Lafayette at Bowling Green - 2025 Matchup Preview

Lafayette Leopards at Bowling Green Falcons

Thursday, August 28th 2025 (6:00 PM EDT)
Bowling Green -21.0 (53.0) (-1300) Open: -14.5 | 52.5
Bowling Green 26 - Lafayette: 7

Leopards (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 36 (10 - 36 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: -15 (SP+ BGSU -13)
BGSU Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%

Falcons (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (17 - 20 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)

Matchup
Schedules
LAF Players
BGSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Lafayette's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Lafayette at Bowling Green	+21.0	53.0	L 7 - 26	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Lafayette at Oregon State	+21.0	56.5	L 13 - 45	O	N

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Lafayette's Schedule

Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Bowling Green vs Lafayette	-21.0	53.0	W 26 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/6	Bowling Green at Cincinnati	+21.5	46.5	L 20 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Bowling Green vs Liberty	+6.0	51.5	W 23 - 13	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Bowling Green at Louisville	+26.5	50.5	L 17 - 40	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Bowling Green at Ohio	+7.5	49.5	L 20 - 35	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Bowling Green vs Toledo	+10.5	45.5	W 28 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Bowling Green vs Central Michigan	-3.0	43.5	L 6 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/25	Bowling Green at Kent State	-7.5	47.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/1	Bowling Green vs Buffalo	-2.5	44.5	L 3 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/8	Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan	+3.0	49.5	L 21 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 11/18	Bowling Green vs Akron	-2.5	47.5	L 16 - 19	U	N
Tue 11/25	Bowling Green at Massachusetts	-14.0	44.5	W 45 - 14	O	Y

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LAF		0%	10	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	35.5	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU	#53 (.21)	43% (68)	20.5	41% (99)	3.01 (74)	134	44% (38)	207	3.84 (77)	#43 (.13)	38% (15)	24.3	39% (29)	37% (20)	3.47 (32)	41.1	0.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LAF		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
BGSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LAF Offense	1	10	10	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
BGSU Defense	13	24.3	19.5	37.6%	3.47	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	49%	39%	37%	16%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LAF Defense	1	35.5	35.5	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
BGSU Offense	13	20.5	17	42.6%	3.84	0.8	18	341	134	207	4.4	47%	53%	41%	44%	18%	.21

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Lafayette	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Bowling Green	13	29:21	18.2	37%	59%	4.8	41.1	0.8	1	4.9	2.2	2	29.2

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LAF Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
BGSU Defense	13	50% (66)	39% (29)	-	-	-	-	.17 (94)	3.28 (109)	80% (113)	10% (75)	1.1 (116)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LAF Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
BGSU Offense	13	47% (92)	41% (99)	30.6	133.5	4.4	20 (67)	.14 (64)	3.01 (74)	78% (34)	12% (118)	1.08 (30)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LAF Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
BGSU Defense	13	49% (66)	37% (20)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.11 (19)	1.6 (65)	34% (31)	24% (3)	.15 (9)	6% (69)	2 (46)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LAF Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
BGSU Offense	13	53% (42)	44% (38)	18.7	28.4	207.3	7.3	11.1	16 (87)	6 (10)	.28 (53)	1.4 (127)	32% (86)	32% (67)	.29 (85)	5% (53)	1.8 (128)

Lafayette's Power Ratings
Lafayette's Power Rating: NR
Lafayette's Offense Rating: NR
Lafayette's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Lafayette's 2025 Expected Record: -
Lafayette's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Lafayette's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Lafayette's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Patriot Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Lafayette: Bowling Green: -14.92

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Lafayette: Bowling Green: -12.6

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -14.92 #133
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 0.09 #133
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 22.33 #125
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6 #113
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4 #128
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8 #83

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Lafayette Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

Lafayette's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Bowling Green 27
Lafayette 16

Projected Total Points: 43

Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense at Home: 17
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 19.5

Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/28	Bowling Green	26	Lafayette	7	Bowling Green -21.0	Lafayette	53.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Bowling Green	1	0	0 Overs
Lafayette	0	1	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) LAF at (#133) BGSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LAF	BGSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#133
SP+SP+	NR	#113
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#102
OffenseOff	NR	#104
DefenseDef	NR	#88
Spec TeamsST	NR	#77
TalentTal	NR	#112
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#101

Lafayette Injury Report

Bowling Green Notes(11/3) Fired OC Travis Partidge after Buffalo loss
(11/1) QB4 Hunter Najm (Fr) may have to start vs Buf
(10/31) QB1 Pyne ?, QB2 Anderson ?, QB3 May out
(10/31) Haven't played awful, W's over Liberty/Toledo
(10/31) Can still bowl, favs in 3 of final 4. Buf game big
(10/31) Run Def really good, Off just doesn't have weapons
(10/31) Falcons blew a 21-point lead to Kent, QBs awful
(10/12) Great W vs Toledo, only 226 yds & 2-12 on 3rd down
(10/12) Off still bottom 5 in CFB, zero playmakers/scheme
(9/25) LB D Pringle out for season, best Def player
(9/22) Held Liberty to 300 yds & forced 4 TOs. Huge W
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
Bowling Green Injury Report

Lafayette on Offense


CategoryCat	LAF Off	BGSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#88
SuccessSuc	NR	#15
ExplosiveExp	NR	#98
PPAPPA	NR	#43
PowerPwr	NR	#125
SP+SP+	NR	#83
Pts POPPO	NR	#32
HavocHav	NR	#73

Lafayette Run Game


CategoryCat	LAF Off	BGSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#89
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#29
Run ExplRExp	NR	#116
PPAExp	NR	#94
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#109
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#103
TackleTak	-	#62

Lafayette Pass Game


CategoryCat	LAF Off	BGSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#103
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#20
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#65
PPAExp	NR	#19
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#47
F7 HavocF7	NR	#75
DB HavocDB	NR	#69

Bowling Green on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	LAF Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#104	NR
SuccessSuc	#68	NR
ExplosiveExp	#75	NR
PPAPPA	#53	NR
PowerPwr	#133	NR
SP+SP+	#128	NR
Pts POPPO	#77	NR
HavocHav	#104	NR

Bowling Green Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	LAF Def
Run GameRun	#101	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#99	NR
Run ExplRExp	#30	NR
PPAExp	#64	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#49	-
OL YdsOLY	#74	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#124	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Bowling Green Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	BGSU Off	LAF Def
Pass GamePass	#131	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#38	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#127	NR
PPAExp	#53	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#86	NR
F7 HavocF7	#118	NR
DB HavocDB	#53	NR

Program Comparison
BGSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

LAF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Doyt Perry Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Bowling Green -21.0 (53.0)
Bowling Green won vs Lafayette this year (26-7)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Lafayette last year (26-7)

LAF's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dean DeNobile	223	347	64%	2528	19	7	7.3
Jason Penza	7	8	88%	40	0	0	5.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Kente Edwards	199	1454	20	7.3	78
Ethan Weber	108	570	8	5.3	67
Jason Penza	33	195	2	5.9	79
Jakyre Henley	49	194	2	4.0	70

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carson Persing	60	724	4	12.1	63
Mason Kuehner	52	572	1	11.0	44
Elijah Steward	36	508	4	14.1	48
Matthew Scerbo	13	196	3	15.1	35

View Lafayette's Full Roster

LAF's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PD
Joe Shimko (Tr)	13	1	0
Beckham Dee	13	0	1
Ryan Gadson	12	0	0
Dhonte Jackson	12	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS
Olivier Camerlain	7	2	2
Robert Stevens	11	1	1
Michael Vaughn	3	1	1
Joe Shimko (Tr)	13	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Christian Watson	1	0	1
Xavier Johnson	3	0	1
Jalen Edwards	6	1	1

BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)	94	151	62%	882	4	5	5.8
Hunter Najm (Tr)	33	66	50%	473	5	4	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Austyn Dendy (Tr)	108	493	5	4.6	24
Cameron Pettaway	72	365	0	5.1	34
Chris McMillian	84	342	3	4.1	33
Kaderris Roberts	48	215	0	4.5	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jyrin Johnson (Tr)	37	466	2	12.6	38
RJ Garcia II	27	283	0	10.5	28
Finn Hogan	13	183	0	14.1	24
Jacob Harris	19	182	5	9.6	38

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Steve Morrison (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gideon Lampron (Tr)	119	18	3	4	1
Kal-El Pascal	80	4	0	0	5
Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr)	57	6	2	1	1
Jalen Mcclendon (Tr)	56	1	1	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Myles Bradley	20	6	5	7	0
Eriq George (Tr)	26	5	4	2	0
Gideon Lampron (Tr)	119	18	3	4	1
David Afogho	37	4	3	6	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PD
JoJo Johnson (Tr)	22	0	0	13
Jalen Mcclendon (Tr)	56	1	1	7
Kal-El Pascal	80	4	0	5