North Dakota at Kansas State - 2025 Matchup Preview
North Dakota logo North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Kansas State WildcatsKansas State logo
Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -27.5 (55.5) (0)  Open: -25.5 | 55.5
Kansas State 38 - North Dakota: 35

 
Fighting Hawks (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 38 (35 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Our Line: Kansas State -10  (SP+ KSU -7)
KSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%
Wildcats (6 - 6) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (47 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#82)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
 
North Dakota's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 North Dakota at Kansas State+27.555.5L 35 - 38OY

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Dakota's Schedule
Kansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas State vs Iowa State-2.551.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 8/30 Kansas State vs North Dakota-27.555.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/6 Kansas State vs Army-17.048.5L 21 - 24UN
Fri 9/12 Kansas State at Arizona-1.555.5L 17 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kansas State vs UCF-5.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Kansas State at Baylor+4.559.5L 34 - 35OY
Sat 10/11 Kansas State vs TCU+3.054.5W 41 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas State at Kansas+3.555.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 11/1 Kansas State vs Texas Tech+7.551.5L 20 - 43ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-19.550.5W 14 - 6UN
Sat 11/22 Kansas State at Utah+18.552.5L 47 - 51OY
Sat 11/29 Kansas State vs Colorado-16.550.5W 24 - 14UN

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UND0%350%000%000%380%0%0000
KSU#46 (.2)41% (92)29.441% (94)2.82 (96)17241% (82)1984.15 (33)#57 (.13)39% (44)26.741% (61)38% (35)3.45 (52)38.31.32.2
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
UND0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UND Offense135350%00000000%0%0%0%0%
KSU Defense1226.727.339.5%3.452.2 - - - - - 52%47%41%38%17%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
UND Defense138380%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
KSU Offense1229.429.740.8%4.151.3173711721985.251%47%41%41%18%.2

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
North Dakota10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Kansas State1229:0017.237%56%4.138.31.32.262.3230.2
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UND Offense10%0%000000%0%0
KSU Defense1252% (94)41% (61) - - - - .12 (79)2.73 (38)70% (55)10% (49)1.12 (127)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
UND Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
KSU Offense1251% (51)41% (94)33.2172.35.223 (88).18 (41)2.82 (96)67% (101)11% (115)1.2 (3)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UND Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
KSU Defense1247% (53)38% (35) - - - - - - 13 (38).15 (31)1.6 (87)33% (38)28% (52).24 (51)7% (37)2.1 (96)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
UND Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
KSU Offense1247% (86)41% (82)1728.5198.3711.718 (42)7 (20).25 (66)1.6 (39)34% (120)31% (66).28 (79)7% (91)1.8 (118)

North Dakota's Power Ratings
North Dakota's Power Rating: NR
North Dakota's Offense Rating: NR
North Dakota's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Dakota's 2025 Expected Record: -
North Dakota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Dakota's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Dakota's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Dakota:    Kansas State: 9.795

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Dakota:    Kansas State: 6.5




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 9.795  #49
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 11.85  #52
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 3.76  #39
2025 Talent Rating: 830.00  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
Kansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Kansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.5  #47
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.6  #45
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.3  #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


North Dakota Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

North Dakota's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 33
North Dakota 23

Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas State 31
North Dakota 18

Total Points: 50

Based on Entire Season
Kansas State 34
North Dakota 31

Total Points: 65
Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Kansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202508/30Kansas State38North Dakota35Kansas State -27.5North Dakota55.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State101 Overs
North Dakota010 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 00 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams0 - 11 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#NR) UND at (#49) KSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatUNDKSU
Power RatePwrNR #49
SP+SP+NR #47
Perf GradeGradeNR #67
OffenseOffNR #67
DefenseDefNR #84
Spec TeamsSTNR #14
TalentTalNR #46
Blue ChipsBC%NR #56
Kansas State Notes
(12/11) OC Matt Wells was a disaster hire for K St
(12/3) HC Klieman retiring. A&M OC Colin Klen new HC
(11/24) RB Joe Jackson torched Utah for 293 yds, still lost
(10/22) RB Dylan Edwards out again vs Kansas, shocker...
(10/12) Off mat W over TCU, forced 3 TOs. Still not good
(10/5) Blew 14 pt 4Q lead @ Baylor. Season turner/ender?
(10/4) QB2 Blake Barnett is clearly not ready
(9/13) Broken team, QB Johnson unplayable, Off awful
(9/13) Offense is terrible, can't run, throw, block
(9/10) OT George Fitzpatrick out until mid Oct
(7/30) S Maldonado (Az, inj LY) was captain, big add
(6/6) LB unit ranked top 10 via PFF, have depth
Kansas State Injury Report
North Dakota on Offense
CategoryCat
UND OffKSU Def
Perf GradePerfNR #84
SuccessSucNR #44
ExplosiveExpNR #113
PPAPPANR #57
PowerPwrNR #39
SP+SP+NR #58
Pts POPPONR #52
HavocHavNR #48
North Dakota Run Game
CategoryCat
UND OffKSU Def
Run GameRunNR #67
Run SuccessRSucNR #61
Run ExplRExpNR #127
PPAExpNR #79
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #38
Stuff RateStuffNR #56
TackleTak -  #103
North Dakota Pass Game
CategoryCat
UND OffKSU Def
Pass GamePassNR #76
Pass SuccessPSucNR #35
Pass ExplPExlNR #87
PPAExpNR #31
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #100
F7 HavocF7NR #49
DB HavocDBNR #37
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKSU OffUND Def
Perf GradePerf #67NR
SuccessSuc #92NR
ExplosiveExp #8NR
PPAPPA #46NR
PowerPwr #52NR
SP+SP+ #45NR
Pts POPPO #33NR
HavocHav #109NR
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffUND Def
Run GameRun #102NR
Run SuccessRSuc #94NR
Run ExplRExp #3NR
PPAExp #41NR
Run BlockR Blk #27 -
OL YdsOLY #96NR
Stuff RateStuff #118NR
TackleTak - NR
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKSU OffUND Def
Pass GamePass #62NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #82NR
Pass ExplPExl #39NR
PPAExp #66NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #62NR
F7 HavocF7 #115NR
DB HavocDB #91NR
Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 81° - Wind: 8 mph
Rematch from Week 1
Kansas State -27.5 (55.5)
Kansas State won vs North Dakota this year (38-35)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
UND's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jerry Kaminski22338258%257026126.7
Simon Romfo61155%73006.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Sawyer Seidl188897134.841
Jerry Kaminski13360784.640
Gaven Ziebarth6143247.151
Xavier Leigh (Tr)6226014.225
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
BJ Fleming48817717.089
Nate DeMontagnac38462212.230
Korey Tai23245210.741
Caden Dennis19236112.432

View North Dakota's Full Roster

UND's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jy Martin90000
Jonnie Wiltshire72012
Grant Noland60001
Malachi McNeal60000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zach Lewis31101
Grady Kentch11110
Jy Martin90000
Ethan Boll10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jonnie Wiltshire72012
Grant Noland60001
Bennett Walker (Tr)60001

KSU's OC Matt Wells (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson20434160%23801867.0
Linkon Cure010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joe Jackson16991185.480
Avery Johnson10947784.458
Dylan Edwards3420526.075
Antonio Martin1912916.837
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown41712517.478
Jaron Tibbs (Tr)47595312.738
Garrett Oakley38389610.235
Jerand Bradley (Tr)13184214.265

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desmond Purnell729464
Austin Romaine667172
VJ Payne593003
Zashon Rich5731010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Stufflebean225550
Ryan Davis146414
Tobi Osunsanmi206420
Desmond Purnell729464
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zashon Rich5731010
Desmond Purnell729464
Donovan McIntosh330004