UAB at Tulsa - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 29th 2025 (3:00 PM EST)
Tulsa -9.0 (56.5) (-330) Open: -8.5 | 59.5
UAB 31 - Tulsa: 24 (American Athletic)

Blazers (4 - 8) (4 - 8 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 38 (25 - 39 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

TLSA is playing their 4th straight game
UAB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: Tulsa -10 (SP+ TLSA -6)
Projected Score: UAB: 24 - TLSA: 34 (58)
TLSA Win prob: 74% | Cover: 48%
UAB Travel: 549 miles

Golden Hurricane (4 - 8) (6 - 6 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 23 - 29 (27 - 27 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 4 - 8 (#98)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 0) (Bad: 1)

Matchup
Schedules
UAB Players
TLSA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UAB's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	UAB vs Alabama State	-21.0	53.5	W 52 - 42	O	N
Sat 9/6	UAB at Navy	+20.5	59.0	L 24 - 38	O	Y
Sat 9/13	UAB vs Akron	-12.5	58.5	W 31 - 28	O	N
Sat 9/20	UAB at Tennessee	+39.5	69.5	L 24 - 56	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UAB vs Army	+6.5	55.5	L 13 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/11	UAB at Florida Atlantic	+4.5	66.5	L 33 - 53	O	N
Sat 10/18	UAB vs Memphis	+23.5	59.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UAB at UConn	+10.0	61.5	L 19 - 38	U	N
Sat 11/8	UAB at Rice	-1.5	51.5	L 17 - 24	U	N
Sat 11/15	UAB vs North Texas	+17.5	69.5	L 24 - 53	O	N
Sat 11/22	UAB vs South Florida	+21.5	68.5	L 18 - 48	U	N
Sat 11/29	UAB at Tulsa	+9.0	56.5	W 31 - 24	U	Y

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 4
Played: Elite: 1, Good: 2, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 3
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 1
Losses: Elite: 1, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 2, Poor: 2

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Tulsa vs Abilene Christian	-5.0	59.5	W 35 - 7	U	Y
Sat 9/6	Tulsa at New Mexico State	-3.0	52.5	L 14 - 21	U	N
Sat 9/13	Tulsa vs Navy	+14.0	52.5	L 23 - 42	O	N
Fri 9/19	Tulsa at Oklahoma State	+10.5	54.5	W 19 - 12	U	Y
Sat 9/27	Tulsa vs Tulane	+14.5	52.5	L 14 - 31	U	N
Sat 10/4	Tulsa at Memphis	+21.0	54.5	L 7 - 45	U	N
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16	Tulsa at East Carolina	+16.5	54.5	L 27 - 41	O	Y
Sat 10/25	Tulsa vs Temple	+4.5	52.5	L 37 - 38	O	Y
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Tulsa at Florida Atlantic	+4.5	60.5	L 21 - 40	O	N
Sat 11/15	Tulsa vs Oregon State	-1.5	50.5	W 31 - 14	U	Y
Sat 11/22	Tulsa at Army	+10.0	43.5	W 26 - 25	O	Y
Sat 11/29	Tulsa vs UAB	-9.0	56.5	L 24 - 31	U	N

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 6
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg 2, Bad 2, Poor 5
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 1
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 1, Poor: 2
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 1, Avg: 2, Bad: 1, Poor: 3

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	#85 (.16)	45% (42)	26.4	47% (32)	3.19 (42)	131	44% (48)	262	3.43 (109)	#101 (.23)	45% (104)	38.3	52% (132)	35% (12)	4.24 (110)	73.8	2.2	1.1
TLSA	#124 (.06)	34% (131)	23.2	35% (128)	2.88 (97)	151	33% (126)	239	3.54 (100)	#127 (.31)	42% (75)	28.9	38% (23)	46% (115)	4.7 (130)	51	1.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Offense	12	26.4	24.7	44.7%	3.43	2.2	22	393	131	262	4	45%	55%	47%	44%	18%	.16
TLSA Defense	12	28.9	27.2	42.2%	4.7	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	38%	46%	15%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Defense	12	38.3	38.8	44.9%	4.24	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	52%	35%	13%	.23
TLSA Offense	12	23.2	27.3	34.1%	3.54	1.9	20	390	151	239	4	47%	53%	35%	33%	18%	.06

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UAB	12	29:26	21.6	38%	46%	8.2	73.8	2.2	1.1	4	1.5	3	27.1
Tulsa	12	29:44	20.4	37%	32%	5.9	51	1.9	1.3	6.6	1.5	3	28.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Offense	12	45% (108)	47% (32)	32.6	131	4	9 (125)	.1 (85)	3.19 (42)	80% (21)	12% (111)	0.73 (132)
TLSA Defense	12	48% (40)	38% (23)	-	-	-	-	.11 (65)	2.82 (40)	69% (42)	11% (42)	1.2 (130)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Defense	12	58% (131)	52% (132)	-	-	-	-	.26 (127)	3.64 (134)	88% (132)	7% (132)	0.87 (17)
TLSA Offense	12	47% (93)	35% (128)	37.5	151.4	4	11 (116)	-.03 (125)	2.88 (97)	74% (65)	12% (110)	0.9 (102)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Offense	12	55% (28)	44% (48)	23.7	37.1	261.6	7.1	11.1	24 (38)	16 (124)	.25 (71)	1.5 (94)	31% (59)	31% (73)	.4 (40)	6% (79)	2.1 (37)
TLSA Defense	12	52% (97)	46% (115)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.51 (131)	1.9 (133)	32% (64)	33% (100)	.45 (118)	4% (130)	2.3 (132)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Defense	12	42% (4)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.18 (43)	1.8 (121)	29% (113)	32% (92)	.32 (74)	6% (62)	1.8 (10)
TLSA Offense	12	53% (43)	33% (126)	20.7	36.4	238.6	6.6	11.5	23 (41)	12 (85)	.16 (104)	1.8 (21)	34% (116)	22% (131)	.17 (118)	6% (77)	2.2 (16)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -16.94 #125
UAB's Offense Rating: 8.41 #97
UAB's Defense Rating: 25.35 #133
2025 Talent Rating: 530.00 #111
Blue Chip Ratio: 2% #79
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.8 #125
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.5 #80
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 39.8 #132

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -16.94 Tulsa: -6.28

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.8 Tulsa: -10.0

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -6.28 #91
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 6.85 #110
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 14.41 #74
2025 Talent Rating: 628.00 #87
Blue Chip Ratio: 0 #101
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 4.0 - 8.0
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -10.0 #104
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 21.7 #105
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 33.1 #107

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 575.29
Average Power Five Talent: 877.82
Average FBS Talent: 715.76

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.4 PPG
Offense on Road: 24.7
Defense: 38.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.8

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 4 - 8 - 0
Over/Under Record: 6 - 6
Record on Road: 1 - 5
Record vs Spread on Road: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Dog vs Spread: 4 - 5 - 0
Record as Road Dog vs Spread: 3 - 2 - 0

Projected Score
Tulsa 34
UAB 24

Projected Total Points: 58

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 23.2 PPG
Offense at Home: 27.3
Defense: 28.9 PPG
Defense at Home: 27.2

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 4 - 8
Record vs Spread: 6 - 6 - 0
Over/Under Record: 5 - 7
Record at home: 2 - 4
Record vs Spread at home: 3 - 3 - 0
Record as Fav vs Spread: 2 - 2 - 0
Record as Home Fav vs Spread: 2 - 1 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2025	11/29	Tulsa	24	UAB	31	Tulsa -9.0	UAB	56.5	Under
2024	11/02	UAB	59	Tulsa	21	UAB -2.5	UAB	57.5	Over
2012	09/29	UAB	42	Tulsa	49
2011	10/15	Tulsa	37	UAB	20
2008	08/30	UAB	22	Tulsa	45
2007	09/29	Tulsa	38	UAB	30

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulsa	4	0	1 Overs
UAB	2	2	1 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 3	1 - 1	1 - 1	0 - 0
Road Teams	3 - 3	1 - 1	0 - 0	1 - 1

(#125) UAB at (#91) TLSA

Overall StatsOvr
CategoryCat	UAB	TLSA
Net PPPPPP	NR	NR
Power RatePwr	#125	#91
SP+SP+	#125	#104
Perf GradeGrade	#121	#51
OffenseOff	#56	#94
DefenseDef	#136	#15
Spec TeamsST	#134	#52
TalentTal	#111	#87
Blue ChipsBC%	#79	#101

UAB Notes(12/10) Worst program in AAC. Will be ‘26 doormat
(12/4) Interim HC Alex Mortensen has been hired full time
(10/19) Off good, Def great in Memphis W after Dilfer fired
(10/12) HC Dilfer finally fired after 2-4, 3 straight L's
(10/12) Interim HC is OC Alex Mortensen
(10/11) 3 straight L's, defense is horrific, Fire Dilfer already
(9/17) Last 2 games: 55 points 1st half, 0 in 2nd
(8/30) Def torched by Ala. St, 300 pass, 200 rush
(8/30) Run Off good vs Ala St, Kitna decent, we'll see
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
UAB Injury Report

Tulsa Notes(11/22) Great fight & finish beating Oregon St & Army
(9/19) Physically dominating Ok St up front both sides
(9/19) Aggressive 4th down Off, QB2 Hayes can play
(9/19) Big program win over OK St. Lamb great job
(9/19) QB1 Kirk Francis out vs OK St (concussion)
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation
Tulsa Injury Report

UAB on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	TLSA Def
PPPOffPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#56	#15
SuccessSuc	#42	#75
ExplosiveExp	#126	#133
PPAPPA	#85	#127
PowerPwr	#97	#74
SP+SP+	#80	#107
Pts POPPO	#109	#130
HavocHav	#106	#82

UAB Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	TLSA Def
Run GameRun	#83	#11
Run SuccessRSuc	#32	#23
Run ExplRExp	#132	#130
PPAExp	#85	#65
Run BlockR Blk	#50	-
OL YdsOLY	#42	#40
Stuff RateStuff	#26	#23
TackleTak	-	#6

UAB Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 45%
CategoryCat	UAB Off	TLSA Def
Pass GamePass	#79	#34
Pass SuccessPSuc	#48	#115
Pass ExplPExl	#94	#133
PPAExp	#71	#131
Pass Rush/BlockP Blk	#50	#35
F7 HavocF7	#111	#42
DB HavocDB	#79	#130

Tulsa on Offense

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	UAB Def
PPPDefPPP	NR	NR
Perf GradePerf	#94	#136
SuccessSuc	#131	#104
ExplosiveExp	#27	#21
PPAPPA	#124	#101
PowerPwr	#110	#133
SP+SP+	#105	#132
Pts POPPO	#100	#110
HavocHav	#105	#118

Tulsa Run Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	UAB Def
Run GameRun	#47	#129
Run SuccessRSuc	#128	#132
Run ExplRExp	#102	#17
PPAExp	#125	#127
Run BlockR Blk	#87	-
OL YdsOLY	#97	#134
Stuff RateStuff	#76	#130
TackleTak	-	#130

Tulsa Pass Game

Balanced offense, Pass: 47%, Run: 51%
CategoryCat	TLSA Off	UAB Def
Pass GamePass	#109	#136
Pass SuccessPSuc	#126	#12
Pass ExplPExl	#21	#121
PPAExp	#104	#43
Pass Block/RushP Blk	#94	#104
F7 HavocF7	#110	#132
DB HavocDB	#77	#62

Program Comparison
TLSA 5 Year Profile: Consistent Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Remains Below Avg G5

UAB 5 Year Profile: Declining Below Avg G5
'25 Profile: Up to Poor G5

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Rematch from Week 14
Tulsa -9.0 (56.5)
UAB won at Tulsa this year (31-24)

Previous Matchups
UAB beat Tulsa last year (31-24)
UAB beat Tulsa in 2024 (59-21)

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen (been OC for 3 years)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Kitna	223	337	66%	2462	13	11	7.3
Ryder Burton (Tr)	62	98	63%	708	7	5	7.2

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)	167	900	5	5.4	58
Isaiah Jacobs	79	342	4	4.3	23
Solomon Beebe	56	338	6	6.0	81
Nate Rogers	13	84	2	6.5	15

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Iverson Hooks	72	927	7	12.9	51
BJ Hawkins Jr.	41	540	5	13.2	68
Corri Milliner	24	341	3	14.2	49
Solomon Beebe	31	284	0	9.2	43

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Steve Russ (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Devin Hightower (Tr)	81	3	1	2	0
Jeremiah Vessel (Tr)	54	1	1	0	2
AJ Brown	53	0	0	0	0
Eamon Smalls	50	4	1	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS
Chris Burge	32	5	4	7
Jonathan Allen	34	3	2	1
Eddy Toussom	46	7	2	3
Eli Ennis (Tr)	11	2	2	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Tamarion Crumpley (Tr)	18	2	0	6
Delvon Gulley (Tr)	19	1	1	3
Perry Fisher (Tr)	21	0	0	3

TLSA's OC Ty Darlington (in his first season)

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Baylor Hayes (Tr)	186	316	59%	2159	12	6	6.8
Kirk Francis	53	88	60%	493	3	4	5.6

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Dominic Richardson (Tr)	212	1065	5	5.0	57
Ajay Allen (Tr)	97	497	5	5.1	40
Braylin Presley	32	215	1	6.7	28
Baylor Hayes (Tr)	95	188	3	2.0	24

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Brody Foley (Tr)	36	521	7	14.5	72
Zion Booker (Tr)	46	418	2	9.1	40
Grayson Tempest	22	272	1	12.4	51
Zion Steptoe	21	272	0	13.0	42

View Tulsa's Full Roster

TLSA's DC Mike Gray (in his first season)

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Ray Coney (Tr)	128	7	2	4	2
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)	79	2	0	0	4
Zach Williams	73	1	0	0	7
William Alexander	66	1	0	1	0

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)	28	10	7	1	1
Byron Turner Jr. (Tr)	14	7	5	1	1
Ty Cooper (Tr)	25	7	3	1	1
Nahki Johnson (Tr)	27	7	3	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Zach Williams	73	1	7
Elijah Green	59	2	7
Lento Smith Jr. (Tr)	79	2	4