Kansas State at Kansas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Kansas State logo   Kansas State Wildcats at Kansas Jayhawks  Kansas logo
Saturday, October 25th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kansas -3.5 (55.5) (-180)  Open: -4.0
Kansas State 42 - Kansas: 17  (Big 12)

 
Wildcats (6 - 6) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (47 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (31 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 6 - 6 (#82)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 2) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
KSU coming off BYE
KU coming off BYE
Our Line: Kansas State -0.5  (SP+ KSU -3)

Projected Score: KSU: 28 - KU: 27 (55)
KU Win prob: 62% | Cover: 49%
KSU Travel: 74 miles
Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Kansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas State vs Iowa State-2.551.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 8/30 Kansas State vs North Dakota-27.555.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/6 Kansas State vs Army-17.048.5L 21 - 24UN
Fri 9/12 Kansas State at Arizona-1.555.5L 17 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kansas State vs UCF-5.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Kansas State at Baylor+4.559.5L 34 - 35OY
Sat 10/11 Kansas State vs TCU+3.054.5W 41 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas State at Kansas+3.555.5W 42 - 17OY
Sat 11/1 Kansas State vs Texas Tech+7.551.5L 20 - 43ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-19.550.5W 14 - 6UN
Sat 11/22 Kansas State at Utah+18.552.5L 47 - 51OY
Sat 11/29 Kansas State vs Colorado-16.550.5W 24 - 14UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 3, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Kansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas vs Fresno State-14.051.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 8/29 Kansas vs Wagner-45.557.5W 46 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Kansas at Missouri+5.551.0L 31 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Kansas vs West Virginia-12.554.5W 41 - 10UY
Sat 9/27 Kansas vs Cincinnati-5.555.5L 34 - 37ON
Sat 10/4 Kansas at UCF-4.053.5W 27 - 20UY
Sat 10/11 Kansas at Texas Tech+13.558.5L 17 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas vs Kansas State-3.555.5L 17 - 42ON
Sat 11/1 Kansas vs Oklahoma State-24.554.5W 38 - 21ON
Sat 11/8 Kansas at Arizona+5.556.5L 20 - 24UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Kansas at Iowa State+3.055.5L 14 - 38UN
Fri 11/28 Kansas vs Utah+10.559.5L 21 - 31UY

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 2, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)29.446% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)26.734% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)28.149% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)26.846% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
KSU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
KU0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Offense1329.430.844%4.081.2183871901966.152%48%46%42%12%.3
KU Defense1226.822.144.5%3.831.4 - - - - - 50%50%46%43%17%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
KSU Defense1326.726.435.9%3.541.1 - - - - - 47%53%34%38%17%.11
KU Offense1228.132.648.1%4.681.4224212132095.658%41%49%48%12%.32

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Kansas State1326:4518.540%56%541.31.21.15.92.4327.6
Kansas1230:5421.551%67%4.538.41.41.45.82.3225.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Offense1352% (57)46% (42)31.5190.36.118 (78).27 (11)3.37 (14)68% (102)8% (29)1.14 (10)
KU Defense1250% (58)46% (104) - - - - .22 (117)3.4 (124)82% (117)10% (62)1 (78)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
KSU Defense1347% (31)34% (4) - - - - -.01 (10)2.6 (15)77% (97)11% (39)1.01 (83)
KU Offense1258% (19)49% (15)37.8212.75.629 (18).33 (4)3.6 (3)83% (8)7% (20)1.08 (29)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Offense1348% (76)42% (68)15.927196.47.312.322 (46)9 (48).33 (36)1.7 (31)31% (56)31% (76).36 (57)5% (27)2 (79)
KU Defense1250% (72)43% (95) - - - - - - 12 (39).3 (101)1.7 (110)32% (60)33% (104).29 (61)7% (31)2.1 (80)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
KSU Defense1353% (104)38% (32) - - - - - - 9 (76).24 (72)1.8 (130)39% (2)30% (52).35 (88)6% (68)2.2 (119)
KU Offense1241% (122)48% (11)14.725.5208.88.214.215 (98)12 (85).38 (17)1.6 (62)30% (38)36% (26).38 (51)5% (31)1.9 (117)

Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 7.78  #47
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 16.92  #47
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 9.14  #40
2025 Talent Rating: 830.00  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 4%  #56
Kansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 6.0 - 6.0
Kansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 7.0  #42
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.3  #46
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.0  #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 7.78   Kansas: 7.025

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Kansas State: 7.0   Kansas: 4.1




Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 7.025  #51
Kansas's Offense Rating: 19.97  #27
Kansas's Defense Rating: 15.02  #79
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00  #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2  #79
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 4.1  #58
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.9  #48
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5  #76

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 26.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.4

Kansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 6
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 28
Kansas 27


Projected Total Points: 55
Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/25Kansas17Kansas State42Kansas -3.5Kansas State55.5Over
202410/26Kansas State29Kansas27Kansas State -10Kansas56.5Under
202311/18Kansas27Kansas State31Kansas State -7.0Kansas60.5Under
202211/26Kansas State47Kansas27Kansas State -11.5Kansas State62.0Over
202111/06Kansas10Kansas State35Kansas State -24Kansas State56.0Under
202010/24Kansas State55Kansas14Kansas State -19.5Kansas State46.0Over
201911/02Kansas10Kansas State38Kansas State -4.5Kansas State54.0Under
201811/10Kansas State21Kansas17Kansas State -9Kansas45.5Under
201710/28Kansas20Kansas State30Kansas State -24.5Kansas55.0Under
201611/26Kansas State34Kansas19Kansas State -24.5Kansas51.0Over
201511/28Kansas14Kansas State45Kansas State -21.5Kansas State53.5Over
201411/29Kansas State51Kansas13Kansas State -28.5Kansas State0
201311/30Kansas10Kansas State31Kansas State -16.5Kansas State0
201210/06Kansas State56Kansas16
201110/22Kansas21Kansas State59
201010/14Kansas7Kansas State59
200911/07Kansas State17Kansas10
200811/01Kansas52Kansas State21
200710/06Kansas State24Kansas30
200611/18Kansas39Kansas State20
200510/08Kansas State12Kansas3
200410/09Kansas31Kansas State28
200310/25Kansas State42Kansas6
200211/02Kansas0Kansas State64
200110/27Kansas State40Kansas6
200010/06Kansas13Kansas State52
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas455 Overs
Kansas State2286 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams14 - 125 - 83 - 42 - 4
Road Teams12 - 148 - 54 - 24 - 3

(#47) KSU at (#51) KU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatKSUKU
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwr #47 #51
SP+SP+ #42 #58
Perf GradeGrade #65 #38
OffenseOff #57 #38
DefenseDef #87 #64
Spec TeamsST #12 #30
TalentTal #46 #62
Blue ChipsBC% #56 #79
Kansas State Notes
(12/11) OC Matt Wells was a disaster hire for K St
(12/3) HC Klieman retiring. A&M OC Colin Klen new HC
(11/24) RB Joe Jackson torched Utah for 293 yds, still lost
(10/22) RB Dylan Edwards out again vs Kansas, shocker...
(10/12) Off mat W over TCU, forced 3 TOs. Still not good
(10/5) Blew 14 pt 4Q lead @ Baylor. Season turner/ender?
(10/4) QB2 Blake Barnett is clearly not ready
(9/13) Broken team, QB Johnson unplayable, Off awful
(9/13) Offense is terrible, can't run, throw, block
(9/10) OT George Fitzpatrick out until mid Oct
(7/30) S Maldonado (Az, inj LY) was captain, big add
(6/6) LB unit ranked top 10 via PFF, have depth
Kansas State Injury Report
Kansas Notes
(9/24) RB Hinshaw doubtful for Cincy game
(9/24) Off good success not expl, Daniels a weapon
(9/24) Def Success #'s really good early, but bad Expl
(9/20) Run Off mauled WVU, Daniels efficient, Def decent
(7/30) RB Williams was Iowa leader (800+) in '23
(7/19) Replacing career 4.5k RB yds, 7k WR yds
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
Kansas Injury Report
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffKU Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #57 #64
SuccessSuc #55 #99
ExplosiveExp #9 #101
PPAPPA #17 #108
PowerPwr #47 #79
SP+SP+ #46 #76
Pts POPPO #53 #73
HavocHav #21 #54
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffKU Def
Run GameRun #103 #89
Run SuccessRSuc #42 #104
Run ExplRExp #10 #78
PPAExp #11 #117
Run BlockR Blk #25 -
OL YdsOLY #14 #124
Stuff RateStuff #79 #118
TackleTak -  #88
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KSU OffKU Def
Pass GamePass #54 #54
Pass SuccessPSuc #68 #95
Pass ExplPExl #31 #110
PPAExp #36 #101
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #61 #53
F7 HavocF7 #29 #62
DB HavocDB #27 #31
Kansas on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKU OffKSU Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #38 #87
SuccessSuc #16 #6
ExplosiveExp #63 #129
PPAPPA #9 #29
PowerPwr #27 #40
SP+SP+ #48 #58
Pts POPPO #11 #43
HavocHav #19 #50
Kansas Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat
KU OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #39 #75
Run SuccessRSuc #15 #4
Run ExplRExp #29 #83
PPAExp #4 #10
Run BlockR Blk #16 -
OL YdsOLY #3 #15
Stuff RateStuff #5 #12
TackleTak -  #102
Kansas Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCatKU OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #53 #76
Pass SuccessPSuc #11 #32
Pass ExplPExl #62 #130
PPAExp #17 #72
Pass Block/RushP Blk #88 #93
F7 HavocF7 #20 #39
DB HavocDB #31 #68
Program Comparison
KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

KSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 9
Kansas -3.5 (55.5)
Kansas State won at Kansas this year (42-17)

Previous Matchups
Kansas State beat Kansas last year (42-17)
Kansas State beat Kansas in 2024 (29-27)
Kansas State beat Kansas in 2023 (31-27)

  
KSU's OC Matt Wells (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson20434160%23801867.0
Linkon Cure010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joe Jackson16991185.480
Avery Johnson10947784.458
Dylan Edwards3420526.075
Antonio Martin1912916.837
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown41712517.478
Jaron Tibbs (Tr)47595312.738
Garrett Oakley38389610.235
Jerand Bradley (Tr)13184214.265

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Desmond Purnell729464
Austin Romaine667172
VJ Payne593003
Zashon Rich5731010
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Cody Stufflebean225550
Ryan Davis146414
Tobi Osunsanmi206420
Desmond Purnell729464
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zashon Rich5731010
Desmond Purnell729464
Donovan McIntosh330004

KU's OC Matt Lubick (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels19831962%25042277.8
Cole Ballard102246%108114.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.12458754.722
Leshon Williams (Tr)9756575.862
Jalon Daniels11742343.638
Isaiah Marshall15160010.743
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)45766517.093
Boden Groen (Tr)36450512.546
Cam Pickett (Tr)45449310.038
Levi Wentz16258216.150

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC D.K. McDonald (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)867265
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Bangally Kamara (Tr)549114
Austin Alexander464002
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)317518
D.J. Withers165310
Tommy Dunn264321
Jalen Todd442214
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)317518
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)721037
Trey Lathan (Tr)867265