Maryland at Wisconsin - 2025 Matchup Preview
Maryland logo Maryland Terrapins at Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin logo
Saturday, September 20th 2025 (12:00 PM EDT)
Wisconsin -9.5 (43.5) (-340)  Open: -7.5
Camp Randall Stadium - Madison, WI  (Big Ten)

 
Terrapins (3 - 0) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Mike Locksley (33 - 41)
Avg Score : 34 - 11 (34 - 11 on Road)
Record Prediction: 7 - 5 (#63)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 3)
Losses: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 3) (Good: 5) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)
WIS is playing their 4th straight game
MD is playing their 4th straight game
Our Line: Wisconsin -1   (SP+ MD -2)

Projected Score: MD: 21 - WIS: 22 (42)
WIS Win prob: 79% | Cover: 55%
MD Travel: 707 miles, 1 hrs ahead
Badgers (2 - 1) (1 - 2 - 0)
Coach Luke Fickell (13 - 13)
Avg Score : 24 - 16 (30 - 5 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4.5 - 7.5 (#106)
Wins: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 2)
Losses: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
Future: (Elite: 5) (Good: 4) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 0)
 
Maryland's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Sat 8/30 Maryland vs Florida Atlantic-16.557.5W 39 - 7UY
Fri 9/5 Maryland vs Northern Illinois-17.044.5W 20 - 9UN
Sat 9/13 Maryland vs Towson-28.553.5W 44 - 17ON
Sat 9/20 Maryland at Wisconsin+9.543.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Maryland vs Washington+3.5
Sat 10/11 Maryland vs Nebraska+4.5
Sat 10/18 Maryland at UCLA-14.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1 Maryland vs Indiana+7.5
Sat 11/8 Maryland at Rutgers+1.5
Sat 11/15 Maryland at Illinois+12.5
Sat 11/22 Maryland vs Michigan+9.5
Sat 11/29 Maryland vs Michigan State+0.5

Total: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 2, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 3, Good: 5, Avg 0, Bad 1, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Maryland's Schedule
Wisconsin's 2025 Schedule
DateMatchupSpreadTotalResultO/UCover
Thu 8/28 Wisconsin vs Miami (OH)-17.540.5W 17 - 0UN
Sat 9/6 Wisconsin vs Middle Tennessee-28.545.5W 42 - 10OY
Sat 9/13 Wisconsin at Alabama+17.545.5L 14 - 38ON
Sat 9/20 Wisconsin vs Maryland-9.543.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4 Wisconsin at Michigan+16
Sat 10/11 Wisconsin vs Iowa+2.5
Sat 10/18 Wisconsin vs Ohio State+18
Sat 10/25 Wisconsin at Oregon+23.5
BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8 Wisconsin vs Washington+5
Sat 11/15 Wisconsin at Indiana+14
Sat 11/22 Wisconsin vs Illinois+9
Sat 11/29 Wisconsin at Minnesota+6.5

Total: Elite: 6, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 2
Future: Elite: 5, Good: 4, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Wisconsin's Schedule

Important Stats (2025)
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#60 (.22)46% (52)34.344% (67)2.96 (72)11747% (43)2663.48 (97)#9 (-.1)26% (5)1128% (10)25% (6)1.18 (4)68.30.72.7
WIS#66 (.21)46% (51)24.343% (81)3.6 (22)14351% (30)1963.17 (112)#101 (.2)43% (97)1638% (60)48% (115)1.82 (11)351.31
 Teams                  Off Explosive.Off SuccessPPGRush SuccessOL Yds Per AttRush YPGPass SuccessPass YPGOff ScoreZoneDef Explosive.Def SuccessDef PPGRunD SuccessPass D SuccessDef ScoreZonePenalty YPGTO PGDef TO PG
MD#106 (.13)41% (92)41% (97)2.89 (94)11141% (74)2763.62 (95)#84 (.19)43% (86)42% (65)44% (107)4.34 (116)58.61.71.4
WIS#97 (.14)42% (73)46% (39)3.16 (46)15438% (107)1974.02 (57)#80 (.18)43% (88)45% (86)42% (81)4.17 (105)37.51.51



Overall Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Offense334.334.346.1%3.480.7213831172663.541%59%44%47%12%.22
WIS Defense316543.2%1.821 - - - - - 43%55%38%48%11%.2
 Teams                  GamesPPGPPG H/RSuccess RatePts PerOppTO1stD PGTotalYds PGRushYds PGPassYdsPGRYPARun RatePass RateRun SuccessPass SuccessHavoc RateTotal PPA
MD Defense3111126.4%1.182.7 - - - - - 49%51%28%25%18%-.1
WIS Offense324.329.546.2%3.171.3193391431964.153%46%43%51%14%.21

Additional Stats 2025
 Teams                  GamesPossession Time1st Downs PG3rd Down %4th Down %Penalties PGPenalty Yds PGOff TO PGDef TO PGTFL PGSacks PGD/ST TDsAvg Field Pos
Maryland330:412130%50%8.368.30.72.773.3234.3
Wisconsin333:4419.350%80%3.7351.314.33127.7
Run Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Offense341% (123)44% (67)33.3116.73.53 (95) (105)2.96 (72)71% (67)7% (32)0.79 (112)
WIS Defense343% (21)38% (60) - - - - -.1 (18)2.8 (72)57% (28)7% (110)0.86 (50)
 Teams                  GamesRun Play RateRun Play SuccessRush Att PGRush Yds PGRush Yds Per AttRushing TDsRun Pred Pts AddedOL Yds Per Att3rd/4th & ShortFront 7 HavocRun Play Explosivness
MD Defense349% (63)28% (10) - - - - -.03 (40)2.41 (35)86% (112)10% (67)1.24 (117)
WIS Offense353% (53)43% (81)35.3143.34.14 (79).25 (40)3.6 (22)79% (40)8% (58)1 (56)

Pass Game Stats (2025)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Offense359% (12)47% (43)22.737.32667.111.76 (34)1 (23).38 (52)1.6 (50)31% (67)43% (22).71 (17)6% (81)2.2 (33)
WIS Defense355% (106)48% (115) - - - - - - 3 (28).48 (118)1.7 (97)30% (95)37% (119).66 (129)4% (108)2.3 (115)
 Teams                  GamesPassPlay RatePassPlay SuccessComp PGAtt PGYds PGYds PAYds PCTDs    Ints    PassPlays PPAPassPlays ExplPassDowns RatePassDowns Succ RatePassDowns PPADB HavocPassDowns Expl
MD Defense351% (76)25% (6) - - - - - - 7 (1)-.16 (9)1.7 (98)38% (19)22% (33).27 (68)7% (34)2.4 (120)
WIS Offense346% (85)51% (30)17.325.31967.711.35 (54)4 (121).23 (79)1.4 (91)32% (89)33% (54).48 (44)6% (89)2 (59)

Maryland's Power Ratings
Maryland's Power Rating: 12.59 #44
Maryland's Offense Rating: 12.62 #70
Maryland's Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
2025 Talent Rating: 806.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Maryland's 2025 Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0
Maryland's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Maryland's Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #67
Maryland's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #23

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85

Power Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 12.59   Wisconsin: 11.68

SP+ Ratings Matchup
Maryland: 8.9   Wisconsin: 6.8




Wisconsin's Power Ratings
Wisconsin's Power Rating: 11.68 #49
Wisconsin's Offense Rating: 15.92 #47
Wisconsin's Defense Rating: 4.35 #53
2025 Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #24
Wisconsin's 2025 Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5
Wisconsin's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Wisconsin's Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #79
Wisconsin's Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #26

Average Talent
Average Big Ten Talent Rating is 906.67
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.85


Maryland Scoring
Offense: 34.3 PPG
Offense on Road: 34.3
Defense: 11 PPG
Defense on Road: 11

Maryland's 2025 Record
Record: 3 - 0
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Projected Score
Wisconsin 22
Maryland 21


Total Points: 42

Wisconsin Scoring
Offense: 24.3 PPG
Offense at Home: 29.5
Defense: 16 PPG
Defense at Home: 5

Wisconsin's 2025 Record
Record: 2 - 1
Record vs Spread: 1 - 2 - 0
Record at home: 2 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 1 - 1 - 0


YearDateHomeScoreAwayScoreWinnerSpreadCoverTotalO/U
202211/05Wisconsin23Maryland10WisconsinWisconsin -5Wisconsin47.5Under
201710/21Wisconsin38Maryland13WisconsinWisconsin -24Wisconsin50.5Over
201511/07Maryland24Wisconsin31WisconsinWisconsin -13Maryland49.0Over
201410/25Wisconsin52Maryland7WisconsinWisconsin -10Wisconsin0
TeamWinsCoversO/U
Wisconsin432 Overs
Maryland011 Unders

WinsCoversFavsDogs
Home Teams3 - 14 - 03 - 01 - 0
Road Teams1 - 30 - 40 - 10 - 3

(#44) Maryland Info
Power Rating: 12.59 #44
Offense Rating: 12.62 #70
Defense Rating: 0.03 #27
Overall SP+ Rating: 8.9 #43
Offense SP+ Rating: 27.9 #67
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.0 #23
Talent Rating: 806.00 #51
Blue Chip Ratio: 17% #29
Expected Record: 7.0 - 5.0

Team Profile
Very Pass heavy Offense 59%, Run: 41%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.48 PPO
Bad Run Success 44%
Good Pass Success 47%
Good OL Grades, Bad OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Bad Sacks/Turnovers
Great Defense Success Rate of 26%
Great in Scoring Position 1.18 PPO
Great Run Def Success 28%
Great Pass Def Success 25%
Avg Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Maryland has won 3 straight
Record on Road: 0 - 0 (0 - 0 - 0 vs Spread )

Maryland Notes
(8/30) QB Wash. great start, run game awful, Def OK
(8/21) Fr QB Washington may be real deal, big add
(7/30) Lost 9 starters to portal, 5 to NFL draft.
(5/11) OL is bottom 20 in exp & no exp from portal
(4/8) Fr QB Washington doing media, unusual for MD
(4/2) New OC Hamilton out of coaching last 2 yrs
(3/22) QB J. Martin (UCLA) or FR Washington
(3/19) RBs - Hemby left (IU). Ray looks solid
(3/19) WR rebuild, 2 portal adds. Talent is there
(3/19) OL 2/5 back. Poor unit LY. Anyone's guess

Maryland Highlights
Maryland in Undefeated

Maryland Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Maryland has a really good defense (#5)
Maryland defense is really good in red zone (#4)
Maryland has a good run defense (#10)
Maryland has a good pass defense (#6)
Maryland has a great TO Margin (#28)
Maryland defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#1)

Maryland Deficiencies
Maryland Can Not Run the Ball (#110)
Maryland Commits a Lot of Penalties (#121)
Maryland offense is bad on 3rd Downs
Maryland gives up a Lot of Explosive Plays (#115)

Performance GradesPerf Grades
CategoryCatWISMD
OverallOver#40#10
OffenseOff#53#47
DefenseDef#31#4
Special TeamsST#22#64
PassingPass#100#35
RushingRush#69#73
Run BlockRBLK#54#62
Pass BlockPBLK#65#4
Route RunningWR Rt#11#61
TacklingTkl#45#17
Run DefenseR Def#12#6
Pass Rush DefPRush#20#24
Coverage DefCov#77#3

Previous Matchups
Wisconsin beat Maryland in 2022 (23-10)

Weather Forecast
Playing in Camp Randall Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: MD | WIS
Depth Chart: MD | WIS
Rosters: MD | WIS
(#49) Wisconsin Info
Power Rating: 11.68 #49
Offense Rating: 15.92 #47
Defense Rating: 4.35 #53
Overall SP+ Rating: 6.8 #52
Offense SP+ Rating: 26.0 #79
Defense SP+ Rating: 19.2 #26
Talent Rating: 866.00 #35
Blue Chip Ratio: 24 #24
Expected Record: 4.5 - 7.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 46%, Run: 53%
Avg Offense Success Rate of 46%
Avg Offensive Explosiveness
Awful in Scoring Position 3.17 PPO
Bad Run Success 43%
Good Pass Success 51%
Avg OL Grades, Great OL Yds Per Rush
Great DL Grades, Poor Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 43%
Great in Scoring Position 1.82 PPO
Avg Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 48%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Bad Field Position

Wisconsin has lost 1 straight
Wisconsin has won 2 straight at Home
Record at home: 2 - 0 (1 - 1 - 0 vs Spread)

Wisconsin Notes
(8/30) Run game bad vs M-OH, QBs bad, Def great
(5/17) DL was portal focus, 7 adds, DE big need
(5/15) LT Heywood out for season (ACL), big loss
(5/15) DB looks light on bodies, CB could be 2 portals?
(4/18) RBs Dupree & rFr Jones decent combo, depth?
(4/4) OT Riley Mahlman a top OT via PFF past 2 yrs
(3/31) QB portals Edwards (MD)/O'Neil (SDSU) meh
(3/31) Def was decent, return a lot. 13 portals, 7 DL
(3/31) 0-5 finish LY, scored over 13 pts only once.
(3/24) Portal WR Hamper (Idaho) great find/weapon

Wisconsin Highlights
Wisconsin is Undefeated at Home

Wisconsin has a top Offensive Line (#22)
Wisconsin offense is good on 3rd downs
Wisconsin does Not Get Runs Stuffed (#20)

Wisconsin Defense Sacks the QB a lot

Wisconsin defense is really good in red zone (#11)
Wisconsin Stuffs a lot of Run Plays (#27)
Wisconsin commits very few Penalties (#16)
Wisconsin defense Intercepts a lot of Passes (#28)

Wisconsin Deficiencies
Wisconsin throws a Lot of Interceptions (#121)
Wisconsin offense is bad in Scoring Opportunities (#112)


  
Maryland's OC Pep Hamilton
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Malik Washington6210062%773617.7
Khristian Martin61250%25002.1
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
DeJuan Williams3212113.817
Nolan Ray289813.511
Iverson Howard259103.610
Malik Washington52815.617
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Shaleak Knotts11196317.842
Octavian Smith Jr.10154015.453
Jalil Farooq (Tr)14151010.824
Dorian Fleming (Tr)10106210.648

View Maryland's Full Roster
Maryland's DC Ted Monachino
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Daniel Wingate282000
Trey Reddick192100
Carlton Smith151120
Jalen Huskey121001
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Sidney Stewart106320
Zahir Mathis83310
Jayden Shipps41100
Trey Reddick192100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Dontay Joyner (Tr)50003
Lavain Scruggs70002
Messiah Delhomme120002

Wisconsin's OC Jeff Grimes
Player NameCOMPATTPCTYDSTDINTYPA
Danny O'Neil (Tr)466373%520548.3
Billy Edwards61346%68005.2
Player NameCARYDSTDYPCLONG
Dilin Jones2913414.613
Darrion Dupree219204.414
Trech Kekahuna572114.461
Cade Yacamelli145604.09
Player NameRECYDSTDYPCLONG
Jayden Ballard (Tr)6141223.558
Lance Mason (Tr)9132114.734
Vinny Anthony9115112.831
Trech Kekahuna64607.722

View Wisconsin's Full Roster
Wisconsin's DC Mike Tressel
Top DefTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro124200
Tackett Curtis101101
Mason Reiger (Tr)81120
Sebastian Cheeks72100
SacksTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Christian Alliegro124200
Brandon Lane32200
Sebastian Cheeks72100
Darryl Peterson41100
Pass DTackTFLSACKSPRESSPD
Ricardo Hallman40002
Austin Brown30001
Tackett Curtis101101