Bowling Green at Massachusetts - 2025 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo

Bowling Green Falcons at Massachusetts Minutemen

Massachusetts logo
Tuesday, November 25th 2025 (4:30 PM EST)
Bowling Green -14 (44.5) (-535)  Open: -16.5
Bowling Green 45 - Massachusetts: 14  (Mid-American)

 
Falcons (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 21 - 24 (24 - 29 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
UMASS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -11.5  (SP+ BGSU -24)

Projected Score: BGSU: 29 - UMASS: 18 (47)
BGSU Win prob: 86% | Cover: 55%
BGSU Travel: 574 miles
Minutemen (0 - 12) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 11 - 39 (13 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 0 - 12 (#136)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28Bowling Green vs Lafayette-21.0W26–753.0W26–7UN
Sat 9/6Bowling Green at Cincinnati+21.5L20–3446.5L20–34OY
Sat 9/13Bowling Green vs Liberty+6.0W23–1351.5W23–13UY
Sat 9/20Bowling Green at Louisville+26.5L17–4050.5L17–40OY
Sat 9/27Bowling Green at Ohio+7.5L20–3549.5L20–35ON
— Bye Week —
Sat 10/11Bowling Green vs Toledo+10.5W28–2345.5W28–23OY
Sat 10/18Bowling Green vs Central Michigan-3.0L6–2743.5L6–27UN
Sat 10/25Bowling Green at Kent State-7.5L21–2447.5L21–24UN
Sat 11/1Bowling Green vs Buffalo-2.5L3–2844.5L3–28UN
Sat 11/8Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan+3.0L21–2749.5L21–27UN
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/18Bowling Green vs Akron-2.5L16–1947.5L16–19UN
Tue 11/25Bowling Green at Massachusetts-14.0W45–1444.5W45–14OY

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 2, Poor: 4

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30Massachusetts vs Temple+3.0L10–4251.5L10–42ON
Sat 9/6Massachusetts vs Bryant-14.5L26–2752.0L26–27ON
Sat 9/13Massachusetts at Iowa+35.5L7–4744.5L7–47ON
— Bye Week —
Sat 9/27Massachusetts at Missouri+44.5L6–4257.5L6–42UY
Sat 10/4Massachusetts vs Western Michigan+12.5L3–2146.5L3–21UN
Sat 10/11Massachusetts at Kent State+1.5L6–4249.5L6–42UN
Sat 10/18Massachusetts vs Buffalo+16.5L21–2847.5L21–28OY
Sat 10/25Massachusetts at Central Michigan+16.5L13–3846.5L13–38ON
— Bye Week —
Tue 11/4Massachusetts at Akron+12.5L10–4451.5L10–44ON
Wed 11/12Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+8.5L3–4543.5L3–45ON
Tue 11/18Massachusetts at Ohio+34.5L14–4253.5L14–42OY
Tue 11/25Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+14.0L14–4544.5L14–45ON

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 5

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)20.541% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)24.339% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)11.143% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)38.651% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
UMASS0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense1320.52442.6%3.840.8183411342074.447%53%41%44%18%.21
UMASS Defense1238.634.746.3%4.660.8 - - - - - 60%39%51%40%14%.26
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense1324.32937.6%3.471 - - - - - 50%49%39%37%16%.13
UMASS Offense1211.112.840.8%3.730.8203461641824.156%44%43%38%17%.19

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green1329:2118.237%59%4.841.10.814.92.2229.2
Massachusetts1232:1919.738%58%7.363.20.80.84.11.3125.4
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense1347% (92)41% (99)30.6133.54.420 (67).14 (64)3.01 (74)78% (34)12% (118)1.08 (30)
UMASS Defense1260% (133)51% (128) - - - - .25 (125)3.51 (131)87% (131)8% (113)0.95 (52)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense1350% (66)39% (29) - - - - .17 (94)3.28 (109)80% (113)10% (75)1.1 (116)
UMASS Offense1256% (27)43% (78)40.21644.118 (78).16 (53)3.1 (50)74% (62)11% (95)0.96 (68)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense1353% (42)44% (38)18.728.4207.37.311.116 (87)6 (10).28 (53)1.4 (127)32% (86)32% (67).29 (85)5% (53)1.8 (128)
UMASS Defense1239% (2)40% (71) - - - - - - 6 (109).29 (100)1.7 (112)28% (118)28% (29).27 (51)6% (72)2.1 (89)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense1349% (66)37% (20) - - - - - - 11 (52).11 (19)1.6 (65)34% (31)24% (3).15 (9)6% (69)2 (46)
UMASS Offense1244% (109)38% (110)15.627.3181.86.711.714 (108)6 (10).23 (81)1.7 (22)33% (87)32% (57).34 (69)6% (80)2 (98)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -22.24  #133
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 0.09  #133
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 22.33  #125
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00  #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -12.6  #113
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 15.4  #128
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.8  #83

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 716.1

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -22.24   Massachusetts: -28.965

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -12.6   Massachusetts: -36.6




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -28.965  #137
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: -0.22  #136
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 26.11  #134
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00  #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 0.0 - 12.0
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -36.6  #136
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 7.8  #136
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 42.8  #136

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 571
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 716.1


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 20.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 24
Defense: 24.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 29

Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 29
Massachusetts 18


Projected Total Points: 47
Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 11.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 12.8
Defense: 38.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.7

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 12
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 9 - 3
Record at home: 0 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 8 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/25Massachusetts14Bowling Green45Bowling Green -14Bowling Green44.5Over
201510/10Bowling Green62Massachusetts38Bowling Green -13.5Bowling Green78.5Over
201409/27Massachusetts42Bowling Green47Bowling Green -12Massachusetts0
201310/05Bowling Green28Massachusetts7Bowling Green -23Massachusetts0
201210/20Massachusetts0Bowling Green24
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts022 Overs
Bowling Green520 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 32 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams3 - 22 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#133) BGSU at (#137) UMASS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatBGSUUMASS
Game ControlGC #62 #116
Momentum ControlMC #67 #119
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #133 #137
SP+SP+ #113 #136
Perf GradeGrade #102 #136
OffenseOff #104 #136
DefenseDef #88 #130
Spec TeamsST #77 #123
TalentTal #112 #109
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #101
Bowling Green Notes
(11/3) Fired OC Travis Partidge after Buffalo loss
(11/1) QB4 Hunter Najm (Fr) may have to start vs Buf
(10/31) QB1 Pyne ?, QB2 Anderson ?, QB3 May out
(10/31) Haven't played awful, W's over Liberty/Toledo
(10/31) Can still bowl, favs in 3 of final 4. Buf game big
(10/31) Run Def really good, Off just doesn't have weapons
(10/31) Falcons blew a 21-point lead to Kent, QBs awful
(10/12) Great W vs Toledo, only 226 yds & 2-12 on 3rd down
(10/12) Off still bottom 5 in CFB, zero playmakers/scheme
(9/25) LB D Pringle out for season, best Def player
(9/22) Held Liberty to 300 yds & forced 4 TOs. Huge W
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
Bowling Green Injury Report
Massachusetts Notes
(11/4) Killed by Akron, 169 total yds, 3 TOs. Worst FBS
(10/31) Worst program in CFB, but fair everyone is hurt
(10/31) UMass disgrace to MAC, should drop to FCS
(10/30) Only competitive in 2 games & 1 was L to Bryant
(10/24) 13 starters from Week 1 are out now.
(10/15) Have not scored 7+ points in any game over a month
(10/12) Blown out by Kent? UMass is worst team in CFB
(10/12) There is nothing here to like or fear. Mid FCS at best
(9/25) DBs are extremely banged up, moving CB to S
(9/25) 17 pts vs 2 FBS teams, 0 in the 2nd half
(9/25) QB1 B Rose is out, Hairston & Jordan playing
(8/30) Killed by Temple? Barely 300 yds, gave up 450+
Massachusetts Injury Report
Bowling Green on Offense
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffUMASS Def
Game ControlGC #77 #115
Momentum ControlMC #92 #124
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #104 #130
SuccessSuc #68 #116
ExplosiveExp #75 #41
PPAPPA #53 #114
PowerPwr #133 #134
SP+SP+ #128 #136
Pts POPPO #77 #129
HavocHav #104 #106
Bowling Green Run Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffUMASS Def
Run GameRun #101 #117
Run SuccessRSuc #99 #128
Run ExplRExp #30 #52
PPAExp #64 #125
Run BlockR Blk #49 -
OL YdsOLY #74 #131
Stuff RateStuff #124 #131
TackleTak -  #78
Bowling Green Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat
BGSU OffUMASS Def
Pass GamePass #131 #135
Pass SuccessPSuc #38 #71
Pass ExplPExl #127 #112
PPAExp #53 #100
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #86 #60
F7 HavocF7 #118 #113
DB HavocDB #53 #72
Massachusetts on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatUMASS OffBGSU Def
Game ControlGC #113 #43
Momentum ControlMC #103 #43
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #136 #88
SuccessSuc #94 #15
ExplosiveExp #72 #98
PPAPPA #69 #43
PowerPwr #136 #125
SP+SP+ #136 #83
Pts POPPO #89 #32
HavocHav #95 #73
Massachusetts Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
UMASS OffBGSU Def
Run GameRun #134 #89
Run SuccessRSuc #78 #29
Run ExplRExp #68 #116
PPAExp #53 #94
Run BlockR Blk #109 -
OL YdsOLY #50 #109
Stuff RateStuff #38 #103
TackleTak -  #62
Massachusetts Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatUMASS OffBGSU Def
Pass GamePass #112 #103
Pass SuccessPSuc #110 #20
Pass ExplPExl #22 #65
PPAExp #81 #19
Pass Block/RushP Blk #134 #47
F7 HavocF7 #95 #75
DB HavocDB #80 #69
Program Comparison
UMASS 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

BGSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 52° - Wind: 9 mph
Rematch from Week 14
Bowling Green 14.0 (44.5)
Bowling Green won at Massachusetts this year (45-14)

Previous Matchups
Bowling Green beat Massachusetts last year (45-14)

  
BGSU's OC Greg Nosal (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)9415162%882455.8
Hunter Najm (Tr)336650%473547.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Austyn Dendy (Tr)10849354.624
Cameron Pettaway7236505.134
Chris McMillian8434234.133
Kaderris Roberts4821504.515
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jyrin Johnson (Tr)37466212.638
RJ Garcia II27283010.528
Finn Hogan13183014.124
Jacob Harris1918259.638

View Bowling Green's Full Roster

BGSU's DC Steve Morrison (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Gideon Lampron (Tr)11918341
Kal-El Pascal804005
Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr)576211
Jalen Mcclendon (Tr)561107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Myles Bradley206570
Eriq George (Tr)265420
Gideon Lampron (Tr)11918341
David Afogho374361
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
JoJo Johnson (Tr)2200013
Jalen Mcclendon (Tr)561107
Kal-El Pascal804005

UMASS's OC Mike Bajakian (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
AJ Hairston10721650%957444.4
Grant Jordan (Tr)6311057%595325.4
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brandon Hood (Tr)9836823.890
Rocko Griffin (Tr)5324524.643
Elijah Faulkner4011402.914
Juwuan Price2610103.927
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquon Gibson6361609.850
Donnie Gray (Tr)2726009.641
Max Dowling (Tr)20199310.077
Jake McConnachie (Tr)1614409.021

View Massachusetts's Full Roster

UMASS's DC Jared Keyte (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martin973002
Derrieon Craig781112
Zeraun Daniel (Tr)753002
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)694222
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques White4311531
David Onuoha (Tr)425320
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)694222
Tim Grant-Randall273221
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tyler Martin973002
Brennen Bailey181002
Derrieon Craig781112