Lafayette at Oregon State - 2025 Matchup Preview
Lafayette logo   Lafayette Leopards at Oregon State Beavers  Oregon State logo
Saturday, October 18th 2025 (10:00 PM EDT)
Oregon State -21.0 (56.5) (-2000)  Open: -22.5 | 54.5
Oregon State 45 - Lafayette: 13

 
Leopards (0 - 2) (1 - 1 - 0)
Coach ( - )
Avg Score : 10 - 36 (10 - 36 on Road)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: ) (Good: ) (Avg: ) (Bad: 0)
ORST 2nd straight Home Game
LAF coming off BYE
ORST is playing their 8th straight game
Our Line: -6.5  (SP+ ORST -16)
ORST Win prob: 92% | Cover: 53%
Beavers (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (22 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 4)
 
Lafayette's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Lafayette at Bowling Green+21.053.0L 7 - 26UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/18 Lafayette at Oregon State+21.056.5L 13 - 45ON

Total: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Played: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Future: Elite: , Good: , Avg , Bad , Poor
Wins: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:
Losses: Elite: , Good: , Avg: , Bad: , Poor:

Predictions for Lafayette's Schedule
Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon State vs California-3.051.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Oregon State vs Fresno State-1.045.5L 27 - 36ON
Sat 9/13 Oregon State at Texas Tech+24.561.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon State at Oregon+33.558.5L 7 - 41UN
Fri 9/26 Oregon State vs Houston+11.548.5L 24 - 27OY
Sat 10/4 Oregon State at App State+1.553.5L 23 - 27UN
Sat 10/11 Oregon State vs Wake Forest+1.547.5L 14 - 39ON
Sat 10/18 Oregon State vs Lafayette-21.056.5W 45 - 13OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Oregon State vs Washington State+3.547.5W 10 - 7UY
Sat 11/8 Oregon State vs Sam Houston-21.052.5L 17 - 21UN
Sat 11/15 Oregon State at Tulsa+1.550.5L 14 - 31UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Oregon State at Washington State+14.042.5L 8 - 32UN

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 2

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Important Stats (2024)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAF0%100%000%000%35.50%0%0000
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)17.647% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)29.450% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
LAF0%0%000%000%0%0%0000
ORST0%0%000%000%0%0%0000



Overall Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAF Offense110100%00000000%0%0%0%0%
ORST Defense1229.425.348%4.351 - - - - - 56%44%50%45%13%.27
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
LAF Defense135.535.50%00 - - - - - 0%0%0%0%0%
ORST Offense1217.621.743.6%3.871.3223911892014.755%45%47%39%15%.16

Additional Stats 2024
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Lafayette10:000NAN%0%0000000100
Oregon State1233:0922.344%52%5.145.71.313.80.6124.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAF Offense10%0%000000%0%0
ORST Defense1256% (125)50% (126) - - - - .23 (120)3.39 (123)81% (114)8% (122)0.96 (55)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
LAF Defense10%0% - - - - 00%0%0
ORST Offense1255% (33)47% (25)40.3189.24.729 (18).22 (25)3.34 (20)76% (46)9% (50)0.97 (65)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAF Offense10%0%000000000%0%0%0
ORST Defense1244% (13)45% (112) - - - - - - 5 (117).31 (104)1.5 (41)27% (126)33% (102).46 (121)6% (75)2.1 (70)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
LAF Defense10%0% - - - - - - 000%0%0%0
ORST Offense1245% (101)39% (100)1830201.46.711.27 (130)11 (72).09 (125)1.4 (123)28% (20)31% (78).16 (123)6% (84)1.8 (124)

Lafayette's Power Ratings
Lafayette's Power Rating: NR
Lafayette's Offense Rating: NR
Lafayette's Defense Rating: NR
2025 Talent Rating: NR
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% NR
Lafayette's 2025 Expected Record: -
Lafayette's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: NR
Lafayette's Offense SP+ Rating: NR
Lafayette's Defense SP+ Rating: NR

Average Talent
Average Patriot Talent Rating is 0
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Lafayette:    Oregon State: -6.48

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Lafayette:    Oregon State: -15.9




Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -6.48  #73
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 8.61  #96
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 10.67  #49
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00  #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3  #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.9  #126
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.0  #125
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.8  #96

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 650.25
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Lafayette Scoring
Offense: 10 PPG
Offense on Road: 10
Defense: 35.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.5

Lafayette's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Over/Under Record: 1 - 1
Record on Road: 0 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon State 28
Lafayette 19

Projected Total Points: 47
Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense at Home: 21.7
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense at Home: 25.3

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record at home: 2 - 5
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/18Oregon State45Lafayette13Oregon State -21.0Oregon State56.5Over
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Oregon State111 Overs
Lafayette000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams1 - 01 - 01 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 10 - 10 - 00 - 1

(#) LAF at (#73) ORST
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatLAFORST
Net PPPPPPNRNR
Power RatePwrNR #73
SP+SP+NR #126
Perf GradeGradeNR #124
OffenseOffNR #118
DefenseDefNR #106
Spec TeamsSTNR #136
TalentTalNR #61
Blue ChipsBC%NR #65
Oregon State Notes
(11/28) Hired Bama Co-OC JaMarcus Shepard as HC
(11/10) Interim HC Robb Akey fired? That's new
(11/10) OC Ryan Gunderson now interim HC
(10/19) QB Murphy benched vs FCS Laf. Were losing at half
(10/12) HC Bray fired after 0-7 start
(10/7) 2 heart breaking L's, Off is improving, WR Walker great
(8/31) Murphy meh, Run Off awful, Pass Def torched
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
Oregon State Injury Report
Lafayette on Offense
CategoryCat
LAF OffORST Def
PPPOffPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerfNR #106
SuccessSucNR #125
ExplosiveExpNR #31
PPAPPANR #117
PowerPwrNR #49
SP+SP+NR #96
Pts POPPONR #117
HavocHavNR #115
Lafayette Run Game
CategoryCat
LAF OffORST Def
Run GameRunNR #103
Run SuccessRSucNR #126
Run ExplRExpNR #55
PPAExpNR #120
Run BlockR BlkNR -
OL YdsOLYNR #123
Stuff RateStuffNR #108
TackleTak -  #128
Lafayette Pass Game
CategoryCat
LAF OffORST Def
Pass GamePassNR #101
Pass SuccessPSucNR #112
Pass ExplPExlNR #41
PPAExpNR #104
Pass Rush/BlockP BlkNR #84
F7 HavocF7NR #122
DB HavocDBNR #75
Oregon State on Offense
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatORST OffLAF Def
PPPDefPPPNRNR
Perf GradePerf #118NR
SuccessSuc #59NR
ExplosiveExp #124NR
PPAPPA #87NR
PowerPwr #96NR
SP+SP+ #125NR
Pts POPPO #75NR
HavocHav #56NR
Oregon State Run Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat
ORST OffLAF Def
Run GameRun #121NR
Run SuccessRSuc #25NR
Run ExplRExp #65NR
PPAExp #25NR
Run BlockR Blk #82 -
OL YdsOLY #20NR
Stuff RateStuff #11NR
TackleTak - NR
Oregon State Pass Game
Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCatORST OffLAF Def
Pass GamePass #118NR
Pass SuccessPSuc #100NR
Pass ExplPExl #123NR
PPAExp #125NR
Pass Block/RushP Blk #102NR
F7 HavocF7 #50NR
DB HavocDB #84NR
Program Comparison
ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

LAF 5 Year Profile: Consistent Poor G5
'25 Profile: Remains Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Reser Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°
Rematch from Week 8
Oregon State -21.0 (56.5)
Oregon State won vs Lafayette this year (45-13)

Previous Matchups
Oregon State beat Lafayette last year (45-13)

  
LAF's OC ()
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Dean DeNobile22334764%25281977.3
Jason Penza7888%40005.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kente Edwards1991454207.378
Ethan Weber10857085.367
Jason Penza3319525.979
Jakyre Henley4919424.070
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Carson Persing60724412.163
Mason Kuehner52572111.044
Elijah Steward36508414.148
Matthew Scerbo13196315.135

View Lafayette's Full Roster

LAF's DC ()
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Joe Shimko (Tr)131000
Beckham Dee130001
Ryan Gadson120000
Dhonte Jackson120000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Olivier Camerlain72200
Robert Stevens111100
Michael Vaughn31100
Joe Shimko (Tr)131000
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Watson10001
Xavier Johnson30001
Jalen Edwards61001

ORST's OC Ryan Gunderson (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)16027658%1802986.5
Gabarri Johnson6210062%501235.0
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Hankerson247108894.465
Cornell Hatcher Jr.5229225.642
Gabarri Johnson3411913.552
Salahadin Allah197103.716
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trent Walker68823212.143
David Wells Jr.44466410.656
Tastean Reddicks30391013.037
Bryce Caufield2921917.630

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Keith Heyward (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas780024
Aiden Sullivan727151
Jaheim Patterson671014
Dexter Foster523041
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jojo Johnson187380
Jacob Schuster142202
Takari Hickle385250
Shamar Meikle286240
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Jalil Tucker251015
Sailasa Vadrawale311015
Trey Glasper232005