Maryland at Wisconsin - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -10.5 (44.5) (-410) Open: -7.5
Maryland 27 - Wisconsin: 10 (Big Ten)

Terrapins (4 - 8) (5 - 7 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (33 - 41)
Avg Score : 24 - 27 (18 - 22 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

WIS is playing their 4th straight game
MD is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Maryland -1.5 (SP+ MD -4)
Projected Score: MD: 22 - WIS: 21 (43)
WIS Win prob: 76% | Cover: 44%
MD Travel: 707 miles, 1 hrs ahead

Badgers (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 13 - 22 (16 - 18 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)

Matchup
Schedules
MD Players
WIS Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

Maryland's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Maryland vs Florida Atlantic	-16.5	57.5	W 39 - 7	U	Y
Fri 9/5	Maryland vs Northern Illinois	-17.0	44.5	W 20 - 9	U	N
Sat 9/13	Maryland vs Towson	-28.5	53.5	W 44 - 17	O	N
Sat 9/20	Maryland at Wisconsin	+10.5	44.5	W 27 - 10	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Maryland vs Washington	+5.5	52.5	L 20 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Maryland vs Nebraska	+7.0	47.5	L 31 - 34	O	Y
Sat 10/18	Maryland at UCLA	+3.5	52.5	L 17 - 20	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	Maryland vs Indiana	+21.0	50.5	L 10 - 55	O	N
Sat 11/8	Maryland at Rutgers	+1.5	56.5	L 20 - 35	U	N
Sat 11/15	Maryland at Illinois	+15.5	51.5	L 6 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/22	Maryland vs Michigan	+14.0	46.5	L 20 - 45	O	N
Sat 11/29	Maryland vs Michigan State	+4.0	49.5	L 28 - 38	O	N

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule

Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)	-17.5	40.5	W 17 - 0	U	N
Sat 9/6	Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee	-28.5	45.5	W 42 - 10	O	Y
Sat 9/13	Wisconsin at Alabama	+17.5	45.5	L 14 - 38	O	N
Sat 9/20	Wisconsin vs Maryland	-10.5	44.5	L 10 - 27	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	Wisconsin at Michigan	+17.5	42.5	L 10 - 24	U	Y
Sat 10/11	Wisconsin vs Iowa	+5.5	37.5	L 0 - 37	U	N
Sat 10/18	Wisconsin vs Ohio State	+24.5	41.5	L 0 - 34	U	N
Sat 10/25	Wisconsin at Oregon	+31.5	44.5	L 7 - 21	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Wisconsin vs Washington	+10.5	44.5	W 13 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/15	Wisconsin at Indiana	+28.5	43.5	L 7 - 31	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Wisconsin vs Illinois	+8.5	42.5	W 27 - 10	U	Y
Sat 11/29	Wisconsin at Minnesota	-2.5	38.5	L 7 - 17	U	N

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	#84 (.15)	40% (99)	23.5	39% (105)	2.83 (89)	106	41% (80)	256	3.39 (99)	#58 (.13)	44% (102)	26.5	46% (105)	43% (82)	3.6 (63)	55.8	1.2	1.8
WIS	#132 (.01)	35% (130)	12.8	34% (132)	2.82 (94)	118	38% (109)	136	2.28 (135)	#88 (.19)	45% (112)	21.6	44% (91)	46% (119)	3.13 (26)	30.1	1.3	0.5

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
MD	#106 (.13)	41% (92)		41% (97)	2.89 (94)	111	41% (74)	276	3.62 (95)	#84 (.19)	43% (86)		42% (65)	44% (107)	4.34 (116)	58.6	1.7	1.4
WIS	#97 (.14)	42% (73)		46% (39)	3.16 (46)	154	38% (107)	197	4.02 (57)	#80 (.18)	43% (88)		45% (86)	42% (81)	4.17 (105)	37.5	1.5	1

Overall Stats 2025

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Offense	12	23.5	17.5	40.1%	3.39	1.2	18	361	106	256	4.2	35%	64%	39%	41%	14%	.15
WIS Defense	12	21.6	18.3	44.8%	3.13	0.5	-	-	-	-	-	47%	51%	44%	46%	13%	.19

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
MD Defense	12	26.5	22.3	44.2%	3.6	1.8	-	-	-	-	-	53%	45%	46%	43%	14%	.13
WIS Offense	12	12.8	15.6	35.4%	2.28	1.3	14	255	118	136	3.4	56%	42%	34%	38%	18%	.01

Additional Stats 2025

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
Maryland	12	26:58	18.3	37%	36%	6	55.8	1.2	1.8	5.4	2.3	4	29.5
Wisconsin	12	30:37	14.1	32%	67%	3.6	30.1	1.3	0.5	5.1	2.6	1	28.3

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Offense	12	35% (136)	39% (105)	25.3	105.5	4.2	9 (107)	.04 (109)	2.83 (89)	73% (63)	6% (6)	1.02 (49)
WIS Defense	12	47% (34)	44% (91)	-	-	-	-	.06 (46)	2.75 (44)	71% (69)	9% (89)	0.86 (17)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
MD Defense	12	53% (108)	46% (105)	-	-	-	-	.13 (89)	3.06 (102)	77% (106)	8% (117)	0.9 (39)
WIS Offense	12	56% (26)	34% (132)	35.1	118.3	3.4	9 (122)	.04 (107)	2.82 (94)	66% (105)	12% (122)	1.05 (37)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Offense	12	64% (1)	41% (80)	23.7	40.9	255.7	6.3	10.8	18 (61)	9 (20)	.23 (77)	1.5 (99)	34% (118)	37% (14)	.46 (18)	8% (125)	2 (80)
WIS Defense	12	51% (100)	46% (119)	-	-	-	-	-	-	5 (75)	.33 (107)	1.4 (12)	30% (96)	29% (67)	.34 (91)	4% (133)	2 (72)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
MD Defense	12	45% (32)	43% (82)	-	-	-	-	-	-	19 (1)	.16 (34)	1.6 (75)	29% (108)	32% (103)	.32 (85)	6% (64)	1.9 (38)
WIS Offense	12	42% (113)	38% (109)	13.1	22.7	136.4	6	10.4	9 (114)	13 (119)	.03 (131)	1.5 (105)	33% (101)	25% (119)	.2 (107)	7% (94)	2.1 (48)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 2.18 #62
Maryland's Offense Rating: 9.01 #67
Maryland's Defense Rating: 6.83 #58
2025 Talent Rating: 806.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Maryland's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Maryland's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -0.5 #75
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 24.6 #89
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #60

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 2.18 Wisconsin: -0.53

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: -0.5 Wisconsin: -4.6

Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: -0.53 #75
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 1.15 #121
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 2.61 #34
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -4.6 #87
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 17.6 #122
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 21.8 #37

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Maryland Scoring
Offense: 23.5 PPG
Offense on Road: 17.5
Defense: 26.5 PPG
Defense on Road: 22.3

Maryland's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 5 - 7 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record on Road: 1 - 3
Record vs Spread on Road: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Maryland 22
Wisconsin 21

Total Points: 43

Based on Last 4 Games
Wisconsin 26
Maryland 16

Total Points: 42

Based on Entire Season
Maryland 20
Wisconsin 20

Total Points: 40

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 12.8 PPG
Offense at Home: 15.6
Defense: 21.6 PPG
Defense at Home: 18.3

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 2 - 10
Record at home: 4 - 3
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 4 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 3 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	09/20	Wisconsin	10	Maryland	27	Wisconsin -10.5	Maryland	44.5	Under
2022	11/05	Wisconsin	23	Maryland	10	Wisconsin -5	Wisconsin	47.5	Under
2017	10/21	Wisconsin	38	Maryland	13	Wisconsin -24	Wisconsin	50.5	Over
2015	11/07	Maryland	24	Wisconsin	31	Wisconsin -13	Maryland	49.0	Over
2014	10/25	Wisconsin	52	Maryland	7	Wisconsin -10	Wisconsin	0

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Wisconsin	4	3	2 Overs
Maryland	1	2	2 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	4 - 1	3 - 1	1 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 3	1 - 4	0 - 1	1 - 3

(#62) MD at (#75) WIS

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	MD	WIS
Power RatePwr	#62	#75
SP+SP+	#75	#87
Perf GradeGrade	#106	#108
OffenseOff	#110	#128
DefenseDef	#88	#56
Spec TeamsST	#96	#51
TalentTal	#51	#35
Blue ChipsBC%	#29	#24

Maryland Notes(11/29) 8 straight L's to finish, but Locksley is back next year?
(11/22) 7 straight L's, 4th straight no show. Team quit
(11/9) Only 3 2H points in bad L to Rutgers. Bowl doubts
(11/5) 1-11 run after wk 4 past 2 years, last 3/4 by 1 score
(11/2) Locksley now 17-45 in B1G games, 20-0 OOC
(10/12) Blew Neb game. Is it same ole MD time now it's Oct?
(10/6) Locksley is now 0-10 following a bye week
(9/24) Fr DEs Stewart & Mathis have been huge finds
(9/20) Huge W at Wisc, Fr QB Washington the real deal
(9/5) Run game awful. QB Wash & WR entire Off
(8/30) QB Wash. great start, run game awful, Def OK
(8/21) Fr QB Washington may be real deal, big add
Maryland Injury Report

Wisconsin Notes(11/10) Fr LB Mason Posa was unreal vs Wash. Big future
(11/6) Fickell will return in '26. NIL $ coming
(10/12) Tire fire. Off has scored 34 pts vs four P4 teams
(10/8) QB O'Neil 3rd string now? Edwards (inj), Simmons #2
(10/4) QB1 is now Hunter Simmons, looks better than others
(9/20) Run Off pitiful, Pass Def bad vs MD. Bad loss
(9/18) QB1 Edwards game time decision for MD
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
Wisconsin Injury Report

Maryland on Offense

Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCat	MD Off	WIS Def
Perf GradePerf	#110	#56
SuccessSuc	#99	#112
ExplosiveExp	#33	#18
PPAPPA	#84	#88
PowerPwr	#67	#34
SP+SP+	#89	#37
Pts POPPO	#99	#26
HavocHav	#52	#120

Maryland Run Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCat	MD Off	WIS Def
Run GameRun	#84	#51
Run SuccessRSuc	#105	#91
Run ExplRExp	#49	#17
PPAExp	#109	#46
Run BlockR Blk	#136	-
OL YdsOLY	#89	#44
Stuff RateStuff	#73	#24
TackleTak	-	#76

Maryland Pass Game

Very Pass heavy Offense 64%, Run: 35%
CategoryCat	MD Off	WIS Def
Pass GamePass	#72	#106
Pass SuccessPSuc	#80	#119
Pass ExplPExl	#99	#12
PPAExp	#77	#107
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#10	#34
F7 HavocF7	#6	#89
DB HavocDB	#125	#133

Wisconsin on Offense

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	MD Def
Perf GradePerf	#128	#88
SuccessSuc	#130	#102
ExplosiveExp	#76	#31
PPAPPA	#132	#58
PowerPwr	#121	#58
SP+SP+	#122	#60
Pts POPPO	#135	#63
HavocHav	#119	#104

Wisconsin Run Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	MD Def
Run GameRun	#125	#89
Run SuccessRSuc	#132	#105
Run ExplRExp	#37	#39
PPAExp	#107	#89
Run BlockR Blk	#106	-
OL YdsOLY	#94	#102
Stuff RateStuff	#72	#99
TackleTak	-	#74

Wisconsin Pass Game

Run heavy Offense 56%, Pass: 42%
CategoryCat	WIS Off	MD Def
Pass GamePass	#135	#67
Pass SuccessPSuc	#109	#82
Pass ExplPExl	#105	#75
PPAExp	#131	#34
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#83	#58
F7 HavocF7	#122	#117
DB HavocDB	#94	#64

Program Comparison
WIS 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg P4
'25 Profile: Down to Average G5

MD 5 Year Profile: Declining Top G5
'25 Profile: Remains Top G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions: Cloudy
Temp: 70° - Wind: 10 mph

Rematch from Week 4
Wisconsin -10.5 (44.5)
Maryland won at Wisconsin this year (27-10)

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Maryland in 2022 (23-10)

MD's OC Pep Hamilton (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Malik Washington	273	473	58%	2963	17	9	6.3
Khristian Martin	11	17	65%	105	1	0	6.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
DeJuan Williams	128	501	3	3.9	40
Malik Washington	55	317	4	5.8	73
Nolan Ray	67	289	2	4.3	53
Iverson Howard	39	125	0	3.2	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Shaleak Knotts	44	717	6	16.3	62
Jalil Farooq (Tr)	58	545	4	9.4	29
Octavian Smith Jr.	43	529	0	12.3	53
DeJuan Williams	45	426	1	9.5	55

View Maryland's Full Roster

MD's DC Ted Monachino (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Daniel Wingate	102	7	2	2	1
Jalen Huskey	72	2	0	0	2
Lavain Scruggs	64	1	0	1	3
Carlton Smith	64	2	1	4	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Sidney Stewart	32	11	7	7	2
Zahir Mathis	35	9	6	3	1
Nahsir Taylor	19	3	2	2	0
Trey Reddick	53	6	2	0	2

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Dontay Joyner (Tr)	40	1	8
Jamare Glasker (Tr)	32	6	6
Messiah Delhomme	39	1	3

WIS's OC Jeff Grimes (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Hunter Simmons	62	118	53%	664	2	7	5.6
Danny O'Neil (Tr)	61	90	68%	635	5	5	7.1

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Darrion Dupree	83	363	2	4.4	84
Dilin Jones	76	300	2	3.9	16
Gideon Ituka	60	255	0	4.3	18
Trech Kekahuna	14	129	1	9.2	61

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Lance Mason (Tr)	30	398	4	13.3	45
Vinny Anthony	31	391	1	12.6	67
Trech Kekahuna	26	211	0	8.1	45
Jayden Ballard (Tr)	7	150	2	21.4	58

View Wisconsin's Full Roster

WIS's DC Mike Tressel (in his second season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Mason Posa	57	4	4	2	4
Cooper Catalano	56	5	1	1	1
Matthew Jung	49	1	0	0	0
Christian Alliegro	48	8	4	0	1

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Darryl Peterson	33	12	7	3	3
Mason Reiger (Tr)	32	6	5	4	1
Mason Posa	57	4	4	2	4
Christian Alliegro	48	8	4	0	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ricardo Hallman	27	1	0	0	5
Mason Posa	57	4	4	2	4
Austin Brown	41	0	0	0	3