Oregon State at Tulsa - 2025 Matchup Preview

Oregon State Beavers at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Saturday, November 15th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
at H. A. Chapman Stadium - Tulsa, OK

Beavers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Trent Bray (5 - 7)
Avg Score : 24 - 30 (17 - 30 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7.2 - 4.8 (#48)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 9)

Our Line: Oregon State -12 (SP+ ORST -13)
Projected Score: ORST: 37 - TLSA: 25 (61)
ORST Win prob: 79% | Cover: 45%
ORST Travel: 1543 miles, 2 hrs behind

Golden Hurricane (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (29 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
ORST Players
TLSA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Oregon State's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Oregon State vs California	-3.0	51.5
Sat 9/6	Oregon State vs Fresno State	-6
Sat 9/13	Oregon State at Texas Tech	+18
Sat 9/20	Oregon State at Oregon	+32.5
Sat 9/27	Oregon State vs Houston	+1.5
Sat 10/4	Oregon State at App State	-8
Sat 10/11	Oregon State vs Wake Forest	-6
Sat 10/18	Oregon State vs Lafayette	-20
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Oregon State vs Washington State	-9.5
Sat 11/8	Oregon State vs Sam Houston	-17
Sat 11/15	Oregon State at Tulsa	-12
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/29	Oregon State at Washington State	-4.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 1, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Oregon State's Schedule

Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Tulsa vs Abilene Christian	-6
Sat 9/6	Tulsa at New Mexico State	+1.5
Sat 9/13	Tulsa vs Navy	+10.5
Sat 9/20	Tulsa at Oklahoma State	+19
Sat 9/27	Tulsa vs Tulane	+18.5
Sat 10/4	Tulsa at Memphis	+21.5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16	Tulsa at East Carolina	+12.5
Sat 10/25	Tulsa vs Temple	-3
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Tulsa at Florida Atlantic	+6.5
Sat 11/15	Tulsa vs Oregon State	+12
Sat 11/22	Tulsa at Army	+16.5
Sat 11/29	Tulsa vs UAB	+0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST	#87 (.16)	44% (59)	24.3	47% (25)	3.34 (20)	189	39% (100)	201	3.87 (75)	#117 (.27)	48% (125)	29.9	50% (126)	45% (112)	4.35 (117)	45.7	1.3	1
TLSA	#124 (.06)	34% (131)	25	35% (128)	2.88 (97)	151	33% (126)	239	3.54 (100)	#127 (.31)	42% (75)	42.5	38% (23)	46% (115)	4.7 (130)	51	1.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
ORST		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Offense	12	24.3	16.6	43.6%	3.87	1.3	22	391	189	201	4.7	55%	45%	47%	39%	15%	.16
TLSA Defense	12	42.5	44.7	42.2%	4.7	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	38%	46%	15%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
ORST Defense	12	29.9	29.6	48%	4.35	1	-	-	-	-	-	56%	44%	50%	45%	13%	.27
TLSA Offense	12	25	28.7	34.1%	3.54	1.9	20	390	151	239	4	47%	53%	35%	33%	18%	.06

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Oregon State	12	33:09	22.3	44%	52%	5.1	45.7	1.3	1	3.8	0.6	1	24.9
Tulsa	12	29:44	20.4	37%	32%	5.9	51	1.9	1.3	6.6	1.5	3	28.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Offense	12	55% (33)	47% (25)	40.3	189.2	4.7	29 (18)	.22 (25)	3.34 (20)	76% (46)	9% (50)	0.97 (65)
TLSA Defense	12	48% (40)	38% (23)	-	-	-	-	.11 (65)	2.82 (40)	69% (42)	11% (42)	1.2 (130)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
ORST Defense	12	56% (125)	50% (126)	-	-	-	-	.23 (120)	3.39 (123)	81% (114)	8% (122)	0.96 (55)
TLSA Offense	12	47% (93)	35% (128)	37.5	151.4	4	11 (116)	-.03 (125)	2.88 (97)	74% (65)	12% (110)	0.9 (102)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Offense	12	45% (101)	39% (100)	18	30	201.4	6.7	11.2	7 (130)	11 (72)	.09 (125)	1.4 (123)	28% (20)	31% (78)	.16 (123)	6% (84)	1.8 (124)
TLSA Defense	12	52% (97)	46% (115)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.51 (131)	1.9 (133)	32% (64)	33% (100)	.45 (118)	4% (130)	2.3 (132)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
ORST Defense	12	44% (13)	45% (112)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (117)	.31 (104)	1.5 (41)	27% (126)	33% (102)	.46 (121)	6% (75)	2.1 (70)
TLSA Offense	12	53% (43)	33% (126)	20.7	36.4	238.6	6.6	11.5	23 (41)	12 (85)	.16 (104)	1.8 (21)	34% (116)	22% (131)	.17 (118)	6% (77)	2.2 (16)

Oregon State's Power Ratings
Oregon State's Power Rating: -4.25 #79
Oregon State's Offense Rating: 13.86 #69
Oregon State's Defense Rating: 18.11 #88
2025 Talent Rating: 758.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #70
Oregon State's 2025 Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8
Oregon State's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #73
Oregon State's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #56
Oregon State's Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #85

Average Talent
Average Pac-12 Talent Rating is 669
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -4.25 Tulsa: -15.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Oregon State: -2.4 Tulsa: -15.6

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -15.125 #123
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 3.21 #126
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 22.86 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #80
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #120
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #103
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 528.57
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Oregon State Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 16.6
Defense: 29.9 PPG
Defense on Road: 29.6

Oregon State's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
Oregon State 37
Tulsa 25

Projected Total Points: 61

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.7

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulsa	0	0	0 Overs
Oregon State	0	0	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0	0 - 0

(#79) Oregon State Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -4.25 #79
Offense Rating: 13.86 #69
Defense Rating: 18.11 #88
Overall SP+ Rating: -2.4 #73
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #56
Defense SP+ Rating: 30.3 #85
Talent Rating: 758.00 #58
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #70
Expected Record: 7.2 - 4.8

Team Profile
Run heavy Offense 55%, Pass: 45%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 44%
Bad Offensive Explosiveness
Bad in Scoring Position 3.87 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Poor Pass Success 39%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Awful Defense Success Rate of 48%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.35 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 50%
Awful Pass Def Success 45%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Oregon State Notes
(5/10) QB G Johnson is fast and will get packages
(5/10) OL is a big concern. Depth, Spring injuries
(5/10) Big TEs, but looking for deep ball w/ WR core
(5/10) DC Heyward left for Cal DBs? Bray will DC TY
(5/10) Schedule really front loaded, rough start
(5/10) OC Gunderson 1st time calling plays
(3/22) RB Hankerson (1k LY) back, Allah has exp
(3/22) WR returns most, Walker + TE Terry.
(3/22) Def bad LY, returns a lot. Needs DE/CB
(3/22) Bray 1st yr finished 1-6. Team looks better TY

Oregon State Ratings Matchup Tulsa

Power #79

#123

Off #69

#126

Def #88

#108

Talent #58

#92

SP+ #73

#120

SP+ Off #56

#103

SP+ Def #85

#124

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: ORST | TLSA
Depth Chart: ORST | TLSA
Rosters: ORST | TLSA

(#123) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.125 #123
Offense Rating: 3.21 #126
Defense Rating: 22.86 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124
Talent Rating: 560.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #80
Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulsa Notes
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation

Oregon State's OC Ryan Gunderson

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Maalik Murphy (Tr)	254	421	60%	2932	26	12	7.0
Gabarri Johnson	15	29	52%	174	0	1	6.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Anthony Hankerson	232	1082	15	4.7	83
Salahadin Allah	55	258	1	4.7	21
Marquis Crosby (Tr)	57	224	1	3.9	31
Gabarri Johnson	26	106	1	4.1	23

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Trent Walker	81	901	2	11.1	43
Jermaine Terry II	23	375	1	16.3	43
Darrius Clemons	25	292	2	11.7	44
Tastean Reddicks	17	222	0	13.1	29

View Oregon State's Full Roster

Oregon State's DC Trent Bray

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Skyler Thomas	81	0	0	0	9
Nikko Taylor	46	8	3	7	3
Dexter Foster	43	2	1	2	0
Tyrice Ivy Jr.	35	1	0	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Nikko Taylor	46	8	3	7	3
Oluwaseyi Omotosho	14	1	1	6	0
Dexter Foster	43	2	1	2	0
Semisi Saluni	34	5	1	3	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Skyler Thomas	81	0	0	0	9
Sailasa Vadrawale	30	1	0	0	4
Nikko Taylor	46	8	3	7	3

Tulsa's OC Ty Darlington

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kirk Francis	149	253	59%	1585	9	6	6.3
Stephen Kittleman	3	3	100%	51	0	0	17.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Viron Ellison Jr.	62	353	1	5.7	32
Ajay Allen (Tr)	24	183	2	7.6	56
Sevion Morrison (Tr)	27	164	2	6.1	38
Dominic Richardson (Tr)	31	109	0	3.5	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zion Steptoe	15	203	0	13.5	34
Grayson Tempest	16	138	0	8.6	43
CJ Johnson II	11	121	0	11.0	23
Viron Ellison Jr.	14	90	1	6.4	23

View Tulsa's Full Roster

Tulsa's DC Mike Gray

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Drew	45	1	0	0	2
Chris Thompson Jr.	44	5	1	1	0
Nunu Campbell	38	1	0	0	2
Buddha Garrett	38	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)	21	3	3	2	1
Joah Cash (Tr)	16	3	2	1	1
Ashton Williams	19	2	1	0	0
Elijah Wilson	19	4	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Keuan Parker	20	0	4
Buddha Garrett	38	1	3
Jordan Drew	45	1	2