Kansas State at Kansas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo Kansas State Wildcats at Kansas JayhawksKansas logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Lawrence, KS  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (1 - 3) (0 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (47 - 28)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (17 - 23 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 2) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
KSU coming off BYE
KU coming off BYE
Our Line: Kansas -6   (SP+ KU -4)

Projected Score: KSU: 21 - KU: 27 (48)
KU Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
KSU Travel: 74 miles
Jayhawks (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 36 - 19 (39 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#67)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Kansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas State vs Iowa State-2.551.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 8/30 Kansas State vs North Dakota-27.555.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/6 Kansas State vs Army-17.048.5L 21 - 24UN
Fri 9/12 Kansas State at Arizona-1.555.5L 17 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kansas State vs UCF-2.5
Sat 10/4 Kansas State at Baylor+8
Sat 10/11 Kansas State vs TCU+9
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas State at Kansas+6
Sat 11/1 Kansas State vs Texas Tech+14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-9.5
Sat 11/22 Kansas State at Utah+16.5
Sat 11/29 Kansas State vs Colorado-5.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Kansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas vs Fresno State-14.051.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 8/29 Kansas vs Wagner-45.557.5W 46 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Kansas at Missouri+5.551.0L 31 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Kansas vs West Virginia-13.554.5
Sat 9/27 Kansas vs Cincinnati+0.5
Sat 10/4 Kansas at UCF-1
Sat 10/11 Kansas at Texas Tech+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas vs Kansas State-6
Sat 11/1 Kansas vs Oklahoma State-18
Sat 11/8 Kansas at Arizona+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Kansas at Iowa State+6.5
Sat 11/29 Kansas vs Utah+8

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#70 (.2)42% (82)24.338% (107)2.9 (78)10946% (55)2133.87 (76)#77 (.15)37% (53)26.536% (48)38% (54)4.47 (106)32.31.31.3
KU#19 (.4)54% (18)3651% (36)3.93 (4)16558% (9)2484.89 (34)#100 (.2)38% (62)18.735% (36)42% (82)4.1 (93)45.711.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)49% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)46% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense424.31742.2%3.871.3143221092134.542%58%38%46%17%.2
KU Defense318.7738.1%4.11.3 - - - - - 48%51%35%42%22%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense426.52336.8%4.471.3 - - - - - 63%37%36%38%15%.15
KU Offense33638.554.2%4.891224131652484.944%54%51%58%12%.4

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State424:271431%38%3.332.31.31.362.3131
Kansas328:3822.329%71%5.745.711.38.73.3032.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense442% (120)38% (107)24108.84.55 (62)-.04 (119)2.9 (78)46% (131)9% (78)0.91 (84)
KU Defense348% (56)35% (36) - - - - -.1 (21)2.35 (33)86% (112)16% (12)1.02 (85)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense463% (129)36% (48) - - - - .08 (79)2.22 (23)68% (62)11% (59)1.19 (110)
KU Offense344% (102)51% (36)33.71654.94 (79).23 (43)3.93 (4)75% (52)8% (66)0.83 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense458% (16)46% (55)19.331.8212.86.711.16 (34)1 (23).37 (54)1.7 (38)35% (112)33% (61).2 (100)8% (125)1.6 (113)
KU Defense351% (75)42% (82) - - - - - - 2 (56).52 (123)2 (130)37% (32)34% (101).55 (118)6% (56)2.4 (125)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense437% (10)38% (54) - - - - - - 1 (87).26 (83)1.7 (104)34% (55)32% (87).32 (83)4% (100)2 (65)
KU Offense354% (40)58% (9)19.728248.38.912.69 (13)2 (60).64 (12)1.5 (82)26% (31)35% (45).62 (27)3% (31)2.1 (52)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 7.59 #61
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 13.43 #64
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 5.84 #62
2025 Talent Rating: 830.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Kansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5
Kansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #54
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #57
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 7.59   Kansas: 13.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 6.6   Kansas: 10.2




Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 13.22 #50
Kansas's Offense Rating: 23.42 #24
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.17 #92
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #36
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #19
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 17
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 23

Kansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas 27
Kansas State 21


Total Points: 48

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.5
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202410/26Kansas State29Kansas27Kansas StateKansas State -10Kansas56.5Under
202311/18Kansas27Kansas State31Kansas StateKansas State -7.0Kansas60.5Under
202211/26Kansas State47Kansas27Kansas StateKansas State -11.5Kansas State62.0Over
202111/06Kansas10Kansas State35Kansas StateKansas State -24Kansas State56.0Under
202010/24Kansas State55Kansas14Kansas StateKansas State -19.5Kansas State46.0Over
201911/02Kansas10Kansas State38Kansas StateKansas State -4.5Kansas State54.0Under
201811/10Kansas State21Kansas17Kansas StateKansas State -9Kansas45.5Under
201710/28Kansas20Kansas State30Kansas StateKansas State -24.5Kansas55.0Under
201611/26Kansas State34Kansas19Kansas StateKansas State -24.5Kansas51.0Over
201511/28Kansas14Kansas State45Kansas StateKansas State -21.5Kansas State53.5Over
201411/29Kansas State51Kansas13Kansas StateKansas State -28.5Kansas State0
201311/30Kansas10Kansas State31Kansas StateKansas State -16.5Kansas State0
201210/06Kansas State56Kansas16Kansas State
201110/22Kansas21Kansas State59Kansas State
201010/14Kansas7Kansas State59Kansas State
200911/07Kansas State17Kansas10Kansas State
200811/01Kansas52Kansas State21Kansas
200710/06Kansas State24Kansas30Kansas
200611/18Kansas39Kansas State20Kansas
200510/08Kansas State12Kansas3Kansas State
200410/09Kansas31Kansas State28Kansas
200310/25Kansas State42Kansas6Kansas State
200211/02Kansas0Kansas State64Kansas State
200110/27Kansas State40Kansas6Kansas State
200010/06Kansas13Kansas State52Kansas State
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas454 Overs
Kansas State2176 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 115 - 73 - 32 - 4
Road Teams11 - 147 - 54 - 23 - 3

(#61) Kansas State Info
Power Rating: 7.59 #61
Offense Rating: 13.43 #64
Defense Rating: 5.84 #62
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6 #54
Offense SP+ Rating: 29.0 #57
Defense SP+ Rating: 22.4 #42
Talent Rating: 830.00 #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 4% #56
Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 42%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 42%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Poor Run Success 38%
Avg Pass Success 46%
Avg OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Avg Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.47 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 36%
Avg Pass Def Success 38%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Kansas State has lost 5 straight
Kansas State has lost 2 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Kansas State Notes
(9/13) Offense is terrible, can't run, throw, block
(9/10) OT George Fitzpatrick out until mid Oct
(8/27) RB D Edwards out vs ND St, likely Army too
(7/30) S Maldonado (Az, inj LY) was captain, big add
(6/6) LB unit ranked top 10 via PFF, have depth
(5/9) RB Martin Jr 230/1,228/11 TD, 5.3 ypc SE La LY
(4/7) QB Johnson exciting, but Opps don't respect arm
(4/4) LB Austin Romaine a top 10 LB via PFF
(3/21) RB Edwards (#2 LY) time. Some depth options
(3/21) WR Brown (#1 LY) good, 3 portals to find #2/3

Kansas State Highlights
Kansas State offense is explosive (#27)
Kansas State Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Kansas State Defensive Line is very good (#23)
Kansas State commits very few Penalties (#30)

Kansas State Deficiencies
Kansas State has a bad TO Margin (#107)
Kansas State Fumbles a Lot (#128)
Kansas State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#129)
Kansas State run game is really bad (#107)
Kansas State offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kansas State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#100)
Kansas State has a bad red zone defense (#106)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatKUKSU
OverallOver#16#55
OffenseOff#14#69
DefenseDef#59#58
Special TeamsST#9#7
PassingPass#27#36
RushingRush#34#95
Run BlockRBLK#15#63
Pass BlockPBLK#69#39
Route RunningWR Rt#26#80
TacklingTkl#95#20
Run DefenseR Def#80#60
Pass Rush DefPRush#50#82
Coverage DefCov#33#56

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Kansas last year (29-27)
Kansas State beat Kansas in 2023 (31-27)
Kansas State beat Kansas in 2022 (47-27)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: KSU | KU
Depth Chart: KSU | KU
Rosters: KSU | KU
(#50) Kansas Info
Power Rating: 13.22 #50
Offense Rating: 23.42 #24
Defense Rating: 12.17 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58
Talent Rating: 770.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 54%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 58%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.1 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Kansas has lost 5 straight
Kansas has lost 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Kansas Notes
(7/19) Replacing career 4.5k RB yds, 7k WR yds
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
(3/21) New OC Zebrowski was Co-OC/QB LY
(3/21) New DC McDonald promoted? Why?
(3/21) Strange '24, 1-5 to 5-7. Underachieved

Kansas Highlights
Kansas is Undefeated at Home

Kansas offense is efficent (#18)
Kansas has a top Offensive Line (#4)
Kansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#4)

Kansas Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Kansas Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#18)
Kansas Front 7 is disruptive (#12)

Kansas Deficiencies
Kansas offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kansas gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#128)


  
Kansas State's OC Matt Wells
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson7712761%851616.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joe Jackson3013604.517
Jayce Brown3104134.775
Devon Rice187724.313
Avery Johnson256222.525
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown25284211.444
Jaron Tibbs (Tr)13157212.132
Jerand Bradley (Tr)10152115.265
Garrett Oakley1211009.224

View Kansas State's Full Roster
Kansas State's DC Joe Klanderman
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine373021
Desmond Purnell282011
VJ Payne262000
Zashon Rich191005
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tobi Osunsanmi164310
Cody Stufflebean102220
Mar'Quavious Moss (Tr)132101
Jordan Allen31100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zashon Rich191005
Donovan McIntosh110002
Austin Romaine373021

Kansas's OC Jim Zebrowski
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels547572%679929.1
Cole Ballard2633%38006.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.3316915.121
Jalon Daniels218213.923
Leshon Williams (Tr)95716.321
Cole Ballard75207.415
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)12183215.362
Cam Pickett (Tr)10124312.421
Levi Wentz7103014.750
DeShawn Hanika995310.624

View Kansas's Full Roster
Kansas's DC D.K. McDonald
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)254112
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)171001
Mason Ellis131000
Bangally Kamara (Tr)134101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)84410
D.J. Withers43210
Bangally Kamara (Tr)134101
Kenean Caldwell62100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)254112
Devin Dye71102
Taylor Davis90001