Notre Dame at Boston College - 2025 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Boston College EaglesBoston College logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (12:00 AM EDT)
Alumni Stadium - Chestnut Hill, MA

 
Fighting Irish (4 - 2) (3 - 3 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 40 - 21 (40 - 20 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.4 - 2.6 (#17)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
ND coming off BYE
BC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -26.5  (SP+ ND -29)

Projected Score: ND: 43 - BC: 16 (59)
ND Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
ND Travel: 774 miles
Eagles (1 - 5) (2 - 4 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 28 - 33 (33 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2.2 - 9.8 (#131)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
 
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-24.551.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-5.564.5W 56 - 13OY
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-21.563.5W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-23.559.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC-9.561.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-26.5
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-24.5
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-9.5
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-30.5
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-30.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Boston College's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Boston College vs Fordham-35.053.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Boston College at Michigan State+3.545.5L 40 - 42OY
Sat 9/13 Boston College at Stanford-14.044.5L 20 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Boston College vs California-6.054.5L 24 - 28UN
Sat 10/4 Boston College at Pittsburgh+6.554.5L 7 - 48ON
Sat 10/11 Boston College vs Clemson+14.054.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 10/18 Boston College vs UConn-1.559.5
Sat 10/25 Boston College at Louisville+24.5
Sat 11/1 Boston College vs Notre Dame+26.5
Sat 11/8 Boston College vs SMU+16.5
Sat 11/15 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+17
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Boston College at Syracuse+3

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#13 (.35)50% (18)4049% (27)3.06 (56)17551% (16)2935.05 (14)#64 (.16)41% (69)20.843% (82)40% (62)3.36 (37)5012
BC#74 (.18)43% (74)27.838% (113)2.41 (128)8545% (47)2843.52 (106)#90 (.2)41% (65)33.241% (58)42% (76)4.61 (123)51.71.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense6404049.9%5.05124468175293553%47%49%51%14%.35
BC Defense633.226.341.2%4.611 - - - - - 52%47%41%42%14%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense620.82041.3%3.362 - - - - - 44%56%43%40%15%.16
BC Offense627.833.342.9%3.521.819369852843.136%63%38%45%15%.18

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame629:5423.749%36%5.850123.52.3231.1
Boston College626:4819.343%44%6.251.71.814.81.8128.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense653% (42)49% (27)34.8174.7517 (16).23 (31)3.06 (56)54% (134)9% (71)1.07 (34)
BC Defense652% (93)41% (58) - - - - .08 (62)2.55 (27)63% (31)8% (113)0.99 (83)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense644% (16)43% (82) - - - - .14 (93)3.16 (117)68% (52)6% (134)0.9 (43)
BC Offense636% (135)38% (113)27.285.23.19 (77) (122)2.41 (128)100% (1)9% (53)0.89 (104)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense647% (90)51% (16)1928292.810.515.413 (27)3 (26).5 (14)1.7 (18)29% (36)45% (3).62 (9)5% (52)1.8 (109)
BC Defense647% (42)42% (76) - - - - - - 4 (62).33 (106)1.6 (87)27% (128)36% (125).37 (97)6% (63)1.8 (34)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense656% (121)40% (62) - - - - - - 11 (2).19 (52)1.5 (69)34% (38)26% (31).23 (51)8% (10)2 (82)
BC Offense663% (2)45% (47)24.237.3283.87.611.711 (49)5 (77).28 (70)1.3 (131)33% (106)32% (62).32 (73)7% (101)1.9 (97)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 30.98  #10
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 29.14  #8
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -2.15  #27
2025 Talent Rating: 1072.00  #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 58%  #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 9.4 - 2.6
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.3  #9
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.0  #4
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.7  #23

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 833
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 30.98   Boston College: -0.18

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 21.3   Boston College: -7.8




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -0.18  #69
Boston College's Offense Rating: 11.98  #64
Boston College's Defense Rating: 9.54  #76
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 2.2 - 9.8
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8  #97
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9  #91
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 31.7  #98

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 40 PPG
Offense on Road: 40
Defense: 20.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 20

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 43
Boston College 16


Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 43
Boston College 15

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 35
Boston College 25

Total Points: 60
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 27.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 33.3
Defense: 33.2 PPG
Defense at Home: 26.3

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/19Notre Dame44Boston College0Notre Dame -20Notre Dame42.0Over
202011/14Boston College31Notre Dame45Notre Dame -13Notre Dame51.5Over
201911/23Notre Dame40Boston College7Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame66.0Under
201709/16Boston College20Notre Dame49Notre Dame -14Notre Dame53.0Over
201511/21Notre Dame19Boston College16Notre Dame -16Boston College43.0Under
201211/10Boston College6Notre Dame21
201111/19Notre Dame16Boston College14
201010/02Boston College13Notre Dame31
200910/24Notre Dame20Boston College16
200811/08Boston College17Notre Dame0
200710/13Notre Dame14Boston College27
200410/23Notre Dame23Boston College24
200310/25Boston College27Notre Dame25
200211/02Notre Dame7Boston College14
200110/27Boston College21Notre Dame17
200011/10Notre Dame28Boston College16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College613 Overs
Notre Dame1042 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 72 - 32 - 10 - 2
Road Teams7 - 93 - 22 - 01 - 2

(#10) ND at (#69) BC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDBC
Power RatePwr #10 #69
SP+SP+ #9 #97
Perf GradeGrade #18 #77
OffenseOff #10 #64
DefenseDef #45 #99
Spec TeamsST #44 #49
TalentTal #6 #56
Blue ChipsBC% #8 #101

Notre Dame Notes
(10/13) OC Craig out for season, Irish down 2 starting OL
(10/11) Last 35 Def series, 4 TDs, 9 Ints. 0 2nd Half Points
(10/10) CB L Moore is essential to Irish defense. #1 in CFB
(9/27) Off is rolling, avg 44 PPG. Carr impressive, run great
(9/23) RB Love & Price are incredible, OL improving
(9/21) Freeman sounds exhausted about Def issues
(9/21) Off rising to dominant, QB Carr & WR improved
(9/15) Pass Def is awful. DB depth is huge issue
(9/15) DL a big issue, no pass rush w/ all these DEs?
(8/31) Carr is a baller, but OL is not good. Def leaked
(8/19) QB1 will be CJ Carr, beat Kenny Minchey

Boston College Notes
(10/5) Quit watch: 48-7 loss at Pitt feels like turning point
(10/4) This Def is f'ing terrible. Not much to like about BC
(9/11) Both starting CBs out vs Stanford, DT as well
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
(5/15) BC feels RB room is deep & talented, strong TY
(5/15) OL added two D2 portals? Must trust depth
(5/15) DL added 6 portals, but four from D2. No clue
(3/21) QB James took over LY, Lonergan (Bama) add
(3/21) RB, Pemberton (BSU) added, depth has exp
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffBC Def
Perf GradePerf #10 #99
SuccessSuc #18 #65
ExplosiveExp #16 #83
PPAPPA #13 #90
PowerPwr #8 #76
SP+SP+ #4 #98
Pts POPPO #14 #123
HavocHav #58 #112
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffBC Def
Run GameRun #14 #86
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #58
Run ExplRExp #34 #83
PPAExp #31 #62
Run BlockR Blk #73 -
OL YdsOLY #56 #27
Stuff RateStuff #100 #17
TackleTak -  #40
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffBC Def
Pass GamePass #12 #93
Pass SuccessPSuc #16 #76
Pass ExplPExl #18 #87
PPAExp #14 #106
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #72 #76
F7 HavocF7 #71 #113
DB HavocDB #52 #63
Boston College on Offense
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 36%
CategoryCatBC OffND Def
Perf GradePerf #64 #45
SuccessSuc #74 #69
ExplosiveExp #111 #60
PPAPPA #74 #64
PowerPwr #64 #27
SP+SP+ #91 #23
Pts POPPO #106 #37
HavocHav #74 #103
Boston College Run Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 36%
CategoryCat
BC OffND Def
Run GameRun #123 #32
Run SuccessRSuc #113 #82
Run ExplRExp #104 #43
PPAExp #122 #93
Run BlockR Blk #35 -
OL YdsOLY #128 #117
Stuff RateStuff #74 #123
TackleTak -  #28
Boston College Pass Game
Very Pass heavy Offense 63%, Run: 36%
CategoryCatBC OffND Def
Pass GamePass #71 #65
Pass SuccessPSuc #47 #62
Pass ExplPExl #131 #69
PPAExp #70 #52
Pass Block/RushP Blk #16 #73
F7 HavocF7 #53 #134
DB HavocDB #101 #10
Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Boston College in 2022 (44-0)

  
ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr10515867%162213310.3
Kenny Minchey8989%950010.6
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love10053085.346
Jadarian Price6342276.749
Nolan James Jr.83304.115
Aneyas Williams63015.017
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison29376213.048
Eli Raridon20342017.165
Malachi Fields (Tr)18339218.866
Will Pauling (Tr)13243318.742

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen311120
Adon Shuler290002
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa282111
Jaiden Ausberry261100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore246530
Jaylen Sneed143200
Drayk Bowen311120
Jordan Botelho111110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray110006
Mark Zackery IV71002
Adon Shuler290002

BC's OC Will Lawing (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)13219767%1394937.1
Grayson James71450%2201115.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Turbo Richard8240655.071
Jordan Mcdonald269813.810
Bo MacCormack III132612.07
Anthony Ferrucci41403.55
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond4543609.732
Reed Harris17285216.846
Jeremiah Franklin24240110.032
Turbo Richard1817129.549

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price503010
Omar Thornton356111
Carter Davis341101
Owen McGowan334111
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Quintayvious Hutchins163241
Sedarius McConnell146200
Daveon Crouch112111
Carter Davis341101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ashton Cunningham120003
Syair Torrence40003
Favor Bate (Tr)81122