Old Dominion at Georgia Southern - 2025 Matchup Preview

Old Dominion Monarchs at Georgia Southern Eagles

Saturday, November 22nd 2025 (1:00 PM EST)
Old Dominion -10.0 (62.0) (-480) Open: -10.0 | 62.0
Old Dominion 45 - Georgia Southern: 10 (Sun Belt)

Monarchs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (20 - 30)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (31 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#33)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 6)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Light Rain Predicted
GASO 2nd straight Home Game
Our Line: Old Dominion -11 (SP+ ODU -17.5)
Projected Score: ODU: 37 - GASO: 26 (62)
ODU Win prob: 77% | Cover: 50%
ODU Travel: 439 miles

Eagles (7 - 6) (7 - 5 - 1)
Coach Clay Helton (20 - 18)
Avg Score : 28 - 32 (36 - 33 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
ODU Players
GASO Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Old Dominion's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Old Dominion at Indiana	+23.5	54.5	L 14 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Old Dominion vs North Carolina Central	-22.0	50.5	W 54 - 6	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Old Dominion at Virginia Tech	+5.5	50.5	W 45 - 26	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Old Dominion vs Liberty	-14.5	53.5	W 21 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/4	Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina	-18.5	53.5	W 47 - 7	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Old Dominion at Marshall	-14.5	57.5	L 24 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/18	Old Dominion at James Madison	+3.0	47.5	L 27 - 63	O	N
Sat 10/25	Old Dominion vs App State	-12.5	60.5	W 24 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/1	Old Dominion at UL Monroe	-16.5	55.5	W 31 - 6	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13	Old Dominion vs Troy	-9.5	53.5	W 33 - 0	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Old Dominion at Georgia Southern	-10.0	62.0	W 45 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Old Dominion vs Georgia State	-29.0	58.5	W 27 - 10	U	N
Wed 12/17	Old Dominion vs South Florida	+4.0	52.5	W 24 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 5
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule

Georgia Southern's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Georgia Southern at Fresno State	+2.5	54.5	L 14 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/6	Georgia Southern at USC	+29.0	61.5	L 20 - 59	O	N
Sat 9/13	Georgia Southern vs Jacksonville State	-3.0	59.0	W 41 - 34	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Georgia Southern vs Maine	-22.0	57.5	W 45 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Georgia Southern at James Madison	+14.5	54.5	L 10 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Georgia Southern vs Southern Miss	+3.0	59.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Georgia Southern vs Georgia State	-6.5	58.5	W 41 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Georgia Southern at Arkansas State	-1.5	59.5	L 24 - 34	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/6	Georgia Southern at App State	+4.5	62.5	W 25 - 23	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina	-3.0	59.5	W 45 - 40	O	Y
Sat 11/22	Georgia Southern vs Old Dominion	+10.0	62.0	L 10 - 45	U	N
Sat 11/29	Georgia Southern at Marshall	+10.5	61.5	W 24 - 19	U	Y
Mon 12/29	Georgia Southern vs App State	-10.0	58.5	W 29 - 10	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 6
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 4
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Georgia Southern's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	#28 (.25)	46% (30)	32	47% (30)	3.19 (25)	239	44% (44)	216	3.94 (48)	#8 (.03)	39% (40)	18.5	45% (101)	34% (11)	3.03 (20)	53.8	1.8	2
GASO	#39 (.21)	45% (41)	27.9	46% (43)	3.2 (22)	137	45% (36)	234	4.01 (40)	#133 (.3)	49% (133)	32.3	51% (134)	47% (125)	4.45 (130)	47.3	0.9	1.2

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ODU	#47 (.22)	42% (71)		45% (55)	3.24 (34)	211	40% (89)	193	4.75 (6)	#71 (.17)	39% (33)		38% (22)	40% (64)	3.64 (50)	54.2	1.7	1.4
GASO	#68 (.19)	43% (65)		46% (44)	2.84 (101)	128	40% (85)	238	4.57 (17)	#105 (.23)	45% (108)		47% (109)	44% (102)	3.81 (71)	48.3	1.7	1.5

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Offense	13	32	31	45.9%	3.94	1.8	22	455	239	216	5.6	58%	41%	47%	44%	14%	.25
GASO Defense	13	32.3	33	49.1%	4.45	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	51%	47%	51%	47%	15%	.3

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ODU Defense	13	18.5	30	39.2%	3.03	2	-	-	-	-	-	50%	47%	45%	34%	19%	.03
GASO Offense	13	27.9	36.2	45%	4.01	0.9	20	371	137	234	4.2	49%	49%	46%	45%	14%	.21

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Old Dominion	13	28:29	22.5	41%	31%	6	53.8	1.8	2	6.9	3	0	30.3
Georgia Southern	13	27:09	20.4	45%	53%	5	47.3	0.9	1.2	4.3	0.9	1	28.5

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Offense	13	58% (16)	47% (30)	42.5	238.9	5.6	31 (49)	.14 (60)	3.19 (25)	64% (114)	10% (76)	0.96 (71)
GASO Defense	13	51% (86)	51% (134)	-	-	-	-	.28 (135)	3.4 (134)	74% (88)	9% (83)	1.07 (116)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ODU Defense	13	50% (72)	45% (101)	-	-	-	-	.01 (22)	2.91 (75)	62% (14)	12% (15)	0.78 (5)
GASO Offense	13	49% (75)	46% (43)	32.5	136.7	4.2	16 (60)	.16 (45)	3.2 (22)	73% (60)	9% (54)	0.92 (87)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Offense	13	41% (121)	44% (44)	14.7	25.4	216	8.5	14.7	21 (22)	10 (119)	.41 (22)	1.8 (6)	28% (17)	35% (23)	.5 (11)	4% (19)	2.3 (3)
GASO Defense	13	47% (55)	47% (125)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (75)	.37 (117)	1.5 (54)	29% (105)	37% (133)	.36 (101)	6% (73)	1.8 (20)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ODU Defense	13	47% (51)	34% (11)	-	-	-	-	-	-	15 (55)	.09 (9)	1.5 (34)	30% (94)	25% (16)	.21 (33)	7% (34)	1.8 (12)
GASO Offense	13	49% (66)	45% (36)	19.6	31.1	233.8	7.5	11.9	25 (33)	8 (88)	.3 (48)	1.6 (64)	29% (38)	36% (20)	.46 (17)	5% (30)	2.1 (59)

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -2.15 #76
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 7.09 #78
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 9.24 #75
2025 Talent Rating: 328.00 #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Old Dominion's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 3.8
Old Dominion's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.4 #48
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #41
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.8 #52

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -2.15 Georgia Southern: -9.085

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: 6.4 Georgia Southern: -11.3

Georgia Southern's Power Ratings
Georgia Southern's Power Rating: -9.085 #118
Georgia Southern's Offense Rating: 11.75 #53
Georgia Southern's Defense Rating: 23.62 #135
2025 Talent Rating: 586.00 #99
Blue Chip Ratio: 3 #65
Georgia Southern's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Georgia Southern's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.3 #111
Georgia Southern's Offense SP+ Rating: 28.1 #66
Georgia Southern's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.3 #131

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Old Dominion's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Projected Score
Old Dominion 37
Georgia Southern 26

Total Points: 62

Based on Last 4 Games
Georgia Southern 33
Old Dominion 30

Total Points: 63

Based on Entire Season
Old Dominion 32
Georgia Southern 28

Total Points: 60

Georgia Southern Scoring
Offense: 27.9 PPG
Offense at Home: 36.2
Defense: 32.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 33

Georgia Southern's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 6
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 1
Over/Under Record: 7 - 6
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 1 - 1
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 1
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/22	Georgia Southern	10	Old Dominion	45	Old Dominion -10.0	Old Dominion	62.0	Under
2024	10/24	Old Dominion	47	Georgia Southern	19	Georgia Southern -1.0	Old Dominion	52.0	Over
2023	11/18	Georgia Southern	17	Old Dominion	20	Georgia Southern -4.5	Old Dominion	61.5	Under
2022	10/22	Old Dominion	23	Georgia Southern	28	Old Dominion -1.5	Georgia Southern	66.0	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Georgia Southern	1	1	1 Overs
Old Dominion	3	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 3	1 - 3	0 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 0

(#76) ODU at (#118) GASO

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ODU	GASO
Power RatePwr	#76	#118
SP+SP+	#48	#111
Perf GradeGrade	#40	#112
OffenseOff	#50	#61
DefenseDef	#24	#134
Spec TeamsST	#112	#115
TalentTal	#130	#99
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#65

Old Dominion Notes(12/2) QB Colton Joseph will enter portal. Huge loss
(10/21) Killed by JMU, Def dogwalked, Rush Off tanked, 3 TO
(10/12) Def torched in awful L vs Marshall. Season derailer?
(10/7) Off is dropping big time #'s, Monarchs #1 SBC team?
(10/7) QB Colton Joseph is the best QB no one has heard of
(9/15) Joseph torched VT, great W for ODU, Off good
(9/7) LB Henderson retired. Big loss & blow to Def
(8/30) Run game good vs IU, Run Def torched 300+
(8/1) QB Joseph back, mobile. Good red zone runner
(8/1) WR/TE rebuild, little exp. Rahne like units though
(8/1) Def Avg LY, returns a ton. Added 8 DB portals
(8/1) Emerging team with upward trajectory this year
Old Dominion Injury Report

Georgia Southern Notes(10/22) DL is statistically bottom 5 in CFB, line yds & havoc
(10/22) Defense is worst in CFB in Success Rate, Off Avg
(10/9) French 3 INT, team 12 flags, comeback short vs USM
(8/25) Will stay out West between @ Fresno & USC
(8/1) Two West coast games to open. Impact?
(8/1) QB French way to many TOs under pressure LY
(8/1) QB/RB/WR combo great potential as tops in SBC
(8/1) DBs could be strong TY but F7 has lots of ?
(7/12) Helton QBs are historically TO prone
(4/7) WR Brown (Aub) impressive. QB as good depth
(3/24) QB French back. Helton (WKU) added
(3/24) RB Arnold, Mbadinga exp'd. Gibbs big croot
Georgia Southern Injury Report

Old Dominion on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	GASO Def
Perf GradePerf	#50	#134
SuccessSuc	#30	#133
ExplosiveExp	#41	#82
PPAPPA	#28	#133
PowerPwr	#78	#135
SP+SP+	#41	#131
Pts POPPO	#48	#130
HavocHav	#44	#84

Old Dominion Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	GASO Def
Run GameRun	#18	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	#30	#134
Run ExplRExp	#71	#116
PPAExp	#60	#135
Run BlockR Blk	#119	-
OL YdsOLY	#25	#134
Stuff RateStuff	#23	#116
TackleTak	-	#79

Old Dominion Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	ODU Off	GASO Def
Pass GamePass	#64	#81
Pass SuccessPSuc	#44	#125
Pass ExplPExl	#6	#54
PPAExp	#22	#117
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#30	#133
F7 HavocF7	#76	#83
DB HavocDB	#19	#73

Georgia Southern on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	ODU Def
Perf GradePerf	#61	#24
SuccessSuc	#41	#40
ExplosiveExp	#67	#1
PPAPPA	#39	#8
PowerPwr	#53	#75
SP+SP+	#66	#52
Pts POPPO	#40	#20
HavocHav	#44	#17

Georgia Southern Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	ODU Def
Run GameRun	#71	#44
Run SuccessRSuc	#43	#101
Run ExplRExp	#87	#5
PPAExp	#45	#22
Run BlockR Blk	#61	-
OL YdsOLY	#22	#75
Stuff RateStuff	#45	#42
TackleTak	-	#111

Georgia Southern Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat	GASO Off	ODU Def
Pass GamePass	#75	#6
Pass SuccessPSuc	#36	#11
Pass ExplPExl	#64	#34
PPAExp	#48	#9
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#20	#86
F7 HavocF7	#54	#15
DB HavocDB	#30	#34

Program Comparison
GASO 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ODU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Paulson Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 75° - Wind: 9 mph
Rain: 0.008

Rematch from Week 13
Old Dominion 10.0 (62.0)
Old Dominion won at Georgia Southern this year (45-10)

Previous Matchups
Old Dominion beat Georgia Southern last year (47-19)
Old Dominion beat Georgia Southern in 2023 (20-17)
Georgia Southern beat Old Dominion in 2022 (28-23)

ODU's OC Kevin Decker (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Colton Joseph	173	288	60%	2619	21	10	9.1
Quinn Henicle	17	40	43%	184	0	0	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Colton Joseph	157	1011	13	6.4	78
Trequan Jones	105	792	6	7.5	93
Devin Roche	111	634	4	5.7	67
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)	64	268	4	4.2	29

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tre' Brown III	38	762	4	20.1	98
Ja'Cory Thomas	41	714	5	17.4	55
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding	51	667	6	13.1	46
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)	6	192	2	32.0	80

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mario Easterly	80	2	0	3	4
Jerome Carter	76	3	0	2	2
Jeremy Mack Jr.	75	10	6	3	3
Jahleel Culbreath	71	10	3	3	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jeremy Mack Jr.	75	10	6	3	3
Jackson Forrest	52	7	5	1	0
Kris Trinidad	33	7	4	4	3
Javen Gibson	24	5	4	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Brandon Crutchfield	35	0	6
Zion Frink	60	1	6
Nickendre Stiger (Tr)	46	3	5

GASO's OC Ryan Aplin (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
JC French	231	365	63%	2753	19	8	7.5
Turner Helton (Tr)	14	26	54%	74	1	0	2.8

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
OJ Arnold	133	885	5	6.7	62
JC French	121	277	6	2.3	21
David Mbadinga	49	196	1	4.0	16
Taeo Todd	26	102	0	3.9	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Camden Brown (Tr)	63	1049	14	16.7	73
Marcus Sanders Jr.	45	725	4	16.1	52
Dalen Cobb	52	471	3	9.1	43
OJ Arnold	17	201	1	11.8	41

View Georgia Southern's Full Roster

GASO's DC Brandon Bailey (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jusfin Meyers	82	1	1	5
Brandon Tyson (Tr)	79	2	6	2
Brendan Harrington (Tr)	77	2	0	3
Ayden Jackson	71	4	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
MJ Stroud	31	15	7	6	2
Caleb Moore (Tr)	21	3	2	2	1
CJ Allen	16	2	1	1	0
Devin Collier	20	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tracy Hill Jr.	39	4	1	0	6
Jusfin Meyers	82	1	0	1	5
Elijah McDowell	8	0	0	0	4