Purdue at Notre Dame - 2025 Matchup Preview

Purdue Boilermakers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#24)

Saturday, September 20th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -24.5 (51.5) (-2400) Open: -30.5
Notre Dame 56 - Purdue: 30

Boilermakers (2 - 7) (4 - 5 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 22 - 27 (17 - 31 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

ND 2nd straight Home Game
PUR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -30.5 (SP+ ND -23)
Projected Score: PUR: 12 - ND: 43 (55)
ND Win prob: 95% | Cover: 52%
PUR Travel: 94 miles

Fighting Irish (6 - 2) (3 - 5 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 37 - 20 (39 - 22 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 9.8 - 2.2 (#15)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)

Matchup
Schedules
PUR Players
ND Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Purdue's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Purdue vs Ball State	-16.5	50.5	W 31 - 0	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Purdue vs Southern Illinois	-19.5	52.0	W 34 - 17	U	N
Sat 9/13	Purdue vs USC	+20.5	59.5	L 17 - 33	U	Y
Sat 9/20	Purdue at Notre Dame	+24.5	51.5	L 30 - 56	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Purdue vs Illinois	+7.5	55.5	L 27 - 43	O	N
Sat 10/11	Purdue at Minnesota	+7.5	49.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Purdue at Northwestern	+3.0	47.5	L 0 - 19	U	N
Sat 10/25	Purdue vs Rutgers	-2.5	60.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/1	Purdue at Michigan	+21.0	48.5	L 16 - 21	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Purdue vs Ohio State	+29.5	48.5
Sat 11/15	Purdue at Washington	+25
	BYE WEEK
Fri 11/28	Purdue vs Indiana	+30

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule

Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sun 8/31	Notre Dame at Miami	-2.5	53.5	L 24 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13	Notre Dame vs Texas A&M	-7.5	48.5	L 40 - 41	O	N
Sat 9/20	Notre Dame vs Purdue	-24.5	51.5	W 56 - 30	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Notre Dame at Arkansas	-5.5	64.5	W 56 - 13	O	Y
Sat 10/4	Notre Dame vs Boise State	-21.5	63.5	W 28 - 7	U	N
Sat 10/11	Notre Dame vs NC State	-23.5	59.5	W 36 - 7	U	Y
Sat 10/18	Notre Dame vs USC	-10.5	60.5	W 34 - 24	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Notre Dame at Boston College	-31.5	55.5	W 25 - 10	U	N
Sat 11/8	Notre Dame vs Navy	-26.5	56.5
Sat 11/15	Notre Dame at Pittsburgh	-8.5
Sat 11/22	Notre Dame vs Syracuse	-35.5
Sat 11/29	Notre Dame at Stanford	-30.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	#93 (.13)	45% (43)	22.1	46% (42)	2.85 (67)	142	44% (51)	234	3.33 (109)	#109 (.21)	45% (114)	27	46% (108)	45% (109)	3.55 (61)	50	1.9	0.8
ND	#11 (.32)	49% (15)	37.4	48% (27)	2.94 (51)	189	50% (11)	274	4.51 (27)	#54 (.12)	39% (46)	19.9	40% (43)	40% (55)	3.04 (18)	57.9	1	2.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
PUR	#112 (.11)	41% (96)		42% (90)	3.04 (65)	116	40% (93)	184	3.34 (115)	#134 (.39)	49% (129)		49% (120)	50% (129)	4.82 (134)	51.8	1.6	0.4
ND	#8 (.32)	47% (22)		47% (26)	3.31 (24)	181	47% (21)	160	4.8 (5)	#1 (-.02)	36% (8)		43% (73)	29% (1)	2.75 (4)	42.4	0.8	1.8

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Offense	9	22.1	16.5	44.8%	3.33	1.9	21	376	142	234	4.3	47%	52%	46%	44%	15%	.13
ND Defense	8	19.9	21.8	39.5%	3.04	2.3	-	-	-	-	-	42%	57%	40%	40%	17%	.12

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
PUR Defense	9	27	30.8	45.1%	3.55	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	46%	45%	17%	.21
ND Offense	8	37.4	38.8	48.9%	4.51	1	23	463	189	274	5.4	54%	45%	48%	50%	14%	.32

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Purdue	9	28:21	20.9	39%	65%	5.1	50	1.9	0.8	5.9	2.3	0	27.7
Notre Dame	8	29:36	23.4	44%	40%	6.3	57.9	1	2.3	4.9	2.6	3	31.8

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Offense	9	47% (91)	46% (42)	33	142.3	4.3	11 (78)	.18 (35)	2.85 (67)	63% (120)	10% (80)	1.04 (37)
ND Defense	8	42% (5)	40% (43)	-	-	-	-	.06 (58)	2.82 (80)	69% (49)	8% (110)	0.9 (46)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
PUR Defense	9	55% (119)	46% (108)	-	-	-	-	.12 (94)	3.21 (124)	76% (100)	10% (54)	0.81 (11)
ND Offense	8	54% (42)	48% (27)	35.3	189.1	5.4	22 (11)	.19 (29)	2.94 (51)	57% (131)	9% (62)	1.11 (17)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Offense	9	52% (47)	44% (51)	20.3	33.4	234.1	7	11.5	13 (86)	10 (132)	.13 (113)	1.4 (111)	30% (59)	37% (20)	.31 (72)	5% (38)	1.9 (93)
ND Defense	8	57% (132)	40% (55)	-	-	-	-	-	-	16 (1)	.18 (48)	1.5 (79)	34% (28)	30% (76)	.32 (88)	9% (5)	2 (62)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
PUR Defense	9	44% (19)	45% (109)	-	-	-	-	-	-	3 (123)	.36 (115)	1.7 (120)	29% (109)	30% (73)	.22 (43)	6% (55)	1.9 (40)
ND Offense	8	45% (95)	50% (11)	18.5	27.5	274	10	14.8	16 (33)	4 (34)	.44 (16)	1.7 (20)	29% (39)	44% (2)	.58 (9)	5% (30)	1.9 (96)

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -5.00 #89
Purdue's Offense Rating: 6.21 #90
Purdue's Defense Rating: 11.21 #87
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.0 #75
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #75
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.0 #75

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -5.00 Notre Dame: 26.805

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -2.0 Notre Dame: 21.4

Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 26.805 #8
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 25.55 #13
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: -4.39 #15
2025 Talent Rating: 1060.00 #7
Blue Chip Ratio: 57 #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 9.8 - 2.2
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 21.4 #6
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 39.4 #7
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 18.1 #18

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Purdue Scoring
Offense: 22.1 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 30.8

Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 7
Record vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 4
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Notre Dame 43
Purdue 12

Total Points: 55

Based on Last 4 Games
Notre Dame 44
Purdue 23

Total Points: 67

Based on Entire Season
Notre Dame 33
Purdue 20

Total Points: 53

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 37.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 38.8
Defense: 19.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 21.8

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 6 - 2
Record vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record at home: 4 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 2 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 3 - 5 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Notre Dame	56	Purdue	30	Notre Dame -24.5	Notre Dame	51.5	Over
2024	09/14	Purdue	7	Notre Dame	66	Notre Dame -11.5	Notre Dame	45.5	Over
2021	09/18	Notre Dame	27	Purdue	13	Notre Dame -7.5	Notre Dame	58.0	Under
2014	09/13	Notre Dame	30	Purdue	14	Notre Dame -29.5	Purdue	0
2013	09/14	Purdue	24	Notre Dame	31	Notre Dame -21.5	Purdue	0
2012	09/08	Notre Dame	20	Purdue	17
2011	10/01	Purdue	10	Notre Dame	38
2010	09/04	Notre Dame	23	Purdue	12
2009	09/26	Purdue	21	Notre Dame	24
2008	09/27	Notre Dame	38	Purdue	21
2007	09/29	Purdue	33	Notre Dame	19
2006	09/30	Notre Dame	35	Purdue	21
2005	10/01	Purdue	28	Notre Dame	49
2004	10/02	Notre Dame	16	Purdue	41
2003	09/27	Purdue	23	Notre Dame	10
2002	09/07	Notre Dame	24	Purdue	17
2001	12/01	Purdue	18	Notre Dame	24
2000	09/15	Notre Dame	23	Purdue	21

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Notre Dame	15	3	2 Overs
Purdue	3	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	11 - 7	3 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1
Road Teams	7 - 11	2 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 2

(#89) PUR at (#8) ND

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	PUR	ND
Power RatePwr	#89	#8
SP+SP+	#75	#6
Perf GradeGrade	#112	#9
OffenseOff	#92	#4
DefenseDef	#121	#18
Spec TeamsST	#20	#25
TalentTal	#65	#7
Blue ChipsBC%	#88	#8

Purdue Notes(11/3) RB1 Devin Mockobee out for season (ankle)
(10/24) QB R. Browne doubtful vs Rutgers, Singleton meh
(9/22) Punter McAllister is a weapon, one of CFB best
(9/21) Off is fiesty, QB Brown is good. Def outmatched
(8/30) Brown torched Ball St 300+, Run Off awful
(8/22) QB1 Ryan Browne (NC) won starting job
(7/20) 21 new starters from LY, DBs could be v good
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
(3/20) RB Mockobee starter LY, hopefully more TY
(3/20) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds (3 P4/2 G5)
(3/20) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 3 UNLV portals w/ Odom
Purdue Injury Report

Notre Dame Notes(10/20) OG Billy Schrauth out until at least Pitt/Cuse (3 OL)
(10/18) 300 yds rush vs USC, Pass Def torched, huge Win
(10/16) DL G Rubio out vs SC (best DT) & L Thomas (depth)
(10/13) OC Craig out for season, Irish down 2 starting OL
(10/11) Last 35 Def series, 4 TDs, 9 Ints. 0 2nd Half Points
(10/10) CB L Moore is essential to Irish defense. #1 in CFB
(9/27) Off is rolling, avg 44 PPG. Carr impressive, run great
(9/23) RB Love & Price are incredible, OL improving
(9/21) Freeman sounds exhausted about Def issues
(9/21) Off rising to dominant, QB Carr & WR improved
(9/15) Pass Def is awful. DB depth is huge issue
(9/15) DL a big issue, no pass rush w/ all these DEs?
Notre Dame Injury Report

Purdue on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	ND Def
Perf GradePerf	#92	#18
SuccessSuc	#43	#46
ExplosiveExp	#78	#90
PPAPPA	#93	#54
PowerPwr	#90	#15
SP+SP+	#75	#18
Pts POPPO	#109	#18
HavocHav	#63	#44

Purdue Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	ND Def
Run GameRun	#69	#22
Run SuccessRSuc	#42	#43
Run ExplRExp	#37	#46
PPAExp	#35	#58
Run BlockR Blk	#87	-
OL YdsOLY	#67	#80
Stuff RateStuff	#54	#74
TackleTak	-	#25

Purdue Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	PUR Off	ND Def
Pass GamePass	#63	#41
Pass SuccessPSuc	#51	#55
Pass ExplPExl	#111	#79
PPAExp	#113	#48
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#113	#18
F7 HavocF7	#80	#110
DB HavocDB	#38	#5

Notre Dame on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ND Off	PUR Def
Perf GradePerf	#4	#121
SuccessSuc	#15	#114
ExplosiveExp	#9	#53
PPAPPA	#11	#109
PowerPwr	#13	#87
SP+SP+	#7	#75
Pts POPPO	#27	#61
HavocHav	#44	#57

Notre Dame Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ND Off	PUR Def
Run GameRun	#11	#127
Run SuccessRSuc	#27	#108
Run ExplRExp	#17	#11
PPAExp	#29	#94
Run BlockR Blk	#40	-
OL YdsOLY	#51	#124
Stuff RateStuff	#108	#71
TackleTak	-	#117

Notre Dame Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 54%
CategoryCat	ND Off	PUR Def
Pass GamePass	#13	#107
Pass SuccessPSuc	#11	#109
Pass ExplPExl	#20	#120
PPAExp	#16	#115
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#53	#99
F7 HavocF7	#62	#54
DB HavocDB	#30	#55

Program Comparison
ND 5 Year Profile: Consistent CFP Hopefuls
'25 Profile: Up to Title Contenders

PUR 5 Year Profile: Consistent Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 4
Notre Dame -24.5 (51.5)
Notre Dame won vs Purdue this year (56-30)

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Purdue last year (66-7)

PUR's OC Josh Henson (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Ryan Browne (Tr)	163	266	61%	1822	9	7	6.8
Malachi Singleton (Tr)	19	33	58%	271	3	2	8.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Devin Mockobee	125	521	4	4.2	32
Malachi Thomas (Tr)	39	206	0	5.3	57
Antonio Harris	31	206	2	6.6	41
Malachi Singleton (Tr)	35	177	1	5.1	40

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Michael Jackson III (Tr)	50	456	1	9.1	31
Nitro Tuggle (Tr)	24	353	4	14.7	33
Corey Smith (Tr)	14	237	1	16.9	60
Devin Mockobee	18	215	1	11.9	29

View Purdue's Full Roster

PUR's DC Michael Scherer (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mani Powell (Tr)	81	9	3	1	2
Tahj Ra-El (Tr)	81	3	0	0	4
Charles Correa (Tr)	62	6	3	4	2
Myles Slusher	53	2	1	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
C.J. Nunnally	30	8	5	7	1
Mani Powell (Tr)	81	9	3	1	2
Charles Correa (Tr)	62	6	3	4	2
Jamarrion Harkless	10	2	3	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Hudauri Hines	24	2	0	6
Smiley Bradford	24	5	1	5
Tahj Ra-El (Tr)	81	3	0	4

ND's OC Mike Denbrock (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
C.J. Carr	139	209	67%	2057	16	4	9.8
Kenny Minchey	8	9	89%	95	0	0	10.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jeremiyah Love	141	894	11	6.3	94
Jadarian Price	85	521	8	6.1	49
Nolan James Jr.	8	33	0	4.1	15
Aneyas Williams	6	30	1	5.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jordan Faison	39	518	2	13.3	48
Eli Raridon	24	406	0	16.9	65
Malachi Fields (Tr)	21	400	3	19.0	66
Will Pauling (Tr)	19	332	5	17.5	44

View Notre Dame's Full Roster

ND's DC Chris Ash (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Drayk Bowen	50	3	2	2	2
Adon Shuler	43	1	0	0	4
Tae Johnson	39	0	0	0	3
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa	39	6	3	1	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Boubacar Traore	30	7	6	4	0
Jaylen Sneed	23	5	3	3	0
Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa	39	6	3	1	1
Drayk Bowen	50	3	2	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Christian Gray	17	1	7
Adon Shuler	43	1	4
Tae Johnson	39	0	3