Marshall at Louisiana - 2025 Matchup Preview

Marshall Thundering Herd at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Saturday, September 27th 2025 (8:00 PM EDT)
Marshall -2.5 (47.5) (-130) Open: -3.5
Louisiana 54 - Marshall: 51 (Sun Belt)

Thundering Herd (5 - 7) (7 - 5 - 0)
Coach Tony Gibson (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 31 - 30 (30 - 36 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 5)

MRSH 2nd straight Road Game
ULL is playing their 5th straight game
MRSH is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Marshall -1.5 (SP+ MRSH -3.5)
Projected Score: MRSH: 27 - ULL: 25 (52)
MRSH Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
MRSH Travel: 788 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Ragin' Cajuns (6 - 7) (6 - 7 - 0)
Coach Michael Desormeaux (23 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 29 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.5 - 6.5 (#75)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 6)

Matchup
Schedules
MRSH Players
ULL Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Marshall's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Marshall at Georgia	+39.5	55.5	L 7 - 45	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Marshall vs Missouri State	-7.0	53.5	L 20 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/13	Marshall vs Eastern Kentucky	-14.5	49.5	W 38 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Marshall at Middle Tennessee	-2.5	46.5	W 42 - 28	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Marshall at Louisiana	-2.5	47.5	L 51 - 54	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Marshall vs Old Dominion	+14.5	57.5	W 48 - 24	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Marshall vs Texas State	+3.0	65.5	W 40 - 37	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/30	Marshall at Coastal Carolina	-7.5	55.5	L 27 - 44	O	N
Sat 11/8	Marshall vs James Madison	+13.5	53.5	L 23 - 35	O	Y
Sat 11/15	Marshall at Georgia State	-9.5	59.5	W 30 - 18	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Marshall at App State	-3.5	57.5	L 24 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/29	Marshall vs Georgia Southern	-10.5	61.5	L 19 - 24	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Marshall's Schedule

Louisiana's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Louisiana vs Rice	-14.5	49.5	L 12 - 14	U	N
Sat 9/6	Louisiana vs McNeese	-19.0	50.0	W 34 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Louisiana at Missouri	+27.5	47.5	L 10 - 52	O	N
Sat 9/20	Louisiana at Eastern Michigan	-2.5	51.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 9/27	Louisiana vs Marshall	+2.5	47.5	W 54 - 51	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11	Louisiana at James Madison	+18.5	44.5	L 14 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Louisiana vs Southern Miss	+4.5	54.5	L 10 - 22	U	N
Sat 10/25	Louisiana at Troy	+7.0	47.5	L 23 - 35	O	N
Sat 11/1	Louisiana at South Alabama	+3.5	52.5	W 31 - 22	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Louisiana vs Texas State	+3.5	62.5	W 42 - 39	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 11/20	Louisiana at Arkansas State	+2.5	54.5	W 34 - 30	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Louisiana vs UL Monroe	-10.5	47.5	W 30 - 27	O	N
Wed 12/17	Louisiana vs Delaware	-1.5	60.5	L 13 - 20	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Louisiana's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	#58 (.19)	45% (37)	30.8	43% (68)	3.05 (47)	198	48% (17)	208	3.89 (53)	#65 (.16)	39% (33)	30.3	37% (12)	42% (73)	3.62 (64)	59.9	1.3	1.8
ULL	#101 (.12)	39% (109)	26	42% (84)	2.9 (76)	183	35% (128)	161	3.45 (93)	#90 (.19)	46% (124)	29.2	48% (126)	45% (109)	3.33 (39)	46.5	1.5	1.4

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MRSH	#60 (.21)	43% (66)		45% (47)	3.35 (18)	203	40% (88)	181	3.93 (66)	#47 (.13)	40% (46)		43% (75)	37% (21)	3.87 (79)	42.5	0.7	1.5
ULL	#16 (.3)	45% (47)		42% (91)	3.24 (35)	159	47% (17)	242	4.27 (32)	#97 (.22)	48% (126)		53% (133)	44% (105)	4.43 (121)	44.5	0.6	1.4

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Offense	12	30.8	30.2	45.1%	3.89	1.3	21	406	198	208	4.8	57%	42%	43%	48%	13%	.19
ULL Defense	13	29.2	27.2	46.1%	3.33	1.4	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	48%	45%	14%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MRSH Defense	12	30.3	35.8	38.9%	3.62	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	37%	42%	16%	.16
ULL Offense	13	26	30.3	38.7%	3.45	1.5	19	344	183	161	4.6	57%	41%	42%	35%	16%	.12

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Marshall	12	30:05	21.3	35%	44%	6.8	59.9	1.3	1.8	6.1	2.3	3	32.2
Louisiana	13	29:58	18.9	41%	55%	5.9	46.5	1.5	1.4	4.5	1.7	2	27.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Offense	12	57% (19)	43% (68)	41.4	198.2	4.8	23 (40)	.05 (100)	3.05 (47)	63% (120)	8% (38)	0.85 (119)
ULL Defense	13	53% (109)	48% (126)	-	-	-	-	.18 (115)	3.29 (126)	73% (80)	9% (103)	0.99 (89)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MRSH Defense	12	51% (76)	37% (12)	-	-	-	-	.04 (28)	2.6 (16)	63% (17)	10% (53)	0.99 (88)
ULL Offense	13	57% (22)	42% (84)	39.6	182.9	4.6	26 (40)	.13 (62)	2.9 (76)	71% (75)	11% (110)	0.99 (58)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Offense	12	42% (117)	48% (17)	18.2	27.9	207.9	7.5	11.4	18 (50)	6 (7)	.38 (28)	1.5 (84)	28% (23)	31% (61)	.31 (65)	5% (25)	2.1 (33)
ULL Defense	13	45% (29)	45% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (55)	.27 (81)	1.5 (32)	26% (133)	28% (44)	.31 (75)	5% (104)	2.3 (133)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MRSH Defense	12	48% (59)	42% (73)	-	-	-	-	-	-	13 (12)	.33 (109)	1.8 (133)	34% (37)	29% (66)	.21 (35)	6% (81)	1.9 (42)
ULL Offense	13	41% (120)	35% (128)	14.4	26.2	161.2	6.1	11.2	12 (121)	14 (119)	.15 (115)	1.6 (45)	33% (108)	26% (110)	.21 (102)	5% (44)	1.9 (108)

Marshall's Power Ratings
Marshall's Power Rating: -7.36 #96
Marshall's Offense Rating: 4.53 #94
Marshall's Defense Rating: 11.89 #93
2025 Talent Rating: 608.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Marshall's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Marshall's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -5.2 #89
Marshall's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.8 #54
Marshall's Defense SP+ Rating: 35.3 #121

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -7.36 Louisiana: -7.85

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Marshall: -5.2 Louisiana: -8.7

Louisiana's Power Ratings
Louisiana's Power Rating: -7.85 #120
Louisiana's Offense Rating: 2.57 #110
Louisiana's Defense Rating: 14.57 #109
2025 Talent Rating: 568.00 #102
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
Louisiana's 2025 Expected Record: 6.5 - 6.5
Louisiana's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -8.7 #100
Louisiana's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.6 #75
Louisiana's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.8 #116

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 574.86
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Marshall Scoring
Offense: 30.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.2
Defense: 30.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.8

Marshall's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 7 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
Marshall 27
Louisiana 25

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Louisiana 29
Marshall 23

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Louisiana 31
Marshall 29

Total Points: 60

Louisiana Scoring
Offense: 26 PPG
Offense at Home: 30.3
Defense: 29.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Louisiana's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 7
Record vs Spread: 6 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Louisiana	54	Marshall	51	Marshall -2.5	Louisiana	47.5	Over
2024	12/07	Louisiana	3	Marshall	31	Louisiana -5	Marshall	58.0	Under
2022	10/12	Marshall	13	Louisiana	23	Marshall -10.5	Louisiana	45.5	Under
2021	12/18	Marshall	21	Louisiana	36	Louisiana -4	Louisiana	55.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Louisiana	3	3	2 Overs
Marshall	1	1	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 3	1 - 3	0 - 2	1 - 1
Road Teams	3 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 1	2 - 0

(#96) MRSH at (#120) ULL

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MRSH	ULL
Power RatePwr	#96	#120
SP+SP+	#89	#100
Perf GradeGrade	#57	#121
OffenseOff	#80	#120
DefenseDef	#31	#113
Spec TeamsST	#106	#116
TalentTal	#92	#102
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#88

Marshall Notes(10/19) Avg 44 PPG in last 5, won last 2 as underdogs
(10/12) Off scorching hot, killed ODU, pass/run 220+
(9/21) Killed M Tenn, QB Del Rio-Wilson good/efficient
(8/30) Turner/Long/Rio-Wilson all played vs UGA
(8/26) QB1 Del Rio-Wilson, J. Long, Z. Turner listed OR
(8/1) Year 0 for Gibson & staff, 62 new players
(8/1) WR added 11 portals! Scattered not great
(8/1) Def complete rebuild. 30 portal adds (of 59!)
(8/1) HC Huff pushed out, opted out of bowl
(8/1) New OC Smith was RichRod's OC @ Jax St
(3/22) 3/4 of roster is new, along with staff
(3/22) QB Rio-Wilson(SU), Turner(JS), Shockey(NC St)
Marshall Injury Report

Louisiana Notes(11/21) Was 2-6, won 3 straight to stay in bowl fight
(11/20) QB Lunch Winfield a find. Program changer?
(10/19) 1-4 run, can't Pass and teams know it. Killing Off
(9/20) Def allowed 400 yds to EMU? WTF the deal here?
(9/20) Pass Off bottom 10 in CFB, Def is awful.
(9/4) QB Daniel Beale (rFr) now starter this year
(9/4) QB Walker Howard likely out for the season
(9/4) 4 straight years starting QB has been injured
(8/30) Offense awful in bad L to Rice, Howard terrible
(8/28) Don't love HC Desormeaux so far
(8/19) QB1 Walker Howard named starter Aug 19th
(8/1) Off has great potential, but slow & methodical
Louisiana Injury Report

Marshall on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	ULL Def
Perf GradePerf	#80	#113
SuccessSuc	#37	#124
ExplosiveExp	#120	#37
PPAPPA	#58	#90
PowerPwr	#94	#109
SP+SP+	#54	#116
Pts POPPO	#53	#39
HavocHav	#30	#111

Marshall Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	ULL Def
Run GameRun	#94	#111
Run SuccessRSuc	#68	#126
Run ExplRExp	#119	#89
PPAExp	#100	#115
Run BlockR Blk	#103	-
OL YdsOLY	#47	#126
Stuff RateStuff	#47	#106
TackleTak	-	#90

Marshall Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	MRSH Off	ULL Def
Pass GamePass	#66	#85
Pass SuccessPSuc	#17	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#84	#32
PPAExp	#28	#81
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#69	#112
F7 HavocF7	#38	#103
DB HavocDB	#25	#104

Louisiana on Offense

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	MRSH Def
Perf GradePerf	#120	#31
SuccessSuc	#109	#33
ExplosiveExp	#93	#129
PPAPPA	#101	#65
PowerPwr	#110	#93
SP+SP+	#75	#121
Pts POPPO	#93	#64
HavocHav	#79	#67

Louisiana Run Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	MRSH Def
Run GameRun	#70	#6
Run SuccessRSuc	#84	#12
Run ExplRExp	#58	#88
PPAExp	#62	#28
Run BlockR Blk	#68	-
OL YdsOLY	#76	#16
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#25
TackleTak	-	#35

Louisiana Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 57%, Pass: 41%
CategoryCat	ULL Off	MRSH Def
Pass GamePass	#126	#61
Pass SuccessPSuc	#128	#73
Pass ExplPExl	#45	#133
PPAExp	#115	#109
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#92	#87
F7 HavocF7	#110	#53
DB HavocDB	#44	#81

Program Comparison
ULL 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

MRSH 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Cajun Field
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 75°

Rematch from Week 5
Marshall 2.5 (47.5)
Louisiana won vs Marshall this year (54-51)

Previous Matchups
Marshall beat Louisiana last year (31-3)
Louisiana beat Marshall in 2022 (23-13)

MRSH's OC Rod Smith (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Tr)	171	256	67%	2043	17	5	8.0
Zion Turner (Tr)	40	59	68%	409	1	1	6.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Carlos Del Rio-Wilson (Tr)	159	658	6	4.1	24
Antwan Roberts	90	512	4	5.7	54
Michael Allen (Tr)	77	385	4	5.0	68
Joshon Barbie	56	249	5	4.4	28

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Demarcus Lacey (Tr)	65	769	5	11.8	68
De'Andre Tamarez (Tr)	32	395	2	12.3	44
Toby Payne	36	387	3	10.8	48
Adrian Norton (Tr)	28	383	5	13.7	41

View Marshall's Full Roster

MRSH's DC Shannon Morrison (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Boogie Trotter	73	3	1	3	5
Kerion Martin (Tr)	67	6	2	7	1
Cameron Smith (Tr)	66	5	2	3	8
Javae Gilmore (Tr)	56	10	2	8	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Braydin Ward	18	6	5	4	2
Paul Hutson III (Tr)	37	6	3	3	0
Jibreel Al-Amin (Tr)	51	6	3	4	2
Jamaal Whyce (Tr)	29	5	3	1	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cameron Smith (Tr)	66	5	2	3	8
Boogie Trotter	73	3	1	3	5
Daytione Smith	50	2	0	0	4

ULL's OC Tim Leger (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
D'Wayne' Winfield	127	215	59%	1555	11	7	7.2
Daniel Beale	42	84	50%	385	1	4	4.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Bill Davis	158	763	6	4.8	76
Zylan Perry	138	689	8	5.0	84
D'Wayne' Winfield	152	667	9	4.4	42
Steven Blanco	30	156	2	5.2	34

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shelton Sampson Jr. (Tr)	32	537	6	16.8	45
Robert Williams	25	309	0	12.4	44
Charles Robertson	15	250	1	16.7	45
Caden Jensen	29	231	1	8.0	40

View Louisiana's Full Roster

ULL's DC Jim Salgado (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jaden Dugger	124	13	4	1	3
Terrence Williams	95	3	1	0	0
Brent Gordon Jr.	62	1	0	1	11
Tyree Skipper	55	1	1	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Lawson	52	15	5	9	1
Jaden Dugger	124	13	4	1	3
Jaelen Crider	25	4	3	1	1
Cameron Whitfield	30	2	1	3	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Brent Gordon Jr.	62	1	0	1	11
Courtline Flowers	48	3	1	0	4
Jaden Dugger	124	13	4	1	3