Purdue at Notre Dame - 2025 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#24)Notre Dame logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -24.5 (51.5) (-2400)  Open: -30.5
Notre Dame 56 - Purdue: 30

 
Boilermakers (2 - 10) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 32 (16 - 34 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
ND 2nd straight Home Game
PUR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -38  (SP+ ND -32)

Projected Score: PUR: 9 - ND: 47 (56)
ND Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
PUR Travel: 94 miles
Fighting Irish (10 - 2) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 42 - 18 (45 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 10 - 2 (#21)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
 
Purdue's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Purdue vs Ball State-16.550.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Purdue vs Southern Illinois-19.552.0W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 Purdue vs USC+20.559.5L 17 - 33UY
Sat 9/20 Purdue at Notre Dame+24.551.5L 30 - 56ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Purdue vs Illinois+7.555.5L 27 - 43ON
Sat 10/11 Purdue at Minnesota+7.549.5L 20 - 27UY
Sat 10/18 Purdue at Northwestern+3.047.5L 0 - 19UN
Sat 10/25 Purdue vs Rutgers-2.560.5L 24 - 27UN
Sat 11/1 Purdue at Michigan+21.048.5L 16 - 21UY
Sat 11/8 Purdue vs Ohio State+29.549.5L 10 - 34UY
Sat 11/15 Purdue at Washington+14.551.5L 13 - 49ON
BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28 Purdue vs Indiana+28.553.5L 3 - 56ON

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-24.551.5W 56 - 30OY
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-5.564.5W 56 - 13OY
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-21.563.5W 28 - 7UN
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-23.559.5W 36 - 7UY
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC-10.560.5W 34 - 24UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-31.555.5W 25 - 10UN
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-30.554.5W 49 - 10OY
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-12.555.5W 37 - 15UY
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-36.551.5W 70 - 7OY
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-32.550.5W 49 - 20ON

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#103 (.11)43% (62)18.843% (72)2.94 (69)12643% (53)2173.06 (120)#125 (.27)48% (131)31.849% (128)48% (128)4.03 (105)46.81.80.8
ND#4 (.36)49% (10)4247% (27)3.05 (48)20451% (6)2554.79 (7)#13 (.04)36% (14)17.638% (23)36% (17)2.58 (7)53.10.81.9
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense1218.815.842.8%3.061.819344126217447%52%43%43%16%.11
ND Defense1217.61836.4%2.581.9 - - - - - 43%56%38%36%18%.04
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense1231.834.448.3%4.030.8 - - - - - 55%43%49%48%15%.27
ND Offense124244.749%4.790.8234602042555.953%45%47%51%13%.36

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue1228:0119.338%60%4.846.81.80.85.32027.5
Notre Dame1229:1722.548%55%5.553.10.81.95.82.8732.5
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense1247% (97)43% (72)31.3126.4411 (78).15 (53)2.94 (69)56% (136)10% (89)1.04 (41)
ND Defense1243% (5)38% (23) - - - - .04 (37)2.74 (39)71% (63)9% (75)0.89 (34)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense1255% (125)49% (128) - - - - .18 (114)3.25 (122)78% (112)10% (68)0.86 (18)
ND Offense1253% (38)47% (27)34.8204.45.938 (11).25 (12)3.05 (48)62% (122)8% (38)1.16 (8)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense1252% (37)43% (53)19.833.7217.26.51115 (86)13 (132).14 (117)1.4 (117)32% (87)36% (17).36 (50)6% (73)1.9 (97)
ND Defense1256% (133)36% (17) - - - - - - 21 (1).09 (8)1.6 (94)36% (12)26% (24).17 (17)9% (3)2.1 (84)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense1243% (13)48% (128) - - - - - - 4 (123).4 (123)1.6 (101)28% (126)32% (98).26 (59)6% (76)1.9 (33)
ND Offense1245% (95)51% (6)18.126.8255.19.514.125 (33)6 (34).45 (12)1.7 (24)29% (37)44% (2).65 (2)5% (33)2 (68)

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -11.30  #114
Purdue's Offense Rating: 4.53  #94
Purdue's Defense Rating: 15.83  #116
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00  #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1%  #88
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -7.8  #96
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.2  #105
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.7  #94

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -11.30   Notre Dame: 28.675

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -7.8   Notre Dame: 24.3




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 28.675  #3
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 27.33  #7
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -10.54  #5
2025 Talent Rating: 1060.00  #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 57  #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 10.0 - 2.0
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 24.3  #5
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 40.1  #7
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 16.1  #11

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 18.8 PPG
Offense on Road: 15.8
Defense: 31.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 34.4

Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 47
Purdue 9


Total Points: 56

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 44
Purdue 23

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 38
Purdue 17

Total Points: 55
Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 42 PPG
Offense at Home: 44.7
Defense: 17.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 10 - 2
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 6 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 4 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 4 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202509/20Notre Dame56Purdue30Notre Dame -24.5Notre Dame51.5Over
202409/14Purdue7Notre Dame66Notre Dame -11.5Notre Dame45.5Over
202109/18Notre Dame27Purdue13Notre Dame -7.5Notre Dame58.0Under
201409/13Notre Dame30Purdue14Notre Dame -29.5Purdue0
201309/14Purdue24Notre Dame31Notre Dame -21.5Purdue0
201209/08Notre Dame20Purdue17
201110/01Purdue10Notre Dame38
201009/04Notre Dame23Purdue12
200909/26Purdue21Notre Dame24
200809/27Notre Dame38Purdue21
200709/29Purdue33Notre Dame19
200609/30Notre Dame35Purdue21
200510/01Purdue28Notre Dame49
200410/02Notre Dame16Purdue41
200309/27Purdue23Notre Dame10
200209/07Notre Dame24Purdue17
200112/01Purdue18Notre Dame24
200009/15Notre Dame23Purdue21
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame1532 Overs
Purdue321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 73 - 22 - 11 - 1
Road Teams7 - 112 - 31 - 11 - 2

(#114) PUR at (#3) ND
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatPURND
Power RatePwr #114 #3
SP+SP+ #96 #5
Perf GradeGrade #125 #5
OffenseOff #113 #5
DefenseDef #130 #7
Spec TeamsST #6 #17
TalentTal #65 #7
Blue ChipsBC% #88 #8
Purdue Notes
(12/18) DC Mike Scherer fired after one season
(11/28) Lost 10 straight to finish, only 3 one score games. Woof
(11/5) 0-17 vs P4 since 2024, 3 of last 4 by one score
(11/3) RB1 Devin Mockobee out for season (ankle)
(10/24) QB R. Browne doubtful vs Rutgers, Singleton meh
(9/22) Punter McAllister is a weapon, one of CFB best
(9/21) Off is fiesty, QB Brown is good. Def outmatched
(8/30) Brown torched Ball St 300+, Run Off awful
(8/22) QB1 Ryan Browne (NC) won starting job
(7/20) 21 new starters from LY, DBs could be v good
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
Purdue Injury Report
Notre Dame Notes
(11/16) Killed Pitt, 10-2 finish likely. Get healthy for CFP?
(11/4) Huge issues at K, missed 2 XP, short FG vs BC
(10/20) OG Billy Schrauth out until at least Pitt/Cuse (3 OL)
(10/18) 300 yds rush vs USC, Pass Def torched, huge Win
(10/16) DL G Rubio out vs SC (best DT) & L Thomas (depth)
(10/13) OC Craig out for season, Irish down 2 starting OL
(10/11) Last 35 Def series, 4 TDs, 9 Ints. 0 2nd Half Points
(10/10) CB L Moore is essential to Irish defense. #1 in CFB
(9/27) Off is rolling, avg 44 PPG. Carr impressive, run great
(9/23) RB Love & Price are incredible, OL improving
(9/21) Freeman sounds exhausted about Def issues
(9/21) Off rising to dominant, QB Carr & WR improved
Notre Dame Injury Report
Purdue on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
PUR OffND Def
Perf GradePerf #113 #7
SuccessSuc #62 #14
ExplosiveExp #75 #89
PPAPPA #103 #13
PowerPwr #94 #5
SP+SP+ #105 #11
Pts POPPO #120 #7
HavocHav #79 #20
Purdue Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
PUR OffND Def
Run GameRun #97 #12
Run SuccessRSuc #72 #23
Run ExplRExp #41 #34
PPAExp #53 #37
Run BlockR Blk #111 -
OL YdsOLY #69 #39
Stuff RateStuff #76 #76
TackleTak -  #14
Purdue Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat
PUR OffND Def
Pass GamePass #77 #9
Pass SuccessPSuc #53 #17
Pass ExplPExl #117 #94
PPAExp #117 #8
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #116 #18
F7 HavocF7 #89 #75
DB HavocDB #73 #3
Notre Dame on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffPUR Def
Perf GradePerf #5 #130
SuccessSuc #10 #131
ExplosiveExp #3 #49
PPAPPA #4 #125
PowerPwr #7 #116
SP+SP+ #7 #94
Pts POPPO #7 #105
HavocHav #36 #77
Notre Dame Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCat
ND OffPUR Def
Run GameRun #3 #129
Run SuccessRSuc #27 #128
Run ExplRExp #8 #18
PPAExp #12 #114
Run BlockR Blk #39 -
OL YdsOLY #48 #122
Stuff RateStuff #100 #81
TackleTak -  #125
Notre Dame Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 45%, Run: 53%
CategoryCatND OffPUR Def
Pass GamePass #13 #122
Pass SuccessPSuc #6 #128
Pass ExplPExl #24 #101
PPAExp #12 #123
Pass Block/RushP Blk #64 #116
F7 HavocF7 #38 #68
DB HavocDB #33 #76
Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to CFB Elites

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Remains Average G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 83° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 4
Notre Dame -24.5 (51.5)
Notre Dame won vs Purdue this year (56-30)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Purdue last year (66-7)

  
PUR's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne (Tr)19933859%21539106.4
Malachi Singleton (Tr)386459%439526.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee12552144.232
Antonio Harris6930524.441
Malachi Thomas (Tr)5324304.657
Ryan Browne (Tr)6620643.126
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Michael Jackson III (Tr)6357019.031
Nitro Tuggle (Tr)34505414.936
E.J. Horton (Tr)27289110.728
Corey Smith (Tr)14237116.960

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Michael Scherer (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tahj Ra-El (Tr)1103005
Mani Powell (Tr)11012532
Charles Correa (Tr)778342
Myles Slusher632103
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mani Powell (Tr)11012532
C.J. Nunnally4211581
Charles Correa (Tr)778342
Jamarrion Harkless132340
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hudauri Hines322008
Smiley Bradford305026
Tahj Ra-El (Tr)1103005

ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr19529367%27412469.4
Kenny Minchey202677%196007.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love1991372186.994
Jadarian Price113674116.058
Aneyas Williams2422459.354
Kenny Minchey784112.034
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jordan Faison49640413.154
Malachi Fields (Tr)36630517.566
Eli Raridon32482015.165
Will Pauling (Tr)26381614.744

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen675423
Adon Shuler522125
Jaiden Ausberry514250
Tae Johnson481003
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore3710780
Drayk Bowen675423
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa488352
Joshua Burnham166321
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Gray1810010
Leonard Moore310007
Adon Shuler522125