UConn at Boston College - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, October 18th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
UConn -2.5 (58.5) (-130) Open: -2.5
UConn 38 - Boston College: 23

Huskies (9 - 4) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Jim L. Mora (17 - 20)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#23)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 5)

BC 2nd straight Home Game
CONN coming off BYE
BC is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: UConn -4.5 (SP+ CONN -16)
Projected Score: CONN: 32 - BC: 27 (59)
CONN Win prob: 55% | Cover: 49%
CONN Travel: 84 miles

Eagles (2 - 10) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Bill O'Brien (7 - 5)
Avg Score : 25 - 33 (26 - 32 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 2)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 3) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
BC Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	UConn vs Central Connecticut	-29.5	51.5	W 59 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/6	UConn at Syracuse	+7.0	57.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/13	UConn at Delaware	-8.5	52.5	L 41 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/20	UConn vs Ball State	-21.0	53.5	W 31 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/27	UConn at Buffalo	-3.0	51.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/4	UConn vs Florida International	-7.0	52.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	UConn at Boston College	-2.5	58.5	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/25	UConn at Rice	-10.5	48.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/1	UConn vs UAB	-10.0	61.5	W 38 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/8	UConn vs Duke	+7.5	63.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/15	UConn vs Air Force	-7.5	64.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/22	UConn at Florida Atlantic	-6.0	64.0	W 48 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/27	UConn vs Army	+5.5	41.5	L 16 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 7
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 3
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 3
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Boston College's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Boston College vs Fordham	-35.0	53.5	W 66 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/6	Boston College at Michigan State	+3.5	45.5	L 40 - 42	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Boston College at Stanford	-14.0	44.5	L 20 - 30	O	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27	Boston College vs California	-6.0	54.5	L 24 - 28	U	N
Sat 10/4	Boston College at Pittsburgh	+6.5	54.5	L 7 - 48	O	N
Sat 10/11	Boston College vs Clemson	+14.0	54.5	L 10 - 41	U	N
Sat 10/18	Boston College vs UConn	+2.5	58.5	L 23 - 38	O	N
Sat 10/25	Boston College at Louisville	+25.5	54.5	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 11/1	Boston College vs Notre Dame	+31.5	55.5	L 10 - 25	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Boston College vs SMU	+10.5	54.5	L 13 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/15	Boston College vs Georgia Tech	+16.5	61.5	L 34 - 36	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29	Boston College at Syracuse	-2.5	54.5	W 34 - 12	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 5, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 3, Avg 1, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 1, Bad: 1, Poor: 1

Predictions for Boston College's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#13 (.31)	46% (29)	35.3	46% (46)	2.93 (70)	151	47% (25)	277	4.58 (16)	#112 (.22)	47% (126)	27	50% (133)	43% (89)	3.8 (81)	45.5	0.2	1.2
BC	#79 (.16)	42% (65)	25.4	42% (91)	2.75 (107)	104	44% (50)	280	3.39 (98)	#114 (.23)	43% (83)	32.8	44% (85)	42% (72)	3.82 (86)	49.7	1.8	1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)		43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)		42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1
BC	#89 (.16)	41% (93)		41% (96)	2.87 (99)	164	41% (78)	176	4 (58)	#56 (.15)	42% (74)		40% (40)	44% (104)	3.64 (51)	40	1.2	1.8

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	13	35.3	33.5	46%	4.58	0.2	20	428	151	277	5.3	45%	54%	46%	47%	12%	.31
BC Defense	12	32.8	31.9	42.6%	3.82	1	-	-	-	-	-	50%	47%	44%	42%	12%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	13	27	32.2	46.6%	3.8	1.2	-	-	-	-	-	55%	44%	50%	43%	15%	.22
BC Offense	12	25.4	25.7	42.4%	3.39	1.8	21	384	104	280	3.3	40%	58%	42%	44%	17%	.16

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	13	27:00	20.1	42%	72%	4.5	45.5	0.2	1.2	5.8	2.6	0	30.4
Boston College	12	29:16	20.8	39%	52%	5.9	49.7	1.8	1	3.8	1.3	1	27.6

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	13	45% (111)	46% (46)	28.6	150.6	5.3	24 (36)	.21 (28)	2.93 (70)	82% (9)	6% (3)	1.04 (39)
BC Defense	12	50% (73)	44% (85)	-	-	-	-	.12 (81)	2.79 (54)	70% (59)	7% (127)	1.04 (106)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	13	55% (121)	50% (133)	-	-	-	-	.21 (123)	3.37 (132)	67% (33)	10% (68)	0.95 (68)
BC Offense	12	40% (128)	42% (91)	31.3	104	3.3	16 (88)	.05 (104)	2.75 (107)	80% (15)	10% (82)	0.89 (103)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	13	54% (25)	47% (25)	22.8	33.4	277.4	8.3	12.2	30 (14)	1 (1)	.44 (14)	1.6 (51)	32% (74)	29% (84)	.48 (14)	6% (59)	2.5 (1)
BC Defense	12	47% (56)	42% (72)	-	-	-	-	-	-	6 (75)	.39 (120)	1.7 (127)	29% (117)	33% (109)	.36 (99)	5% (104)	2 (76)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	13	44% (18)	43% (89)	-	-	-	-	-	-	11 (55)	.28 (85)	1.6 (69)	26% (132)	33% (116)	.4 (115)	5% (95)	2 (80)
BC Offense	12	58% (9)	44% (50)	23.9	37.8	280.2	7.4	11.7	20 (42)	12 (60)	.25 (67)	1.4 (124)	31% (65)	31% (55)	.32 (64)	7% (99)	1.9 (91)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: 0.38 #70
UConn's Offense Rating: 17.68 #25
UConn's Defense Rating: 17.30 #120
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
UConn's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 3.3
UConn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.7 #45
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #31
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 27.3 #71

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: 0.38 Boston College: -1.08

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: 6.7 Boston College: -9.4

Boston College's Power Ratings
Boston College's Power Rating: -1.08 #61
Boston College's Offense Rating: 10.55 #61
Boston College's Defense Rating: 8.31 #70
2025 Talent Rating: 792.00 #56
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Boston College's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Boston College's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4 #102
Boston College's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.8 #94
Boston College's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.8 #111

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 4 - 1
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0

Projected Score
UConn 32
Boston College 27

Total Points: 59

Based on Last 4 Games
UConn 34
Boston College 22

Total Points: 56

Based on Entire Season
UConn 33
Boston College 28

Total Points: 61

Boston College Scoring
Offense: 25.4 PPG
Offense at Home: 25.7
Defense: 32.8 PPG
Defense at Home: 31.9

Boston College's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 8 - 4
Record at home: 1 - 6
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 3 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	10/18	Boston College	23	UConn	38	UConn -2.5	UConn	58.5	Over
2023	10/28	Boston College	21	UConn	14	Boston College -14.5	UConn	49.0	Under
2022	10/29	UConn	13	Boston College	3	Boston College -8.0	UConn	44.0	Under
2017	11/18	UConn	16	Boston College	39	Boston College -21	Boston College	51.0	Over
2016	11/19	Boston College	30	UConn	0	Boston College -7	Boston College	36.0	Under
2004	09/17	Boston College	27	UConn	7
2003	09/13	UConn	14	Boston College	24
2002	08/31	Boston College	24	UConn	16
2000	10/06	Boston College	55	UConn	3

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Boston College	7	2	2 Overs
UConn	2	3	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	6 - 3	2 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 2
Road Teams	3 - 6	3 - 2	2 - 1	1 - 1

(#70) CONN at (#61) BC

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CONN	BC
Power RatePwr	#70	#61
SP+SP+	#45	#102
Perf GradeGrade	#33	#107
OffenseOff	#12	#74
DefenseDef	#98	#126
Spec TeamsST	#84	#45
TalentTal	#95	#56
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#101

UConn Notes(12/6) Hires Jason Candle (Toledo HC), Mora to Col St
(10/25) Bad L vs Rice, Def mauled for 300 yds rushing
(10/18) Great W at BC, QB Fagano balled out, 5-2 and rolling
(9/1) Fagano good, Off 600+ yds vs FCS. Good start
(3/21) QB Evers started last 1/2 LY. JAG
(3/21) RB Edwards back, Brown good depth
(3/21) WR Sheffield/Bell good combo. Added depth
(3/21) Def OK LY, considering. 12 portal adds.
(3/21) HC Mora great job LY. Tough job, doing well
UConn Injury Report

Boston College Notes(11/16) 500+ yds in L vs GT. Rough, lost season for BC
(10/31) Sounds like Dylan Lonergan is QB1 vs ND
(10/22) Defense near worst in CFB in scoring opportunites
(10/18) LT Bowry, LG Daugherty both out vs UConn
(10/18) L to UConn at home ugly, Pass Def torched, Off OK
(10/18) QB James in for Lonergan (benched). Run Off awful
(10/5) Quit watch: 48-7 loss at Pitt feels like turning point
(10/4) This Def is f'ing terrible. Not much to like about BC
(9/11) Both starting CBs out vs Stanford, DT as well
(9/9) QB Lonergan a baller, Pass Off good, can't run
(8/12) QB1 Lonergan (TR - Bama) beat James for job
(5/15) WR Bond back, Harris a playmaker. Solid group
Boston College Injury Report

UConn on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	BC Def
Perf GradePerf	#12	#126
SuccessSuc	#29	#83
ExplosiveExp	#27	#127
PPAPPA	#13	#114
PowerPwr	#25	#70
SP+SP+	#31	#111
Pts POPPO	#16	#86
HavocHav	#13	#127

UConn Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	BC Def
Run GameRun	#45	#126
Run SuccessRSuc	#46	#85
Run ExplRExp	#39	#106
PPAExp	#28	#81
Run BlockR Blk	#5	-
OL YdsOLY	#70	#54
Stuff RateStuff	#39	#46
TackleTak	-	#59

UConn Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	BC Def
Pass GamePass	#15	#108
Pass SuccessPSuc	#25	#72
Pass ExplPExl	#51	#127
PPAExp	#14	#120
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#71	#101
F7 HavocF7	#3	#127
DB HavocDB	#59	#104

Boston College on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	CONN Def
Perf GradePerf	#74	#98
SuccessSuc	#65	#126
ExplosiveExp	#92	#40
PPAPPA	#79	#112
PowerPwr	#61	#120
SP+SP+	#94	#71
Pts POPPO	#98	#81
HavocHav	#92	#89

Boston College Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#118	#113
Run SuccessRSuc	#91	#133
Run ExplRExp	#103	#68
PPAExp	#104	#123
Run BlockR Blk	#31	-
OL YdsOLY	#107	#132
Stuff RateStuff	#56	#135
TackleTak	-	#109

Boston College Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 58%, Run: 40%
CategoryCat	BC Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#84	#68
Pass SuccessPSuc	#50	#89
Pass ExplPExl	#124	#69
PPAExp	#67	#85
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#68	#87
F7 HavocF7	#82	#68
DB HavocDB	#99	#95

Program Comparison
BC 5 Year Profile: Declining Average G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Alumni Stadium
Conditions: Fair
Temp: 56° - Wind: 6 mph

Rematch from Week 8
UConn 2.5 (58.5)
UConn won at Boston College this year (38-23)

Previous Matchups
Boston College beat UConn in 2023 (21-14)
UConn beat Boston College in 2022 (13-3)

CONN's OC Gordon Sammis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joe Fagnano	284	412	69%	3441	28	1	8.4
Ksaan Farrar	11	18	61%	84	0	0	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Camryn Edwards	210	1240	15	5.9	73
Jayden Brown	32	262	2	8.2	49
Victor Rosa	30	155	2	5.2	31
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman	23	138	1	6.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Skyler Bell	101	1276	13	12.6	80
Reymello Murphy (Tr)	39	446	3	11.4	61
John Neider	27	422	2	15.6	45
Javonte Vereen (Tr)	21	305	5	14.5	50

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Matt Brock (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham (Tr)	125	15	10	1	1
Oumar Diomande	116	8	5	5	1
Malachi McLean	79	2	1	1	2
Cam Chadwick	66	3	1	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham (Tr)	125	15	10	1	1
Oumar Diomande	116	8	5	5	1
Donovan Branch	30	5	4	7	1
Tyquan King (Tr)	41	4	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Mon Brinson	59	7	0	0	6
Tyrece Mills (Tr)	25	2	0	1	5
Cam Chadwick	66	3	1	2	4

BC's OC Will Lawing (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Dylan Lonergan (Tr)	190	284	67%	2025	12	5	7.1
Grayson James	87	151	58%	1196	7	5	7.9

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Turbo Richard	145	749	9	5.2	71
Jordan Mcdonald	94	397	4	4.2	17
Grayson James	54	65	0	1.2	20
Bo MacCormack III	15	43	1	2.9	14

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lewis Bond	89	1010	1	11.3	54
Reed Harris	39	673	5	17.3	57
Jeremiah Franklin	48	489	2	10.2	32
Kaelan Chudzinski	24	313	4	13.0	45

View Boston College's Full Roster

BC's DC Tim Lewis (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
KP Price	93	3	0	3	0
Omar Thornton	82	8	2	1	1
Carter Davis	59	2	1	0	2
Owen McGowan	54	5	1	1	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sedarius McConnell	31	8	3	0	0
Omar Thornton	82	8	2	1	1
Quintayvious Hutchins	36	4	2	7	1
Favor Bate (Tr)	14	1	1	2	2

Pass D	Tack	PD
Isaiah Farris	28	6
Amari Jackson	7	4
Ashton Cunningham	13	3