Bowling Green at Massachusetts - 2025 Matchup Preview
Bowling Green logo Bowling Green Falcons at Massachusetts MinutemenMassachusetts logo
Tuesday, November 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium - Hadley, MA

 
Falcons (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Eddie George (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 18 (20 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6.6 - 5.4 (#69)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)
UMASS is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Bowling Green -10   (SP+ BGSU -19)

Projected Score: BGSU: 30 - UMASS: 20 (50)
BGSU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
BGSU Travel: 574 miles
Minutemen (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Joe Harasymiak (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 14 - 39 (18 - 35 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#135)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)
 
Bowling Green's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Bowling Green vs Lafayette-21.053.0W 26 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Bowling Green at Cincinnati+21.546.5L 20 - 34OY
Sat 9/13 Bowling Green vs Liberty+6.051.5W 23 - 13UY
Sat 9/20 Bowling Green at Louisville+26.551.5
Sat 9/27 Bowling Green at Ohio+8
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Bowling Green vs Toledo+17
Sat 10/18 Bowling Green vs Central Michigan-13
Sat 10/25 Bowling Green at Kent State-6
Sat 11/1 Bowling Green vs Buffalo+4
Sat 11/8 Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan-4.5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/18 Bowling Green vs Akron-10.5
Tue 11/25 Bowling Green at Massachusetts-10

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Bowling Green's Schedule
Massachusetts's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Massachusetts vs Temple+3.051.5L 10 - 42ON
Sat 9/6 Massachusetts vs Bryant-14.552.0L 26 - 27ON
Sat 9/13 Massachusetts at Iowa+35.544.5L 7 - 47ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Massachusetts at Missouri+50.5
Sat 10/4 Massachusetts vs Western Michigan+4
Sat 10/11 Massachusetts at Kent State+6.5
Sat 10/18 Massachusetts vs Buffalo+16.5
Sat 10/25 Massachusetts at Central Michigan+5
BYE WEEK
Tue 11/4 Massachusetts at Akron+7
Wed 11/12 Massachusetts vs Northern Illinois+14.5
Tue 11/18 Massachusetts at Ohio+20.5
Tue 11/25 Massachusetts vs Bowling Green+10

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Massachusetts's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#121 (.06)41% (89)2337% (110)2.91 (77)13846% (53)1763.27 (105)#81 (.16)34% (29)1829% (11)38% (58)3.78 (77)56.701.7
UMASS#120 (.06)41% (92)14.335% (119)2.25 (124)7746% (50)1832.73 (121)#113 (.25)42% (87)38.738% (64)46% (106)4.24 (98)4510.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
BGSU#53 (.21)43% (68)41% (99)3.01 (74)13444% (38)2073.84 (77)#43 (.13)38% (15)39% (29)37% (20)3.47 (32)41.10.81
UMASS#69 (.19)41% (94)43% (78)3.1 (50)16438% (110)1823.73 (89)#114 (.26)46% (116)51% (128)40% (71)4.66 (129)63.20.80.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Offense3232041.2%3.270183141381763.753%47%37%46%13%.06
UMASS Defense338.734.542.5%4.240.7 - - - - - 40%59%38%46%9%.25
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
BGSU Defense3183433.6%3.781.7 - - - - - 50%50%29%38%16%.16
UMASS Offense314.31840.7%2.73116260771832.746%53%35%46%19%.06

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Bowling Green333:2918.337%50%756.701.772.3133.8
Massachusetts330:0515.728%20%54510.72.71.3127.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Offense353% (51)37% (110)37.7137.73.73 (95)-.08 (125)2.91 (77)58% (109)11% (100)0.83 (101)
UMASS Defense340% (9)38% (64) - - - - .1 (90)3.39 (126)75% (80)4% (134)0.81 (35)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
BGSU Defense350% (67)29% (11) - - - - -.13 (15)2.35 (31)80% (107)14% (26)0.69 (12)
UMASS Offense346% (93)35% (119)2876.72.74 (79)-.04 (120)2.25 (124)60% (103)13% (121)1.14 (35)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Offense347% (82)46% (53)1929176.36.19.32 (102)0 (1).22 (85)1.2 (129)31% (68)30% (81).17 (105)2% (12)1.4 (128)
UMASS Defense359% (126)46% (106) - - - - - - 2 (56).4 (115)1.6 (94)30% (103)25% (42).11 (33)4% (100)1.8 (46)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
BGSU Defense350% (71)38% (58) - - - - - - 2 (56).45 (116)2 (126)32% (83)34% (105).65 (127)3% (125)2.4 (122)
UMASS Offense353% (48)46% (50)19.331.31835.89.50 (133)2 (60).22 (82)1.1 (133)34% (103)32% (67).32 (74)6% (96)2 (74)

Bowling Green's Power Ratings
Bowling Green's Power Rating: -13.06 #112
Bowling Green's Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Bowling Green's Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
2025 Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Bowling Green's 2025 Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4
Bowling Green's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Bowling Green's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Bowling Green's Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -13.06   Massachusetts: -21.4

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Bowling Green: -9.6   Massachusetts: -28.8




Massachusetts's Power Ratings
Massachusetts's Power Rating: -21.4 #127
Massachusetts's Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Massachusetts's Defense Rating: 20.39 #121
2025 Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Massachusetts's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Massachusetts's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -28.8 #136
Massachusetts's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #129
Massachusetts's Defense SP+ Rating: 44.9 #136

Average Talent
Average Mid-American Talent Rating is 567.54
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Bowling Green Scoring
Offense: 23 PPG
Offense on Road: 20
Defense: 18 PPG
Defense on Road: 34

Bowling Green's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Bowling Green 30
Massachusetts 20


Total Points: 50

Massachusetts Scoring
Offense: 14.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 18
Defense: 38.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 34.5

Massachusetts's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
201510/10Bowling Green62Massachusetts38Bowling GreenBowling Green -13.5Bowling Green78.5Over
201409/27Massachusetts42Bowling Green47Bowling GreenBowling Green -12Massachusetts0
201310/05Bowling Green28Massachusetts7Bowling GreenBowling Green -23Massachusetts0
201210/20Massachusetts0Bowling Green24Bowling Green
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Massachusetts021 Overs
Bowling Green410 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams2 - 22 - 11 - 11 - 0
Road Teams2 - 21 - 20 - 11 - 1

(#112) Bowling Green Info
Power Rating: -13.06 #112
Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Defense Rating: 14.46 #99
Overall SP+ Rating: -9.6 #100
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #102
Defense SP+ Rating: 32.1 #98
Talent Rating: 528.00 #112
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #101
Expected Record: 6.6 - 5.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.27 PPO
Poor Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Bad OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Good Defense Success Rate of 34%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.78 PPO
Great Run Def Success 29%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Bowling Green has lost 8 straight
Bowling Green has lost 5 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Bowling Green Notes
(7/24) QB1 Drew Pyne (Miz) post spring add, starter
(7/17) OL bad LY, 3/5 back. Interior OK, OT? 1 portal
(4/7) QB Lamson (Stan) left when Loeffler (Eagles)
(3/26) RB complete rebuild. Not many options
(3/26) WR rebuild, TE Fannin out. Some depth, 1 portal
(3/26) Def bad LY, replace most. 7 portal adds
(3/26) New HC George 24-22 @ E Tenn St
(3/26) Expect very active portal after spring ball

Bowling Green Highlights
Bowling Green has a really good defense (#29)
Bowling Green has a good run defense (#11)
Bowling Green Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#30)
Bowling Green Front 7 is disruptive (#26)
Bowling Green has a great TO Margin (#1)

Bowling Green Deficiencies
Bowling Green offense is not Explosive (#128)
Bowling Green offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#105)
Bowling Green run game is really bad (#110)
Bowling Green gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#108)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatUMASSBGSU
OverallOver#91#75
OffenseOff#106#86
DefenseDef#69#70
Special TeamsST#87#27
PassingPass#96#76
RushingRush#101#80
Run BlockRBLK#85#77
Pass BlockPBLK#113#51
Route RunningWR Rt#88#87
TacklingTkl#4#15
Run DefenseR Def#42#54
Pass Rush DefPRush#21#47
Coverage DefCov#106#85

Weather Forecast
Playing in Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: BGSU | UMASS
Depth Chart: BGSU | UMASS
Rosters: BGSU | UMASS
(#127) Massachusetts Info
Power Rating: -21.4 #127
Offense Rating: 1.39 #126
Defense Rating: 20.39 #121
Overall SP+ Rating: -28.8 #136
Offense SP+ Rating: 16.3 #129
Defense SP+ Rating: 44.9 #136
Talent Rating: 540.00 #109
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 46%
Poor Offense Success Rate of 41%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 2.73 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Poor Pass Def Success 46%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Massachusetts has lost 11 straight
Massachusetts has lost 5 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 2 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Massachusetts Notes
(9/9) Long list of injuries pre Iowa, check report
(8/30) Killed by Temple? Barely 300 yds, gave up 450+
(8/30) Def could be bottom 10, allowed 6 TD passes
(3/21) QB G. Jordan (Yale) or Rose (Utah)?
(3/21) RBs meh. Hester has exp. Campbell top rated
(3/21) WR rebuild. JAGs,not much size
(3/21) OL 5/5 back. Not bad, could be good TY
(3/21) Def near worst LY. 12 portals. Any ballers?
(3/21) New HC Harasymiak was 'Gers DC. Tough job
(3/21) New OC Bajakian all over, NFL, Utah, NW

Massachusetts Highlights

Massachusetts Deficiencies
Massachusetts has a really bad Offense
Massachusetts has a really bad Offense at Home
Massachusetts Can Not Run the Ball (#126)
Massachusetts offense is not Explosive (#108)
Massachusetts Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#124)
Massachusetts offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#121)
Massachusetts run game is really bad (#119)
Massachusetts offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Massachusetts Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Massachusetts Does Not Stuff Runs (#133)
Massachusetts has a bad defensive line (#126)


  
Bowling Green's OC Travis Partridge
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Drew Pyne (Tr)578567%529206.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kaderris Roberts2715205.614
Cameron Pettaway2612404.830
Chris McMillian2610213.914
Mar'Kel Porter81922.46
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jyrin Johnson (Tr)10138113.831
Finn Hogan8114014.324
RJ Garcia II10105010.525
Kaderris Roberts105505.525

View Bowling Green's Full Roster
Bowling Green's DC Brandon Fisher
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dorian Pringle276100
Kal-El Pascal210000
Gideon Lampron (Tr)214111
Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr)164100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eriq George (Tr)63210
David Afogho102211
Mark Cannon Jr. (Tr)164100
Myles Bradley11100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Key'on Washington (Tr)120002
Collins Acheampong (Tr)00001
Gideon Lampron (Tr)214111

Massachusetts's OC Mike Bajakian
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brandon Rose (Tr)274461%217014.9
Grant Jordan (Tr)243863%248016.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Rocko Griffin (Tr)3014214.741
Brandon Hood (Tr)164212.618
Jacquon Gibson31103.713
Grant Jordan (Tr)171020.619
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jacquon Gibson24258010.850
Donnie Gray (Tr)587017.441
Tyree Kelly (Tr)552010.415
Max Dowling (Tr)54208.419

View Massachusetts's Full Roster
Massachusetts's DC Jared Keyte
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Derrieon Craig230001
Tyler Martin190001
Kendall Bournes151000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Marques White64211
Tim Grant-Randall92111
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Donovan Dyson20000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Magee (Tr)90002
Timmy Hinspeter (Tr)242101
Tyler Martin190001