UConn at Syracuse - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 6th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Syracuse -7.0 (57.5) (-350) Open: -9.0 | 59.0
Syracuse 27 - UConn: 20

Huskies (9 - 4) (6 - 5 - 2)
Coach Jim L. Mora (17 - 20)
Avg Score : 35 - 27 (34 - 32 on Road)
Record Prediction: 9.7 - 3.3 (#23)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 8)

Game in Dome
Our Line: UConn -11.5 (SP+ CONN -18)
Projected Score: CONN: 35 - SYR: 23 (58)
SYR Win prob: 70% | Cover: 49%
CONN Travel: 200 miles

Orange (3 - 9) (4 - 7 - 1)
Coach Fran Brown (9 - 3)
Avg Score : 20 - 35 (22 - 29 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3 - 9 (#117)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 3) (Good: 4) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
CONN Players
SYR Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UConn's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	UConn vs Central Connecticut	-29.5	51.5	W 59 - 13	O	Y
Sat 9/6	UConn at Syracuse	+7.0	57.5	L 20 - 27	U	Y
Sat 9/13	UConn at Delaware	-8.5	52.5	L 41 - 44	O	N
Sat 9/20	UConn vs Ball State	-21.0	53.5	W 31 - 25	O	N
Sat 9/27	UConn at Buffalo	-3.0	51.5	W 20 - 17	U	N
Sat 10/4	UConn vs Florida International	-7.0	52.5	W 51 - 10	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	UConn at Boston College	-2.5	58.5	W 38 - 23	O	Y
Sat 10/25	UConn at Rice	-10.5	48.5	L 34 - 37	O	N
Sat 11/1	UConn vs UAB	-10.0	61.5	W 38 - 19	U	Y
Sat 11/8	UConn vs Duke	+7.5	63.5	W 37 - 34	O	Y
Sat 11/15	UConn vs Air Force	-7.5	64.5	W 26 - 16	U	Y
Sat 11/22	UConn at Florida Atlantic	-6.0	64.0	W 48 - 45	O	N
Sat 12/27	UConn vs Army	+5.5	41.5	L 16 - 41	O	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UConn's Schedule

Syracuse's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Syracuse vs Tennessee	+13.5	53.5	L 26 - 45	O	N
Sat 9/6	Syracuse vs UConn	-7.0	57.5	W 27 - 20	U	N
Fri 9/12	Syracuse vs Colgate	-37.5	64.5	W 66 - 24	O	Y
Sat 9/20	Syracuse at Clemson	+17.5	53.5	W 34 - 21	O	Y
Sat 9/27	Syracuse vs Duke	+4.0	59.5	L 3 - 38	U	N
Sat 10/4	Syracuse at SMU	+17.5	56.5	L 18 - 31	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18	Syracuse vs Pittsburgh	+9.5	54.5	L 13 - 30	U	N
Sat 10/25	Syracuse at Georgia Tech	+17.5	52.5	L 16 - 41	O	N
Fri 10/31	Syracuse vs North Carolina	-1.5	45.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
Sat 11/8	Syracuse at Miami	+28.5	47.5	L 10 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/22	Syracuse at Notre Dame	+36.5	51.5	L 7 - 70	O	N
Sat 11/29	Syracuse vs Boston College	+2.5	54.5	L 12 - 34	U	N

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 4, Avg 3, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Syracuse's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN	#67 (.19)	42% (82)	35.3	43% (82)	3.07 (58)	184	40% (84)	187	4.09 (51)	#25 (.1)	39% (37)	27	42% (63)	37% (23)	3.36 (26)	50.4	1.2	1.1
SYR	#28 (.25)	48% (14)	20.2	45% (57)	2.88 (98)	87	50% (5)	335	4.23 (38)	#107 (.23)	43% (91)	34.9	42% (58)	45% (114)	4.29 (112)	55.3	1.2	1.1

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
CONN		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
SYR		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Offense	13	35.3	33.5	41.8%	4.09	1.2	19	371	184	187	5.2	54%	46%	43%	40%	13%	.19
SYR Defense	13	34.9	28.8	43.5%	4.29	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	46%	53%	42%	45%	17%	.23

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
CONN Defense	13	27	32.2	39.4%	3.36	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	49%	51%	42%	37%	17%	.1
SYR Offense	13	20.2	21.8	48.1%	4.23	1.2	24	422	87	335	3.1	37%	62%	45%	50%	16%	.25

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UConn	13	27:16	19.1	37%	47%	5	50.4	1.2	1.1	5.2	1.6	2	31.5
Syracuse	13	31:06	23.8	50%	67%	6.5	55.3	1.2	1.1	5	2	1	29

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Offense	13	54% (39)	43% (82)	35.7	184.1	5.2	22 (55)	.18 (40)	3.07 (58)	77% (39)	7% (13)	1.03 (45)
SYR Defense	13	46% (23)	42% (58)	-	-	-	-	.12 (71)	3.05 (77)	82% (119)	10% (54)	1.1 (115)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
CONN Defense	13	49% (45)	42% (63)	-	-	-	-	.05 (29)	2.76 (31)	63% (18)	10% (78)	0.89 (28)
SYR Offense	13	37% (130)	45% (57)	28.3	87.1	3.1	20 (67)	.07 (98)	2.88 (98)	78% (30)	8% (30)	0.81 (128)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Offense	13	46% (96)	40% (84)	15.8	28.6	186.8	6.5	11.8	23 (41)	9 (48)	.23 (85)	1.5 (114)	30% (47)	30% (88)	.29 (86)	6% (87)	2 (82)
SYR Defense	13	53% (111)	45% (114)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.35 (113)	1.5 (26)	31% (87)	33% (101)	.43 (113)	7% (44)	2.1 (76)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
CONN Defense	13	51% (84)	37% (23)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.17 (35)	1.5 (37)	32% (72)	26% (17)	.28 (57)	7% (23)	2.1 (97)
SYR Offense	13	62% (5)	50% (5)	28.4	43.4	335.2	7.7	11.8	29 (12)	12 (85)	.37 (18)	1.5 (89)	31% (58)	38% (4)	.34 (70)	8% (117)	2 (83)

UConn's Power Ratings
UConn's Power Rating: -3.23 #75
UConn's Offense Rating: 18.99 #34
UConn's Defense Rating: 22.22 #123
2025 Talent Rating: 594.00 #95
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
UConn's 2025 Expected Record: 9.7 - 3.3
UConn's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 5.1 #53
UConn's Offense SP+ Rating: 32.0 #38
UConn's Defense SP+ Rating: 28.5 #76

Average Talent
Average FBS Independents Talent Rating is 827
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UConn: -3.23 Syracuse: -10.385

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UConn: 5.1 Syracuse: -13.1

Syracuse's Power Ratings
Syracuse's Power Rating: -10.385 #112
Syracuse's Offense Rating: 1.25 #131
Syracuse's Defense Rating: 13.92 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 838.00 #43
Blue Chip Ratio: 6 #49
Syracuse's 2025 Expected Record: 3.0 - 9.0
Syracuse's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.1 #115
Syracuse's Offense SP+ Rating: 18.8 #115
Syracuse's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.0 #106

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UConn Scoring
Offense: 35.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 33.5
Defense: 27 PPG
Defense on Road: 32.2

UConn's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 6 - 5 - 2
Over/Under Record: 9 - 4
Record on Road: 3 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 3 - 2
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UConn 35
Syracuse 23

Projected Total Points: 58

Syracuse Scoring
Offense: 20.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.8
Defense: 34.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 28.8

Syracuse's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 9
Record vs Spread: 4 - 7 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 4 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 1

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/06	Syracuse	27	UConn	20	Syracuse -7.0	Push	57.5	Under
2024	11/23	Syracuse	31	UConn	24	Syracuse -10	UConn	53.0	Over
2022	09/10	UConn	14	Syracuse	48	Syracuse -23.5	Syracuse	49.5	Over
2018	09/22	Syracuse	51	UConn	21	Syracuse -30.5	UConn	74.5	Under
2016	09/24	UConn	24	Syracuse	31	Connecticut -6	Syracuse	58.0	Under
2012	10/19	Syracuse	40	UConn	10
2011	11/05	UConn	28	Syracuse	21
2010	11/20	Syracuse	6	UConn	23
2009	11/28	UConn	56	Syracuse	31
2008	11/15	Syracuse	14	UConn	39
2007	11/17	UConn	30	Syracuse	7
2006	11/18	Syracuse	20	UConn	14
2005	10/07	UConn	26	Syracuse	7
2004	10/30	Syracuse	42	UConn	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Syracuse	8	2	2 Overs
UConn	6	2	3 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	10 - 4	0 - 4	0 - 3	0 - 1
Road Teams	4 - 10	4 - 0	1 - 0	3 - 0

(#75) CONN at (#112) SYR

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	CONN	SYR
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#75	#112
SP+SP+	#53	#115
Perf GradeGrade	#33	#132
OffenseOff	#14	#129
DefenseDef	#94	#127
Spec TeamsST	#86	#114
TalentTal	#95	#43
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#49

UConn Notes(12/6) Hires Jason Candle (Toledo HC), Mora to Col St
(10/25) Bad L vs Rice, Def mauled for 300 yds rushing
(10/18) Great W at BC, QB Fagano balled out, 5-2 and rolling
(9/1) Fagano good, Off 600+ yds vs FCS. Good start
(3/21) QB Evers started last 1/2 LY. JAG
(3/21) RB Edwards back, Brown good depth
(3/21) WR Sheffield/Bell good combo. Added depth
(3/21) Def OK LY, considering. 12 portal adds.
(3/21) HC Mora great job LY. Tough job, doing well
UConn Injury Report

Syracuse Notes(10/31) QB1 will be Joseph Filardi, a freshman w/ 1 snap
(10/31) QB Filardi cannot play at all. Cuse have 0 QBs
(10/24) Backup QB Collins bad, Fr Carney can't run offense
(9/21) QB1 Angeli out for season (Achilles)
(9/20) Off torched Clemson, Def played well. Huge Win
(9/20) Can't say enough about HC Brown, great job
(8/30) Def torched by Vols, Angeli Ok, run game bad
(8/18) QB1 Steve Angeli (ND) wins starting job
(5/23) Cuse were 7-2 in 1 score games LY
(5/7) OL 2/5 back, Avg LY. 2 more have exp, Petry inj
(4/17) Fr OL Washington is 6'7, 380 lbs and can move.
(4/17) Top WR Pena in portal, big loss. Some depth
Syracuse Injury Report

UConn on Offense

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	SYR Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#14	#127
SuccessSuc	#82	#91
ExplosiveExp	#99	#90
PPAPPA	#67	#107
PowerPwr	#34	#69
SP+SP+	#38	#106
Pts POPPO	#51	#112
HavocHav	#30	#52

UConn Run Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	SYR Def
Run GameRun	#29	#136
Run SuccessRSuc	#82	#58
Run ExplRExp	#45	#115
PPAExp	#40	#71
Run BlockR Blk	#3	-
OL YdsOLY	#58	#77
Stuff RateStuff	#83	#74
TackleTak	-	#60

UConn Pass Game

Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 44%
CategoryCat	CONN Off	SYR Def
Pass GamePass	#17	#93
Pass SuccessPSuc	#84	#114
Pass ExplPExl	#114	#26
PPAExp	#85	#113
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#77	#99
F7 HavocF7	#13	#54
DB HavocDB	#87	#44

Syracuse on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	CONN Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#129	#94
SuccessSuc	#14	#37
ExplosiveExp	#68	#26
PPAPPA	#28	#25
PowerPwr	#131	#123
SP+SP+	#115	#76
Pts POPPO	#38	#26
HavocHav	#61	#53

Syracuse Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	CONN Def
Run GameRun	#115	#119
Run SuccessRSuc	#57	#63
Run ExplRExp	#128	#28
PPAExp	#98	#29
Run BlockR Blk	#100	-
OL YdsOLY	#98	#31
Stuff RateStuff	#68	#26
TackleTak	-	#105

Syracuse Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 47%
CategoryCat	SYR Off	CONN Def
Pass GamePass	#128	#48
Pass SuccessPSuc	#5	#23
Pass ExplPExl	#89	#37
PPAExp	#18	#35
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#119	#96
F7 HavocF7	#30	#78
DB HavocDB	#117	#23

Program Comparison
SYR 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

CONN 5 Year Profile: Improving Average G5
'25 Profile: Up to Below Avg P4

Weather Forecast
Playing in Carrier Dome
Conditions: Overcast
Temp: 65° - Wind: 9 mph

Rematch from Week 2
Syracuse -7.0 (57.5)
Syracuse won vs UConn this year (27-20)

Previous Matchups
Syracuse beat UConn last year (27-20)
Syracuse beat UConn in 2024 (31-24)

CONN's OC Gordon Sammis (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Joe Fagnano	284	412	69%	3441	28	1	8.4
Ksaan Farrar	11	18	61%	84	0	0	4.7

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Camryn Edwards	210	1240	15	5.9	73
Jayden Brown	32	262	2	8.2	49
Victor Rosa	30	155	2	5.2	31
Oliver Lundberg-Coleman	23	138	1	6.0	17

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Skyler Bell	101	1276	13	12.6	80
Reymello Murphy (Tr)	39	446	3	11.4	61
John Neider	27	422	2	15.6	45
Javonte Vereen (Tr)	21	305	5	14.5	50

View UConn's Full Roster

CONN's DC Matt Brock (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham (Tr)	125	15	10	1	1
Oumar Diomande	116	8	5	5	1
Malachi McLean	79	2	1	1	2
Cam Chadwick	66	3	1	2	4

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Bryun Parham (Tr)	125	15	10	1	1
Oumar Diomande	116	8	5	5	1
Donovan Branch	30	5	4	7	1
Tyquan King (Tr)	41	4	3	2	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
D'Mon Brinson	59	7	0	0	6
Tyrece Mills (Tr)	25	2	0	1	5
Cam Chadwick	66	3	1	2	4

SYR's OC Jeff Nixon (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Rickie Collins (Tr)	97	181	54%	1042	6	10	5.8
Steven Angeli	97	155	63%	1317	10	2	8.5

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Yasin Willis	129	553	4	4.3	41
Will Nixon	107	432	3	4.0	28
Tylik Hill	24	129	0	5.4	15
Rickie Collins (Tr)	54	126	1	2.3	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Johntay Cook II (Tr)	47	559	2	11.9	59
Darrell Gill Jr.	32	506	5	15.8	43
Dan Villari	39	412	0	10.6	35
Justus Ross-Simmons	20	312	5	15.6	53

View Syracuse's Full Roster

SYR's DC Elijah Robinson (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Gary Bryant III (Tr)	53	5	1	1	0
Antoine Deslauriers	48	3	1	0	2
Braheem Long Jr.	42	2	2	0	2
Chris Peal (Tr)	39	2	0	0	7

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Kevin Jobity Jr.	20	6	5	0	1
Jamie Tremble	10	3	3	2	0
Braheem Long Jr.	42	2	2	0	2
Denis Jaquez Jr.	19	5	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Chris Peal (Tr)	39	2	7
Demetres Samuel Jr.	37	1	7
Darian Chestnut	35	0	3