStuff #126 #103
TackleTak -  #62
Kent State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 52%
CategoryCatKENT OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePass #108 #103
Pass SuccessPSuc #134 #20
Pass ExplPExl #2 #65
PPAExp #109 #19
Pass Block/RushP Blk #136 #47
F7 HavocF7 #134 #75
DB HavocDB #128 #69
Program Comparison
KENT 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Dix Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Bowling Green 7.5 (47.5)
Kent State won vs Bowling Green this year (24-21)

Previous Matchups
Kent State beat Bowling Green last year (24-21)
Bowling Green beat Kent State in 2024 (27-6)
Bowling Green beat Kent State in 2023 (49-19)

  
BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)9415162%882455.8
Hunter Najm (Tr)336650%473547.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Austyn Dendy (Tr)10849354.624
Cameron Pettaway7236505.134
Chris McMillian8434234.133
Kaderris Roberts4821504.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jyrin Johnson (Tr)37466212.638
RJ Garcia II27283010.528
Finn Hogan13183014.124
Jacob Harris1918259.638

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Steve Morrison (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gideon Lampron (Tr)11918341
Kal-El Pascal804005
Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr)576211
Jalen Mcclendon (Tr)561107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Bradley206570
Eriq George (Tr)265420
Gideon Lampron (Tr)11918341
David Afogho374361
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Johnson (Tr)2200013
Jalen Mcclendon (Tr)561107
Kal-El Pascal804005

KENT's OC Mark Carney (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dru Deshields13624057%20301838.5
CJ Montes (Tr)101953%140117.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Gavin Garcia14664734.445
Jordan Nubin (Tr)7925313.225
Jahzae Kimbrough399702.512
Cade Wolford129718.131
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Cade Wolford19509726.879
Dashawn Martin33507415.475
Wayne Harris35383110.942
Ardell Banks12205217.138

View Kent State's Full Roster

KENT's DC Kody Morgan (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Woods9411231
CJ Young898323
Joel Cordoba662011
Jaire Rawlison522106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jamond Mathis (Tr)288663
CJ Young898323
Jelani Davis (Tr)244340
Mason Woods9411231
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaire Rawlison522106
Terrell Miller301006
Jamond Mathis (Tr)288663