North Dakota at Kansas State - 2025 Matchup Preview

North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Kansas State Wildcats(#17)

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -27.5 (55.5) (-5000) Open: -28.5 | 57.5
Kansas State 38 - North Dakota: 35

Fighting Hawks (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 38 (35 - 38 on Road)
Wins: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Kansas State -9.5 (SP+ KSU -7)
KSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%

Wildcats (1 - 3) (0 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (47 - 28)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (30 - 30 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
UND Players
KSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Dakota's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	North Dakota at Kansas State	+27.5	55.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Dakota's Schedule

Kansas State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/23	Kansas State vs Iowa State	-2.5	51.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 8/30	Kansas State vs North Dakota	-27.5	55.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/6	Kansas State vs Army	-17.0	48.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Fri 9/12	Kansas State at Arizona	-1.5	55.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Kansas State vs UCF	-2.5
Sat 10/4	Kansas State at Baylor	+8
Sat 10/11	Kansas State vs TCU	+9
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Kansas State at Kansas	+6
Sat 11/1	Kansas State vs Texas Tech	+14.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Kansas State at Oklahoma State	-9.5
Sat 11/22	Kansas State at Utah	+16.5
Sat 11/29	Kansas State vs Colorado	-5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UND		0%	35	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	38	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KSU	#70 (.2)	42% (82)	24.3	38% (107)	2.9 (78)	109	46% (55)	213	3.87 (76)	#77 (.15)	37% (53)	26.5	36% (48)	38% (54)	4.47 (106)	32.3	1.3	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KSU	#17 (.3)	44% (55)		46% (42)	3.37 (14)	190	42% (68)	196	4.08 (53)	#29 (.11)	36% (6)		34% (4)	38% (32)	3.54 (43)	41.3	1.2	1.1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UND Offense	1	35	35	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
KSU Defense	4	26.5	29.5	36.8%	4.47	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	63%	37%	36%	38%	15%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UND Defense	1	38	38	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
KSU Offense	4	24.3	29.5	42.2%	3.87	1.3	14	322	109	213	4.5	42%	58%	38%	46%	17%	.2

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Dakota	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Kansas State	4	24:27	14	31%	38%	3.3	32.3	1.3	1.3	6	2.3	1	31

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UND Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
KSU Defense	4	63% (129)	36% (48)	-	-	-	-	.08 (79)	2.22 (23)	68% (62)	11% (59)	1.19 (110)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UND Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
KSU Offense	4	42% (120)	38% (107)	24	108.8	4.5	5 (62)	-.04 (119)	2.9 (78)	46% (131)	9% (78)	0.91 (84)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UND Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
KSU Defense	4	37% (10)	38% (54)	-	-	-	-	-	-	1 (87)	.26 (83)	1.7 (104)	34% (55)	32% (87)	.32 (83)	4% (100)	2 (65)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UND Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
KSU Offense	4	58% (16)	46% (55)	19.3	31.8	212.8	6.7	11.1	6 (34)	1 (23)	.37 (54)	1.7 (38)	35% (112)	33% (61)	.2 (100)	8% (125)	1.6 (113)

North Dakota's Power Ratings
North Dakota's Power Rating: #NR
North Dakota's Offense Rating: #NR
North Dakota's Defense Rating: #NR
2025 Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
North Dakota's 2025 Expected Record: -
North Dakota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
North Dakota's Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
North Dakota's Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
North Dakota: Kansas State: 9.595

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Dakota: Kansas State: 6.6

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 9.595 #61
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 13.43 #64
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 5.84 #62
2025 Talent Rating: 830.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Kansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5
Kansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #54
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #57
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

North Dakota Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

North Dakota's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 35
North Dakota 25

Total Points: 60

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 29.5

Kansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Kansas State	38	North Dakota	35	Kansas State	Kansas State -27.5	North Dakota	55.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas State	1	0	1 Overs
North Dakota	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#NR) North Dakota Info
Power Rating: #NR
Offense Rating: #NR
Defense Rating: #NR
Overall SP+ Rating: #N/A
Offense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Defense SP+ Rating: #N/A
Talent Rating: #
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #NR
Expected Record: -

Record on Road: 0 - 1 (1 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

North Dakota Highlights
North Dakota is Undefeated vs Spread

North Dakota Deficiencies
North Dakota Defense Gives up a Lot of Points

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCat	KSU	UND
OverallOver	#55	—
OffenseOff	#69	—
DefenseDef	#58	—
Special TeamsST	#7	—
PassingPass	#36	—
RushingRush	#95	—
Run BlockRBLK	#63	—
Pass BlockPBLK	#39	—
Route RunningWR Rt	#80	—
TacklingTkl	#20	—
Run DefenseR Def	#60	—
Pass Rush DefPRush	#82	—
Coverage DefCov	#56	—

Rematch from Week 1
Kansas State -27.5 (55.5)
Kansas State won vs North Dakota this year (38-35)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UND | KSU
Depth Chart: UND | KSU
Rosters: UND | KSU

(#61) Kansas State Info
Power Rating: 9.595 #61
Offense Rating: 13.43 #64
Defense Rating: 5.84 #62
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42
Talent Rating: 830.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Record at home: 1 - 1 (0 - 2 - 0 vs Spread)

Kansas State Notes
(9/13) Offense is terrible, can't run, throw, block
(9/10) OT George Fitzpatrick out until mid Oct
(8/27) RB D Edwards out vs ND St, likely Army too
(7/30) S Maldonado (Az, inj LY) was captain, big add
(6/6) LB unit ranked top 10 via PFF, have depth
(5/9) RB Martin Jr 230/1,228/11 TD, 5.3 ypc SE La LY
(4/7) QB Johnson exciting, but Opps don't respect arm
(4/4) LB Austin Romaine a top 10 LB via PFF
(3/21) RB Edwards (#2 LY) time. Some depth options
(3/21) WR Brown (#1 LY) good, 3 portals to find #2/3

Kansas State Highlights
Kansas State offense is explosive (#27)
Kansas State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Kansas State Defensive Line is very good (#23)
Kansas State commits very few Penalties (#30)

Kansas State Deficiencies
Kansas State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Kansas State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Kansas State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#129)
Kansas State run game is really bad (#107)
Kansas State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kansas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#100)
Kansas State has a bad red zone defense (#106)

North Dakota's OC

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jerry Kaminski	54	99	55%	653	8	1	6.6
Javance Tupou'ata-Johnson (Tr)	2	3	67%	28	0	0	9.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jerry Kaminski	30	159	3	5.3	40
Sawyer Seidl	24	117	2	4.9	20
Gaven Ziebarth	20	96	1	4.8	13
Xavier Leigh (Tr)	26	80	0	3.1	19

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
BJ Fleming	9	176	1	19.6	82
Korey Tai	7	82	2	11.7	41
Nathan Hromadka	5	75	2	15.0	21
Xavier Leigh (Tr)	7	73	0	10.4	27

View North Dakota's Full Roster

North Dakota's DC

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jy Martin	9	0	0	0
Jonnie Wiltshire	7	2	1	2
Bennett Walker (Tr)	6	0	0	1
Malachi McNeal	6	0	0	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zach Lewis	3	1	1	0	1
Grady Kentch	1	1	1	1	0
Jy Martin	9	0	0	0	0
Teagan Pfeffer	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jonnie Wiltshire	7	2	1	2
Bennett Walker (Tr)	6	0	0	1
Grant Noland	6	0	0	1

Kansas State's OC Matt Wells

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Avery Johnson	77	127	61%	851	6	1	6.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joe Jackson	30	136	0	4.5	17
Jayce Brown	3	104	1	34.7	75
Devon Rice	18	77	2	4.3	13
Avery Johnson	25	62	2	2.5	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayce Brown	25	284	2	11.4	44
Jaron Tibbs (Tr)	13	157	2	12.1	32
Jerand Bradley (Tr)	10	152	1	15.2	65
Garrett Oakley	12	110	0	9.2	24

View Kansas State's Full Roster

Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Austin Romaine	37	3	2	1
Desmond Purnell	28	2	1	1
VJ Payne	26	2	0	0
Zashon Rich	19	1	0	5

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Tobi Osunsanmi	16	4	3	1	0
Cody Stufflebean	10	2	2	2	0
Mar'Quavious Moss (Tr)	13	2	1	0	1
Jordan Allen	3	1	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Zashon Rich	19	1	0	5
Donovan McIntosh	11	0	0	2
Austin Romaine	37	3	2	1