Old Dominion at Marshall - 2025 Matchup Preview
Old Dominion logo   Old Dominion Monarchs at Marshall Thundering Herd  Marshall logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Old Dominion -14.5 (57.5) (-600)  Open: -12.5
Marshall 48 - Old Dominion: 24  (Sun Belt)

 
Monarchs (10 - 3) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Ricky Rahne (20 - 30)
Avg Score : 32 - 19 (31 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.2 - 3.8 (#33)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)
MRSH coming off BYE
Our Line: Old Dominion -5  (SP+ ODU -10.5)

Projected Score: ODU: 31 - MRSH: 26 (57)
ODU Win prob: 85% | Cover: 47%
ODU Travel: 351 miles
Thundering Herd (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Gibson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (31 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 5)
 
Old Dominion's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Old Dominion at Indiana+23.554.5L 14 - 27UY
Sat 9/6 Old Dominion vs North Carolina Central-22.050.5W 54 - 6OY
Sat 9/13 Old Dominion at Virginia Tech+5.550.5W 45 - 26OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Old Dominion vs Liberty-14.553.5W 21 - 7UN
Sat 10/4 Old Dominion vs Coastal Carolina-18.553.5W 47 - 7OY
Sat 10/11 Old Dominion at Marshall-14.557.5L 24 - 48ON
Sat 10/18 Old Dominion at James Madison+3.047.5L 27 - 63ON
Sat 10/25 Old Dominion vs App State-12.560.5W 24 - 21UN
Sat 11/1 Old Dominion at UL Monroe-16.555.5W 31 - 6UY
BYE WEEK
Thu 11/13 Old Dominion vs Troy-9.553.5W 33 - 0UY
Sat 11/22 Old Dominion at Georgia Southern-10.062.0W 45 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 Old Dominion vs Georgia State-29.058.5W 27 - 10UN
Wed 12/17 Old Dominion vs South Florida+4.052.5W 24 - 10UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 8
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 6
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Old Dominion's Schedule
Marshall's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Marshall at Georgia+39.555.5L 7 - 45UY
Sat 9/6 Marshall vs Missouri State-7.053.5L 20 - 21UN
Sat 9/13 Marshall vs Eastern Kentucky-14.549.5W 38 - 7UY
Sat 9/20 Marshall at Middle Tennessee-2.546.5W 42 - 28OY
Sat 9/27 Marshall at Louisiana-2.547.5L 51 - 54ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Marshall vs Old Dominion+14.557.5W 48 - 24OY
Sat 10/18 Marshall vs Texas State+3.065.5W 40 - 37OY
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30 Marshall at Coastal Carolina-7.555.5L 27 - 44ON
Sat 11/8 Marshall vs James Madison+13.553.5L 23 - 35OY
Sat 11/15 Marshall at Georgia State-9.559.5W 30 - 18UY
Sat 11/22 Marshall at App State-3.557.5L 24 - 26UN
Sat 11/29 Marshall vs Georgia Southern-10.561.5L 19 - 24UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU#47 (.22)42% (71)3245% (55)3.24 (34)21140% (89)1934.75 (6)#71 (.17)39% (33)18.538% (22)40% (64)3.64 (50)54.21.71.4
MRSH#60 (.21)43% (66)30.845% (47)3.35 (18)20340% (88)1813.93 (66)#47 (.13)40% (46)30.343% (75)37% (21)3.87 (79)42.50.71.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ODU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
MRSH0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Offense12323142.4%4.751.7204042111935.455%44%45%40%16%.22
MRSH Defense1330.324.740%3.871.5 - - - - - 53%46%43%37%19%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ODU Defense1218.53038.8%3.641.4 - - - - - 53%46%38%40%16%.17
MRSH Offense1330.831.342.9%3.930.7203842031815.259%41%45%40%13%.21

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Old Dominion1227:5919.743%64%6.254.21.71.46.21.9027.3
Marshall1328:3919.840%59%5.442.50.71.56.62.6231.1
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Offense1255% (34)45% (55)39.5211.35.427 (30).21 (30)3.24 (34)67% (108)11% (105)1.16 (8)
MRSH Defense1353% (99)43% (75) - - - - .17 (93)2.95 (57)70% (50)12% (30)1.11 (118)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ODU Defense1253% (101)38% (22) - - - - .1 (61)3.01 (71)77% (94)11% (49)1.03 (91)
MRSH Offense1359% (12)45% (47)38.8202.55.221 (59).22 (27)3.35 (18)76% (49)8% (32)1.06 (39)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Offense1244% (104)40% (89)16.327.8192.66.911.917 (79)9 (48).27 (61)1.6 (41)33% (107)30% (86).36 (56)5% (30)2.2 (17)
MRSH Defense1346% (37)37% (21) - - - - - - 13 (31).13 (23)1.6 (58)34% (37)26% (14).24 (40)7% (25)2.2 (102)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ODU Defense1246% (32)40% (64) - - - - - - 12 (39).28 (95)1.8 (126)35% (24)31% (78).4 (104)5% (98)2.3 (129)
MRSH Offense1341% (123)40% (88)14.925.6181.17.112.127 (20)4 (1).23 (82)1.7 (36)30% (36)30% (84).25 (98)5% (52)2 (76)

Old Dominion's Power Ratings
Old Dominion's Power Rating: -9.72  #101
Old Dominion's Offense Rating: 6.98  #108
Old Dominion's Defense Rating: 16.70  #91
2025 Talent Rating: 328.00  #130
Blue Chip Ratio: 2%  #79
Old Dominion's 2025 Expected Record: 9.2 - 3.8
Old Dominion's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.9  #49
Old Dominion's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #39
Old Dominion's Defense SP+ Rating: 23.7  #48

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: -9.72   Marshall: -6.735

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Old Dominion: 5.9   Marshall: -4.5




Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -6.735  #115
Marshall's Offense Rating: 6.50  #113
Marshall's Defense Rating: 20.47  #112
2025 Talent Rating: 608.00  #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Marshall's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Marshall's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.5  #86
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.6  #52
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8  #118

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Old Dominion Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense on Road: 31
Defense: 18.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 30

Old Dominion's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 3
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Old Dominion 31
Marshall 26


Projected Total Points: 57
Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 31.3
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.7

Marshall's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 0 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Marshall48Old Dominion24Old Dominion -14.5Marshall57.5Over
202411/23Old Dominion35Marshall42Old Dominion -3Marshall51.0Over
202309/30Marshall41Old Dominion35Marshall -14.5Old Dominion47.0Over
202211/05Old Dominion0Marshall12Marshall -3.5Marshall46.5Under
202110/09Marshall20Old Dominion13Marshall -21.5Old Dominion62.0Under
201910/12Marshall31Old Dominion17Marshall -16.5Old Dominion46.5Over
201810/13Old Dominion20Marshall42Marshall -3.5Marshall57.0Over
201710/14Marshall35Old Dominion3Marshall -12.5Marshall48.0Under
201611/05Old Dominion38Marshall14Old Dominion -7Old Dominion58.0Under
201510/03Marshall27Old Dominion7Marshall -18Marshall54.0Under
201410/04Old Dominion14Marshall56Marshall -17.5Marshall0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Marshall1075 Overs
Old Dominion145 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams7 - 44 - 73 - 41 - 3
Road Teams4 - 77 - 43 - 14 - 3

(#101) ODU at (#115) MRSH
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatODUMRSH
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #101 #115
SP+SP+ #49 #86
Perf GradeGrade #40 #65
OffenseOff #60 #72
DefenseDef #19 #52
Spec TeamsST #99 #103
TalentTal #130 #92
Blue ChipsBC% #79 #65
Old Dominion Notes
(12/2) QB Colton Joseph will enter portal. Huge loss
(10/21) Killed by JMU, Def dogwalked, Rush Off tanked, 3 TO
(10/12) Def torched in awful L vs Marshall. Season derailer?
(10/7) Off is dropping big time #'s, Monarchs #1 SBC team?
(10/7) QB Colton Joseph is the best QB no one has heard of
(9/15) Joseph torched VT, great W for ODU, Off good
(9/7) LB Henderson retired. Big loss & blow to Def
(8/30) Run game good vs IU, Run Def torched 300+
(8/1) QB Joseph back, mobile. Good red zone runner
(8/1) WR/TE rebuild, little exp. Rahne like units though
(8/1) Def Avg LY, returns a ton. Added 8 DB portals
(8/1) Emerging team with upward trajectory this year
Old Dominion Injury Report
Marshall Notes
(10/19) Avg 44 PPG in last 5, won last 2 as underdogs
(10/12) Off scorching hot, killed ODU, pass/run 220+
(9/21) Killed M Tenn, QB Del Rio-Wilson good/efficient
(8/30) Turner/Long/Rio-Wilson all played vs UGA
(8/26) QB1 Del Rio-Wilson, J. Long, Z. Turner listed OR
(8/1) Year 0 for Gibson & staff, 62 new players
(8/1) WR added 11 portals! Scattered not great
(8/1) Def complete rebuild. 30 portal adds (of 59!)
(8/1) HC Huff pushed out, opted out of bowl
(8/1) New OC Smith was RichRod's OC @ Jax St
(3/22) 3/4 of roster is new, along with staff
(3/22) QB Rio-Wilson(SU), Turner(JS), Shockey(NC St)
Marshall Injury Report
Old Dominion on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
ODU OffMRSH Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #60 #52
SuccessSuc #71 #46
ExplosiveExp #16 #86
PPAPPA #47 #47
PowerPwr #108 #112
SP+SP+ #39 #118
Pts POPPO #6 #79
HavocHav #76 #19
Old Dominion Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
ODU OffMRSH Def
Run GameRun #56 #37
Run SuccessRSuc #55 #75
Run ExplRExp #8 #118
PPAExp #30 #93
Run BlockR Blk #110 -
OL YdsOLY #34 #57
Stuff RateStuff #39 #49
TackleTak -  #28
Old Dominion Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
ODU OffMRSH Def
Pass GamePass #74 #61
Pass SuccessPSuc #89 #21
Pass ExplPExl #41 #58
PPAExp #61 #23
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #28 #86
F7 HavocF7 #105 #30
DB HavocDB #30 #25
Marshall on Offense
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatMRSH OffODU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #72 #19
SuccessSuc #66 #33
ExplosiveExp #64 #116
PPAPPA #60 #71
PowerPwr #113 #91
SP+SP+ #52 #48
Pts POPPO #66 #50
HavocHav #32 #68
Marshall Run Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
MRSH OffODU Def
Run GameRun #89 #46
Run SuccessRSuc #47 #22
Run ExplRExp #39 #91
PPAExp #27 #61
Run BlockR Blk #90 -
OL YdsOLY #18 #71
Stuff RateStuff #42 #68
TackleTak -  #110
Marshall Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatMRSH OffODU Def
Pass GamePass #66 #3
Pass SuccessPSuc #88 #64
Pass ExplPExl #36 #126
PPAExp #82 #95
Pass Block/RushP Blk #52 #80
F7 HavocF7 #32 #49
DB HavocDB #52 #98
Program Comparison
MRSH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

ODU 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 7
Old Dominion 14.5 (57.5)
Marshall won vs Old Dominion this year (48-24)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat Old Dominion last year (48-24)
Marshall beat Old Dominion in 2024 (42-35)
Marshall beat Old Dominion in 2023 (41-35)

  
ODU's OC Kevin Decker (been OC for 3 years)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Colton Joseph17328860%261921109.1
Quinn Henicle174043%184004.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Colton Joseph1571011136.478
Trequan Jones10579267.593
Devin Roche11163445.767
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)6426844.229
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Tre' Brown III38762420.198
Ja'Cory Thomas41714517.455
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim Gladding51667613.146
Ke'Travion Hargrove (Tr)6192232.080

View Old Dominion's Full Roster

ODU's DC Blake Seiler (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mario Easterly802034
Jerome Carter763022
Jeremy Mack Jr.7510633
Jahleel Culbreath7110330
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jeremy Mack Jr.7510633
Jackson Forrest527510
Kris Trinidad337443
Javen Gibson245410
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Brandon Crutchfield350006
Zion Frink601006
Nickendre Stiger (Tr)463005

MRSH's OC Rod Smith (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Tr)17125667%20431758.0
Zion Turner (Tr)405968%409116.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Tr)15965864.124
Antwan Roberts9051245.754
Michael Allen (Tr)7738545.068
Joshon Barbie5624954.428
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Demarcus Lacey (Tr)65769511.868
De'Andre Tamarez (Tr)32395212.344
Toby Payne36387310.848
Adrian Norton (Tr)28383513.741

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Shannon Morrison (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boogie Trotter733135
Kerion Martin (Tr)676271
Cameron Smith (Tr)665238
Javae Gilmore (Tr)5610282
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Braydin Ward186542
Paul Hutson III (Tr)376330
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)516342
Jamaal Whyce (Tr)295310
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cameron Smith (Tr)665238
Boogie Trotter733135
Daytione Smith502004