Cincinnati at Kansas - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Kansas -5.5 (55.5) (-218) Open: -6.0
Cincinnati 37 - Kansas: 34 (Big 12)

Bearcats (7 - 5) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 32 - 25 (31 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 5.2 (#57)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

KU 2nd straight Home Game
CIN coming off BYE
Our Line: Cincinnati -4.5 (SP+ CIN -3)
Projected Score: CIN: 28 - KU: 24 (52)
KU Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
CIN Travel: 576 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Jayhawks (5 - 7) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 28 - 27 (33 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 5 - 7 (#86)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
CIN Players
KU Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Cincinnati vs Nebraska	+6.5	52.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Cincinnati vs Bowling Green	-21.5	46.5	W 34 - 20	O	N
Sat 9/13	Cincinnati vs Northwestern State	-48.5	55.5	W 70 - 0	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Cincinnati at Kansas	+5.5	55.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/4	Cincinnati vs Iowa State	-1.5	55.5	W 38 - 30	O	Y
Sat 10/11	Cincinnati vs UCF	-10.0	55.5	W 20 - 11	U	N
Sat 10/18	Cincinnati at Oklahoma State	-23.5	57.5	W 49 - 17	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Cincinnati vs Baylor	-3.5	68.5	W 41 - 20	U	Y
Sat 11/1	Cincinnati at Utah	+11.5	57.5	L 14 - 45	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15	Cincinnati vs Arizona	-6.5	56.5	L 24 - 30	U	N
Sat 11/22	Cincinnati vs BYU	+2.5	56.5	L 14 - 26	U	N
Sat 11/29	Cincinnati at TCU	+3.0	58.5	L 23 - 45	O	N
Fri 1/2	Cincinnati vs Navy	+4.0	54.5

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule

Kansas's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/23	Kansas vs Fresno State	-14.0	51.5	W 31 - 7	U	Y
Fri 8/29	Kansas vs Wagner	-45.5	57.5	W 46 - 7	U	N
Sat 9/6	Kansas at Missouri	+5.5	51.0	L 31 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20	Kansas vs West Virginia	-12.5	54.5	W 41 - 10	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Kansas vs Cincinnati	-5.5	55.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 10/4	Kansas at UCF	-4.0	53.5	W 27 - 20	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Kansas at Texas Tech	+13.5	58.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25	Kansas vs Kansas State	-3.5	55.5	L 17 - 42	O	N
Sat 11/1	Kansas vs Oklahoma State	-24.5	54.5	W 38 - 21	O	N
Sat 11/8	Kansas at Arizona	+5.5	56.5	L 20 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Kansas at Iowa State	+3.0	55.5	L 14 - 38	U	N
Fri 11/28	Kansas vs Utah	+10.5	59.5	L 21 - 31	U	Y

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 3, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	#11 (.32)	48% (16)	31.8	51% (8)	3.6 (1)	180	47% (24)	241	4.66 (12)	#105 (.21)	45% (110)	24.8	46% (114)	43% (86)	3.81 (84)	64.2	1	0.8
KU	#27 (.25)	48% (15)	28.1	51% (6)	3.53 (4)	170	46% (31)	220	3.94 (47)	#121 (.25)	42% (68)	26.8	41% (62)	42% (71)	4.24 (120)	39.8	1.1	0.8

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CIN	#59 (.21)	45% (43)		44% (67)	3.03 (69)	185	45% (32)	237	3.33 (118)	#75 (.18)	42% (76)		46% (94)	39% (43)	3.51 (40)	44.4	1.5	1.2
KU	#9 (.32)	48% (16)		49% (15)	3.6 (3)	213	48% (11)	209	4.68 (11)	#108 (.23)	45% (99)		46% (104)	43% (95)	3.83 (73)	38.4	1.4	1.4

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Offense	12	31.8	30.8	48.1%	4.66	1	20	422	180	241	6	48%	50%	51%	47%	12%	.32
KU Defense	12	26.8	22.1	41.7%	4.24	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	51%	48%	41%	42%	18%	.25

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CIN Defense	12	24.8	35.3	44.7%	3.81	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	52%	47%	46%	43%	13%	.21
KU Offense	12	28.1	32.6	48.4%	3.94	1.1	21	390	170	220	4.8	51%	47%	51%	46%	14%	.25

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Cincinnati	12	24:06	20.3	40%	73%	6.9	64.2	1	0.8	4.5	1.8	1	29.4
Kansas	12	30:40	20.6	39%	57%	5	39.8	1.1	0.8	6.3	2	1	29.1

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Offense	12	48% (81)	51% (8)	30.3	180.4	6	20 (40)	.26 (9)	3.6 (1)	76% (43)	6% (6)	1.01 (52)
KU Defense	12	51% (79)	41% (62)	-	-	-	-	.13 (88)	2.84 (59)	77% (109)	11% (26)	1.1 (124)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CIN Defense	12	52% (101)	46% (114)	-	-	-	-	.17 (107)	3.26 (124)	77% (111)	8% (113)	0.93 (54)
KU Offense	12	51% (54)	51% (6)	35.5	169.8	4.8	17 (99)	.22 (19)	3.53 (4)	84% (4)	9% (46)	0.87 (109)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Offense	12	50% (64)	47% (24)	17.7	28.6	241.3	8.4	13.7	28 (6)	5 (3)	.46 (11)	1.6 (41)	29% (29)	34% (27)	.45 (19)	6% (54)	2.2 (22)
KU Defense	12	48% (65)	42% (71)	-	-	-	-	-	-	4 (75)	.39 (121)	1.7 (126)	34% (34)	33% (105)	.43 (125)	7% (41)	2.2 (125)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CIN Defense	12	47% (48)	43% (86)	-	-	-	-	-	-	2 (132)	.26 (76)	1.5 (36)	29% (113)	33% (108)	.34 (93)	5% (122)	2 (61)
KU Offense	12	47% (87)	46% (31)	17.6	28.8	220	7.7	12.5	23 (8)	8 (7)	.32 (45)	1.5 (76)	28% (19)	32% (42)	.27 (81)	6% (59)	1.8 (117)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 17.50 #26
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 23.54 #11
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 6.04 #52
2025 Talent Rating: 798.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 5.2
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.3 #49
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.2 #39
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 26.2 #64

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 17.50 Kansas: 7.48

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 6.3 Kansas: 3.2

Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 7.48 #52
Kansas's Offense Rating: 17.92 #23
Kansas's Defense Rating: 11.16 #86
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 5.0 - 7.0
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 3.2 #59
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.5 #46
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.9 #78

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 31.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 30.8
Defense: 24.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.3

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 7 - 5
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 7 - 5
Record on Road: 2 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Cincinnati 28
Kansas 24

Total Points: 52

Based on Last 4 Games
Kansas 23
Cincinnati 15

Total Points: 37

Based on Entire Season
Kansas 31
Cincinnati 28

Total Points: 59

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 28.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 32.6
Defense: 26.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 22.1

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 7
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/27	Kansas	34	Cincinnati	37	Kansas -5.5	Cincinnati	55.5	Over
2023	11/25	Cincinnati	16	Kansas	49	Kansas -7.5	Kansas	59.5	Over

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Kansas	1	1	2 Overs
Cincinnati	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 2	0 - 2	0 - 1	0 - 1
Road Teams	2 - 0	2 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0

(#26) CIN at (#52) KU

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CIN	KU
Power RatePwr	#26	#52
SP+SP+	#49	#59
Perf GradeGrade	#31	#42
OffenseOff	#12	#38
DefenseDef	#77	#66
Spec TeamsST	#88	#26
TalentTal	#53	#62
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#79

Cincinnati Notes(11/16) Was Cincy overrated? Finish BYU/TCU will tell
(10/30) RB1 Evan Pryor out for the Utah game
(10/22) OL is criminally underrated, one of best in CFB
(10/12) Five straight wins after ugly W over UCF. Outgained
(10/4) Huge W vs ISU, Run Off mauled for 260+ yds, 8 ypc
(9/23) OL has been great early, int if that will hold up
(9/23) QB Sorsby has really upped his game, dynamic
(8/29) Sorsby passing awful vs Neb, tough runner.
(8/29) Run Off good vs Neb, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/30) Def good LY, lost all DBs. 4 DE/4 DB portals
(6/21) QB, TE good, RB/WR portals, OL ok, Off jump?
(5/31) TE Royer good, can FCS Caldwell be a #1 WR?
Cincinnati Injury Report

Kansas Notes(9/24) RB Hinshaw doubtful for Cincy game
(9/24) Off good success not expl, Daniels a weapon
(9/24) Def Success #'s really good early, but bad Expl
(9/20) Run Off mauled WVU, Daniels efficient, Def decent
(7/30) RB Williams was Iowa leader (800+) in '23
(7/19) Replacing career 4.5k RB yds, 7k WR yds
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
Kansas Injury Report

Cincinnati on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	KU Def
Perf GradePerf	#12	#66
SuccessSuc	#16	#68
ExplosiveExp	#44	#131
PPAPPA	#11	#121
PowerPwr	#11	#86
SP+SP+	#39	#78
Pts POPPO	#12	#120
HavocHav	#14	#28

Cincinnati Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	KU Def
Run GameRun	#20	#95
Run SuccessRSuc	#8	#62
Run ExplRExp	#52	#124
PPAExp	#9	#88
Run BlockR Blk	#9	-
OL YdsOLY	#1	#59
Stuff RateStuff	#36	#33
TackleTak	-	#99

Cincinnati Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 50%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat	CIN Off	KU Def
Pass GamePass	#8	#55
Pass SuccessPSuc	#24	#71
Pass ExplPExl	#41	#126
PPAExp	#11	#121
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#60	#41
F7 HavocF7	#6	#26
DB HavocDB	#54	#41

Kansas on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KU Off	CIN Def
Perf GradePerf	#38	#77
SuccessSuc	#15	#110
ExplosiveExp	#112	#29
PPAPPA	#27	#105
PowerPwr	#23	#52
SP+SP+	#46	#64
Pts POPPO	#47	#84
HavocHav	#53	#121

Kansas Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KU Off	CIN Def
Run GameRun	#37	#37
Run SuccessRSuc	#6	#114
Run ExplRExp	#109	#54
PPAExp	#19	#107
Run BlockR Blk	#7	-
OL YdsOLY	#4	#124
Stuff RateStuff	#10	#121
TackleTak	-	#44

Kansas Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	KU Off	CIN Def
Pass GamePass	#67	#64
Pass SuccessPSuc	#31	#86
Pass ExplPExl	#76	#36
PPAExp	#45	#76
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#96	#133
F7 HavocF7	#46	#113
DB HavocDB	#59	#122

Program Comparison
KU 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

CIN 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 82° - Wind: 7 mph

Rematch from Week 5
Kansas -5.5 (55.5)
Cincinnati won at Kansas this year (37-34)

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat Cincinnati in 2023 (49-16)

CIN's OC Brad Glenn (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Brendan Sorsby	206	335	62%	2786	26	5	8.3
Brady Lichtenberg	4	6	67%	56	1	0	9.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Tawee Walker (Tr)	120	709	4	5.9	54
Brendan Sorsby	100	580	9	5.8	41
Evan Pryor	76	522	3	6.9	46
Manny Covey	16	116	1	7.3	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Cyrus Allen (Tr)	48	651	11	13.6	88
Caleb Goodie (Tr)	29	484	2	16.7	82
Jeff Caldwell (Tr)	32	478	6	14.9	40
Joe Royer	29	416	4	14.3	73

View Cincinnati's Full Roster

CIN's DC Tyson Veidt (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jake Golday	95	4	4	2	3
Trevon Gola-Callard	67	4	0	0	3
Jonathan Thompson	59	8	1	2	0
Christian Harrison (Tr)	55	3	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jake Golday	95	4	4	2	3
Jalen Hunt	24	6	4	0	0
Jack Dingle	45	3	2	3	0
Montay Weedon	24	3	2	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Christian Harrison (Tr)	55	3	7
Logan Wilson	33	2	6
Jiquan Sanks	45	2	4

KU's OC Jim Zebrowski (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalon Daniels	198	319	62%	2504	22	7	7.8
Cole Ballard	10	22	46%	108	1	1	4.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.	124	587	5	4.7	22
Leshon Williams (Tr)	97	565	7	5.8	62
Jalon Daniels	117	423	4	3.6	38
Isaiah Marshall	15	160	0	10.7	43

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)	45	766	5	17.0	93
Boden Groen (Tr)	36	450	5	12.5	46
Cam Pickett (Tr)	45	449	3	10.0	38
Levi Wentz	16	258	2	16.1	50

View Kansas's Full Roster

KU's DC D.K. McDonald (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Trey Lathan (Tr)	86	7	2	6	5
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)	72	1	0	3	7
Bangally Kamara (Tr)	54	9	1	1	4
Austin Alexander	46	4	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)	31	7	5	1	8
Tommy Dunn	26	4	3	2	1
D.J. Withers	16	5	3	1	0
Jalen Todd	44	2	2	1	4

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)	31	7	5	1	8
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)	72	1	0	3	7
Trey Lathan (Tr)	86	7	2	6	5