Wake Forest at Oregon State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Wake Forest logo Wake Forest Demon Deacons at Oregon State BeaversOregon State logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (3:30 PM EDT)
Wake Forest -1.5 (47.5) (-120)  Open: -2.5
Wake Forest 39 - Oregon State: 14

 
Demon Deacons (5 - 3) (5 - 3 - 0)
Coach Jake Dickert (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 22 (25 - 26 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#56)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 2) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
Light Rain Predicted
WAKE 2nd straight Road Game
ORST is playing their 7th straight game
Our Line: Wake Forest -8  (SP+ WAKE -10)

Projected Score: WAKE: 28 - ORST: 20 (49)
WAKE Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
WAKE Travel: 2311 miles, 3 hrs ahead
Beavers (2 - 7) (3 - 6 - 0)
Coach Robb Akey (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 19 - 30 (23 - 26 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.8 - 8.2 (#114)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 3)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 4)
 
Wake Forest's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Fri 8/29 Wake Forest vs Kennesaw State-17.551.5W 10 - 9UN
Sat 9/6 Wake Forest vs Western Carolina-17.560.5W 42 - 10UY
Thu 9/11 Wake Forest vs NC State+7.552.5L 24 - 34ON
BYE WEEK
Sat 9/27 Wake Forest vs Georgia Tech+13.553.5L 29 - 30OY
Sat 10/4 Wake Forest at Virginia Tech+4.551.5W 30 - 23OY
Sat 10/11 Wake Forest at Oregon State-1.547.5W 39 - 14OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/25 Wake Forest vs SMU+6.553.5W 13 - 12UY
Sat 11/1 Wake Forest at Florida State+12.550.5L 7 - 42UN
Sat 11/8 Wake Forest at Virginia+7.048.5
Sat 11/15 Wake Forest vs North Carolina-8.5
Sat 11/22 Wake Forest vs Delaware-17
Sat 11/29 Wake Forest at Duke+6

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 4, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg 1, Bad 3, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 2, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wake Forest's Schedule
Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon State vs California-3.051.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Oregon State vs Fresno State-1.045.5L 27 - 36ON
Sat 9/13 Oregon State at Texas Tech+24.561.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon State at Oregon+33.558.5L 7 - 41UN
Fri 9/26 Oregon State vs Houston+11.548.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/4 Oregon State at App State+1.553.5L 23 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 Oregon State vs Wake Forest+1.547.5L 14 - 39ON
Sat 10/18 Oregon State vs Lafayette-21.056.5W 45 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Oregon State vs Washington State+3.547.5W 10 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 Oregon State vs Sam Houston-21.052.5
Sat 11/15 Oregon State at Tulsa+0.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Oregon State at Washington State+7

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 2, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 2, Poor: 1

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE#111 (.08)37% (124)24.338% (116)2.55 (102)14236% (122)2352.88 (129)#12 (.02)34% (8)21.838% (27)30% (4)3.24 (27)74.81.61.3
ORST#105 (.11)44% (56)19.145% (53)2.69 (89)13743% (61)2153.52 (96)#113 (.22)39% (47)29.942% (67)38% (29)3.46 (46)401.60.8
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
WAKE#104 (.13)42% (81)43% (79)3 (79)13141% (75)2403.2 (121)#118 (.27)51% (134)48% (110)53% (133)4.12 (99)45.91.81.4
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)47% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)50% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Offense824.325.336.6%2.881.6183761422354.248%50%38%36%16%.08
ORST Defense929.92639.5%3.460.8 - - - - - 48%51%42%38%16%.22
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
WAKE Defense821.826.333.8%3.241.3 - - - - - 48%51%38%30%19%.02
ORST Offense919.122.544.1%3.521.6203521372154.147%52%45%43%16%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Wake Forest829:0318.136%50%8.474.81.61.37.52.1132.2
Oregon State931:2320.336%54%5.2401.60.851.6028.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Offense848% (85)38% (116)34141.64.213 (49).07 (90)2.55 (102)75% (47)10% (98)1.06 (29)
ORST Defense948% (39)42% (67) - - - - .1 (84)2.29 (23)74% (85)9% (80)0.98 (77)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
WAKE Defense848% (47)38% (27) - - - - -.01 (19)2.28 (20)66% (38)12% (17)0.85 (26)
ORST Offense947% (94)45% (53)33.7136.74.113 (60).03 (107)2.69 (89)76% (46)9% (54)0.77 (131)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Offense850% (56)36% (122)18.132234.57.312.99 (106)7 (34).18 (97)1.6 (32)33% (106)22% (134).12 (123)6% (75)2.3 (12)
ORST Defense951% (96)38% (29) - - - - - - 7 (55).37 (120)2.1 (136)33% (46)29% (63).44 (122)7% (30)2.7 (136)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
WAKE Defense851% (88)30% (4) - - - - - - 4 (100).07 (12)1.6 (92)38% (7)26% (29).16 (23)7% (48)1.9 (48)
ORST Offense952% (41)43% (61)20.434.7215.36.210.511 (61)9 (127).17 (103)1.3 (131)32% (75)29% (83).14 (116)7% (106)1.7 (129)

Wake Forest's Power Ratings
Wake Forest's Power Rating: 7.40  #53
Wake Forest's Offense Rating: 2.75  #109
Wake Forest's Defense Rating: -4.65  #12
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 3%  #65
Wake Forest's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Wake Forest's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 0.8  #68
Wake Forest's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.6  #102
Wake Forest's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.4  #36

Average Talent
Average ACC Talent Rating is 852.82
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: 7.40   Oregon State: -3.665

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Wake Forest: 0.8   Oregon State: -9.4




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -3.665  #83
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 5.42  #95
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.35  #76
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 3.8 - 8.2
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -9.4  #104
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.3  #107
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.2  #94

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Wake Forest Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 25.3
Defense: 21.8 PPG
Defense on Road: 26.3

Wake Forest's 2025 Record
Record: 5 - 3
Record vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 1 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Wake Forest 28
Oregon State 20


Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Wake Forest 31
Oregon State 22

Total Points: 52

Based on Entire Season
Wake Forest 26
Oregon State 23

Total Points: 49
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 19.1 PPG
Offense at Home: 22.5
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 26

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 7
Record vs Spread: 3 - 6 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 4 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Oregon State14Wake Forest39Wake Forest -1.5Wake Forest47.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State001 Overs
Wake Forest110 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1
Road Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0

(#53) WAKE at (#83) ORST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatWAKEORST
Power RatePwr #53 #83
SP+SP+ #68 #104
Perf GradeGrade #70 #119
OffenseOff #122 #112
DefenseDef #18 #92
Spec TeamsST #10 #135
TalentTal #35 #61
Blue ChipsBC% #65 #65
Wake Forest Notes
(11/5) Ugly L @ FSU, Box score much closer, 11 pen/2 TO
(10/24) Robby Ashford ? again vs SMU, Purdie good vs OSU
(10/7) Great W over VT, Def held Hokies to 263 yds, 7-17 3rd
(9/11) Off fast start vs NC St, 2nd half went nowhere
(9/11) LBs are small, DL has to run fit well or busted
(9/11) Ashford 4 passes for 164, 32 others for 88 yds
(9/5) Def a bottom P5, Kenn St moved the ball
(8/30) Ashford decent #'s vs Kenn., but not an FBS QB
(8/24) QB1 Robby Ashford won starting job in camp
(7/31) HC Dickert good hire, but year 0, real bad
(7/30) OL 0/5 back. 5 portal starters added, all G5
(5/15) 89% of OL exp is from G5 portals
Wake Forest Injury Report
Oregon State Notes
(10/19) QB Murphy benched vs FCS Laf. Were losing at half
(10/12) HC Bray fired after 0-7 start
(10/7) 2 heart breaking L's, Off is improving, WR Walker great
(8/31) Murphy meh, Run Off awful, Pass Def torched
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
Oregon State Injury Report
Wake Forest on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
WAKE OffORST Def
Perf GradePerf #122 #92
SuccessSuc #124 #47
ExplosiveExp #20 #134
PPAPPA #111 #113
PowerPwr #109 #76
SP+SP+ #102 #94
Pts POPPO #129 #46
HavocHav #87 #62
Wake Forest Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
WAKE OffORST Def
Run GameRun #108 #85
Run SuccessRSuc #116 #67
Run ExplRExp #29 #77
PPAExp #90 #84
Run BlockR Blk #132 -
OL YdsOLY #102 #23
Stuff RateStuff #111 #55
TackleTak -  #89
Wake Forest Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 48%
CategoryCat
WAKE OffORST Def
Pass GamePass #93 #94
Pass SuccessPSuc #122 #29
Pass ExplPExl #32 #136
PPAExp #97 #120
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #41 #75
F7 HavocF7 #98 #80
DB HavocDB #75 #30
Oregon State on Offense
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatORST OffWAKE Def
Perf GradePerf #112 #18
SuccessSuc #56 #8
ExplosiveExp #132 #38
PPAPPA #105 #12
PowerPwr #95 #12
SP+SP+ #107 #36
Pts POPPO #96 #27
HavocHav #79 #19
Oregon State Run Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat
ORST OffWAKE Def
Run GameRun #100 #56
Run SuccessRSuc #53 #27
Run ExplRExp #131 #26
PPAExp #107 #19
Run BlockR Blk #103 -
OL YdsOLY #89 #20
Stuff RateStuff #43 #6
TackleTak -  #71
Oregon State Pass Game
Pass heavy Offense 54%, Run: 45%
CategoryCatORST OffWAKE Def
Pass GamePass #86 #15
Pass SuccessPSuc #61 #4
Pass ExplPExl #131 #92
PPAExp #103 #12
Pass Block/RushP Blk #109 #10
F7 HavocF7 #54 #17
DB HavocDB #106 #48
Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Down to Below Avg G5

WAKE 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions: Light Rain
Temp: 59° - Wind: 11 mph
Rain: 0.004
Rematch from Week 7
Wake Forest 1.5 (47.5)
Wake Forest won at Oregon State this year (39-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years
  
WAKE's OC Rob Ezell (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Robby Ashford (Tr)10718359%1298357.1
Deshawn Purdie (Tr)387154%578628.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Demond Claiborne10663986.085
Robby Ashford (Tr)7128744.041
Ty Clark III4012513.113
Chris Barnes (Tr)105205.215
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Chris Barnes (Tr)32492315.470
Sterling Berkhalter (Tr)19296115.651
Micah Mays Jr.17295217.452
Eni Falayi (Tr)15208213.942

View Wake Forest's Full Roster

WAKE's DC Scottie Hazelton (in his first season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Nick Andersen696004
Davaughn Patterson504017
Dylan Hazen455031
Langston Hardy (Tr)4210550
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Langston Hardy (Tr)4210550
Nuer Gatkuoth (Tr)275360
Gabe Kirschke (Tr)225320
Jayden Loving (Tr)257230
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Davaughn Patterson504017
Karon Prunty (Tr)220016
Nick Andersen696004

ORST's OC Ryan Gunderson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)15526559%1746986.6
Gabarri Johnson274461%171213.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Hankerson17980574.565
Cornell Hatcher Jr.4426426.042
Gabarri Johnson2310414.552
Salahadin Allah156204.116
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trent Walker52631012.137
Tastean Reddicks28379013.537
David Wells Jr.28293310.556
Bryce Caufield2014817.430

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas650024
Aiden Sullivan565140
Jaheim Patterson541013
Dexter Foster523041
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jacob Schuster142202
Shamar Meikle286240
Takari Hickle263250
Jojo Johnson155280
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas650024
Trey Glasper181004
Sailasa Vadrawale271014