Oregon State at Tulsa - 2025 Matchup Preview

Oregon State Beavers at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Saturday, November 15th 2025 (1:00 PM EST)
Tulsa -1.5 (50.5) (-125) Open: -1.5 | 50.5
Tulsa 31 - Oregon State: 14

Beavers (2 - 10) (3 - 9 - 0)
Coach Ryan Gunderson (Int) (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 18 - 29 (12 - 35 on Road)
Record Prediction: 2 - 10 (#126)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 2) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)

Our Line: Tulsa -3 (SP+ TLSA -4)
Projected Score: ORST: 23 - TLSA: 26 (49)
TLSA Win prob: 50% | Cover: 47%
ORST Travel: 1543 miles, 2 hrs behind

Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 4)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)

Matchup
Schedules
ORST Players
TLSA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Oregon State vs California	-3.0	51.5	L 15 - 34	U	N
Sat 9/6	Oregon State vs Fresno State	-1.0	45.5	L 27 - 36	O	N
Sat 9/13	Oregon State at Texas Tech	+24.5	61.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
Sat 9/20	Oregon State at Oregon	+33.5	58.5	L 7 - 41	U	N
Fri 9/26	Oregon State vs Houston	+11.5	48.5	L 24 - 27	O	Y
Sat 10/4	Oregon State at App State	+1.5	53.5	L 23 - 27	U	N
Sat 10/11	Oregon State vs Wake Forest	+1.5	47.5	L 14 - 39	O	N
Sat 10/18	Oregon State vs Lafayette	-21.0	56.5	W 45 - 13	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Oregon State vs Washington State	+3.5	47.5	W 10 - 7	U	Y
Sat 11/8	Oregon State vs Sam Houston	-21.0	52.5	L 17 - 21	U	N
Sat 11/15	Oregon State at Tulsa	+1.5	50.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29	Oregon State at Washington State	+14.0	42.5	L 8 - 32	U	N

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 2, Good: 0, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Tulsa vs Abilene Christian	-5.0	59.5	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Tulsa at New Mexico State	-3.0	52.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/13	Tulsa vs Navy	+14.0	52.5	L 23 - 42	O	N
Fri 9/19	Tulsa at Oklahoma State	+10.5	54.5	W 19 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Tulsa vs Tulane	+14.5	52.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/4	Tulsa at Memphis	+21.0	54.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16	Tulsa at East Carolina	+16.5	54.5	L 27 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Tulsa vs Temple	+4.5	52.5	L 37 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Tulsa at Florida Atlantic	+4.5	60.5	L 21 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/15	Tulsa vs Oregon State	-1.5	50.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Tulsa at Army	+10.0	43.5	W 26 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Tulsa vs UAB	-9.0	56.5	L 24 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 4
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	#123 (.05)	42% (69)	17.6	44% (67)	2.82 (90)	127	42% (70)	225	2.89 (128)	#74 (.18)	38% (28)	29.4	41% (52)	36% (19)	3.41 (45)	49.9	1.7	0.8
TLSA	#102 (.11)	40% (95)	23.2	42% (86)	2.87 (81)	176	38% (105)	223	3.34 (105)	#64 (.15)	43% (79)	28.9	42% (64)	44% (99)	3.78 (77)	38.2	1.6	0.9

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)		47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)		50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1
TLSA	#124 (.06)	34% (131)		35% (128)	2.88 (97)	151	33% (126)	239	3.54 (100)	#127 (.31)	42% (75)		38% (23)	46% (115)	4.7 (130)	51	1.9	1.3

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	12	17.6	11.8	42.3%	2.89	1.7	20	353	127	225	3.8	46%	52%	44%	42%	16%	.05
TLSA Defense	12	28.9	27.2	42.5%	3.78	0.9	-	-	-	-	-	56%	43%	42%	44%	13%	.15

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	12	29.4	35.2	38.3%	3.41	0.8	-	-	-	-	-	49%	49%	41%	36%	17%	.18
TLSA Offense	12	23.2	27.3	40.4%	3.34	1.6	22	399	176	223	4.4	51%	47%	42%	38%	17%	.11

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	12	31:52	20.4	36%	40%	5.9	49.9	1.7	0.8	5.3	1.3	0	28.3
Tulsa	12	28:33	22.2	38%	57%	5.1	38.2	1.6	0.9	5.3	1.9	0	27.4

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	12	46% (99)	44% (67)	33.9	127.3	3.8	15 (60)	.01 (120)	2.82 (90)	77% (30)	9% (60)	0.73 (135)
TLSA Defense	12	56% (127)	42% (64)	-	-	-	-	.06 (49)	2.92 (74)	67% (35)	9% (97)	0.94 (60)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	12	49% (55)	41% (52)	-	-	-	-	.07 (53)	2.6 (17)	68% (41)	10% (56)	0.94 (59)
TLSA Offense	12	51% (59)	42% (86)	40.4	176	4.4	18 (107)	.05 (102)	2.87 (81)	60% (126)	11% (113)	1.03 (46)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	12	52% (35)	42% (70)	21.7	35.9	225.4	6.3	10.4	14 (61)	13 (127)	.11 (123)	1.3 (133)	31% (73)	28% (93)	.05 (133)	7% (111)	1.7 (134)
TLSA Defense	12	43% (14)	44% (99)	-	-	-	-	-	-	7 (55)	.28 (85)	1.5 (51)	29% (115)	31% (90)	.28 (66)	4% (131)	1.8 (14)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	12	49% (80)	36% (19)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (55)	.31 (95)	2 (136)	33% (42)	29% (69)	.44 (126)	7% (21)	2.5 (136)
TLSA Offense	12	47% (80)	38% (105)	20.1	34.1	222.5	6.5	11.1	15 (86)	10 (108)	.15 (114)	1.5 (104)	32% (82)	28% (89)	.26 (89)	6% (79)	1.9 (105)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -3.18 #83
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 1.36 #120
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 4.54 #42
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 2.0 - 10.0
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -14.8 #121
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 16.6 #126
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.6 #93

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -3.18 Tulsa: -5.955

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -14.8 Tulsa: -11.2

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -5.955 #90
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 2.30 #113
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 8.01 #69
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.2 #110
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #108
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.4 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 17.6 PPG
Offense on Road: 11.8
Defense: 29.4 PPG
Defense on Road: 35.2

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 10
Record vs Spread: 3 - 9 - 0
Over/Under Record: 4 - 8
Record on Road: 0 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 5 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 2 - 6 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 5 - 0

Projected Score
Tulsa 26
Oregon State 23

Total Points: 49

Based on Last 4 Games
Oregon State 25
Tulsa 20

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Tulsa 29
Oregon State 21

Total Points: 50

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/15	Tulsa	31	Oregon State	14	Tulsa -1.5	Tulsa	50.5	Under

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulsa	1	1	0 Overs
Oregon State	0	0	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	1 - 0	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 1	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#83) ORST at (#90) TLSA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	ORST	TLSA
Power RatePwr	#83	#90
SP+SP+	#121	#110
Perf GradeGrade	#113	#57
OffenseOff	#103	#99
DefenseDef	#93	#16
Spec TeamsST	#136	#71
TalentTal	#61	#87
Blue ChipsBC%	#65	#101

Oregon State Notes(11/28) Hired Bama Co-OC JaMarcus Shepard as HC
(11/10) Interim HC Robb Akey fired? That's new
(11/10) OC Ryan Gunderson now interim HC
(10/19) QB Murphy benched vs FCS Laf. Were losing at half
(10/12) HC Bray fired after 0-7 start
(10/7) 2 heart breaking L's, Off is improving, WR Walker great
(8/31) Murphy meh, Run Off awful, Pass Def torched
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
Oregon State Injury Report

Tulsa Notes(11/22) Great fight & finish beating Oregon St & Army
(9/19) Physically dominating Ok St up front both sides
(9/19) Aggressive 4th down Off, QB2 Hayes can play
(9/19) Big program win over OK St. Lamb great job
(9/19) QB1 Kirk Francis out vs OK St (concussion)
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation
Tulsa Injury Report

Oregon State on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	TLSA Def
Perf GradePerf	#103	#16
SuccessSuc	#69	#79
ExplosiveExp	#135	#43
PPAPPA	#123	#64
PowerPwr	#120	#69
SP+SP+	#126	#107
Pts POPPO	#128	#77
HavocHav	#90	#122

Oregon State Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	#118	#13
Run SuccessRSuc	#67	#64
Run ExplRExp	#135	#60
PPAExp	#120	#49
Run BlockR Blk	#70	-
OL YdsOLY	#90	#74
Stuff RateStuff	#24	#77
TackleTak	-	#4

Oregon State Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 52%, Run: 46%
CategoryCat	ORST Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	#106	#36
Pass SuccessPSuc	#70	#99
Pass ExplPExl	#133	#51
PPAExp	#123	#85
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#86	#37
F7 HavocF7	#60	#97
DB HavocDB	#111	#131

Tulsa on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	ORST Def
Perf GradePerf	#99	#93
SuccessSuc	#95	#28
ExplosiveExp	#61	#132
PPAPPA	#102	#74
PowerPwr	#113	#42
SP+SP+	#108	#93
Pts POPPO	#105	#45
HavocHav	#104	#38

Tulsa Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	ORST Def
Run GameRun	#37	#90
Run SuccessRSuc	#86	#52
Run ExplRExp	#46	#59
PPAExp	#102	#53
Run BlockR Blk	#109	-
OL YdsOLY	#81	#17
Stuff RateStuff	#126	#23
TackleTak	-	#126

Tulsa Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	ORST Def
Pass GamePass	#112	#90
Pass SuccessPSuc	#105	#19
Pass ExplPExl	#104	#136
PPAExp	#114	#95
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#103	#64
F7 HavocF7	#113	#56
DB HavocDB	#79	#21

Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

ORST 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 12
Tulsa -1.5 (50.5)
Tulsa won vs Oregon State this year (31-14)

No Matchups Past 4 Years

ORST's OC Ryan Gunderson (in his second season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)	160	276	58%	1802	9	8	6.5
Gabarri Johnson	62	100	62%	501	2	3	5.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Hankerson	247	1088	9	4.4	65
Cornell Hatcher Jr.	52	292	2	5.6	42
Gabarri Johnson	34	119	1	3.5	52
Salahadin Allah	19	71	0	3.7	16

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trent Walker	68	823	2	12.1	43
David Wells Jr.	44	466	4	10.6	56
Tastean Reddicks	30	391	0	13.0	37
Bryce Caufield	29	219	1	7.6	30

View Oregon State's Full Roster

ORST's DC Trent Bray (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Skyler Thomas	78	0	0	2	4
Aiden Sullivan	72	7	1	5	1
Jaheim Patterson	67	1	0	1	4
Dexter Foster	52	3	0	4	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jojo Johnson	18	7	3	8	0
Jacob Schuster	14	2	2	0	2
Takari Hickle	38	5	2	5	0
Shamar Meikle	28	6	2	4	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Trey Glasper	23	2	0	5
Sailasa Vadrawale	31	1	1	5
Jalil Tucker	25	1	1	5

TLSA's OC Ty Darlington (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Baylor Hayes (Tr)	186	316	59%	2159	12	6	6.8
Kirk Francis	53	88	60%	493	3	4	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dominic Richardson (Tr)	212	1065	5	5.0	57
Ajay Allen (Tr)	97	497	5	5.1	40
Braylin Presley	32	215	1	6.7	28
Baylor Hayes (Tr)	95	188	3	2.0	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brody Foley (Tr)	36	521	7	14.5	72
Zion Booker (Tr)	46	418	2	9.1	40
Grayson Tempest	22	272	1	12.4	51
Zion Steptoe	21	272	0	13.0	42

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Mike Gray (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ray Coney (Tr)	128	7	2	4	2
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)	79	2	0	0	4
Zach Williams	73	1	0	0	7
William Alexander	66	1	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)	28	10	7	1	1
Byron Turner Jr. (Tr)	14	7	5	1	1
Nahki Johnson (Tr)	27	7	3	0	0
Ty Cooper (Tr)	25	7	3	1	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Zach Williams	73	1	7
Elijah Green	59	2	7
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)	79	2	4