North Dakota at Kansas State - 2025 Matchup Preview

North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Kansas State Wildcats

Saturday, August 30th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -27.5 (55.5) (0) Open: -25.5 | 55.5
Kansas State 38 - North Dakota: 35

Fighting Hawks (0 - 1) (1 - 0 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 35 - 38 (35 - 38 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Our Line: Kansas State -10 (SP+ KSU -7)
KSU Win prob: 97% | Cover: 53%

Wildcats (6 - 6) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (47 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (30 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#82)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
UND Players
KSU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

North Dakota's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	North Dakota at Kansas State	+27.5	55.5	L 35 - 38	O	Y

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for North Dakota's Schedule

Kansas State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/23	Kansas State vs Iowa State	-2.5	51.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Sat 8/30	Kansas State vs North Dakota	-27.5	55.5	W 38 - 35	O	N
Sat 9/6	Kansas State vs Army	-17.0	48.5	L 21 - 24	U	N
Fri 9/12	Kansas State at Arizona	-1.5	55.5	L 17 - 23	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Kansas State vs UCF	-5.5	48.5	W 34 - 20	O	Y
Sat 10/4	Kansas State at Baylor	+4.5	59.5	L 34 - 35	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Kansas State vs TCU	+3.0	54.5	W 41 - 28	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Kansas State at Kansas	+3.5	55.5	W 42 - 17	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Kansas State vs Texas Tech	+7.5	51.5	L 20 - 43	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Kansas State at Oklahoma State	-19.5	50.5	W 14 - 6	U	N
Sat 11/22	Kansas State at Utah	+18.5	52.5	L 47 - 51	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Kansas State vs Colorado	-16.5	50.5	W 24 - 14	U	N

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UND		0%	35	0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%	38	0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KSU	#17 (.3)	44% (55)	29.4	46% (42)	3.37 (14)	190	42% (68)	196	4.08 (53)	#29 (.11)	36% (6)	26.7	34% (4)	38% (32)	3.54 (43)	41.3	1.2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UND		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
KSU		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UND Offense	1	35	35	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
KSU Defense	13	26.7	27.3	35.9%	3.54	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	47%	53%	34%	38%	17%	.11

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UND Defense	1	38	38	0%	0	0	-	-	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
KSU Offense	13	29.4	29.7	44%	4.08	1.2	18	387	190	196	6.1	52%	48%	46%	42%	12%	.3

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
North Dakota	1	0:00	0	NAN%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	100
Kansas State	13	26:45	18.5	40%	56%	5	41.3	1.2	1.1	5.9	2.4	3	27.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UND Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%	0
KSU Defense	13	47% (31)	34% (4)	-	-	-	-	-.01 (10)	2.6 (15)	77% (97)	11% (39)	1.01 (83)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UND Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-		0	0%	0%	0
KSU Offense	13	52% (57)	46% (42)	31.5	190.3	6.1	18 (78)	.27 (11)	3.37 (14)	68% (102)	8% (29)	1.14 (10)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UND Offense	1	0%	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
KSU Defense	13	53% (104)	38% (32)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.24 (72)	1.8 (130)	39% (2)	30% (52)	.35 (88)	6% (68)	2.2 (119)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UND Defense	1	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	0		0	0%	0%		0%	0
KSU Offense	13	48% (76)	42% (68)	15.9	27	196.4	7.3	12.3	22 (46)	9 (48)	.33 (36)	1.7 (31)	31% (56)	31% (76)	.36 (57)	5% (27)	2 (79)

North Dakota's Power Ratings
North Dakota's Power Rating: NR
North Dakota's Offense Rating: NR
North Dakota's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
North Dakota's 2025 Expected Record: -
North Dakota's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
North Dakota's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
North Dakota's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average MVFC Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
North Dakota: Kansas State: 9.89

SP+ Ratings Matchup
North Dakota: Kansas State: 7.0

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 9.89 #47
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 16.92 #47
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 9.14 #40
2025 Talent Rating: 830.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 4 #56
Kansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Kansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.0 #42
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3 #46
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

North Dakota Scoring
Offense: 35 PPG
Offense on Road: 35
Defense: 38 PPG
Defense on Road: 38

North Dakota's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Kansas State 35
North Dakota 25

Projected Total Points: 60

Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.7
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.3

Kansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record at home: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	08/30	Kansas State	38	North Dakota	35	Kansas State -27.5	North Dakota	55.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas State	1	0	1 Overs
North Dakota	0	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	1 - 0	0 - 0	1 - 0

(#) UND at (#47) KSU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UND	KSU
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	NR	#47
SP+SP+	NR	#42
Perf GradeGrade	NR	#65
OffenseOff	NR	#57
DefenseDef	NR	#87
Spec TeamsST	NR	#12
TalentTal	NR	#46
Blue ChipsBC%	NR	#56

North Dakota Injury Report

Kansas State Notes(12/11) OC Matt Wells was a disaster hire for K St
(12/3) HC Klieman retiring. A&M OC Colin Klen new HC
(11/24) RB Joe Jackson torched Utah for 293 yds, still lost
(10/22) RB Dylan Edwards out again vs Kansas, shocker...
(10/12) Off mat W over TCU, forced 3 TOs. Still not good
(10/5) Blew 14 pt 4Q lead @ Baylor. Season turner/ender?
(10/4) QB2 Blake Barnett is clearly not ready
(9/13) Broken team, QB Johnson unplayable, Off awful
(9/13) Offense is terrible, can't run, throw, block
(9/10) OT George Fitzpatrick out until mid Oct
(7/30) S Maldonado (Az, inj LY) was captain, big add
(6/6) LB unit ranked top 10 via PFF, have depth
Kansas State Injury Report

North Dakota on Offense


CategoryCat	UND Off	KSU Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	NR	#87
SuccessSuc	NR	#6
ExplosiveExp	NR	#129
PPAPPA	NR	#29
PowerPwr	NR	#40
SP+SP+	NR	#58
Pts POPPO	NR	#43
HavocHav	NR	#50

North Dakota Run Game


CategoryCat	UND Off	KSU Def
Run GameRun	NR	#75
Run SuccessRSuc	NR	#4
Run ExplRExp	NR	#83
PPAExp	NR	#10
Run BlockR Blk	NR	-
OL YdsOLY	NR	#15
Stuff RateStuff	NR	#12
TackleTak	-	#102

North Dakota Pass Game


CategoryCat	UND Off	KSU Def
Pass GamePass	NR	#76
Pass SuccessPSuc	NR	#32
Pass ExplPExl	NR	#130
PPAExp	NR	#72
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	NR	#93
F7 HavocF7	NR	#39
DB HavocDB	NR	#68

Kansas State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	UND Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#57	NR
SuccessSuc	#55	NR
ExplosiveExp	#9	NR
PPAPPA	#17	NR
PowerPwr	#47	NR
SP+SP+	#46	NR
Pts POPPO	#53	NR
HavocHav	#21	NR

Kansas State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	UND Def
Run GameRun	#103	NR
Run SuccessRSuc	#42	NR
Run ExplRExp	#10	NR
PPAExp	#11	NR
Run BlockR Blk	#25	-
OL YdsOLY	#14	NR
Stuff RateStuff	#79	NR
TackleTak	-	NR

Kansas State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KSU Off	UND Def
Pass GamePass	#54	NR
Pass SuccessPSuc	#68	NR
Pass ExplPExl	#31	NR
PPAExp	#36	NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#61	NR
F7 HavocF7	#29	NR
DB HavocDB	#27	NR

Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

UND 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 1
Kansas State -27.5 (55.5)
Kansas State won vs North Dakota this year (38-35)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat North Dakota last year (38-35)

UND's OC ()

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jerry Kaminski	223	382	58%	2570	26	12	6.7
Simon Romfo	6	11	55%	73	0	0	6.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Sawyer Seidl	188	897	13	4.8	41
Jerry Kaminski	133	607	8	4.6	40
Gaven Ziebarth	61	432	4	7.1	51
Xavier Leigh (Tr)	62	260	1	4.2	25

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
BJ Fleming	48	817	7	17.0	89
Nate DeMontagnac	38	462	2	12.2	30
Korey Tai	23	245	2	10.7	41
Caden Dennis	19	236	1	12.4	32

View North Dakota's Full Roster

UND's DC ()

Top Def	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jy Martin	9	0	0	0
Jonnie Wiltshire	7	2	1	2
Grant Noland	6	0	0	1
Bennett Walker (Tr)	6	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zach Lewis	3	1	1	0	1
Grady Kentch	1	1	1	1	0
Jy Martin	9	0	0	0	0
Ethan Boll	1	0	0	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Jonnie Wiltshire	7	2	1	2
Grant Noland	6	0	0	1
Bennett Walker (Tr)	6	0	0	1

KSU's OC Matt Wells (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Avery Johnson	204	341	60%	2380	18	6	7.0
Linkon Cure	0	1	0%	0	0	1	0.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Joe Jackson	169	911	8	5.4	80
Avery Johnson	109	477	8	4.4	58
Dylan Edwards	34	205	2	6.0	75
Antonio Martin	19	129	1	6.8	37

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jayce Brown	41	712	5	17.4	78
Jaron Tibbs (Tr)	47	595	3	12.7	38
Garrett Oakley	38	389	6	10.2	35
Jerand Bradley (Tr)	13	184	2	14.2	65

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Desmond Purnell	72	9	4	6	4
Austin Romaine	66	7	1	7	2
VJ Payne	59	3	0	0	3
Zashon Rich	57	3	1	0	10

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Cody Stufflebean	22	5	5	5	0
Ryan Davis	14	6	4	1	4
Tobi Osunsanmi	20	6	4	2	0
Desmond Purnell	72	9	4	6	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Zashon Rich	57	3	1	0	10
Desmond Purnell	72	9	4	6	4
Donovan McIntosh	33	0	0	0	4