Oregon State at Tulsa - 2025 Matchup Preview
Oregon State logo Oregon State Beavers at Tulsa Golden HurricaneTulsa logo
Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
at H. A. Chapman Stadium - Tulsa, OK

 
Beavers (0 - 3) (0 - 3 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 16 - 38 (7 - 45 on Road)
Record Prediction: 5.3 - 6.7 (#95)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
Our Line: Oregon State -6   (SP+ ORST -0.5)
Projected Score: ORST: 29 - TLSA: 23 (52)
ORST Win prob: 66% | Cover: 50%
ORST Travel: 1543 miles, 2 hrs behind
Golden Hurricane (1 - 2) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 24 - 23 (29 - 25 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.6 - 8.4 (#122)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 0) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 6)
 
Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Oregon State vs California-3.051.5L 15 - 34UN
Sat 9/6 Oregon State vs Fresno State-1.045.5L 27 - 36ON
Sat 9/13 Oregon State at Texas Tech+24.561.5L 7 - 45UN
Sat 9/20 Oregon State at Oregon+35.555.5
Sat 9/27 Oregon State vs Houston+5.5
Sat 10/4 Oregon State at App State-4.5
Sat 10/11 Oregon State vs Wake Forest+2.5
Sat 10/18 Oregon State vs Lafayette-20.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Oregon State vs Washington State-7.5
Sat 11/8 Oregon State vs Sam Houston-18.5
Sat 11/15 Oregon State at Tulsa-6
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29 Oregon State at Washington State-2.5

Total: Elite: 2, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 3, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule
Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Tulsa vs Abilene Christian-5.059.5W 35 - 7UY
Sat 9/6 Tulsa at New Mexico State-3.052.5L 14 - 21UN
Sat 9/13 Tulsa vs Navy+14.052.5L 23 - 42ON
Fri 9/19 Tulsa at Oklahoma State+13.555.5
Sat 9/27 Tulsa vs Tulane+13
Sat 10/4 Tulsa at Memphis+29
BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16 Tulsa at East Carolina+15.5
Sat 10/25 Tulsa vs Temple+7
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Tulsa at Florida Atlantic+5
Sat 11/15 Tulsa vs Oregon State+6
Sat 11/22 Tulsa at Army+7
Sat 11/29 Tulsa vs UAB-5.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 3, Bad 5, Poor 3
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 1, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 5, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#55 (.24)48% (40)16.344% (68)2.25 (123)7650% (32)2964.23 (55)#89 (.18)37% (54)38.334% (34)41% (73)4 (89)37.721
TLSA#99 (.11)41% (88)2437% (111)2.61 (103)18347% (49)2203.82 (79)#68 (.13)44% (102)23.343% (90)45% (103)3.83 (83)40.71.31.7
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
ORST#87 (.16)44% (59)47% (25)3.34 (20)18939% (100)2013.87 (75)#117 (.27)48% (125)50% (126)45% (112)4.35 (117)45.71.31
TLSA#124 (.06)34% (131)35% (128)2.88 (97)15133% (126)2393.54 (100)#127 (.31)42% (75)38% (23)46% (115)4.7 (130)511.91.3



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Offense316.3747.9%4.23222372762962.842%57%44%50%18%.24
TLSA Defense323.324.544.3%3.831.7 - - - - - 56%43%43%45%14%.13
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
ORST Defense338.34536.9%41 - - - - - 55%44%34%41%16%.18
TLSA Offense3242941.4%3.821.3244031832204.950%49%37%47%13%.11

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Oregon State332:5821.745%60%5.737.7215.70.3029.7
Tulsa328:5724.338%67%6.740.71.31.76.72.7026.9
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Offense342% (115)44% (68)27.3762.82 (109)-.02 (111)2.25 (123)90% (14)10% (86)0.68 (127)
TLSA Defense356% (111)43% (90) - - - - .04 (59)2.62 (51)68% (61)10% (72)0.94 (72)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
ORST Defense355% (104)34% (34) - - - - .02 (54)2.17 (18)67% (53)9% (85)1.14 (102)
TLSA Offense350% (71)37% (111)37.71834.95 (62).04 (97)2.61 (103)59% (108)6% (27)1.2 (30)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Offense357% (26)50% (32)25.742295.7711.55 (54)5 (129).39 (47)1.4 (102)31% (72)33% (54).23 (94)8% (121)1.7 (112)
TLSA Defense343% (25)45% (103) - - - - - - 3 (28).22 (72)1.3 (28)31% (91)36% (114).42 (102)4% (110)2 (73)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
ORST Defense344% (31)41% (73) - - - - - - 3 (28).38 (114)1.9 (121)29% (111)28% (65).55 (119)7% (41)2.9 (134)
TLSA Offense349% (69)47% (49)23.73722069.34 (72)3 (92).2 (89)1.1 (132)32% (85)26% (105).14 (110)7% (104)2 (61)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: 4.95 #68
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
2025 Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 748
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: 4.95   Tulsa: -8.54

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -10.5   Tulsa: -11.1




Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -8.54 #107
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 16.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 45

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 3
Record vs Spread: 0 - 3 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 1
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 1 - 0
Projected Score
Oregon State 29
Tulsa 23


Total Points: 52

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 24 PPG
Offense at Home: 29
Defense: 23.3 PPG
Defense at Home: 24.5

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 1 - 2
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 1 - 1
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Tulsa000 Overs
Oregon State000 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0
Road Teams0 - 00 - 00 - 00 - 0

(#68) Oregon State Info
Power Rating: 4.95 #68
Offense Rating: 13.01 #67
Defense Rating: 8.06 #72
Overall SP+ Rating: -10.5 #107
Offense SP+ Rating: 23.9 #92
Defense SP+ Rating: 34.3 #112
Talent Rating: 772.00 #61
Blue Chip Ratio: 3% #65
Expected Record: 5.3 - 6.7

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 57%, Run: 42%
Good Offense Success Rate of 48%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Avg in Scoring Position 4.23 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 50%
Bad OL Grades, Awful OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Avg Defense Success Rate of 37%
Poor in Scoring Position 4 PPO
Good Run Def Success 34%
Bad Pass Def Success 41%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Good Field Position

Oregon State has lost 10 straight
Oregon State has lost 3 straight on the Road
Record on Road: 0 - 1 (0 - 1 - 0 vs Spread )

Oregon State Notes
(7/31) RB Hankerson a great back, have depth
(7/31) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Will DC this year
(7/31) Schedule front loaded but lots of rebuild opps
(7/31) OC Gunderson great QB coach, 1st time OC
(7/31) DL lacks exp, will struggle up front both lines
(6/14) OL returns 1/5. 4 portals, only 2 clear starters
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.

Oregon State Highlights
Oregon State offense is good on 3rd downs
Oregon State Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#26)
Oregon State Defensive Line is very good (#18)
Oregon State defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Oregon State Deficiencies
Oregon State has a really bad Offense
Oregon State has a bad TO Margin (#116)
Oregon State Can Not Run the Ball (#128)
Oregon State throws a Lot of Interceptions (#129)
Oregon State offense is not Explosive (#100)
Oregon State Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#107)
Oregon State Defense Gives up a Lot of Points
Oregon State does not Sack the QB (#130)
Oregon State gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#118)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatTLSAORST
OverallOver#43#79
OffenseOff#83#68
DefenseDef#5#86
Special TeamsST#65#113
PassingPass#81#51
RushingRush#40#94
Run BlockRBLK#99#68
Pass BlockPBLK#68#70
Route RunningWR Rt#83#41
TacklingTkl#31#108
Run DefenseR Def#5#79
Pass Rush DefPRush#2#103
Coverage DefCov#63#89

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ORST | TLSA
Depth Chart: ORST | TLSA
Rosters: ORST | TLSA
(#107) Tulsa Info
Power Rating: -8.54 #107
Offense Rating: 4.03 #110
Defense Rating: 15.01 #101
Overall SP+ Rating: -11.1 #108
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.7 #101
Defense SP+ Rating: 33.7 #109
Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Expected Record: 3.6 - 8.4

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 49%, Run: 50%
Bad Offense Success Rate of 41%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.82 PPO
Awful Run Success 37%
Avg Pass Success 47%
Bad OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 44%
Bad in Scoring Position 3.83 PPO
Poor Run Def Success 43%
Poor Pass Def Success 45%
Poor Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulsa has lost 8 straight
Tulsa has lost 3 straight at Home
Record at home: 1 - 1 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Tulsa Notes
(9/13) QB1 Kirk Francis out vs Navy (concussion)
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation

Tulsa Highlights
Tulsa defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Tulsa Deficiencies
Tulsa Runs Get Stuffed a Lot (#117)
Tulsa run game is really bad (#111)
Tulsa has a bad defense (#102)


  
Oregon State's OC Ryan Gunderson
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)7612461%893657.2
Gabarri Johnson2450%2000.5
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Anthony Hankerson5119013.726
Salahadin Allah83604.516
Gabarri Johnson51503.07
Cornell Hatcher Jr.110010.010
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Trent Walker23302013.131
Tastean Reddicks15213014.237
David Wells Jr.10151115.156
Bryce Caufield126715.610

View Oregon State's Full Roster
Oregon State's DC Trent Bray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dexter Foster253010
Skyler Thomas230003
Jaheim Patterson170001
Sailasa Vadrawale141000
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Tahjae Mullix (Tr)43100
Thomas Collins52121
Shamar Meikle62120
Dexter Foster253010
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Skyler Thomas230003
Jalil Tucker60002
Trey Glasper60002

Tulsa's OC Ty Darlington
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Baylor Hayes (Tr)365467%324226.0
Kirk Francis335461%318215.9
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dominic Richardson (Tr)5329625.657
Ajay Allen (Tr)1811016.140
Braylin Presley149907.128
Baylor Hayes (Tr)122722.324
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Zion Booker (Tr)2321419.336
Micah Tease (Tr)7119017.027
Mekhi Miller (Tr)95806.48
Brody Foley (Tr)352217.322

View Tulsa's Full Roster
Tulsa's DC Mike Gray
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
Zach Williams200001
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)151000
Tim Hardiman (Tr)140020
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)105401
Byron Turner Jr. (Tr)74410
Nahki Johnson (Tr)123100
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Elijah Green130002
Ray Coney (Tr)362011
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)105401