Iowa at Wisconsin - 2025 Matchup Preview
Iowa logo Iowa Hawkeyes at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, October 11th 2025 (7:00 PM EDT)
Iowa -5.5 (37.5) (-230)  Open: -2.5
Iowa 37 - Wisconsin: 0  (Big Ten)

 
Hawkeyes (9 - 4) (9 - 3 - 1)
Coach Kirk Ferentz (204 - 123)
Avg Score : 29 - 16 (30 - 17 on Road)
Record Prediction: 8.4 - 4.6 (#50)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 1)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 1) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
IOWA coming off BYE
Our Line: Iowa -18.5  (SP+ IOWA -22)

Projected Score: IOWA: 30 - WIS: 11 (41)
IOWA Win prob: 67% | Cover: 51%
IOWA Travel: 146 miles
Badgers (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 1) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 1) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 1)
 
Iowa's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Iowa vs UAlbany-39.548.5W 34 - 7UN
Sat 9/6 Iowa at Iowa State+3.043.0L 13 - 16UY
Sat 9/13 Iowa vs Massachusetts-35.544.5W 47 - 7OY
Fri 9/19 Iowa at Rutgers-2.546.5W 38 - 28OY
Sat 9/27 Iowa vs Indiana+9.547.5L 15 - 20UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/11 Iowa at Wisconsin-5.537.5W 37 - 0UY
Sat 10/18 Iowa vs Penn State-3.541.5W 25 - 24ON
Sat 10/25 Iowa vs Minnesota-7.539.5W 41 - 3OY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Iowa vs Oregon+4.541.5L 16 - 18UY
Sat 11/15 Iowa at USC+6.548.5L 21 - 26UY
Sat 11/22 Iowa vs Michigan State-17.543.0W 20 - 17UN
Fri 11/28 Iowa at Nebraska-5.538.5W 40 - 16OY
Wed 12/31 Iowa vs Vanderbilt+3.047.5W 34 - 27OY

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 1, Avg 4, Bad 1, Poor 1
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 1, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Iowa's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.540.5W 17 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-28.545.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-10.544.5L 10 - 27UN
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+17.542.5L 10 - 24UY
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+5.537.5L 0 - 37UN
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+24.541.5L 0 - 34UN
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+31.544.5L 7 - 21UY
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington+10.544.5W 13 - 10UY
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+28.543.5L 7 - 31UY
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+8.542.5W 27 - 10UY
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota-2.538.5L 7 - 17UN

Total: Elite: 4, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule
Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#76 (.16)44% (47)29.349% (15)3.41 (7)16438% (107)1274.39 (25)#19 (.06)39% (35)16.141% (58)38% (32)3.27 (35)26.10.91.1
WIS#132 (.01)35% (130)12.834% (132)2.82 (94)11838% (109)1362.28 (135)#88 (.19)45% (112)21.644% (91)46% (119)3.13 (26)30.11.30.5
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
IOWA#100 (.14)42% (72)44% (63)2.92 (89)18540% (94)1213.77 (84)#30 (.11)42% (72)46% (97)39% (51)3.37 (27)26.30.81.8
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)46% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)45% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Offense1329.329.844.4%4.390.9162911641274.660%38%49%38%11%.16
WIS Defense1221.618.344.8%3.130.5 - - - - - 47%51%44%46%13%.19
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
IOWA Defense1316.117.238.9%3.271.1 - - - - - 50%48%41%38%17%.06
WIS Offense1212.815.635.4%2.281.3142551181363.456%42%34%38%18%.01

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Iowa1328:581643%67%2.626.10.91.14.41.6533
Wisconsin1230:3714.132%67%3.630.11.30.55.12.6128.3
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Offense1360% (12)49% (15)35.9164.14.626 (23).2 (29)3.41 (7)83% (5)8% (32)0.87 (112)
WIS Defense1247% (34)44% (91) - - - - .06 (46)2.75 (44)71% (69)9% (89)0.86 (17)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
IOWA Defense1350% (63)41% (58) - - - - .07 (51)2.87 (68)69% (51)10% (49)0.87 (23)
WIS Offense1256% (26)34% (132)35.1118.33.49 (122).04 (107)2.82 (94)66% (105)12% (122)1.05 (37)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Offense1338% (126)38% (107)12.620.3126.86.310.110 (128)7 (60).19 (100)1.5 (92)26% (13)25% (120).13 (126)3% (4)1.8 (120)
WIS Defense1251% (100)46% (119) - - - - - - 5 (75).33 (107)1.4 (12)30% (96)29% (67).34 (91)4% (133)2 (72)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
IOWA Defense1348% (67)38% (32) - - - - - - 11 (38).14 (23)1.3 (4)29% (112)23% (5).17 (19)7% (31)1.9 (47)
WIS Offense1242% (113)38% (109)13.122.7136.4610.49 (114)13 (119).03 (131)1.5 (105)33% (101)25% (119).2 (107)7% (94)2.1 (48)

Iowa's Power Ratings
Iowa's Power Rating: 18.78  #20
Iowa's Offense Rating: 14.86  #41
Iowa's Defense Rating: -3.92  #20
2025 Talent Rating: 840.00  #41
Blue Chip Ratio: 14%  #33
Iowa's 2025 Expected Record: 8.4 - 4.6
Iowa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 17.5  #15
Iowa's Offense SP+ Rating: 31.2  #48
Iowa's Defense SP+ Rating: 14.3  #7

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 18.78   Wisconsin: -0.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Iowa: 17.5   Wisconsin: -4.6




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: -0.53  #75
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 1.15  #121
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 2.61  #34
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00  #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24  #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6  #87
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6  #122
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8  #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76


Iowa Scoring
Offense: 29.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 29.8
Defense: 16.1 PPG
Defense on Road: 17.2

Iowa's 2025 Record
Record: 9 - 4
Record vs Spread: 9 - 3 - 1
Over/Under Record: 6 - 7
Record on Road: 4 - 2
Record vs Spread on Road: 4 - 0 - 1
Record as Fav vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Road Fav vs Spread: 3 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Iowa 30
Wisconsin 11


Total Points: 41

Based on Last 4 Games
Iowa 24
Wisconsin 21

Total Points: 45

Based on Entire Season
Iowa 25
Wisconsin 16

Total Points: 41
Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 5 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202510/11Wisconsin0Iowa37Iowa -5.5Iowa37.5Under
202411/02Iowa42Wisconsin10Iowa -2.5Iowa40.0Over
202310/14Wisconsin6Iowa15Wisconsin -8.0Iowa33.5Under
202211/12Iowa24Wisconsin10Iowa -1.0Iowa35.5Under
202110/30Wisconsin27Iowa7Wisconsin -3Wisconsin35.5Under
202012/12Iowa28Wisconsin7Wisconsin -1Iowa39.0Under
201911/09Wisconsin24Iowa22Wisconsin -7.5Iowa36.5Over
201809/22Iowa17Wisconsin28Wisconsin -3Wisconsin43.5Over
201711/11Wisconsin38Iowa14Wisconsin -11.5Wisconsin45.0Over
201610/22Iowa9Wisconsin17Wisconsin -2.5Wisconsin43.0Under
201510/03Wisconsin6Iowa10Wisconsin -8Iowa46.0Under
201411/22Iowa24Wisconsin26Wisconsin -8.5Iowa0
201311/02Iowa9Wisconsin28Wisconsin -7Wisconsin0
201010/23Iowa30Wisconsin31
200910/17Wisconsin10Iowa20
200810/18Iowa38Wisconsin16
200709/22Wisconsin17Iowa13
200611/11Iowa21Wisconsin24
200511/12Wisconsin10Iowa20
200411/20Iowa30Wisconsin7
200311/22Wisconsin21Iowa27
200211/02Iowa20Wisconsin3
200111/03Wisconsin34Iowa28
200010/27Iowa7Wisconsin13
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin1254 Overs
Iowa1287 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams11 - 136 - 74 - 32 - 4
Road Teams13 - 117 - 64 - 23 - 4

(#20) IOWA at (#75) WIS
Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCatIOWAWIS
Power RatePwr #20 #75
SP+SP+ #15 #87
Perf GradeGrade #9 #108
OffenseOff #8 #128
DefenseDef #18 #56
Spec TeamsST #8 #51
TalentTal #41 #35
Blue ChipsBC% #33 #24
Iowa Notes
(11/28) Killed Neb to finish 8-4, 6-3 in B1G. Good season
(11/22) Stop L streak with comeback vs MSU. Found a way
(11/16) 2 hard L's to Ducks/USC. 6-4 feels crossroad-ish
(10/27) 41 pts on < 300 yds vs Minn. Def was incredible
(10/22) Least penalized team in CFB, both for & against
(10/19) Tired Off, beat PSU by 1 w/ backup QB. Def good
(10/8) QB Gronowski trending towards playing vs Wisc
(9/29) Off awful vs IU, sub 300 yds. Run Def great, Off bad
(9/29) Lost 11 straight vs ranked opps thru IU game
(9/19) QB Gronowski limited but improving. WR suck
(9/19) If refs call Def holding these CB's are cooked
(9/10) Starting TE Ostrenga out for the season
Iowa Injury Report
Wisconsin Notes
(11/10) Fr LB Mason Posa was unreal vs Wash. Big future
(11/6) Fickell will return in '26. NIL $ coming
(10/12) Tire fire. Off has scored 34 pts vs four P4 teams
(10/8) QB O'Neil 3rd string now? Edwards (inj), Simmons #2
(10/4) QB1 is now Hunter Simmons, looks better than others
(9/20) Run Off pitiful, Pass Def bad vs MD. Bad loss
(9/18) QB1 Edwards game time decision for MD
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
Wisconsin Injury Report
Iowa on Offense
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
IOWA OffWIS Def
Perf GradePerf #8 #56
SuccessSuc #47 #112
ExplosiveExp #133 #18
PPAPPA #76 #88
PowerPwr #41 #34
SP+SP+ #48 #37
Pts POPPO #25 #26
HavocHav #6 #120
Iowa Run Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
IOWA OffWIS Def
Run GameRun #30 #51
Run SuccessRSuc #15 #91
Run ExplRExp #112 #17
PPAExp #29 #46
Run BlockR Blk #1 -
OL YdsOLY #7 #44
Stuff RateStuff #7 #24
TackleTak -  #76
Iowa Pass Game
Very Run heavy Offense 60%, Pass: 38%
CategoryCat
IOWA OffWIS Def
Pass GamePass #56 #106
Pass SuccessPSuc #107 #119
Pass ExplPExl #92 #12
PPAExp #100 #107
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk #4 #34
F7 HavocF7 #32 #89
DB HavocDB #4 #133
Wisconsin on Offense
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWIS OffIOWA Def
Perf GradePerf #128 #18
SuccessSuc #130 #35
ExplosiveExp #76 #3
PPAPPA #132 #19
PowerPwr #121 #20
SP+SP+ #122 #7
Pts POPPO #135 #35
HavocHav #119 #44
Wisconsin Run Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat
WIS OffIOWA Def
Run GameRun #125 #62
Run SuccessRSuc #132 #58
Run ExplRExp #37 #23
PPAExp #107 #51
Run BlockR Blk #106 -
OL YdsOLY #94 #68
Stuff RateStuff #72 #69
TackleTak -  #92
Wisconsin Pass Game
Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCatWIS OffIOWA Def
Pass GamePass #135 #24
Pass SuccessPSuc #109 #32
Pass ExplPExl #105 #4
PPAExp #131 #23
Pass Block/RushP Blk #83 #7
F7 HavocF7 #122 #49
DB HavocDB #94 #31
Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

IOWA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Top 25 Contenders
'25 Profile: Up to CFP Hopefuls

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Clear
Temp: 61° - Wind: 7 mph
Rematch from Week 7
Iowa 5.5 (37.5)
Iowa won at Wisconsin this year (37-0)

Previous Matchups
Iowa beat Wisconsin last year (42-10)
Iowa beat Wisconsin in 2023 (15-6)
Iowa beat Wisconsin in 2022 (24-10)

  
IOWA's OC Tim Lester (in his second season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Mark Gronowski (Tr)15024063%1529866.4
Hank Brown (Tr)112152%107115.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Kamari Moulton15678345.034
Mark Gronowski (Tr)120491154.167
Jaziun Patterson5729905.217
Xavier Williams4426035.943
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
DJ Vonnahme22288213.143
Sam Phillips (Tr)16261016.345
Jacob Gill22260111.844
Reece Vander Zee11186116.929

View Iowa's Full Roster

IOWA's DC Phil Parker (been DC for 3 years)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Karson Sharar7810251
Xavier Nwankpa691010
Koen Entringer694013
Zach Lutmer686106
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Max Llewellyn239675
Ethan Hurkett339620
Aaron Graves367531
Karson Sharar7810251
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
TJ Hall390008
Zach Lutmer686106
Deshaun Lee341006

WIS's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Hunter Simmons6211853%664275.6
Danny O'Neil (Tr)619068%635557.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Darrion Dupree8336324.484
Dilin Jones7630023.916
Gideon Ituka6025504.318
Trech Kekahuna1412919.261
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Lance Mason (Tr)30398413.345
Vinny Anthony31391112.667
Trech Kekahuna2621108.145
Jayden Ballard (Tr)7150221.458

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Mason Posa574424
Cooper Catalano565111
Matthew Jung491000
Christian Alliegro488401
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Darryl Peterson3312733
Mason Reiger (Tr)326541
Mason Posa574424
Christian Alliegro488401
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricardo Hallman271005
Mason Posa574424
Austin Brown410003