Purdue at Notre Dame - 2025 Matchup Preview
Purdue logo Purdue Boilermakers at Notre Dame Fighting Irish(#24)Notre Dame logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Notre Dame -26.5 (54.5) (-5000)  Open: -30.5
Notre Dame Stadium - Notre Dame, IN

 
Boilermakers (2 - 1) (2 - 1 - 0)
Coach Barry Odom (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 27 - 17 (27 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2.9 - 9.1 (#130)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 3) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
ND 2nd straight Home Game
PUR is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Notre Dame -25.5   (SP+ ND -18)

Projected Score: PUR: 16 - ND: 41 (57)
ND Win prob: 97% | Cover: 51%
PUR Travel: 94 miles
Fighting Irish (0 - 2) (0 - 2 - 0)
Coach Marcus Freeman (33 - 10)
Avg Score : 32 - 34 (40 - 41 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 7.8 - 4.2 (#45)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 2)
 
Purdue's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Purdue vs Ball State-16.550.5W 31 - 0UY
Sat 9/6 Purdue vs Southern Illinois-19.552.0W 34 - 17UN
Sat 9/13 Purdue vs USC+20.559.5L 17 - 33UY
Sat 9/20 Purdue at Notre Dame+26.554.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Purdue vs Illinois+22.5
Sat 10/11 Purdue at Minnesota+20
Sat 10/18 Purdue vs Northwestern+6.5
Sat 10/25 Purdue vs Rutgers+11.5
Sat 11/1 Purdue at Michigan+29.5
Sat 11/8 Purdue vs Ohio State+31.5
Sat 11/15 Purdue at Washington+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Purdue vs Indiana+22.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 3, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Purdue's Schedule
Notre Dame's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sun 8/31 Notre Dame at Miami-2.553.5L 24 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/13 Notre Dame vs Texas A&M-7.548.5L 40 - 41ON
Sat 9/20 Notre Dame vs Purdue-26.554.5
Sat 9/27 Notre Dame at Arkansas-0
Sat 10/4 Notre Dame vs Boise State-16.5
Sat 10/11 Notre Dame vs NC State-12.5
Sat 10/18 Notre Dame vs USC+5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Notre Dame at Boston College-8.5
Sat 11/8 Notre Dame vs Navy-19.5
Sat 11/15 Notre Dame at Pittsburgh-5.5
Sat 11/22 Notre Dame vs Syracuse-15
Sat 11/29 Notre Dame at Stanford-17.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 2, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Notre Dame's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#78 (.17)49% (34)27.349% (43)2.69 (99)12050% (32)2723.58 (90)#90 (.18)43% (95)16.744% (92)43% (88)3.31 (60)38.31.30
ND#74 (.19)43% (75)3241% (87)2.42 (115)11544% (66)2575.27 (22)#117 (.27)45% (104)3442% (85)47% (110)4.69 (113)30.51.50.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
PUR#112 (.11)41% (96)42% (90)3.04 (65)11640% (93)1843.34 (115)#134 (.39)49% (129)49% (120)50% (129)4.82 (134)51.81.60.4
ND#8 (.32)47% (22)47% (26)3.31 (24)18147% (21)1604.8 (5)#1 (-.02)36% (8)43% (73)29% (1)2.75 (4)42.40.81.8



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Offense327.327.349.2%3.581.3253911202723.252%47%49%50%18%.17
ND Defense2344144.5%4.690.5 - - - - - 50%50%42%47%5%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
PUR Defense316.716.743.2%3.310 - - - - - 53%47%44%43%16%.18
ND Offense2324042.6%5.271.5213721152573.549%51%41%44%12%.19

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Purdue329:392551%83%3.338.31.3072.7028.7
Notre Dame229:3620.546%50%530.51.50.510.5129.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Offense352% (61)49% (43)37119.73.25 (62).14 (68)2.69 (99)65% (95)13% (121)0.91 (83)
ND Defense250% (73)42% (85) - - - - .04 (61)2.97 (88)67% (53)2% (136)0.7 (14)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
PUR Defense353% (94)44% (92) - - - - .11 (92)3.16 (109)69% (66)12% (42)0.79 (34)
ND Offense249% (81)41% (87)331153.54 (79).15 (65)2.42 (115)45% (132)8% (53)1.19 (32)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Offense347% (77)50% (32)19.330.3271.7914.15 (54)4 (121).24 (77)1.6 (43)31% (66)41% (26).3 (78)5% (65)1.9 (82)
ND Defense250% (70)47% (110) - - - - - - 1 (87).51 (121)1.7 (100)33% (71)27% (51).25 (66)4% (113)2.2 (107)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
PUR Defense347% (47)43% (88) - - - - - - 0.26 (85)1.7 (96)32% (81)26% (45).22 (59)4% (106)2.2 (102)
ND Offense251% (55)44% (66)19.531256.58.313.23 (90)2 (60).24 (78)1.5 (66)32% (84)44% (18).54 (35)5% (57)1.7 (103)

Purdue's Power Ratings
Purdue's Power Rating: -5.24 #92
Purdue's Offense Rating: 10.07 #82
Purdue's Defense Rating: 15.31 #103
2025 Talent Rating: 754.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Purdue's 2025 Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1
Purdue's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #78
Purdue's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Purdue's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -5.24   Notre Dame: 21.075

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Purdue: -3.2   Notre Dame: 14.6




Notre Dame's Power Ratings
Notre Dame's Power Rating: 21.075 #24
Notre Dame's Offense Rating: 24.26 #20
Notre Dame's Defense Rating: 1.71 #34
2025 Talent Rating: 1072.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #8
Notre Dame's 2025 Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2
Notre Dame's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 14.6 #22
Notre Dame's Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #25
Notre Dame's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #28

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 833
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Purdue Scoring
Offense: 27.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 27.3
Defense: 16.7 PPG
Defense on Road: 16.7

Purdue's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Notre Dame 41
Purdue 16


Total Points: 57

Notre Dame Scoring
Offense: 32 PPG
Offense at Home: 40
Defense: 34 PPG
Defense at Home: 41

Notre Dame's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 0 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 0 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202409/14Purdue7Notre Dame66Notre DameNotre Dame -11.5Notre Dame45.5Over
202109/18Notre Dame27Purdue13Notre DameNotre Dame -7.5Notre Dame58.0Under
201409/13Notre Dame30Purdue14Notre DameNotre Dame -29.5Purdue0
201309/14Purdue24Notre Dame31Notre DameNotre Dame -21.5Purdue0
201209/08Notre Dame20Purdue17Notre Dame
201110/01Purdue10Notre Dame38Notre Dame
201009/04Notre Dame23Purdue12Notre Dame
200909/26Purdue21Notre Dame24Notre Dame
200809/27Notre Dame38Purdue21Notre Dame
200709/29Purdue33Notre Dame19Purdue
200609/30Notre Dame35Purdue21Notre Dame
200510/01Purdue28Notre Dame49Notre Dame
200410/02Notre Dame16Purdue41Purdue
200309/27Purdue23Notre Dame10Purdue
200209/07Notre Dame24Purdue17Notre Dame
200112/01Purdue18Notre Dame24Notre Dame
200009/15Notre Dame23Purdue21Notre Dame
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Notre Dame1421 Overs
Purdue321 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams10 - 72 - 21 - 11 - 1
Road Teams7 - 102 - 21 - 11 - 1

(#92) Purdue Info
Power Rating: -5.24 #92
Offense Rating: 10.07 #82
Defense Rating: 15.31 #103
Overall SP+ Rating: -3.2 #78
Offense SP+ Rating: 24.0 #91
Defense SP+ Rating: 27.1 #70
Talent Rating: 754.00 #65
Blue Chip Ratio: 1% #88
Expected Record: 2.9 - 9.1

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 52%
Good Offense Success Rate of 49%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.58 PPO
Good Run Success 49%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Avg in Scoring Position 3.31 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 44%
Bad Pass Def Success 43%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Poor Field Position

Purdue has lost 1 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Purdue Notes
(8/22) QB1 Ryan Browne (NC) won starting job
(7/20) 21 new starters from LY, DBs could be v good
(5/11) Least exp'd P4 OL in CFB & 91% exp via portals
(4/4) QB - Singleton (Ark) is small/shifty runner. Arm?
(3/20) RB Mockobee starter LY, hopefully more TY
(3/20) WR rebuild. 5 portal adds (3 P4/2 G5)
(3/20) OL rebuild 0/5 back. 3 UNLV portals w/ Odom
(3/20) Def awful LY, 11 portals. New DC (UNLV)
(3/20) New OC Henson was USC's OC past 2 yrs
(3/20) New DC Scherer from UNLV w/ Odom

Purdue Highlights
Purdue offense is good on 3rd downs
Purdue commits very few Penalties (#13)
Purdue defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#)

Purdue Deficiencies
Purdue Can Not Run the Ball (#107)
Purdue throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Purdue Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Purdue has a bad defensive line (#109)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatNDPUR
OverallOver#89#58
OffenseOff#81#48
DefenseDef#95#75
Special TeamsST#99#29
PassingPass#55#32
RushingRush#91#55
Run BlockRBLK#90#74
Pass BlockPBLK#111#103
Route RunningWR Rt#49#37
TacklingTkl#89#69
Run DefenseR Def#67#75
Pass Rush DefPRush#94#100
Coverage DefCov#110#59

Previous Matchups
Notre Dame beat Purdue last year (66-7)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Notre Dame Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: PUR | ND
Depth Chart: PUR | ND
Rosters: PUR | ND
(#24) Notre Dame Info
Power Rating: 21.075 #24
Offense Rating: 24.26 #20
Defense Rating: 1.71 #34
Overall SP+ Rating: 14.6 #22
Offense SP+ Rating: 34.1 #25
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.3 #28
Talent Rating: 1072.00 #6
Blue Chip Ratio: 58 #8
Expected Record: 7.8 - 4.2

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 51%, Run: 49%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 43%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Great in Scoring Position 5.27 PPO
Bad Run Success 41%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Poor OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.69 PPO
Bad Run Def Success 42%
Poor Pass Def Success 47%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Notre Dame has lost 2 straight
Notre Dame has lost 1 straight at Home
Record at home: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Notre Dame Notes
(9/15) DL a big issue, no pass rush w/ all these DEs?
(8/31) Carr is a baller, but OL is not good. Def leaked
(8/19) QB1 will be CJ Carr, beat Kenny Minchey
(6/10) TE Rairdon pot. breakout, but TE position thin
(5/23) Secondary top 5 in CFB w/ a great CB duo
(4/4) CB Moore (So)/LB Bowen (Jr) top 10 via PFF
(3/21) New DC Ash big shoes to fill (Golden-NFL)
(3/18) RBs Love/Price/Williams best in CFB?
(3/18) WR, Greathouse CFP star, Faison shifty
(3/18) WR, can portals Fields/Pauling be weapons?

Notre Dame Highlights
Notre Dame offense is explosive (#28)
Notre Dame offense is good in red zone (#22)
Notre Dame offense is good on 3rd downs
Notre Dame commits very few Penalties (#13)

Notre Dame Deficiencies
Notre Dame Can Not Run the Ball (#126)
Notre Dame Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#112)
Notre Dame Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Notre Dame Defense Gives up a Lot of Points at Home
Notre Dame does not Sack the QB (#130)
Notre Dame has a bad defense (#104)
Notre Dame Does Not Stuff Runs (#114)
Notre Dame has a bad red zone defense (#113)


  
Purdue's OC Josh Henson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Ryan Browne (Tr)568864%786548.9
Malachi Singleton (Tr)2367%29009.7
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Devin Mockobee5823034.017
Ryan Browne (Tr)255922.426
Antonio Harris93604.017
Malachi Thomas (Tr)102102.17
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Arhmad Branch7167223.949
Michael Jackson III (Tr)14149110.631
Nitro Tuggle (Tr)8130216.333
E.J. Horton (Tr)10125012.521

View Purdue's Full Roster
Purdue's DC Michael Scherer
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Correa (Tr)204211
Myles Slusher181001
Mani Powell (Tr)172101
Tahj Ra-El (Tr)171000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Charles Correa (Tr)204211
C.J. Nunnally42240
Jamarrion Harkless41200
Mani Powell (Tr)172101
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Hudauri Hines91002
Charles Correa (Tr)204211
Mani Powell (Tr)172101

Notre Dame's OC Mike Denbrock
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
C.J. Carr396263%514328.3
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Jeremiyah Love3312713.816
Jadarian Price1811326.330
C.J. Carr14110.113
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Eli Raridon9182020.265
Malachi Fields (Tr)8125015.627
Jeremiyah Love87919.936
Jordan Faison75017.115

View Notre Dame's Full Roster
Notre Dame's DC Chris Ash
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Drayk Bowen140000
Adon Shuler90000
Jalen Stroman (Tr)90000
Jaiden Ausberry80000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Boubacar Traore71110
Drayk Bowen140000
Karson Hobbs40000
DeVonta Smith (Tr)10000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Leonard Moore30002
Christian Gray50002
Gabriel Rubio50011