UAB at Tulsa - 2025 Matchup Preview

Saturday, November 29th 2025 (12:00 AM EST)
at H. A. Chapman Stadium - Tulsa, OK (American Athletic)

Blazers (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Trent Dilfer (7 - 17)
Avg Score : 26 - 34 (19 - 38 on Road)
Record Prediction: 4.2 - 7.8 (#115)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 1) (Good: 0) (Avg: 2) (Bad: 9)

TLSA is playing their 4th straight game
UAB is playing their 5th straight game
Our Line: UAB -0.5 (SP+ UAB -2)
Projected Score: UAB: 33 - TLSA: 32 (64)
UAB Win prob: 53% | Cover: 53%
UAB Travel: 549 miles

Golden Hurricane (0 - 0) (0 - 0 - 0)
Coach Tre Lamb (0 - 0)
Avg Score : 25 - 43 (29 - 45 @ Home)
Record Prediction: 3.5 - 8.5 (#128)
'25 Opponents: (Elite: 0) (Good: 0) (Avg: 3) (Bad: 9)

Matchup
Schedules
UAB Players
TLSA Players
Stats
Run/Pass
Ratings
Scoring
History

UAB's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Thu 8/28	UAB vs Alabama State	-9
Sat 9/6	UAB at Navy	+12.5
Sat 9/13	UAB vs Akron	-7
Sat 9/20	UAB at Tennessee	+34.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 10/4	UAB vs Army	+8.5
Sat 10/11	UAB at Florida Atlantic	+3.5
Sat 10/18	UAB vs Memphis	+13.5
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/1	UAB at UConn	+13.5
Sat 11/8	UAB at Rice	+0.5
Sat 11/15	UAB vs North Texas	+4.5
Sat 11/22	UAB vs South Florida	+12.5
Sat 11/29	UAB at Tulsa	-0.5

Total: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 1, Good: 0, Avg 2, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for UAB's Schedule

Tulsa's 2025 Schedule
Date	Matchup	Spread	Total	Result	O/U	Cover
Sat 8/30	Tulsa vs Abilene Christian	-6
Sat 9/6	Tulsa at New Mexico State	+1.5
Sat 9/13	Tulsa vs Navy	+10.5
Sat 9/20	Tulsa at Oklahoma State	+19
Sat 9/27	Tulsa vs Tulane	+18.5
Sat 10/4	Tulsa at Memphis	+21.5
	BYE WEEK
Thu 10/16	Tulsa at East Carolina	+12.5
Sat 10/25	Tulsa vs Temple	-3
	BYE WEEK
Sat 11/8	Tulsa at Florida Atlantic	+6.5
Sat 11/15	Tulsa vs Oregon State	+12
Sat 11/22	Tulsa at Army	+16.5
Sat 11/29	Tulsa vs UAB	+0.5

Total: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Played: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 0, Bad 0, Poor 0
Future: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg 3, Bad 4, Poor 5
Wins: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0
Losses: Elite: 0, Good: 0, Avg: 0, Bad: 0, Poor: 0

Predictions for Tulsa's Schedule

Important Stats (2024)

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB	#85 (.16)	45% (42)	26.2	47% (32)	3.19 (42)	131	44% (48)	262	3.43 (109)	#101 (.23)	45% (104)	34.3	52% (132)	35% (12)	4.24 (110)	73.8	2.2	1.1
TLSA	#124 (.06)	34% (131)	25	35% (128)	2.88 (97)	151	33% (126)	239	3.54 (100)	#127 (.31)	42% (75)	42.5	38% (23)	46% (115)	4.7 (130)	51	1.9	1.3

Teams	Off Explosive.	Off Success	PPG	Rush Success	OL Yds Per Att	Rush YPG	Pass Success	Pass YPG	Off ScoreZone	Def Explosive.	Def Success	Def PPG	RunD Success	Pass D Success	Def ScoreZone	Penalty YPG	TO PG	Def TO PG
UAB		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0
TLSA		0%		0%	0	0	0%	0	0		0%		0%	0%	0	0	0	0

Overall Stats 2024

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Offense	12	26.2	18.8	44.7%	3.43	2.2	22	393	131	262	4	45%	55%	47%	44%	18%	.16
TLSA Defense	12	42.5	44.7	42.2%	4.7	1.3	-	-	-	-	-	48%	52%	38%	46%	15%	.31

Teams	Games	PPG	PPG H/R	Success Rate	Pts PerOpp	TO	1stD PG	TotalYds PG	RushYds PG	PassYdsPG	RYPA	Run Rate	Pass Rate	Run Success	Pass Success	Havoc Rate	Total PPA
UAB Defense	12	34.3	38.3	44.9%	4.24	1.1	-	-	-	-	-	58%	42%	52%	35%	13%	.23
TLSA Offense	12	25	28.7	34.1%	3.54	1.9	20	390	151	239	4	47%	53%	35%	33%	18%	.06

Additional Stats 2024

Teams	Games	Possession Time	1st Downs PG	3rd Down %	4th Down %	Penalties PG	Penalty Yds PG	Off TO PG	Def TO PG	TFL PG	Sacks PG	D/ST TDs	Avg Field Pos
UAB	12	29:26	21.6	38%	46%	8.2	73.8	2.2	1.1	4	1.5	3	27.1
Tulsa	12	29:44	20.4	37%	32%	5.9	51	1.9	1.3	6.6	1.5	3	28.9

Run Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Offense	12	45% (108)	47% (32)	32.6	131	4	9 (125)	.1 (85)	3.19 (42)	80% (21)	12% (111)	0.73 (132)
TLSA Defense	12	48% (40)	38% (23)	-	-	-	-	.11 (65)	2.82 (40)	69% (42)	11% (42)	1.2 (130)

Teams	Games	Run Play Rate	Run Play Success	Rush Att PG	Rush Yds PG	Rush Yds Per Att	Rushing TDs	Run Pred Pts Added	OL Yds Per Att	3rd/4th & Short	Front 7 Havoc	Run Play Explosivness
UAB Defense	12	58% (131)	52% (132)	-	-	-	-	.26 (127)	3.64 (134)	88% (132)	7% (132)	0.87 (17)
TLSA Offense	12	47% (93)	35% (128)	37.5	151.4	4	11 (116)	-.03 (125)	2.88 (97)	74% (65)	12% (110)	0.9 (102)

Pass Game Stats (2025)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Offense	12	55% (28)	44% (48)	23.7	37.1	261.6	7.1	11.1	24 (38)	16 (124)	.25 (71)	1.5 (94)	31% (59)	31% (73)	.4 (40)	6% (79)	2.1 (37)
TLSA Defense	12	52% (97)	46% (115)	-	-	-	-	-	-	9 (76)	.51 (131)	1.9 (133)	32% (64)	33% (100)	.45 (118)	4% (130)	2.3 (132)

Teams	Games	PassPlay Rate	PassPlay Success	Comp PG	Att PG	Yds PG	Yds PA	Yds PC	TDs	Ints	PassPlays PPA	PassPlays Expl	PassDowns Rate	PassDowns Succ Rate	PassDowns PPA	DB Havoc	PassDowns Expl
UAB Defense	12	42% (4)	35% (12)	-	-	-	-	-	-	8 (93)	.18 (43)	1.8 (121)	29% (113)	32% (92)	.32 (74)	6% (62)	1.8 (10)
TLSA Offense	12	53% (43)	33% (126)	20.7	36.4	238.6	6.6	11.5	23 (41)	12 (85)	.16 (104)	1.8 (21)	34% (116)	22% (131)	.17 (118)	6% (77)	2.2 (16)

UAB's Power Ratings
UAB's Power Rating: -15.57 #111
UAB's Offense Rating: 7.75 #105
UAB's Defense Rating: 23.32 #112
2025 Talent Rating: 452.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
UAB's 2025 Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8
UAB's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #112
UAB's Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
UAB's Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #130

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 528.57
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

Power Ratings Matchup
UAB: -15.57 Tulsa: -15.125

SP+ Ratings Matchup
UAB: -13.8 Tulsa: -15.6

Tulsa's Power Ratings
Tulsa's Power Rating: -15.125 #123
Tulsa's Offense Rating: 3.21 #126
Tulsa's Defense Rating: 22.86 #108
2025 Talent Rating: 560.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #80
Tulsa's 2025 Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5
Tulsa's 2025 Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #120
Tulsa's Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #103
Tulsa's Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124

Average Talent
Average American Athletic Talent Rating is 528.57
Average Power Five Talent: 860.18
Average FBS Talent: 682.74

UAB Scoring
Offense: 26.2 PPG
Offense on Road: 18.8
Defense: 34.3 PPG
Defense on Road: 38.3

UAB's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record on Road: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread on Road: 0 - 0 - 0

Projected Score
UAB 33
Tulsa 32

Projected Total Points: 64

Tulsa Scoring
Offense: 25 PPG
Offense at Home: 28.7
Defense: 42.5 PPG
Defense at Home: 44.7

Tulsa's 2025 Record
Record: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread: 0 - 0 - 0
Record at home: 0 - 0
Record vs Spread at home: 0 - 0 - 0

Year	Date	Home	Score	Away	Score	Winner	Spread	Cover	Total	O/U
2024	11/02	UAB	59	Tulsa	21	UAB	UAB -2.5	UAB	57.5	Over
2012	09/29	UAB	42	Tulsa	49	Tulsa
2011	10/15	Tulsa	37	UAB	20	Tulsa
2008	08/30	UAB	22	Tulsa	45	Tulsa
2007	09/29	Tulsa	38	UAB	30	Tulsa

Team	Wins	Covers	O/U
Tulsa	4	0	1 Overs
UAB	1	1	0 Unders

	Wins	Covers	Favs	Dogs
Home Teams	3 - 2	1 - 0	1 - 0	0 - 0
Road Teams	2 - 3	0 - 1	0 - 0	0 - 1

(#111) UAB Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.57 #111
Offense Rating: 7.75 #105
Defense Rating: 23.32 #112
Overall SP+ Rating: -13.8 #112
Offense SP+ Rating: 25.1 #84
Defense SP+ Rating: 38.9 #130
Talent Rating: 452.00 #117
Blue Chip Ratio: 0% #97
Expected Record: 4.2 - 7.8

Team Profile
Pass heavy Offense 55%, Run: 45%
Good Offense Success Rate of 45%
Poor Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.43 PPO
Good Run Success 47%
Avg Pass Success 44%
Avg OL Grades, Good OL Yds Per Rush
Bad DL Grades, Awful Sacks/Turnovers
Poor Defense Success Rate of 45%
Poor in Scoring Position 4.24 PPO
Awful Run Def Success 52%
Great Pass Def Success 35%
Awful Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

UAB Notes
(6/14) RB Jackson has 2k yds past two years (Utep/FCS)
(6/14) Def poor LY, added 17 portals, 5 DL, 10 DBs
(6/14) WR Milliner had decent Fr year, 3 portals, meh
(6/14) OL 2/5 back, looks bad. 4 portals w/ no exp
(6/14) Both OL & DL look weak & lack playmakers
(3/23) QB Kitna returns. JAG, not mobile. Have depth
(3/23) RB rebuild, Jackson (UTEP) added, short depth
(3/23) Why is Dilfer still here? Roster says not for long

UAB Ratings Matchup Tulsa

Power #111

#123

Off #105

#126

Def #112

#108

Talent #117

#92

SP+ #112

#120

SP+ Off #84

#103

SP+ Def #130

#124

Previous Matchups
UAB beat Tulsa last year (59-21)

Weather Forecast
Playing in at H. A. Chapman Stadium
Conditions:
Temp: 0°

Team Information
Injuries: UAB | TLSA
Depth Chart: UAB | TLSA
Rosters: UAB | TLSA

(#123) Tulsa Info

Preseason ratings
Power Rating: -15.125 #123
Offense Rating: 3.21 #126
Defense Rating: 22.86 #108
Overall SP+ Rating: -15.6 #120
Offense SP+ Rating: 22.3 #103
Defense SP+ Rating: 37.8 #124
Talent Rating: 560.00 #92
Blue Chip Ratio: 1 #80
Expected Record: 3.5 - 8.5

Team Profile
Balanced offense, Pass: 53%, Run: 47%
Awful Offense Success Rate of 34%
Awful Offensive Explosiveness
Poor in Scoring Position 3.54 PPO
Awful Run Success 35%
Awful Pass Success 33%
Poor OL Grades, Poor OL Yds Per Rush
Avg DL Grades, Good Sacks/Turnovers
Bad Defense Success Rate of 42%
Awful in Scoring Position 4.7 PPO
Good Run Def Success 38%
Awful Pass Def Success 46%
Bad Pressure/Havoc/Forcing TOs
Avg Field Position

Tulsa Notes
(5/23) QB Francis, meh LY but was a Fr. Depth??
(5/23) RB rebuild. 4 portals, nothing special looking
(5/23) WR complete rebuild. 5 good looking portals
(5/23) OL bad LY, 1/5 back, 8 portal adds, some exp
(5/23) Def awful LY, return some, 12 meh portals
(5/23) New HC Lamb a fast riser, ETSU LY, G. Webb
(3/24) Roster looks rough, year 0 situation

UAB's OC Alex Mortensen

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Jalen Kitna	196	316	62%	2209	17	11	7.0
Harrison Barker	3	3	100%	49	1	0	16.3

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Jevon Jackson (Tr)	191	754	4	3.9	42
Isaiah Jacobs	41	162	0	4.0	12
Solomon Beebe	22	81	1	3.7	16
Harrison Barker	5	33	0	6.6	13

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Corri Milliner	24	416	3	17.3	45
Iverson Hooks	14	179	1	12.8	39
Jevon Jackson (Tr)	16	99	2	6.2	22
Antonio Ferguson (Tr)	7	90	1	12.9	39

View UAB's Full Roster

UAB's DC Steve Russ

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Josh Baka (Tr)	90	3	0	0	5
Sirad Bryant	59	1	0	0	0
AJ Brown	31	2	1	2	1
Perry Fisher (Tr)	27	1	0	0	2

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Denver Warren (Tr)	21	3	3	1	1
James Smyre	9	2	2	0	0
Amorie Morrison (Tr)	19	4	2	5	0
AJ Brown	31	2	1	2	1

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PRESS	PD
Josh Baka (Tr)	90	3	0	5
Donald Lee	20	1	2	3
Perry Fisher (Tr)	27	1	0	2

Tulsa's OC Ty Darlington

Player Name	COMP	ATT	PCT	YDS	TD	INT	YPA
Kirk Francis	149	253	59%	1585	9	6	6.3
Stephen Kittleman	3	3	100%	51	0	0	17.0

Player Name	CAR	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Viron Ellison Jr.	62	353	1	5.7	32
Ajay Allen (Tr)	24	183	2	7.6	56
Sevion Morrison (Tr)	27	164	2	6.1	38
Dominic Richardson (Tr)	31	109	0	3.5	10

Player Name	REC	YDS	TD	YPC	LONG
Zion Steptoe	15	203	0	13.5	34
Grayson Tempest	16	138	0	8.6	43
CJ Johnson II	11	121	0	11.0	23
Viron Ellison Jr.	14	90	1	6.4	23

View Tulsa's Full Roster

Tulsa's DC Mike Gray

Top Def	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
Jordan Drew	45	1	0	0	2
Chris Thompson Jr.	44	5	1	1	0
Nunu Campbell	38	1	0	0	2
Buddha Garrett	38	1	0	0	3

Sacks	Tack	TFL	SACKS	PRESS	PD
J'Dan Burnett (Tr)	21	3	3	2	1
Joah Cash (Tr)	16	3	2	1	1
Ashton Williams	19	2	1	0	0
Elijah Wilson	19	4	1	0	0

Pass D	Tack	TFL	PD
Keuan Parker	20	0	4
Buddha Garrett	38	1	3
Jordan Drew	45	1	2