Louisiana Tech at UTEP - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 27th 2025 (9:00 PM EDT)
Louisiana Tech -3.5 (48.5) (-185) Open: -4.0
Louisiana Tech 30 - UTEP: 11 (Conference USA)

Bulldogs (8 - 5) (8 - 5 - 0)
Coach Sonny Cumbie (11 - 25)
Avg Score : 27 - 21 (19 - 25 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#57)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 7)

UTEP 2nd straight Home Game
UTEP is playing their 5th straight game
LT is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Louisiana Tech -4 (SP+ LT -16)
Projected Score: LT: 26 - UTEP: 22 (49)
LT Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
LT Travel: 811 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Miners (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Scotty Walden (3 - 9)
Avg Score : 23 - 30 (24 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 8)

Matchup
Schedules
LT Players
UTEP Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Louisiana Tech vs SE Louisiana	-14.5	50.5	W 24 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Louisiana Tech at LSU	+36.5	49.5	L 7 - 23	U	Y
Sat 9/13	Louisiana Tech vs New Mexico State	-10.0	42.5	W 49 - 14	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Louisiana Tech vs Southern Miss	-3.0	51.5	W 30 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Louisiana Tech at UTEP	-3.5	48.5	W 30 - 11	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/9	Louisiana Tech at Kennesaw State	-4.5	46.5	L 7 - 35	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/21	Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky	-5.5	49.5	L 27 - 28	O	N
Fri 10/31	Louisiana Tech vs Sam Houston	-16.5	48.0	W 55 - 14	O	Y
Sat 11/8	Louisiana Tech at Delaware	-5.5	57.5	L 24 - 25	U	N
Sat 11/15	Louisiana Tech at Washington State	+10.0	43.5	L 3 - 28	U	N
Sat 11/22	Louisiana Tech vs Liberty	+1.5	45.5	W 34 - 28	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Louisiana Tech at Missouri State	+2.5	45.0	W 42 - 30	O	Y
Tue 12/30	Louisiana Tech vs Coastal Carolina	-10.0	51.0	W 23 - 14	U	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Louisiana Tech's Schedule

UTEP's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	UTEP at Utah State	+3.5	59.5	L 16 - 28	U	N
Sat 9/6	UTEP vs UT Martin	-7.5	49.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 9/13	UTEP at Texas	+39.5	52.5	L 10 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/20	UTEP vs UL Monroe	-5.5	47.5	L 25 - 31	O	N
Sat 9/27	UTEP vs Louisiana Tech	+3.5	48.5	L 11 - 30	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Wed 10/8	UTEP vs Liberty	+1.5	46.5	L 8 - 19	U	N
Wed 10/15	UTEP vs Sam Houston	-3.5	46.5	W 35 - 17	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Tue 10/28	UTEP at Kennesaw State	+12.5	53.5	L 20 - 33	U	N
Sat 11/8	UTEP vs Jacksonville State	+1.5	46.5	L 27 - 30	O	N
Sat 11/15	UTEP at Missouri State	+6.5	47.5	L 24 - 38	O	N
Sat 11/22	UTEP vs New Mexico State	-4.0	44.5	L 31 - 34	O	N
Sat 11/29	UTEP at Delaware	+4.5	55.5	L 31 - 61	O	N

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 5, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UTEP's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT	#130 (.02)	37% (119)	27.3	37% (122)	2.62 (125)	109	38% (111)	211	3.09 (124)	#26 (.1)	37% (13)	20.8	39% (36)	35% (11)	3.72 (61)	46.7	1.5	1.2
UTEP	#121 (.07)	37% (124)	23.3	38% (118)	2.8 (106)	121	36% (117)	200	2.81 (132)	#46 (.13)	40% (42)	30.4	40% (42)	39% (46)	3.85 (78)	50.9	1.6	1.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
LT		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
UTEP		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Offense	13	27.3	18.8	37.5%	3.09	1.5	17	319	109	211	3.1	49%	51%	37%	38%	17%	.02
UTEP Defense	12	30.4	26.8	39.7%	3.85	1.5	-	-	-	-	-	54%	46%	40%	39%	18%	.13

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
LT Defense	13	20.8	25.3	37.2%	3.72	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	39%	35%	15%	.1
UTEP Offense	12	23.3	24	37%	2.81	1.6	17	321	121	200	3.3	52%	47%	38%	36%	20%	.07

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Louisiana Tech	13	29:34	17.2	40%	35%	4.9	46.7	1.5	1.2	5.2	1.6	0	33.2
UTEP	12	27:57	16.7	33%	30%	5.7	50.9	1.6	1.5	7.1	2.9	2	27.1

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Offense	13	49% (78)	37% (122)	35.2	108.5	3.1	14 (98)	-.09 (134)	2.62 (125)	66% (114)	12% (116)	0.69 (134)
UTEP Defense	12	54% (103)	40% (42)	-	-	-	-	.07 (40)	2.85 (44)	59% (7)	12% (18)	1.07 (102)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
LT Defense	13	56% (121)	39% (36)	-	-	-	-	.09 (54)	2.9 (50)	70% (48)	11% (52)	1.01 (82)
UTEP Offense	12	52% (56)	38% (118)	36.4	120.8	3.3	9 (125)	.02 (118)	2.8 (106)	59% (127)	13% (125)	0.88 (114)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Offense	13	51% (56)	38% (111)	18.8	29.8	210.9	7.1	11.2	18 (68)	7 (26)	.13 (115)	1.7 (35)	33% (103)	26% (117)	.15 (127)	5% (22)	2.1 (27)
UTEP Defense	12	46% (36)	39% (46)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (52)	.21 (54)	1.7 (115)	34% (34)	30% (56)	.28 (59)	6% (66)	2.1 (75)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
LT Defense	13	43% (9)	35% (11)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.15 (26)	1.6 (72)	35% (20)	29% (46)	.28 (56)	5% (112)	1.9 (30)
UTEP Offense	12	47% (81)	36% (117)	18.6	30.4	200	6.6	10.8	15 (98)	12 (85)	.15 (108)	1.5 (112)	34% (111)	23% (128)	.23 (104)	7% (110)	2.2 (20)

Louisiana Tech's Power Ratings
Louisiana Tech's Power Rating: -14.83 #119
Louisiana Tech's Offense Rating: 4.42 #120
Louisiana Tech's Defense Rating: 19.25 #100
2025 Talent Rating: 472.00 #122
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Louisiana Tech's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -1.3 #77
Louisiana Tech's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.6 #77
Louisiana Tech's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.0 #68

Average Talent
Average Sun Belt Talent Rating is 564.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -14.83 UTEP: -12.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Louisiana Tech: -1.3 UTEP: -17.5

UTEP's Power Ratings
UTEP's Power Rating: -12.025 #107
UTEP's Offense Rating: 3.75 #123
UTEP's Defense Rating: 15.30 #83
2025 Talent Rating: 662.00 #82
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #88
UTEP's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
UTEP's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -17.5 #129
UTEP's Offense SP+ Rating: 20.2 #111
UTEP's Defense SP+ Rating: 36.3 #127

Average Talent
Average Mountain West Talent Rating is 500.89
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Louisiana Tech Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 25.3

Louisiana Tech's 2025 Record
Record: 8 - 5
Record vs Spread: 8 - 5 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 8
Record on Road: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Louisiana Tech 26
UTEP 22

Projected Total Points: 49

UTEP Scoring
Offense: 23.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 24
Defense: 30.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.8

UTEP's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 7 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	UTEP	11	Louisiana Tech	30	Louisiana Tech -3.5	Louisiana Tech	48.5	Under
2024	10/22	Louisiana Tech	14	UTEP	10	Louisiana Tech -6.5	UTEP	49.0	Under
2023	09/29	UTEP	10	Louisiana Tech	24	Louisiana Tech -2	Louisiana Tech	49.5	Under
2022	10/08	Louisiana Tech	41	UTEP	31	Louisiana Tech -2	Louisiana Tech	52.0	Over
2021	10/16	UTEP	19	Louisiana Tech	3	Louisiana Tech -6.5	UTEP	55.5	Under
2020	10/10	Louisiana Tech	21	UTEP	17	Louisiana Tech -14.5	UTEP	56.0	Under
2019	10/26	UTEP	21	Louisiana Tech	42	Louisiana Tech -18.5	Louisiana Tech	50.0	Over
2018	10/20	Louisiana Tech	31	UTEP	24	Louisiana Tech -21	UTEP	50.5	Over
2017	11/18	UTEP	21	Louisiana Tech	42	Louisiana Tech -16.5	Louisiana Tech	48.5	Over
2016	10/01	Louisiana Tech	28	UTEP	7	Louisiana Tech -21	Push	57.5	Under
2015	11/21	UTEP	15	Louisiana Tech	17	Louisiana Tech -21.5	UTEP	54.0	Under
2014	10/04	Louisiana Tech	55	UTEP	3	Louisiana Tech -13	Louisiana Tech	0
2013	10/05	UTEP	35	Louisiana Tech	38	UTEP -1.5	Louisiana Tech	0
2004	10/23	Louisiana Tech	27	UTEP	44
2003	10/11	UTEP	35	Louisiana Tech	38
2001	11/10	UTEP	30	Louisiana Tech	53

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
UTEP	2	5	4 Overs
Louisiana Tech	14	7	7 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	7 - 9	4 - 8	2 - 4	2 - 4
Road Teams	9 - 7	8 - 4	4 - 2	4 - 2

(#119) LT at (#107) UTEP

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	LT	UTEP
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#119	#107
SP+SP+	#77	#129
Perf GradeGrade	#83	#126
OffenseOff	#108	#132
DefenseDef	#37	#102
Spec TeamsST	#32	#101
TalentTal	#122	#82
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#88

Louisiana Tech Notes(11/10) QB1 Blake Baker out for season (torn ACL)
(10/22) Criminal clock management costly vs WKU
(10/22) QB Baker torched WKU for 340 yds and 49 rushing
(10/22) Most penalized team in CUSA, Def good but leaking
(10/21) QB1 Blake Baker, JAG w/ some mobility
(10/10) Give Cumbie 2 weeks he gets routed by Kennesaw St
(10/9) Lead CFB w/ 13 TOs & 5 Def TD. Allow 14 ppg
(9/21) Shockingly good start, box score ugly vs SMiss
(9/21) Off 2-13 on 3rd down, 2.7 ypc vs S Miss and won?
(9/17) Played hard vs LSU, Def great in red zone early
(5/20) OC Franklin - a legend of tempo, simplicity
(5/2) TE Eli Finley a good target, best on team
Louisiana Tech Injury Report

UTEP Notes(10/29) Even game w/ Kenn St, St's & 2-16 3rd down killed
(10/8) This offense is pathetic. New OC Mark Cala a disaster
(9/29) QB Nelson benched, Skyler Locklear will take over
(9/28) Off is near worst in CFB. QB Nelson a disaster so far
(9/25) 20 1st Half points in 3 games vs FBS teams
(9/21) Ugly L vs ULM, Run Def mauled, Run Off shit
(9/17) Patchwork OL might be OK once in CUSA play
(9/13) Great fight at Tex, Def played hard, QB OK
(8/30) Run game/Off awful vs USU. QB Nelson bad
(8/21) QB1 M Nelson (BSU) beats Locklear for starter
(8/2) 8 new Def starters, but 3* croots as talent rises
(8/2) Def replaces most, 19 portal adds, better talent
UTEP Injury Report

Louisiana Tech on Offense

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	LT Off	UTEP Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#108	#102
SuccessSuc	#119	#42
ExplosiveExp	#113	#111
PPAPPA	#130	#46
PowerPwr	#120	#83
SP+SP+	#77	#127
Pts POPPO	#124	#78
HavocHav	#83	#34

Louisiana Tech Run Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	LT Off	UTEP Def
Run GameRun	#33	#59
Run SuccessRSuc	#122	#42
Run ExplRExp	#134	#102
PPAExp	#134	#40
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	#125	#44
Stuff RateStuff	#119	#34
TackleTak	-	#29

Louisiana Tech Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 58%, Pass: 40%
CategoryCat	LT Off	UTEP Def
Pass GamePass	#120	#111
Pass SuccessPSuc	#111	#46
Pass ExplPExl	#35	#115
PPAExp	#115	#54
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#67	#123
F7 HavocF7	#116	#18
DB HavocDB	#22	#66

UTEP on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	UTEP Off	LT Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#132	#37
SuccessSuc	#124	#13
ExplosiveExp	#125	#57
PPAPPA	#121	#26
PowerPwr	#123	#100
SP+SP+	#111	#68
Pts POPPO	#132	#61
HavocHav	#126	#76

UTEP Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	UTEP Off	LT Def
Run GameRun	#109	#34
Run SuccessRSuc	#118	#36
Run ExplRExp	#114	#82
PPAExp	#118	#54
Run BlockR Blk	#128	-
OL YdsOLY	#106	#50
Stuff RateStuff	#118	#41
TackleTak	-	#80

UTEP Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	UTEP Off	LT Def
Pass GamePass	#129	#25
Pass SuccessPSuc	#117	#11
Pass ExplPExl	#112	#72
PPAExp	#108	#26
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#81	#108
F7 HavocF7	#125	#52
DB HavocDB	#110	#112

Program Comparison
UTEP 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

LT 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Sun Bowl Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 5
Louisiana Tech 3.5 (48.5)
Louisiana Tech won at UTEP this year (30-11)

Previous Matchups
Louisiana Tech beat UTEP last year (30-11)
Louisiana Tech beat UTEP in 2024 (14-10)
Louisiana Tech beat UTEP in 2023 (24-10)

LT's OC Tony Franklin (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Blake Baker	102	155	66%	1252	5	3	8.1
Trey Kukuk	67	106	63%	644	3	4	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Clay Thevenin	131	634	8	4.8	50
Trey Kukuk	98	609	5	6.2	58
Andrew Burnette	94	486	9	5.2	98
Omiri Wiggins	97	468	4	4.8	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Eli Finley	38	445	0	11.7	73
Marlion Jackson	20	370	2	18.5	52
Devin Gandy (Tr)	21	366	2	17.4	42
Clay Thevenin	33	269	0	8.2	30

View Louisiana Tech's Full Roster

LT's DC Jeremiah Johnson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jacob Fields	90	3	0	1	5
Mekhi Mason	62	15	4	3	4
Jadon Mayfield	61	9	4	5	1
Sifa Leota	58	12	4	7	8

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jadon Mayfield	61	9	4	5	1
Sifa Leota	58	12	4	7	8
Mekhi Mason	62	15	4	3	4
Donovan Rieman	29	5	3	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jhamal Shelby Jr.	47	2	0	0	9
Sifa Leota	58	12	4	7	8
Cedric Woods	34	1	0	1	8

UTEP's OC Mark Cala (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Skyler Locklear	117	211	56%	1418	13	11	6.7
Malachi Nelson (Tr)	104	190	55%	1163	8	9	6.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Ashten Emory	119	569	4	4.8	56
Skyler Locklear	103	396	8	3.8	63
Hahsaun Wilson (Tr)	46	225	1	4.9	94
Kenny Odom	13	57	0	4.4	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Wondame Davis Jr.	25	604	6	24.2	75
Kenny Odom	62	582	6	9.4	74
Eric Willis III	27	290	2	10.7	43
Josh Schuchts	21	232	3	11.0	64

View UTEP's Full Roster

UTEP's DC Bobby Daly (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Micah Davey (Tr)	114	8	1	3	0
Jayden Wilson (Tr)	92	8	1	6	0
Xavier Smith	60	2	0	1	4
Solo Barnes (Tr)	59	2	1	1	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Udoka Ezeani (Tr)	41	10	5	3	1
Kadarion Johnson	55	10	4	5	1
Elijah Baldwin	23	6	4	4	4
Ashaad Hall (Tr)	24	4	3	7	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Justin Content	58	6	0	1	6
Xavier Smith	60	2	0	1	4
Solo Barnes (Tr)	59	2	1	1	4