Army at Kansas State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Army logo Army Black Knights at Kansas State WildcatsKansas State logo
Saturday, September 6th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Kansas State -17.0 (48.5) (-650)  Open: -14.5 | 49.0
Army 24 - Kansas State: 21

 
Black Knights (3 - 3) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach Jeff Monken (81 - 57)
Avg Score : 25 - 24 (20 - 21 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.9 - 6.1 (#79)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 8)
KSU 3rd straight Home Game
Our Line: Kansas State -11.5  (SP+ KSU -9)

Projected Score: ARMY: 18 - KSU: 30 (48)
KSU Win prob: 90% | Cover: 52%
ARMY Travel: 1199 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Wildcats (3 - 4) (3 - 4 - 0)
Coach Chris Klieman (47 - 28)
Avg Score : 29 - 27 (34 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#97)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 5) (Avg: 4) (Bad: 1)
 
Army's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Army vs Tarleton State-14.547.5L 27 - 30ON
Sat 9/6 Army at Kansas State+17.048.5W 24 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Army vs North Texas+2.550.5L 38 - 45ON
Thu 9/25 Army at East Carolina+3.552.5L 6 - 28UN
Sat 10/4 Army at UAB-6.555.5W 31 - 13UY
Sat 10/11 Army vs Charlotte-17.545.5W 24 - 7UN
Sat 10/18 Army at Tulane+10.045.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Army at Air Force+0
Sat 11/8 Army vs Temple-7.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Army vs Tulsa-9.5
Fri 11/28 Army at UTSA+8.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 12/13 Army vs Navy+9

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Army's Schedule
Kansas State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas State vs Iowa State-2.551.5L 21 - 24UN
Sat 8/30 Kansas State vs North Dakota-27.555.5W 38 - 35ON
Sat 9/6 Kansas State vs Army-17.048.5L 21 - 24UN
Fri 9/12 Kansas State at Arizona-1.555.5L 17 - 23UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Kansas State vs UCF-5.548.5W 34 - 20OY
Sat 10/4 Kansas State at Baylor+4.559.5L 34 - 35OY
Sat 10/11 Kansas State vs TCU+3.054.5W 41 - 28OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas State at Kansas+7.5
Sat 11/1 Kansas State vs Texas Tech+19.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Kansas State at Oklahoma State-14.5
Sat 11/22 Kansas State at Utah+19.5
Sat 11/29 Kansas State vs Colorado-4

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 6, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 5, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#88 (.16)44% (67)2546% (55)3.01 (68)28331% (132)793.85 (78)#74 (.17)42% (78)2441% (65)44% (92)4 (80)241.31.2
KSU#79 (.17)41% (97)29.439% (109)2.75 (93)14542% (70)2224 (69)#62 (.15)39% (39)2740% (48)38% (42)3.48 (48)33.411.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ARMY#10 (.32)51% (6)52% (7)3.57 (5)27843% (52)764.47 (19)#39 (.12)43% (89)45% (87)43% (88)2.57 (2)30.50.61.4
KSU#17 (.3)44% (55)46% (42)3.37 (14)19042% (68)1964.08 (53)#29 (.11)36% (6)34% (4)38% (32)3.54 (43)41.31.21.1



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Offense62520.343.5%3.851.320362283794.585%15%46%31%10%.16
KSU Defense72726.839%3.481.9 - - - - - 52%48%40%38%17%.15
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ARMY Defense62420.742.4%41.2 - - - - - 52%48%41%44%15%.17
KSU Offense729.433.540.9%41183671452224.749%51%39%42%17%.17

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Army636:1819.841%63%3.2241.31.241033.4
Kansas State729:0618.138%50%3.333.411.95.62230.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Offense685% (1)46% (55)63.5282.84.516 (20).13 (65)3.01 (68)81% (23)9% (56)0.9 (100)
KSU Defense752% (90)40% (48) - - - - .09 (65)2.49 (23)68% (49)10% (69)1.06 (102)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ARMY Defense652% (91)41% (65) - - - - .1 (74)2.93 (85)61% (23)9% (91)0.95 (67)
KSU Offense749% (81)39% (109)31145.14.79 (77).08 (93)2.75 (93)67% (97)10% (87)1.04 (45)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Offense615% (136)31% (132)5.310.7797.414.83 (132)3 (26).32 (49)2.8 (1)29% (38)29% (80).23 (99)1% (1)1.7 (124)
KSU Defense748% (49)38% (42) - - - - - - 6 (29).21 (60)1.7 (114)34% (30)28% (63).28 (68)7% (45)2.2 (122)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ARMY Defense648% (48)44% (92) - - - - - - 3 (93).25 (77)1.4 (37)31% (94)29% (69).25 (60)6% (56)2 (83)
KSU Offense751% (54)42% (70)2032222.3711.113 (27)3 (26).26 (74)1.6 (43)34% (117)31% (73).23 (98)7% (97)1.8 (118)

Army's Power Ratings
Army's Power Rating: -2.25  #81
Army's Offense Rating: 8.60  #84
Army's Defense Rating: 10.85  #82
2025 Talent Rating: 146.00  #135
Blue Chip Ratio: 0%  #101
Army's 2025 Expected Record: 5.9 - 6.1
Army's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.5  #76
Army's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.3  #96
Army's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.7  #60

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Army: -2.25   Kansas State: 8.965

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Army: -2.5   Kansas State: 6.6




Kansas State's Power Ratings
Kansas State's Power Rating: 8.965  #57
Kansas State's Offense Rating: 10.68  #72
Kansas State's Defense Rating: 4.35  #46
2025 Talent Rating: 830.00  #46
Blue Chip Ratio: 4  #56
Kansas State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.6  #47
Kansas State's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.5  #51
Kansas State's Defense SP+ Rating: 24.1  #54

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Army Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense on Road: 20.3
Defense: 24 PPG
Defense on Road: 20.7

Army's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Kansas State 30
Army 18


Total Points: 48

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas State 24
Army 19

Total Points: 43

Based on Entire Season
Kansas State 27
Army 25

Total Points: 52
Kansas State Scoring
Offense: 29.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.8

Kansas State's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 4
Record vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 3 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/06Kansas State21Army24Kansas State -17.0Army48.5Under
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas State000 Overs
Army111 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 10 - 0
Road Teams1 - 01 - 00 - 01 - 0

(#81) ARMY at (#57) KSU
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatARMYKSU
Power RatePwr #81 #57
SP+SP+ #76 #47
Perf GradeGrade #90 #68
OffenseOff #57 #83
DefenseDef #118 #54
Spec TeamsST #75 #12
TalentTal #135 #46
Blue ChipsBC% #101 #56

Army Notes
(8/30) Off decent, Def meh, mistakes in bad L vs Tar St
(8/24) QB1 D Coleman starter after E Washington inj
(5/19) QB Coleman, Hellums or Washington?
(5/17) Def returns a lot, but offense replacing most
(3/24) QB rebuild, Coleman some exp
(3/24) RB rebuild, Udoh gone (ASU). Have options
(3/24) WR rebuild, 3 career Rec. return.
(3/24) OL 3/5 back, depth some exp. Great LY
(3/24) Def was great LY, returns a lot. DL some size
(3/24) HC Monken incredible, 12 wins, AAC champs LY

Kansas State Notes
(10/12) Off mat W over TCU, forced 3 TOs. Still not good
(10/10) RB D Edwards out again vs TCU (3rd missed game)
(10/5) Blew 14 pt 4Q lead @ Baylor. Season turner/ender?
(10/4) QB2 Blake Barnett is clearly not ready
(9/13) Broken team, QB Johnson unplayable, Off awful
(9/13) Offense is terrible, can't run, throw, block
(9/10) OT George Fitzpatrick out until mid Oct
(7/30) S Maldonado (Az, inj LY) was captain, big add
(6/6) LB unit ranked top 10 via PFF, have depth
(5/9) RB Martin Jr 230/1,228/11 TD, 5.3 ypc SE La LY
(4/7) QB Johnson exciting, but Opps don't respect arm
Army on Offense
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 15%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffKSU Def
Perf GradePerf #57 #54
SuccessSuc #67 #39
ExplosiveExp #130 #117
PPAPPA #88 #62
PowerPwr #84 #46
SP+SP+ #96 #54
Pts POPPO #78 #48
HavocHav #8 #56
Army Run Game
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 15%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffKSU Def
Run GameRun #111 #69
Run SuccessRSuc #55 #48
Run ExplRExp #100 #102
PPAExp #65 #65
Run BlockR Blk #21 -
OL YdsOLY #68 #23
Stuff RateStuff #17 #31
TackleTak -  #56
Army Pass Game
Option Offense 85%, Pass: 15%
CategoryCat
ARMY OffKSU Def
Pass GamePass #89 #49
Pass SuccessPSuc #132 #42
Pass ExplPExl #1 #114
PPAExp #49 #60
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #87 #112
F7 HavocF7 #56 #69
DB HavocDB #1 #45
Kansas State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatKSU OffARMY Def
Perf GradePerf #83 #118
SuccessSuc #97 #78
ExplosiveExp #28 #40
PPAPPA #79 #74
PowerPwr #72 #82
SP+SP+ #51 #60
Pts POPPO #69 #80
HavocHav #94 #81
Kansas State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCat
KSU OffARMY Def
Run GameRun #131 #107
Run SuccessRSuc #109 #65
Run ExplRExp #45 #67
PPAExp #93 #74
Run BlockR Blk #70 -
OL YdsOLY #93 #85
Stuff RateStuff #121 #83
TackleTak -  #65
Kansas State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
CategoryCatKSU OffARMY Def
Pass GamePass #47 #74
Pass SuccessPSuc #70 #92
Pass ExplPExl #43 #37
PPAExp #74 #77
Pass Block/RushP Blk #33 #135
F7 HavocF7 #87 #91
DB HavocDB #97 #56
Program Comparison
KSU 5 Year Profile: Declining Average P4
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg P4

ARMY 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Bill Snyder Family Football Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 70°
Rematch from Week 2
Kansas State -17.0 (48.5)
Army won at Kansas State this year (24-21)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
ARMY's OC Cody Worley (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dewayne Coleman193554%273227.8
Cale Hellums122744%149115.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Cale Hellums10945084.150
Noah Short5333006.260
Hayden Reed6932234.737
Dewayne Coleman8429633.526
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Bradyn Anderson5167233.468
Noah Short13163012.544
Samari Howard9111112.341
Brady Mott115015.015

View Army's Full Roster

ARMY's DC Nate Woody (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Andon Thomas511012
Kalib Fortner366140
Casey Larkin351013
Collin Matteson311013
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Eric Ford225211
Kalib Fortner366140
Gavin Shields212131
Cole Searight142101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jaydan Mayes110013
Casey Larkin351013
Collin Matteson311013

KSU's OC Matt Wells (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Avery Johnson14022363%15561327.0
Linkon Cure010%0010.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Joe Jackson7531314.221
Avery Johnson6023834.031
Dylan Edwards3420526.075
Jayce Brown3104134.775
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayce Brown32417313.048
Jaron Tibbs (Tr)30360212.032
Garrett Oakley25271410.835
Jerand Bradley (Tr)12178214.865

View Kansas State's Full Roster

KSU's DC Joe Klanderman (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Austin Romaine495042
Desmond Purnell374133
VJ Payne373001
Zashon Rich293107
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tobi Osunsanmi206420
Cody Stufflebean143340
Travis Bates92251
Jordan Allen51101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Zashon Rich293107
Donovan McIntosh220003
Desmond Purnell374133