Cincinnati at Kansas - 2025 Matchup Preview
Cincinnati logo Cincinnati Bearcats at Kansas JayhawksKansas logo
Saturday, September 27th 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Memorial Stadium - Lawrence, KS  (Big 12)

 
Bearcats (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Scott Satterfield (8 - 16)
Avg Score : 40 - 13 (40 - 13 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.3 - 4.7 (#55)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 5) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
KU 2nd straight Home Game
CIN coming off BYE
Our Line: Cincinnati -0.5   (SP+ KU -1)

Projected Score: CIN: 26 - KU: 26 (52)
CIN Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
CIN Travel: 576 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Jayhawks (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Lance Leipold (22 - 28)
Avg Score : 36 - 19 (39 - 7 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 6.7 - 5.3 (#67)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 2) (Good: 4) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Cincinnati's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Cincinnati vs Nebraska+6.552.5L 17 - 20UY
Sat 9/6 Cincinnati vs Bowling Green-21.546.5W 34 - 20ON
Sat 9/13 Cincinnati vs Northwestern State-48.555.5W 70 - 0OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Cincinnati at Kansas-0.5
Sat 10/4 Cincinnati vs Iowa State-1.5
Sat 10/11 Cincinnati vs UCF-9.5
Sat 10/18 Cincinnati at Oklahoma State-16
Sat 10/25 Cincinnati vs Baylor-4
Sat 11/1 Cincinnati at Utah+10
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/15 Cincinnati vs Arizona-7
Sat 11/22 Cincinnati vs BYU-3
Sat 11/29 Cincinnati at TCU+7.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 6, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 5, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Cincinnati's Schedule
Kansas's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/23 Kansas vs Fresno State-14.051.5W 31 - 7UY
Fri 8/29 Kansas vs Wagner-45.557.5W 46 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Kansas at Missouri+5.551.0L 31 - 42ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/20 Kansas vs West Virginia-13.554.5
Sat 9/27 Kansas vs Cincinnati+0.5
Sat 10/4 Kansas at UCF-1
Sat 10/11 Kansas at Texas Tech+16
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Kansas vs Kansas State-6
Sat 11/1 Kansas vs Oklahoma State-18
Sat 11/8 Kansas at Arizona+1
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22 Kansas at Iowa State+6.5
Sat 11/29 Kansas vs Utah+8

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 2, Good: 4, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Kansas's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#16 (.44)56% (13)40.356% (16)3.77 (11)18457% (11)2555.56 (10)#63 (.12)45% (106)13.341% (79)48% (116)2.86 (46)45.710.7
KU#19 (.4)54% (18)3651% (36)3.93 (4)16558% (9)2484.89 (34)#100 (.2)38% (62)18.735% (36)42% (82)4.1 (93)45.711.3
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
CIN#59 (.21)45% (43)44% (67)3.03 (69)18545% (32)2373.33 (118)#75 (.18)42% (76)46% (94)39% (43)3.51 (40)44.41.51.2
KU#9 (.32)48% (16)49% (15)3.6 (3)21348% (11)2094.68 (11)#108 (.23)45% (99)46% (104)43% (95)3.83 (73)38.41.41.4



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Offense340.340.356.2%5.561204381842556.652%47%56%57%13%.44
KU Defense318.7738.1%4.11.3 - - - - - 48%51%35%42%22%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
CIN Defense313.313.344.9%2.860.7 - - - - - 44%56%41%48%15%.12
KU Offense33638.554.2%4.891224131652484.944%54%51%58%12%.4

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Cincinnati321:2120.333%100%545.710.76.73031.2
Kansas328:3822.329%71%5.745.711.38.73.3032.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Offense352% (58)56% (16)28183.76.66 (49).32 (28)3.77 (11)75% (52)8% (50)0.94 (74)
KU Defense348% (56)35% (36) - - - - -.1 (21)2.35 (33)86% (112)16% (12)1.02 (85)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
CIN Defense344% (34)41% (79) - - - - -.06 (31)2.63 (52)69% (66)12% (41)0.77 (29)
KU Offense344% (102)51% (36)33.71654.94 (79).23 (43)3.93 (4)75% (52)8% (66)0.83 (100)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Offense347% (81)57% (11)1724254.710.61510 (7)1 (23).65 (10)1.5 (74)22% (10)43% (20).78 (11)6% (84)2.2 (46)
KU Defense351% (75)42% (82) - - - - - - 2 (56).52 (123)2 (130)37% (32)34% (101).55 (118)6% (56)2.4 (125)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
CIN Defense356% (109)48% (116) - - - - - - 1 (87).26 (89)1.2 (10)31% (87)38% (122).33 (86)3% (123)1.5 (20)
KU Offense354% (40)58% (9)19.728248.38.912.69 (13)2 (60).64 (12)1.5 (82)26% (31)35% (45).62 (27)3% (31)2.1 (52)

Cincinnati's Power Ratings
Cincinnati's Power Rating: 18.62 #33
Cincinnati's Offense Rating: 24.04 #21
Cincinnati's Defense Rating: 5.41 #59
2025 Talent Rating: 798.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Cincinnati's 2025 Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7
Cincinnati's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Cincinnati's Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #50
Cincinnati's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #34

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 18.62   Kansas: 13.22

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Cincinnati: 8.9   Kansas: 10.2




Kansas's Power Ratings
Kansas's Power Rating: 13.22 #50
Kansas's Offense Rating: 23.42 #24
Kansas's Defense Rating: 12.17 #92
2025 Talent Rating: 770.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Kansas's 2025 Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3
Kansas's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #36
Kansas's Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #19
Kansas's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58

Average Talent
Average Big 12 Talent Rating is 798.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Cincinnati Scoring
Offense: 40.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 40.3
Defense: 13.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 13.3

Cincinnati's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Cincinnati 26
Kansas 26


Total Points: 52

Kansas Scoring
Offense: 36 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.5
Defense: 18.7 PPG
Defense at Home: 7

Kansas's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202311/25Cincinnati16Kansas49KansasKansas -7.5Kansas59.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Kansas111 Overs
Cincinnati000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#33) Cincinnati Info
Power Rating: 18.62 #33
Offense Rating: 24.04 #21
Defense Rating: 5.41 #59
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 30.1 #50
Defense SP+ Rating: 21.2 #34
Talent Rating: 798.00 #53
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
Expected Record: 7.3 - 4.7

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Great Offense Success Rate of 56%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.56 PPO
Great Run Success 56%
Great Pass Success 57%
Good OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Good DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Avg in Scoring Position 2.86 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 41%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Cincinnati has won 2 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Cincinnati Notes
(8/29) Run Off good vs Neb, Run Def good, Pass not
(7/30) Def good LY, lost all DBs. 4 DE/4 DB portals
(6/21) QB, TE good, RB/WR portals, OL ok, Off jump?
(5/31) TE Royer good, can FCS Caldwell be a #1 WR?
(5/31) Pass rush? DE has 1 good portal, lots of ?
(5/31) LB & DB should be strong, DB portals good
(5/31) RB bad LY, Walker (Wisc) a big add, Pryor exp'd
(5/31) WR meh LY, 3 portals should improve things
(5/31) OL 2/5 back. OT's upgrade w/ 2 portal adds
(4/4) DT Dontay Corleone a top 10 DT via PFF

Cincinnati Highlights
Cincinnati offense is efficent (#13)
Cincinnati has a top Offensive Line (#11)
Cincinnati offense is good in red zone (#10)
Cincinnati Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Cincinnati defense does not give up big plays (#14)

Cincinnati Deficiencies
Cincinnati offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Cincinnati has a bad defense (#106)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatKUCIN
OverallOver#16#6
OffenseOff#14#6
DefenseDef#59#12
Special TeamsST#9#40
PassingPass#27#4
RushingRush#34#8
Run BlockRBLK#15#12
Pass BlockPBLK#69#25
Route RunningWR Rt#26#21
TacklingTkl#95#3
Run DefenseR Def#80#4
Pass Rush DefPRush#50#88
Coverage DefCov#33#19

Previous Matchups
Kansas beat Cincinnati in 2023 (49-16)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Memorial Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: CIN | KU
Depth Chart: CIN | KU
Rosters: CIN | KU
(#50) Kansas Info
Power Rating: 13.22 #50
Offense Rating: 23.42 #24
Defense Rating: 12.17 #92
Overall SP+ Rating: 10.2 #36
Offense SP+ Rating: 35.6 #19
Defense SP+ Rating: 25.4 #58
Talent Rating: 770.00 #62
Blue Chip Ratio: 2 #79
Expected Record: 6.7 - 5.3

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 44%
Great Offense Success Rate of 54%
Good Offensive Explosiveness
Good in Scoring Position 4.89 PPO
Good Run Success 51%
Great Pass Success 58%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Great Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 38%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.1 PPO
Good Run Def Success 35%
Bad Pass Def Success 42%
Great Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Kansas has lost 2 straight
Kansas has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Kansas Notes
(7/19) Replacing career 4.5k RB yds, 7k WR yds
(5/23) KU was 1-5 in 1 score games LY (of 7 L's)
(4/4) QB Daniels back, electric when healthy
(4/4) RB rebuild. Hishaw exp'd, added Williams (Iowa)
(4/4) OL 2/5 back, good LY. 3 portal adds
(4/4) Def bad LY, replaces a lot. 11 portal adds
(3/21) WR total rebuild. 3 portals. Pickett (BG) #1?
(3/21) New OC Zebrowski was Co-OC/QB LY
(3/21) New DC McDonald promoted? Why?
(3/21) Strange '24, 1-5 to 5-7. Underachieved

Kansas Highlights
Kansas is Undefeated at Home

Kansas offense is efficent (#18)
Kansas has a top Offensive Line (#4)
Kansas does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#4)

Kansas Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Kansas Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#18)
Kansas Front 7 is disruptive (#12)

Kansas Deficiencies
Kansas offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Kansas gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#128)


  
Cincinnati's OC Brad Glenn
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Brendan Sorsby456470%6558110.2
Brady Lichtenberg4667%56109.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Brendan Sorsby2217548.029
Tawee Walker (Tr)2415116.322
Evan Pryor1710005.920
Manny Covey54408.824
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeff Caldwell (Tr)9172119.139
Caleb Goodie (Tr)8160120.055
Cyrus Allen (Tr)12145312.144
Joe Royer8138217.373

View Cincinnati's Full Roster
Cincinnati's DC Tyson Veidt
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Golday282200
Trevon Gola-Callard171001
Jonathan Thompson163110
Jiquan Sanks141000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jake Golday282200
Robert Jackson52200
Jack Dingle82220
Brian Simms III92100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Logan Wilson81002
Trevon Gola-Callard171001
Christian Harrison (Tr)131001

Kansas's OC Jim Zebrowski
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Jalon Daniels547572%679929.1
Cole Ballard2633%38006.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Daniel Hishaw Jr.3316915.121
Jalon Daniels218213.923
Leshon Williams (Tr)95716.321
Cole Ballard75207.415
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (Tr)12183215.362
Cam Pickett (Tr)10124312.421
Levi Wentz7103014.750
DeShawn Hanika995310.624

View Kansas's Full Roster
Kansas's DC D.K. McDonald
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)254112
Lyrik Rawls (Tr)171001
Mason Ellis131000
Bangally Kamara (Tr)134101
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leroy Harris III (Tr)84410
D.J. Withers43210
Bangally Kamara (Tr)134101
Kenean Caldwell62100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Trey Lathan (Tr)254112
Devin Dye71102
Taylor Davis90001