Notre Dame at Boston College - 2025 Matchup Preview
Notre Dame logo (#12)Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Boston College EaglesBoston College logo
Saturday, November 1st 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -31.5 (55.5) (-6500)  Open: -27.5
Notre Dame 25 - Boston College: 10

 
Fighting Irish (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (38 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Wind: 16.2 MPH
ND coming off BYE
BC is playing their 6th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -27  (SP+ ND -33.5)

Projected Score: ND: 42 - BC: 15 (57)
ND Win prob: 97% | Cover: 39%
ND Travel: 774 miles
Eagles (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
 
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-24.551.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-5.564.5W 56 - 13OY
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-21.563.5W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-23.559.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC-10.560.5W 34 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-31.555.5W 25 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-30.554.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-12.555.5W 37 - 15UY
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-36.551.5W 70 - 7OY
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-32.550.5W 49 - 20ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 3, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 3, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 3, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Boston College's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Boston College vs Fordham-35.053.5W 66 - 10OY
Sat 9/6 Boston College at Michigan State+3.545.5L 40 - 42OY
Sat 9/13 Boston College at Stanford-14.044.5L 20 - 30ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Boston College vs California-6.054.5L 24 - 28UN
Sat 10/4 Boston College at Pittsburgh+6.554.5L 7 - 48ON
Sat 10/11 Boston College vs Clemson+14.054.5L 10 - 41UN
Sat 10/18 Boston College vs UConn+2.558.5L 23 - 38ON
Sat 10/25 Boston College at Louisville+25.554.5L 24 - 38OY
Sat 11/1 Boston College vs Notre Dame+31.555.5L 10 - 25UY
Sat 11/8 Boston College vs SMU+10.554.5L 13 - 45ON
Sat 11/15 Boston College vs Georgia Tech+16.561.5L 34 - 36OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Boston College at Syracuse-2.554.5W 34 - 12UY

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 4, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 3, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 3, Avg: 0, Bad: 3, Poor: 1

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#4 (.36)49% (10)4247% (25)3.05 (50)20451% (6)2554.79 (6)#12 (.04)36% (13)17.638% (20)36% (16)2.58 (6)53.10.81.9
BC#79 (.16)42% (66)25.442% (92)2.75 (106)10444% (50)2803.39 (99)#115 (.23)43% (82)32.844% (86)42% (72)3.82 (83)49.71.81
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8
BC#89 (.16)41% (93)41% (96)2.87 (99)16441% (78)1764 (58)#56 (.15)42% (74)40% (40)44% (104)3.64 (51)401.21.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Offense124238.249%4.790.8234602042555.953%45%47%51%13%.36
BC Defense1232.831.942.6%3.821 - - - - - 50%47%44%42%12%.23
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ND Defense1217.61736.4%2.581.9 - - - - - 43%56%38%36%18%.04
BC Offense1225.425.742.4%3.391.8213841042803.340%58%42%44%17%.16

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Notre Dame1229:1722.548%55%5.553.10.81.95.82.8732.5
Boston College1229:1620.839%52%5.949.71.813.81.3127.6
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Offense1253% (38)47% (25)34.8204.45.938 (11).25 (11)3.05 (50)62% (122)8% (36)1.16 (8)
BC Defense1250% (70)44% (86) - - - - .12 (83)2.79 (51)70% (61)7% (127)1.04 (106)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ND Defense1243% (6)38% (20) - - - - .04 (37)2.74 (39)71% (66)9% (77)0.89 (32)
BC Offense1240% (128)42% (92)31.31043.316 (88).05 (104)2.75 (106)80% (14)10% (84)0.89 (106)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Offense1245% (95)51% (6)18.126.8255.19.514.125 (33)6 (34).45 (10)1.7 (25)29% (37)44% (2).65 (3)5% (35)2 (65)
BC Defense1247% (57)42% (72) - - - - - - 6 (75).39 (121)1.7 (127)29% (117)33% (106).36 (99)5% (102)2 (75)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ND Defense1256% (132)36% (16) - - - - - - 21 (1).09 (8)1.6 (93)36% (9)26% (24).17 (17)9% (3)2.1 (84)
BC Offense1258% (9)44% (50)23.937.8280.27.411.720 (42)12 (60).25 (66)1.4 (125)31% (63)31% (54).32 (63)7% (99)1.9 (91)

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 28.73  #3
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 26.69  #6
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -2.21  #2
2025 Talent Rating: 1060.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 57%  #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #5
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.1  #7
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 28.73   Boston College: -0.34

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Notre Dame: 24.3   Boston College: -9.4




Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -0.34  #54
Boston College's Offense Rating: 15.50  #54
Boston College's Defense Rating: 11.78  #54
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00  #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0  #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4  #102
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8  #94
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.8  #111

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense on Road: 38.2
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense on Road: 17

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 42
Boston College 15


Total Points: 57

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 44
Boston College 15

Total Points: 58

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 36
Boston College 22

Total Points: 58
Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.9

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202511/01Boston College10Notre Dame25Notre Dame -31.5Boston College55.5Under
202211/19Notre Dame44Boston College0Notre Dame -20Notre Dame42.0Over
202011/14Boston College31Notre Dame45Notre Dame -13Notre Dame51.5Over
201911/23Notre Dame40Boston College7Notre Dame -20.5Notre Dame66.0Under
201709/16Boston College20Notre Dame49Notre Dame -14Notre Dame53.0Over
201511/21Notre Dame19Boston College16Notre Dame -16Boston College43.0Under
201211/10Boston College6Notre Dame21
201111/19Notre Dame16Boston College14
201010/02Boston College13Notre Dame31
200910/24Notre Dame20Boston College16
200811/08Boston College17Notre Dame0
200710/13Notre Dame14Boston College27
200410/23Notre Dame23Boston College24
200310/25Boston College27Notre Dame25
200211/02Notre Dame7Boston College14
200110/27Boston College21Notre Dame17
200011/10Notre Dame28Boston College16
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Boston College623 Overs
Notre Dame1143 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams9 - 83 - 32 - 11 - 2
Road Teams8 - 93 - 32 - 11 - 2

(#3) ND at (#54) BC
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatNDBC
Net PPPPPP #2 #120
Power RatePwr #3 #54
SP+SP+ #5 #102
Perf GradeGrade #5 #103
OffenseOff #5 #74
DefenseDef #5 #125
Spec TeamsST #23 #41
TalentTal #7 #56
Blue ChipsBC% #8 #101
Notre Dame Notes
(11/16) Killed Pitt, 10-2 finish likely. Get healthy for CFP?
(11/4) Huge issues at K, missed 2 XP, short FG vs BC
(10/20) OG Billy Schrauth out until at least Pitt/Cuse (3 OL)
(10/18) 300 yds rush vs USC, Pass Def torched, huge Win
(10/16) DL G Rubio out vs SC (best DT) & L Thomas (depth)
(10/13) OC Craig out for season, Irish down 2 starting OL
(10/11) Last 35 Def series, 4 TDs, 9 Ints. 0 2nd Half Points
(10/10) CB L Moore is essential to Irish defense. #1 in CFB
(9/27) Off is rolling, avg 44 PPG. Carr impressive, run great
(9/23) RB Love & Price are incredible, OL improving
(9/21) Freeman sounds exhausted about Def issues
(9/21) Off rising to dominant, QB Carr & WR improved
Notre Dame Injury Report
Boston College Notes
(11/16) 500+ yds in L vs GT. Rough, lost season for BC
(10/31) Sounds like Dylan Lonergan is QB1 vs ND
(10/22) Defense near worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) LT Bowry, LG Daugherty both out vs UConn
(10/18) L to UConn at home ugly, Pass Def torched, Off OK
(10/18) QB James in for Lonergan (benched). Run Off awful
(10/5) Quit watch: 48-7 loss at Pitt feels like turning point
(10/4) This Def is f'ing terrible. Not much to like about BC
(9/11) Both starting CBs out vs Stanford, DT as well
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
Boston College Injury Report
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffBC Def
PPPOffPPP #1 #86
Perf GradePerf #5 #125
SuccessSuc #10 #82
ExplosiveExp #3 #127
PPAPPA #4 #115
PowerPwr #6 #54
SP+SP+ #7 #111
Pts POPPO #6 #83
HavocHav #36 #126
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffBC Def
Run GameRun #5 #124
Run SuccessRSuc #25 #86
Run ExplRExp #8 #106
PPAExp #11 #83
Run BlockR Blk #46 -
OL YdsOLY #50 #51
Stuff RateStuff #101 #44
TackleTak -  #48
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffBC Def
Pass GamePass #10 #102
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #72
Pass ExplPExl #25 #127
PPAExp #10 #121
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #59 #121
F7 HavocF7 #36 #127
DB HavocDB #35 #102
Boston College on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatBC OffND Def
PPPDefPPP #24 #124
Perf GradePerf #74 #5
SuccessSuc #66 #13
ExplosiveExp #93 #85
PPAPPA #79 #12
PowerPwr #54 #2
SP+SP+ #94 #11
Pts POPPO #99 #6
HavocHav #92 #19
Boston College Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat
BC OffND Def
Run GameRun #120 #8
Run SuccessRSuc #92 #20
Run ExplRExp #106 #32
PPAExp #104 #37
Run BlockR Blk #33 -
OL YdsOLY #106 #39
Stuff RateStuff #55 #74
TackleTak -  #9
Boston College Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCatBC OffND Def
Pass GamePass #79 #7
Pass SuccessPSuc #50 #16
Pass ExplPExl #125 #93
PPAExp #66 #8
Pass Block/RushP Blk #63 #25
F7 HavocF7 #84 #77
DB HavocDB #99 #3
Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 55° - Wind: 16 mph
Rematch from Week 10
Notre Dame 31.5 (55.5)
Notre Dame won at Boston College this year (25-10)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Boston College in 2022 (44-0)

  
ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr19529367%27412469.4
Kenny Minchey202677%196007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love1991372186.994
Jadarian Price113674116.058
Aneyas Williams2422459.354
Kenny Minchey784112.034
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison49640413.154
Malachi Fields (Tr)36630517.566
Eli Raridon32482015.165
Will Pauling (Tr)26381614.744

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen675423
Adon Shuler522125
Jaiden Ausberry514250
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore3710780
Drayk Bowen675423
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
Jaylen Sneed355330
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray1810010
Leonard Moore310007
Adon Shuler522125

BC's OC Will Lawing (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)19028467%20251257.1
Grayson James8715158%1196757.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Turbo Richard14574995.271
Jordan Mcdonald9439744.217
Grayson James546501.220
Bo MacCormack III154312.914
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lewis Bond891010111.354
Reed Harris39673517.357
Jeremiah Franklin48489210.232
Kaelan Chudzinski24313413.045

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
KP Price933030
Omar Thornton828211
Carter Davis592102
Owen McGowan545113
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sedarius McConnell318300
Omar Thornton828211
Quintayvious Hutchins364271
Micah Amedee51110
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Isaiah Farris280006
Amari Jackson70004
Syair Torrence50003